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Clemens Jarnach

@clemensjarnach.bsky.social
124 followers 263 following 37 posts

Political Sociologist & Data Scientist | PhD, University of Oxford | 🔬📊🌍 Read more on → medium.com/@clemensjarnach

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Clemens Jarnach @clemensjarnach.bsky.social · 29/04/2026
Teaching social network analysis to brilliant doctoral students at Oxford last term. Networks shape how ideas spread, how power operates, how we find new jobs. Two days of graph theory, R coding, and thinking relationally about the social world. 🧵📊 @ox.ac.uk @socsci.ox.ac.uk
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Lauren Davis Jarnach @laurenjarnach.bsky.social · 29/04/2026
Huge thank you to the Redd Center for supporting my research. You'll find me in the archives this summer!
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Clemens Jarnach @clemensjarnach.bsky.social · 21/03/2026
“Aspiration matters! [pause] Reality matters too.” Inspiring words at the end of a wonderful keynote by the esteemed historian Annette Gordon-Reed at the Rothermere American Institute. @raioxford.bsky.social
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New Scientist @newscientist.com · 05/03/2026
From the cost of childcare to the housing crisis, there’s no shortage of explanations for the dramatic global fall in the number of babies being born. These analyses, though, are all missing something, says cognitive and evolutionary anthropologist Paula Sheppard
newscientist.com
The real reasons birth rates are declining worldwide
From the cost of childcare to the housing crisis, there’s no shortage of explanations for the dramatic global fall in the number of babies being born. These analyses, though, are all missing something, says cognitive and evolutionary anthropologist Paula Sheppard
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Clemens Jarnach @clemensjarnach.bsky.social · 17/02/2026
Went to this seminar. Panel: Damian Hinds MP, Stella Creasy MP, Jonathan Hall KC, and Mitali Mukherjee @mitalilive.bsky.social was the voice that consistently brought the conversation back to evidence—genuinely stood out on a panel that otherwise struggled to rise above the political noise.
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Reuters Institute @reutersinstitute.bsky.social · 12/01/2026
Publishers expect traffic from search to fall by 43% in the next 3 years. This is one of the findings of our new report on media trends. Authored by Nic Newman, it's based on a survey of 280 media leaders. Full report buff.ly/Dh2JIuT 7 findings in thread
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Clemens Jarnach @clemensjarnach.bsky.social · 06/11/2025
Graduation from Oxford tomorrow. Late-night gown-ironing in full swing. #PhDone
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Leverhulme Trust @leverhulme.ac.uk · 27/10/2025
"The more misinformation is repeated the more likely people are to believe it." In the latest episode of The We Society podcast, Will Hutton is joined by @profsanderlinden.bsky.social to discuss how we can inoculate ourselves against misinformation. 🎙️ media.leverhulme.ac.uk/podcast/sand...
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Law & History Review @lawandhistrev.bsky.social · 31/07/2025
Lauren Davis Jarnach explores the 1910 Arizona constitutional convention and how the breakdown of parliamentary procedure had profound effects for democracy. lawandhistoryreview.org/article/laur...
lawandhistoryreview.org
Lauren Davis Jarnach–Negotiating the Arizona Constitution: The Role of Parliamentary Procedure in Ensuring Democratic Textual Outcomes – Law & History Review
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Clemens Jarnach @clemensjarnach.bsky.social · 03/08/2025
I hate being “that reviewer,” but today I was the stereotypical reviewer 2. Sorry. #whoknowsknows #peerreview
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Lauren Davis Jarnach @laurenjarnach.bsky.social · 25/07/2025
I had a great time celebrating the opening of the first gallery exhibition I helped to curate. ‘After the Assembly: Constituting India’ is on at the SOAS Gallery until Sept. 20.
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Clemens Jarnach @clemensjarnach.bsky.social · 25/07/2025
Women working from home during COVID-19 faced a 40% increase in odds of IPV (Intimate Partner Violence) compared to working in-person (Miall, et al., 2023). Link: doi.org/10.1186/s128... #IPV #RemoteWork #Sociology
doi.org
Working from home and intimate partner violence among cis-women during the COVID-19 pandemic: evidence from a global, cross-sectional study - BMC Public Health
Background Intimate partner violence (IPV) may have been exacerbated during the COVID-19 pandemic. This analysis aimed to determine how employment disruption during COVID-19, including working from ho...
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Clemens Jarnach @clemensjarnach.bsky.social · 16/07/2025
@walesroyals.bsky.social Let’s talk!
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Caroline Fiennes @carolinefiennes.bsky.social · 15/07/2025
I bet that you've never got the term "linear regression difference-in-differences analyses" into GB News, like @clemensjarnach.bsky.social & I just have! 🤣👍🏽 #econ
Excerpt from GB News online article about our analysis of the effects of Prince Andrew's patronage on charities.
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Caroline Fiennes @carolinefiennes.bsky.social · 14/07/2025
Some coverage of Giving Evidence's new report about Prince Andrew's #charity patronages claims that we found "a rise in profits". The concept of profit is normally meaningless in relation to charities: we looked at revenue. www.skynews.com.au/lifestyle/ce...
skynews.com.au
Major sign Prince Andrew still ‘toxic’ despite attempts at comeback
Prince Andrew has been left red faced after several charities he once supported as patron saw a rise in profits after he stepped down from royal duties.
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Clemens Jarnach @clemensjarnach.bsky.social · 14/07/2025
I'm on GB News! Send help!
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Clemens Jarnach @clemensjarnach.bsky.social · 14/07/2025
Could parliamentary procedure be so complex that it confuses even those in power? This intriguing paper by @laurenjarnach.bsky.social (shameless promotion for my wife's work) delves into the vital role of parliamentary procedure in democratic outcomes. lawandhistoryreview.org/article/laur...
lawandhistoryreview.org
Lauren Davis Jarnach–Negotiating the Arizona Constitution: The Role of Parliamentary Procedure in Ensuring Democratic Textual Outcomes – Law & History Review
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Lauren Davis Jarnach @laurenjarnach.bsky.social · 14/07/2025
After the Assembly: Constituting India is opening THIS WEEK (July 17) at the @soasgallery.bsky.social The PACT team is launching its research on the Indian Constitution and teasing its digital database with an exhibition featuring documents, art, and films relating to the team's research.
soas.ac.uk
After the Assembly: Constituting India
‘After the Assembly: Constituting India’ commemorates the 75th anniversary of the Constitution of India, the longest living constitution in the global South.
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Lauren Davis Jarnach @laurenjarnach.bsky.social · 13/07/2025
My paper 'Negotiating the Arizona Constitution'—on the role parliamentary procedure plays in ensuring democratic textual outcomes and trust in governing texts—is out on the Docket @lawandhistrev.bsky.social today!
lawandhistoryreview.org
Lauren Davis Jarnach–Negotiating the Arizona Constitution: The Role of Parliamentary Procedure in Ensuring Democratic Textual Outcomes – Law & History Review
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Clemens Jarnach @clemensjarnach.bsky.social · 12/07/2025
First time my research has been featured in a major UK newspaper! It’s about Prince Andrew — you may have heard of him. Please check it out: www.thetimes.com/uk/royal-fam... Full details here if you're interested: giving-evidence.com/2025/07/12/p... #PrinceAndrew #Royals #TheTimes
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Clemens Jarnach @clemensjarnach.bsky.social · 12/07/2025
Do Royals as patrons help charities raise money? We set out to test that using difference-in-differences analysis. Our findings: Prince Andrew’s patronage had no detectable effect on charities’ revenue. Full details here 👉
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The Times and Sunday Times @thetimes.com · 11/07/2025
The Duke of York’s departure from his charities five years ago has had no overall effect on their income, a new report has revealed
thetimes.com
Prince Andrew giving up patronage of charities had no impact
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Clemens Jarnach @clemensjarnach.bsky.social · 09/07/2025
With *Prince Andrew*'s step back, his charity patronages ended abruptly. We seized this rare 'natural experiment' to investigate if royal patronage measurably impacts charity revenue. Our findings are coming very soon: stay tuned!
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Caroline Fiennes @carolinefiennes.bsky.social · 03/07/2025
Germany gears up for returning museum-held objects to their country of origin. Notice how this does not make the sky fall down etc etc.
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Clemens Jarnach @clemensjarnach.bsky.social · 03/07/2025
German BSW voters definitely judge books by their cover. 📚Unsurprising, but still interesting: people are voting primarily for her, not the party’s policies. 🗳️ New research by @wurthmann.bsky.social & @sarahwagner.bsky.social (2025) on BSW voters. #GermanPolitics
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Clemens Jarnach @clemensjarnach.bsky.social · 27/06/2025
🔔 Thrilled to share some big news: It's official, I'm now Dr. Jarnach! 🎉 My Oxford DPhil is complete! The news about my dissertation passing examination came a couple of weeks ago, and it's finally sunk in. #PhDone #PhDLife #Oxford @sociologyoxford.bsky.social @ox.ac.uk @greentempleton.bsky.social
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Clemens Jarnach @clemensjarnach.bsky.social · 26/06/2025
Just finished my PhD on how online information influences voting behaviour. This NYT article "A.I. Is Starting to Wear Down Democracy" is a good read. www.nytimes.com/2025/06/26/t...
nytimes.com
A.I. Is Starting to Wear Down Democracy
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Clemens Jarnach @clemensjarnach.bsky.social · 24/02/2025
🗳️ Germany’s 2025 Federal Election 1/ Gender divide at the ballot box: Women leaned towards SPD, Greens, and the Die Linke, while men favoured CDU/CSU and AfD. Crucial questions: What drives young men towards the populist far-right? AND what drives young women to the left? #GermanyElection2025
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John Burn-Murdoch @jburnmurdoch.ft.com · 24/02/2025
NEW: updated long-run gap in voting between young men and women in Germany: Gender divide continues to widen, but contrary to what is often assumed, young men continue to vote roughly in line with the overall population, while young women have swung sharply left. www.ft.com/content/29fd...
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Rob Ford @robfordmancs.bsky.social · 24/02/2025
Why does 25% AfD among young men spark a thousand "what is going on with young men?" posts yet Die Linke 34% among young women generates...nothing at all? Yes, young men voting for the radical right is an important phenomenon. But so is young women going rad left *at even higher rates*.
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Reuters Institute @reutersinstitute.bsky.social · 21/02/2025
NEW on our site Our data shows that people are turning away from the news, with interest in news falling and news avoidance rising. A new piece by our researcher Craig T. Robertson explains why this is happening and what publishers can do about it reutersinstitute.politics.ox.ac.uk/news/people-...
reutersinstitute.politics.ox.ac.uk
People are turning away from the news. Here’s why it may be happening
Our data shows a ten-year trend towards disengagement from online news, with interest in news falling and news avoidance rising.
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Clemens Jarnach @clemensjarnach.bsky.social · 19/02/2025
🚦In turbulent times, slow, deliberate decisions matter. Welfare and redistribution—which path do we choose? Read more: ⬇️ #Welfare #Politics #Redistribution 🔗 medium.com/@clemensjarn...
medium.com
Slow and Steady: Welfare and the Tortoise’s Thoughtful Decision-Making in Turbulent Times
In turbulent times, slow, deliberate decisions matter.
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Patrick English @patrick-pme.bsky.social · 15/01/2025
🚨👀 Big news! The @yougov.co.uk German political team are launching our first MRP model of the 2025 German Bundestag election later this week. We'll be making detailed calls for every constituency, estimating regional list vote shares, and projecting how the parliament would shape up.
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Clemens Jarnach @clemensjarnach.bsky.social · 16/01/2025
In all the excitement, I forgot to announce that I had submitted my thesis! *Mic drop*
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Clemens Jarnach @clemensjarnach.bsky.social · 17/12/2024
How the PhD is feeling right now: youtu.be/OVp8imjlzZk?... #phdjokes #phd
youtu.be
Norsemen «It is impossible to aim with cold fingers »
YouTube video by Flix gr
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Susie Dent @susiedentwords.bsky.social · 12/12/2024
Word of the day is ‘forswunk’ (13th century): exhausted by work. I like to add ‘foreswunk’, exhausted before you even begin.
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Clemens Jarnach @clemensjarnach.bsky.social · 24/11/2024
Not sure if I am more of a ´netflixcubicularist´ or ´librocubicularist´.
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Dimiter Toshkov @dtoshkov.bsky.social · 20/11/2024
The 12 types of Political Science paper. What's missing #polsci?
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