Centre for European Reform @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social · 11hThank you to John Hannaford, Personal Representative of the Prime Minister of Canada to the EU for speaking at our dinner in Brussels last night. 050
Centre for European Reform @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social · 12h“But the problem is getting worse. It is going to be harder to find a way to work around, as the EU did with Viktor Orbán. It is going to be more systematic and serious.” 110
Centre for European Reform @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social · 12h“The far right has been a problem for Europe for more than a decade, says @cergrant.bsky.social, director of the @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social. buff.ly/hf191Kpbuff.lyhttps://www.ft.com/content/ec433e1f-bdb4-4a1c-868e-e1c7c4121f45?syn-25a6b1a6=1 100
Centre for European Reform @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social · 13h3. Work to make change in Russia more likely, but be realistic: Russia probably won’t be a democracy in the near future. New policy brief by @cerianbond.bsky.social - read here: buff.ly/q40Cahl 060
Centre for European Reform @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social · 13h2. Constrain Russian power & influence in Europe and beyond, leaving no power vacuums to fill or fissures in society to widen. 140
Centre for European Reform @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social · 13hThree goals for a European Russia strategy: 1. Resist current Russian aggression by increasing the cost and preventing Russia from benefitting from expansionist policies. 164
Centre for European Reform @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social · 14h📅 JOIN US - 22/10/26: @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social / Kreab Worldwide breakfast on 'After Iceland's EU referendum' with Stefán Haukur Jóhannesson, Head of Mission of Iceland to the EU Email: brussels@cer.eu for info and registration 000
Centre for European Reform @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social · 15hThank you to Canan Atilgan, @cerianbond.bsky.social, @ruthdeyermond.bsky.social & Jürgen Hardt for speaking at the @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social /Konrad-Adenauer-Stiftung UK & Ireland launch of 'Resist, constrain and change: A European strategy for relations with Russia' in London yesterday. 020
Centre for European Reform @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social · 16hRead their paper in full here: buff.ly/5SFULJMbuff.lyChina shock 2.0: The cost of Germany's complacencyGermany is ground zero of the second China shock, but Berlin is not fighting back, even as the shock erodes the country’s engineering sectors that are vital to its economic security. 000
Centre for European Reform @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social · 16hIn a @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social paper earlier this year, economists @sandertordoir.bsky.social and Brad Setser warned that “China Shock 2.0” is similar in scale to the first one, which followed China’s accession to the WTO in 2001. buff.ly/SUOJJuebuff.ly 100
Centre for European Reform @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social · 12/10/2026Who’s afraid of the big bad bear? Europe’s resources are much greater than Russia’s, if Europeans are ready to use them to defend themselves. 🇷🇺 🇪🇺 New @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social policy brief by @cerianbond.bsky.social Read here: buff.ly/q40Cahl 1179
Reposted by Centre for European ReformPubAffairs EU Debates, News & Opinions 🇪🇺 @pubaffairsbruxelles.eu · 12/10/2026#GlobalEurope: Resist, constrain and change: A #European strategy for relations with #Russia, by @cerianbond.bsky.social | @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social www.pubaffairsbruxelles.eu/opinion-anal...pubaffairsbruxelles.euResist, constrain and change: A European strategy for relations with Russia - PubAffairs BruxellesThe threat from Russia is long-term. Putin has revived Russian imperialist ideology and militarised the economy and the education system. European governments and institutions need a collective strate... 031
Centre for European Reform @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social · 12/10/2026Unsere Ergebnisse passten eben ziemlich gut zu dem, was viele deutsche Unternehmen längst selbst tagtäglich erlebten. buff.ly/5SFULJMbuff.lyChina shock 2.0: The cost of Germany's complacencyGermany is ground zero of the second China shock, but Berlin is not fighting back, even as the shock erodes the country’s engineering sectors that are vital to its economic security. 020
Centre for European Reform @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social · 12/10/2026Da ist es schon aufregend, dass die Arbeit von meinem Kollegen @sandertordoir.bsky.social und mir so viel ins Rollen gebracht hat. Vor allem in Deutschland haben wir einen Nerv getroffen. buff.ly/pVnSmjCbuff.ly„Dann wird es ernst. Genau darauf reagiert der deutsch-französische Vorstoß“Der Ökonom Brad Setser warnte früh vor Chinas Exportflut. Jetzt greifen Berlin und Paris seine Forderungen auf. Ein Gespräch über Schutzzölle, Seltene Erden und die Frage, ob Europa zusammenhält,… 120
Reposted by Centre for European ReformZselyke Csaky @zecsaky.bsky.social · 12/10/2026As expected, the Irish presidency proposed cuts to the EU's budget in its nego box. Specifically, AgoraEU could get slashed by 30%, a disproportionally large cut. See my earlier analysis for @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social on the original proposal www.cer.eu/insights/can...cer.euCan the EU's next budget defend democracy and the rule of law?The European Commission is proposing to broaden rule of law conditionality and boost democracy funding in its next seven-year budget. But member-states may still blunt these ambitions. 152
Centre for European Reform @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social · 12/10/2026Att han så starkt väljer att profilera sig i EU-frågan har enligt Springford flera förklaringar: bland annat är hans närmaste rådgivare starkt EU-vänliga samtidigt som bilden av utträdets negativa ekonomiska konsekvenser blivit allt mer tydlig. 000
Centre for European Reform @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social · 12/10/2026Ekonomen @johnspringford.bsky.social vid tankesmedjan @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social påpekar att Burnham inte är känd som någon särskilt EU-vänlig politiker. Hans regering har hittills framför allt fokuserat på inrikespolitiska reformer. buff.ly/ZLdS9Fvbuff.lyBurnham gläntade på dörren för ett brittiskt återinträde i EU – så kan landet bli medlem igenExperter ser en möjlig väg tillbaka till EU för Storbritannien, men också stora politiska hinder. 100
Centre for European Reform @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social · 12/10/2026The Russian threat to Europe is not going away. Putin has a strategic vision of a Russian sphere of influence beyond its borders. Europe needs a strategic response. 🇷🇺 🇪🇺 New CER/Konrad-Adenauer-Stiftung UK & Ireland policy brief by @cerianbond.bsky.social Read here: buff.ly/YprPP4u 0148
Centre for European Reform @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social · 11/10/2026That concludes the 22nd #TheBodrumRT. @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social & @edamorg.bsky.social are extremely grateful to our participants for their contributions & our partners for their support. 021
Centre for European Reform @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social · 11/10/2026Our final panel at #TheBodrumRT considered how to rebalance the Middle East. Our speakers were @aneichhorst.bsky.social @euinegypt.bsky.social, Ellie Geranmayeh @ecfr.eu, Tarek Osman @ebrd.bsky.social & Soli Özel of Koç University, chaired by @cerianbond.bsky.social @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social 020
Centre for European Reform @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social · 11/10/2026Next at #TheBodrumRT we assessed technology & democratic resilience with Ayşe Başar of Kadir Has University, @bircantuba.bsky.social @brispo-vub.bsky.social, Levent Özbilgin of Microsoft Türkiye, @marietjeschaake.bsky.social @stanfordhai.bsky.social & @sinanulgen.bsky.social @edamorg.bsky.social 020
Centre for European Reform @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social · 11/10/2026Our second panel at #TheBodrumRT discussed EU industrial competitiveness, Made in Europe & the implications for economic partners with Ozan Diren of TÜSİAD, @erik-jones.bsky.social, Jurgis Vilčinskas of the EU Delegation to Türkiye & Nicola Walker of Ford, chaired by @canselcuki.bsky.social 021
Centre for European Reform @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social · 11/10/2026Our first panel at #TheBodrumRT was on the future of deterrence in Europe with @sbeverts.bsky.social @euiss.bsky.social, Levent Gümrükçü, Türkiye's Deputy Minister of Foreign Affairs & Carmen Romero, NATO's Director of Security Policy, chaired by Stefanie Bolzen @politico.com 052
Centre for European Reform @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social · 11/10/2026Saturday at #TheBodrumRT started with a conversation with Çağrı Erhan, Chief Advisor to the President of Türkiye, chaired by Samia Nakhoul, Global Foreign Policy Editor @reuters.com 010
Centre for European Reform @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social · 10/10/2026This year's opening keynote was a tour de force on AI delivered by @marietjeschaake.bsky.social from @stanfordhai.bsky.social, chaired by the CER's Director @cergrant.bsky.social #TheBodrumRT 031
Centre for European Reform @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social · 10/10/2026We’re delighted to be back in Türkiye for the 22nd #TheBodrumRT organised by the @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social & @edamorg.bsky.social with thanks to the EU Delegation to Türkiye, @eui-schuman.bsky.social, @euiss.bsky.social, Ford, @fnfreiheit.bsky.social, NATO & @stiftungmercator.bsky.social 021
Centre for European Reform @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social · 09/10/2026If you would like to receive all our publications directly to your inbox as soon as they are published, you can sign up to our mailing list here: buff.ly/9tFCSxR 020
Centre for European Reform @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social · 09/10/2026Deutschland hat Chinas Industrieoffensive lange unterschätzt – jetzt fordert Kanzler Merz sogar einen Kill-Switch. Ökonom @sandertordoir.bsky.social über die womöglich letzte Chance. buff.ly/iBOWyiwbuff.lyDeutschlands neue China-Strategie: Was hinter dem Kill-Switch stecktDeutschland hat Chinas Industrieoffensive lange unterschätzt. Jetzt fordert Bundeskanzler Friedrich Merz einen Kill-Switch. Ökonom Sander Tordoir im Interview über die womöglich letzte Chance. 010
Centre for European Reform @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social · 09/10/2026🗓️ JOIN US: 12/10/26 @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social/Konrad-Adenauer-Stiftung UK & Ireland hybrid launch of 'Resist, constrain and change: A European strategy for relations with Russia' with @cerianbond.bsky.social, @ruthdeyermond.bsky.social & Jürgen Hardt Email events@cer.eu for info & registration 063
Centre for European Reform @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social · 09/10/2026@sandertordoir.bsky.social, chief economist at the @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social, described the proposal as a “watershed moment” for Germany. Berlin, he argued, is no longer naïve about China’s trade and industrial policy. buff.ly/c8AGzlpbuff.lyWill EU press the ‘kill switch’ on China? Trade war looms over talksEU officials are raising alarms over the escalating trade deficits with China, exceeding one billion euros on a daily basis. The spike in Chinese hybrid-car exports underscores possible gaps in EU… 041
Centre for European Reform @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social · 08/10/2026Según analistas como @sandertordoir.bsky.social, del @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social, esto representa una señal política contundente de que Europa está dispuesta a defender su entramado productivo frente a un shock industrial que pone en riesgo su soberanía. buff.ly/9eifHQYbuff.lydefensa comercial Francia Alemania piden UE endurecer ante Chinadefensa comercial: Berlín y París impulsan nuevas herramientas para frenar a China y proteger la industria europea. ¿Se encamina la UE hacia un modelo más. 010
Centre for European Reform @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social · 08/10/2026📅 JOIN US - 22/10/26: @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social / Kreab Worldwide breakfast on 'After Iceland's EU referendum' with Stefán Haukur Jóhannesson, Head of Mission of Iceland to the EU Email: brussels@cer.eu for info and registration 010
Centre for European Reform @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social · 07/10/2026Soms kun je beter naar Parijs en Berlijn kijken als je wil weten wat er in Brussel gaat gebeuren”, zegt @sandertordoir.bsky.social, hoofdeconoom van het @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social, een denktank. „Dit is zo’n moment.” buff.ly/WwNGgKPbuff.lyFrankrijk en Duitsland vragen de Europese Commissie strenger op te treden tegen China, zonder het land bij naam te noemenHandelsbeleid: De Europese industrie zucht onder de concurrentie van Chinese bedrijven, die onder meer profiteren van overheidssubsidies en een gunstige wisselkoers. Frankrijk en Duitsland willen dat… 000
Centre for European Reform @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social · 07/10/2026🗓️ JOIN US: 12/10/26 @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social/Konrad-Adenauer-Stiftung UK & Ireland hybrid launch of 'Resist, constrain and change: A European strategy for relations with Russia' with @cerianbond.bsky.social, @ruthdeyermond.bsky.social & Jürgen Hardt Email events@cer.eu for info & registration 011
Centre for European Reform @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social · 06/10/2026..."Germany has gone from being the main brake on stronger European trade tools to actively supporting a number of concrete proposals," Tordoir adds. 000
Centre for European Reform @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social · 06/10/2026"What the two leading European capitals are signaling is a desire to change their approach and introduce a more structured, comprehensive set of policies to slow the impact of the second Chinese shock on European industry," points out @sandertordoir.bsky.social of the CER. buff.ly/hILC5UDbuff.lyFrancja i Niemcy chcą uderzyć w Chiny. Nowy mechanizm ma odciąć dostęp do rynkuFrancusko-niemiecka propozycja wzywa Komisję Europejską do wprowadzenia mechanizmu pozwalającego mocniej bronić wspólnego rynku przed krajami takimi jak Chiny. 110
Centre for European Reform @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social · 06/10/2026If implemented through the EU’s law-making apparatus, it [the letter] would mark a dramatic shift in how the bloc intends to confront China. The main novelty is a “second-strike capability”, as @sandertordoir.bsky.social of the @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social think-tank, puts it. buff.ly/JlKrrm6buff.lyhttps://www.economist.com/europe/2026/10/05/germany-and-france-want-eu-storm-gates-for-chinas-trade-surge 001
Centre for European Reform @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social · 06/10/2026'Eerder durfden ze hun eigen belangen in China niet op het spel te zetten, maar daar komt langzaam verandering in.' 010
Centre for European Reform @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social · 06/10/2026De Chinese concurrentie doet Europese landen steeds meer pijn en kan de Europese industrie miljoenen banen kosten, zegt @ronstoop.bsky.social, research fellow bij het @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social. buff.ly/PbQ3jFNbuff.lyFrankrijk en Duitsland willen derde landen ‘volledig en direct’ kunnen uitsluiten van Europese marktDiplomatieke bronnen zeggen tegen het Duitse Handelsblatt dat Commissievoorzitter Ursula von der Leyen volgende week bij de EU-top de ‘martelinstrumenten’ ... 131
Centre for European Reform @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social · 06/10/2026Thank you to Rita Adam, Head of the Mission of Switzerland to the EU for speaking at our @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social /Kreab breakfast on 'What comes next in Swiss-EU relations' in Brussels this morning. 010
Centre for European Reform @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social · 06/10/2026“What the two leading European capitals are signaling is that they want to flip the switch and have a more structured, comprehensive set of policies to slow down the impact of the second China shock on European industry,” said Tordoir. 010
Centre for European Reform @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social · 06/10/2026@sandertordoir.bsky.social, chief economist at the @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social, called the letter and position paper a “watershed” moment. buff.ly/9m6TQpAbuff.lyMerz and Macron want the EU to hit back harder — and faster — against trade threatsFrance and Germany want to give Brussels new powers to rapidly block imports deemed an economic or security threat. 140
Centre for European Reform @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social · 06/10/2026Thank you to @kitty-donaldson.bsky.social, @cergrant.bsky.social, Bernard Jenkin, Jesse Norman,Jukka Salovaara & Tobias Winkler for speaking at our @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social / @euinuk.bsky.social event at the Conservatives party conf on 'Europe in the world: Building international partnerships' 000
Centre for European Reform @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social · 06/10/2026“It is a watershed moment for Germany,” said @sandertordoir.bsky.social of the @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social. “Berlin is officially no longer naive about the trade and industrial policy war China has been waging on its industry, nor the currency manipulation that supercharges it.” buff.ly/zKF147Ebuff.lyhttps://www.ft.com/content/4416101f-5072-4ee0-aa12-5b1daf25b31b?syn-25a6b1a6=1 010
Centre for European Reform @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social · 06/10/2026@cergrant.bsky.social, the head of the @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social, has said he cannot envisage Europe wanting the UK back as a full member unless there is a political consensus to rejoin inside the UK. buff.ly/APeVrg2buff.lyBall in UK’s court: EU ambassador says Brussels will be ‘ready to engage‘ after country decides what it wantsJukka Salovaara, who served in London during Cool Britannia era, will be ‘very close’ to negotiations as Burnham government resets relations with EU 001
Centre for European Reform @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social · 05/10/2026🗓️ JOIN US - 15.30-16.45: @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social/ @euinuk.bsky.social fringe at Conservative party conference on 'Europe in the world: Building international partnerships' With @kitty-donaldson.bsky.social, @cergrant.bsky.social, Bernard Jenkin, Jesse Norman, Jukka Salovaara & Tobias Winkler 010
Centre for European Reform @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social · 05/10/2026The UK and the EU are two of Europe’s most important economic and strategic actors. If they remain divided in areas where their interests overlap, Europe will be collectively weaker. 001
Centre for European Reform @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social · 05/10/2026In her June @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social essay @dschwarzer.bsky.social argued that the next phase must help Europe become “more resilient, more competitive and more capable of acting”. buff.ly/xMAYuBO 121
Centre for European Reform @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social · 05/10/2026Lisez l'article de @antonspisak.bsky.social et @johnspringford.bsky.social ici: buff.ly/87lIeH3buff.lyThe cost of Brexit, ten years on: The impact of leaving the customs union and single market on UK tradeNew CER modelling exercise shows that Brexit has substantially reduced the UK’s trade with the EU. 010
Centre for European Reform @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social · 05/10/2026» Selon une étude du @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social, publiée en juin, « le Brexit a entraîné une baisse de 12 % des exportations britanniques vers l’UE et réduit de 16 % les importations de l’UE ». buff.ly/wPIOWhabuff.lyAu Royaume-Uni, Andy Burnham ouvre la voie à un « Breturn », le retour de son pays dans l’Union européenneLe premier ministre travailliste insiste sur les bénéfices économiques d’un tel mouvement, mais Bruxelles reste très prudent et les formes que pourrait prendre la réintégration de Londres dans le… 120