iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Daniel Rothenberg @danielrothenberg.com · 01/09/2026

I legitimately don't understand the point of Jubilee's "Surrounded" videos. The GenZ/Boomer thing is _painful_ to watch. Like what always happens, it immediately turns hard away from the actual topic and just devolves into typical right/left wing grievance politics. No depth whatsoever.

000

Reposted by Daniel Rothenberg

daryl herzmann @akrherz.bsky.social · 01/09/2026

And the other major shoe just dropped, retirement of noaaport next year. Going to build the airplane as it is being flown as AWIPS in the cloud needs to happen too. Fun times www.weather.gov/media/notifi...

2137

Daniel Rothenberg @danielrothenberg.com · 11/08/2026

How good are the frontier AI weather forecast models from Google DeepMind, Microsoft, and NVIDIA? See for yourself on @brightband.com's Operational WeatherBench dashboard - owb.brightband.com! We're happy to run these models operationally and share our evaluation stats with the community!

owb.brightband.com

Operational WeatherBench | AI Weather Forecast Leaderboard

Live skill rankings for AI and physics-based weather forecast models, scored daily with standard metrics and an open toolkit.

0134

Daniel Rothenberg @danielrothenberg.com · 25/11/2025

Are folks in mainstream climate science aware of the large and growing number of VC-backed tech startups pursuing all manners of geoengineering approaches? The genie seems to be completely outside the bottle at this point.

040

Daniel Rothenberg @danielrothenberg.com · 29/10/2025

Wow, my health insurance is legitimately going to increase by 20% next year according to the Connect For Health Colorado portal.

020

Reposted by Daniel Rothenberg

juliangsf.bsky.social @juliangsf.bsky.social · 22/10/2025

Watch a recording of the Brightband panel "Future of AI Weather" #NYCW2025: youtu.be/Yw8TJXt6lAU @juliangreen.bsky.social @brightband.com Mike Pritchard, NVIDIA @rabernat.bsky.social @earthmover.io Denise Pearl, Google Austin Tindle, Sorcerer MC @maeveallsup.bsky.social @latitudemedia.bsky.social

youtu.be

New York Climate Week AI Weather Panel 2025

YouTube video by Brightband

032

Daniel Rothenberg @danielrothenberg.com · 15/10/2025

Hey folks, @brightband.com would appreciate your support for this!

010

Reposted by Daniel Rothenberg

American Meteorological Society @ametsoc.org · 15/09/2025

Many thanks to AMS Editor's Award recipient Daniel Rothenberg for insightful and timely reviews! Learn more: bit.ly/48gR7vJ #AIforEarthSystems #PeerReviewWeek

Graphic for Peer Review Week congratulating Daniel Rothenberg, Brightband with a citation.

0103

Daniel Rothenberg @danielrothenberg.com · 01/09/2025

Dumbest. Idea. Ever. I would imagine this would require Congress to repeal Bayh-Dole, but it's ridiculous that it would even be suggested out loud. Completely undermines our innovation economy. www.newsweek.com/trump-admini...

042

Daniel Rothenberg @danielrothenberg.com · 26/08/2025

I don't think this is accurate. I've been preparing a blog post which features a bit of analysis, and the FGN cluster - for quite some time - was overconfident and significantly East of the official track. It don't lock on to the true western extent of the recurve until nearly August 17.

130

Reposted by Daniel Rothenberg

Michael Lowry @michaelrlowry.bsky.social · 31/05/2025

It's been death by a million papercuts to U.S. weather forecasts by the Trump administration, but yesterday's detailed 2026 budget feels like a deathblow. In today's @nytimes.com I ask: How far can we degrade our hurricane forecasting before people end up dead?

nytimes.com

Opinion | How Far Can We Degrade Our Hurricane Forecasting Before People End Up Dead?

26490212

Daniel Rothenberg @danielrothenberg.com · 27/05/2025

Both languages ought to be good for the task. Rust seems to have a more mature dev and integration community, especially among folks writing Python tooling. I also see more demand for it in my corner of the job market.

120

Daniel Rothenberg @danielrothenberg.com · 27/05/2025

You should totally build a BUFR decoder in Rust... HMU and let's chat about it

120

Reposted by Daniel Rothenberg

David Ho @davidho.bsky.social · 06/05/2025

This is not a science budget. This is a massacre. thebridge.agu.org/2025/05/05/t...

A table titled "Funding Levels Summary (in millions)" shows funding data for various U.S. federal agencies over fiscal years FY24, FY25, and the FY26 President's Budget Request (PBR). It includes five columns:
Agency, FY24 Omnibus, FY25 CR (Continuing Resolution), FY25 Enacted, FY26 PBR, and % Change from FY25 to FY26 PBR.

Agencies and their respective funding levels (in millions) and percent changes are:

DOE (Department of Energy)

FY24 Omnibus: $50,246.75

FY25 CR: $50,246.75

FY25 Enacted: $49,800

FY26 PBR: $45,100

% Change: -9.4%

DOE Office of Science

FY24 Omnibus: $8,240

FY25 CR: $8,240

FY25 Enacted: —

FY26 PBR: $7,092

% Change: -13.9%

EPA (Environmental Protection Agency)

FY24 Omnibus: $9,158.89

FY25 CR: $9,158.89

FY25 Enacted: $9,100

FY26 PBR: $5,000

% Change: -54.5%

NASA

FY24 Omnibus: $24,875

FY25 CR: $24,875

FY25 Enacted: $24,800

FY26 PBR: $18,800

% Change: -24.3%

NASA SMD (Science Mission Directorate)

FY24 Omnibus: $7,334.20

FY25 CR: $7,565.70

FY25 Enacted: —

FY26 PBR: $3,908.2

% Change: -46.7%

NIEHS (National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences)

FY24 Omnibus: $997.02

FY25 CR: $997.02

FY25 Enacted: —

FY26 PBR: NA

% Change: NA

NOAA (National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration)

FY24 Omnibus: $6,319

FY25 CR: $6,319

FY25 Enacted: —

FY26 PBR: $4,799

% Change: -24%

NSF (National Science Foundation)

FY24 Omnibus: $9,060

FY25 CR: —

FY25 Enacted: $8,800

FY26 PBR: $3,900

% Change: -55.8%

USGS (United States Geological Survey)

FY24 Omnibus: $1,455.43

FY25 CR: $1,455.43

FY25 Enacted: —

FY26 PBR: $891.43

% Change: -38.8%

Red text is used to denote percentage decreases in FY26 PBR compared to FY25. Several entries for FY25 Enacted are missing or denoted with a dash. NIEHS has no FY26 PBR or percent change listed.

31974357

Daniel Rothenberg @danielrothenberg.com · 06/05/2025

Unbelievable. This makes sequestration look like a haircut. If this goes into effect it will have a generational effect on American science and innovation. We cede the future to Europe and China - full stop.

001

Daniel Rothenberg @danielrothenberg.com · 03/05/2025

An interesting subplot is all the kids get projected into 2D to float in a thunderstorm. But when the same thing happens in Death's End in the Three Body Problem trilogy it kills all life in the Solar System. Interesting...

000

Daniel Rothenberg @danielrothenberg.com · 03/05/2025

In solidary, watching The Magic School Bus with my daughter this morning. The weather episode, of course!

2110

Daniel Rothenberg @danielrothenberg.com · 01/05/2025

Is it just me or is 90% of social media content (particularly on TikTok) about student loans? Like... I don't have student loans. No reason I should be fed this content through organic engagement. Gotta say, there's some _discontent_ out there right now...

000

Daniel Rothenberg @danielrothenberg.com · 19/04/2025

Friendly reminder for colleagues at Harvard facing disappointing NSF news today - there's a pretty good law school across campus with an impressive alumni network. I seem to recall them also facing the ire of the current Administration. Perchance a coffee chat with a colleague to align incentives?

020

Daniel Rothenberg @danielrothenberg.com · 18/04/2025

I think I should start charging for prospecting calls. I respect the hustle for folks selling services to startups, but time is my single most valuable resource. If I politely reply that I don't need or want your service, please respect that - or be prepared to compensate me.

010

Daniel Rothenberg @danielrothenberg.com · 18/04/2025

April snow showers bring May .... ?

110

Daniel Rothenberg @danielrothenberg.com · 18/04/2025

Are sprinkles kosher for Passover? My daughter is worried her matzah+honey+sprinkles may break the rules...

100

Daniel Rothenberg @danielrothenberg.com · 17/04/2025

Don't 👏turn on 👏 your sprinklers 👏before 👏 Mother's Day. All these front rangers watering their lawns already taunted Mother's Nature and now this? SMH.

040

Daniel Rothenberg @danielrothenberg.com · 16/04/2025

I think the hardest challenge of working independently / leading an organization is being satisfied that you've "done enough" on any given day. It's like the early PhD phase on steroids - there's always so much to do, and priorities aren't always obvious!

170

Daniel Rothenberg @danielrothenberg.com · 16/04/2025

Yep, right up I-25 near Johnstown. They've been open a full year now and it's still always packed!

100

Daniel Rothenberg @danielrothenberg.com · 16/04/2025

That's 10 minutes round-trip! Unacceptable, I should prorate the bid on the property to account for the emotional impact...

000

Daniel Rothenberg @danielrothenberg.com · 16/04/2025

Oh no, I just realized if we do end up moving to Erie I'll be 5 minutes further away from Buc-ee's :(

210

Daniel Rothenberg @danielrothenberg.com · 14/04/2025

Words you probably never thought I'd utter in anything other than dripping sarcasm - "Great job, Harvard!"

170

Daniel Rothenberg @danielrothenberg.com · 10/04/2025

Might need a CAPTCHA for future economics discussions with people: If on Monday the market loses 10% of its value, and on Tuesday it recovers 10% during the course of the day, then what is the net impact on the market as of Wednesday morning?

170

Daniel Rothenberg @danielrothenberg.com · 06/04/2025

Running mate on a serious(?) Presidential ticket, folks. SMH.

050

Daniel Rothenberg @danielrothenberg.com · 06/04/2025

nooo SNL stole my joke, I've been calling this Adminstration's trade policy a "tariff"-ic idea since it was rolled out on the campaign trail last year!

010

Daniel Rothenberg @danielrothenberg.com · 02/04/2025

Yes, it does... I'm spoiled by my Polestar and if there is favorable financing I might just buy out my lease. Else I will almost certainly jump to an Ioniq 5 or 6, especially if Hyundai continues the crazy financing offers from the end of last quarter.

020

Daniel Rothenberg @danielrothenberg.com · 02/04/2025

Ughh don't remind me... My lease ends in June and I need to quickly get into something new.

120

Daniel Rothenberg @danielrothenberg.com · 02/04/2025

Totally... I've definitely tortured the CESM in my day!

010

Daniel Rothenberg @danielrothenberg.com · 02/04/2025

Bad Randall! This is supposed to be a classic PhD orals question! youtu.be/WH4g1ptJ-70?...

youtu.be

What if the Earth rotated 90 degrees?

YouTube video by xkcd's What If?

160

Daniel Rothenberg @danielrothenberg.com · 28/03/2025

I've led major infrastructure / system re-writes a handful of times in my career. Lots can vary from project-to-project, but you _absolutely do not_ try to one-shot them with a brand new, external team which had no involvement in writing the old system. Guaranteed to cause a mess.

020

Daniel Rothenberg @danielrothenberg.com · 26/03/2025

Good news! Hyundai's new factory just outside of Savannah, GA is one of the production sites for the Ioniq line.

040

Daniel Rothenberg @danielrothenberg.com · 19/03/2025

Had a really cool idea for a new NCAAM win probability forecast, similar to 538's, but using my own ELO-based model. Unfortunately there's a showtime bug and I doubt I'll have time to get it running this evening :( Maybe next year!

000

Daniel Rothenberg @danielrothenberg.com · 17/03/2025

Agreeing to give an invited seminar on the first day of the NCAAM tournament may not have been my smartest move...

030

Daniel Rothenberg @danielrothenberg.com · 10/03/2025

What is your soundtrack for the day and why is it a lo-fi/electronic re-mix of Claire de la Lune on loop?

010

Daniel Rothenberg @danielrothenberg.com · 07/03/2025

Hmmm what was the third chapter of Half-Life called again?

053

Daniel Rothenberg @danielrothenberg.com · 07/03/2025

Oh believe me, I have a hardcore algorithm development project that I've been itching to throw hours at...

000

Daniel Rothenberg @danielrothenberg.com · 07/03/2025

I have officially survived one full week without coffee... it's probably been at least 15 years since I can say that. Not by choice mind you - post-op instructions from an oral surgery. Very much looking forward to that first pour over tomorrow morning!

110

Daniel Rothenberg @danielrothenberg.com · 05/03/2025

Happy to chat with folks about industry trends, especially with regards to AI/ML

040

Daniel Rothenberg @danielrothenberg.com · 04/03/2025

This is _really_ cool. Really emphasizes the technical sophistication of @noaa.gov; we're no longer in the days where the GFS was hard-coded to run on one HPC system on a super specific schedule. This complexity rivals - if not exceeds - what many private weather companies are doing.

071