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Sinan Ulgen

@sinanulgen.bsky.social
1.3K followers 697 following 76 posts

Former Turkish Diplomat, Director of Istanbul based EDAM think tank, senior fellow at Carnegie Europe

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Sinan Ulgen @sinanulgen.bsky.social · 16/07/2025
Repost as the PKK disarmament and dismantling initiative reaches a critical milestone.
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Sinan Ulgen @sinanulgen.bsky.social · 10/07/2025
My take for Carnegie's Strategic Europe on whether the EU should just accept the 10 % additional Trump tariffs. carnegieendowment.or...
carnegieendowment.org
Taking the Pulse: Should the EU Bite the 10 Percent Tariff Bullet With the United States?
U.S. President Donald Trump’s tariffs, with their arbitrary announcements and slipping deadlines, challenge global trade. Considering the importance of EU-U.S. commercial relations, should the EU cut its losses and agree to the 10 percent tariff deal?
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Açıkça Etraflıca @acikcaetraflica.bsky.social · 14/06/2025
◾ İsrail saldırısı sonrası işin nerelere gidebileceğine dair kıymetli bir analiz. 👍 ◾ Yorum: Bu aşamadan sonra İran'ın müzakere masasına dönmesini beklemediğimi, İsrail'in rejim değişikliği, İran'ın ise nükleer silah elde etmek için şartları sonuna kadar zorlayacağını tahmin etiğimi not edeyim.
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Sinan Ulgen @sinanulgen.bsky.social · 14/06/2025
İsrail'in İran'a saldırısını Türkiye açısından da yorumlamakta fayda var. Bizim için ne demek olduğuna odaklanmamız gerekiyor. Bu saldırının amacının varsayımına dair 2 senaryo üzerinden gitmek lazım.
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Camille Grand @camillegrand.bsky.social · 04/06/2025
« The end of the Imperial Republic and the future of the trans-Atlantic alliance », my @brookings.edu Raymond Aron lecture and the following conversation with @constelz.bsky.social Peter Rough and Mara Karlin is now available online. Special thanks to @taravarma.bsky.social youtu.be/74oUR7wsFFA
youtu.be
The end of the Imperial Republic and the future of the trans-Atlantic alliance
YouTube video by Brookings Institution
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Sinan Ulgen @sinanulgen.bsky.social · 30/05/2025
For my recent research on bias in Large Language Models and its possible impact on the learning of international relations, I had asked the exact same question to a range of AI models. To check out their answer -> foreignpolicy.com/2025/05/12/b... carnegieendowment.org/research/202...
foreignpolicy.com
Biased AI Models Are Increasing Political Polarization
AI tools trained in different countries are producing wildly divergent views on controversial geopolitical questions.
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Project Syndicate @projectsyndicate.bsky.social · 15/05/2025
From political openings to drone technology, a number of developments spurred the decision of the Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK) to disband, writes @sinanulgen.bsky.social (@edamorg.bsky.social). What's next for Turkey?
project-syndicate.org
The Sudden Death of Kurdish Separatism in Turkey | by Sinan Ülgen - Project Syndicate
Sinan Ülgen considers the reasons for, and implications of, the Kurdistan Workers’ Party’s decision to disband.
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Sinan Ulgen @sinanulgen.bsky.social · 12/05/2025
In my @ForeignPolicy commentary, I examined the public policy consequences of the emergence of large language models from the lens of international relations. foreignpolicy.com/20... 1/3
foreignpolicy.com
Biased AI Models Are Increasing Political Polarization
AI tools trained in different countries are producing wildly divergent views on controversial geopolitical questions.
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Sinan Ulgen @sinanulgen.bsky.social · 12/05/2025
In my @ForeignPolicy commentary, I examined the public policy consequences of the emergence of large language models from the lens of international relations. foreignpolicy.com/20... 1/3
foreignpolicy.com
Biased AI Models Are Increasing Political Polarization
AI tools trained in different countries are producing wildly divergent views on controversial geopolitical questions.
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Sinan Ulgen @sinanulgen.bsky.social · 12/05/2025
In my latest @ForeignPolicy Argument, I explore impact of the emergence of Large Language Models on the learning of international relations and evaluate their implications for global public policy. foreignpolicy.com/20... 1/2
foreignpolicy.com
Biased AI Models Are Increasing Political Polarization
AI tools trained in different countries are producing wildly divergent views on controversial geopolitical questions.
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Sinan Ulgen @sinanulgen.bsky.social · 16/04/2025
Yet one more clear sign that Trump's tariffs are used by the WH for non-economic aims. The weaponization of geo-economics, ending the credibility of multilateral commitments which essentially binds economic measures to economic objectives. www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/poli...
independent.co.uk
Starmer told to accept Trump ‘free speech’ agenda to win trade deal
‘Good chance’ of agreement, says JD Vance – but sources say his concerns over Britain’s hate speech laws ‘are still a red line’
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Sinan Ulgen @sinanulgen.bsky.social · 16/04/2025
My conversation with @samwl.bsky.social moderated by @rmomtaz.bsky.social on how AI is re- shaping the world order. @carnegieeurope.bsky.social @carnegieendowment.org. Part of the europe-inside-out podcast. europe-inside-out.simplecast.com/episodes/how...
europe-inside-out.simplecast.com
How AI Is Reshaping the Global Order | Europe Inside Out
Rym Momtaz, Sinan Ülgen, and Sam Winter-Levy examine how artificial intelligence is reshaping international politics and will define the future of the tech industry.
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Sinan Ulgen @sinanulgen.bsky.social · 12/04/2025
Trump tarifeleri 90 günlüğüne askıya aldı. Şimdi ne olacak? Türkiye'nin karşısına ne çıkacak? 90 günlük süre, ABD idaresi tarafından ticari ortaklarından ödün elde etmek için kullanılacak. Çok sayıda ikili müzakere yürütülmesi gerekeceği için bu süre de uzayacak muhtemelen. 1/10
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Sinan Ulgen @sinanulgen.bsky.social · 12/04/2025
How will the US trading partners respond once they receive Trump's invitation to join the "trade crime syndicate" ? Because asking trade partners to also raise tariffs on China is exactly that. No country desiring to remain compliant with its WTO commitments can do it.
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Mesele Ekonomi @meseleekonomi.bsky.social · 12/04/2025
🔥Ticaret savaşlarının tam ortasındayız Peki, 📍Kim daha çok kaybedecek? ABD mi, Çin mi? 📍90 günlük sürede neler olacak? 📍Türkiye ne yapmalı? 📍Trump diğer ülkeleri neye zorluyor? Gazeteci Semih Sakallı sordu, EDAM Direktörü @sinanulgen.bsky.social anlattı. 🎙️ youtu.be/AtLqBk6RaVU
youtu.be
Tehlikeli bir aşamadayız! Ticaret düzeni çökebilir & Ekonomik savaşı kim kazanır? | Sinan Ülgen
YouTube video by Mesele Ekonomi
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Sinan Ulgen @sinanulgen.bsky.social · 12/04/2025
Bunlari ve daha fazlasini @meseleekonomi.bsky.social Semih Sakalli ile konustuk 🎙️youtu.be/AtLqBk6RaVU
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Sinan Ulgen @sinanulgen.bsky.social · 12/04/2025
Trump tarifeleri 90 günlüğüne askıya aldı. Şimdi ne olacak? Türkiye'nin karşısına ne çıkacak? 90 günlük süre, ABD idaresi tarafından ticari ortaklarından ödün elde etmek için kullanılacak. Çok sayıda ikili müzakere yürütülmesi gerekeceği için bu süre de uzayacak muhtemelen. 1/10
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Middle East Eye (Unofficial) @middleeasteye-rss.bsky.social · 12/04/2025
Kenize Mourad: The Ottoman princess boycotted in France for supporting Palestine - www.middleeasteye.net/big-story/ken…
middleeasteye.net
Kenize Mourad: The Ottoman princess boycotted in France for supporting Palestine
MEE speaks to Mourad, a Legion d’Honneur award recipient for her writing, on her extraordinary life and family history
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Camille Grand @camillegrand.bsky.social · 06/04/2025
This is wrong factually and on so many accounts.
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Sinan Ulgen @sinanulgen.bsky.social · 06/04/2025
BRICS ve dünya düzenine dair Carnegie Endowment analizine, Türkiye bakış açısı ile katkıda bulundum. Ankara açısından BRICS üyeliğinin cazibesi ne ? @carnegieendowment.org carnegieendowment.or...
carnegieendowment.org
BRICS Expansion and the Future of World Order: Perspectives from Member States, Partners, and Aspirants
The potential of BRICS members and partner countries to fulfill their individual aspirations via BRICS hinges on what vision of the future of world order ultimately wins out within BRICS.
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Sinan Ulgen @sinanulgen.bsky.social · 05/04/2025
ABD yönetimine yakın iktisatçılar tarafından yapılan açıklamalara bakıldığında, bu "dahiyane" metodolojinin ABD'nin ticaret açığı verdiği HERBİR ülke ile ticaretinin dengelenmesi amacına matuf olduğu anlaşılmakta.
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Sinan Ulgen @sinanulgen.bsky.social · 05/04/2025
Öte yandan AB ile koordinasyon da önemli. AB misilleme listesini hazırlıyor. Komisyon Pazartesi günü Konseye onay için sunacak.
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Sinan Ulgen @sinanulgen.bsky.social · 05/04/2025
Kısa dönemde, ABD'ye misilleme yapılması bir olasılık. Yani ABD'nin Türkiye'ye ihracat yaptığı bazı ürün gruplarına telafi edici ilave vergiler getirilecektir. Geçmişte ABD'nin demir çelik ihracatımıza getirdiği ilave vergilerde, bu yöntem uygulandı.
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Sinan Ulgen @sinanulgen.bsky.social · 05/04/2025
ABD tarifeleri açıklandı. Bu durumda Türkiye ne yapmalı sorusuna da yanıt aramak lazım. Açıkçası kısa dönem ve uzun dönemde strateji farklı olması lazım.
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Sinan Ulgen @sinanulgen.bsky.social · 05/04/2025
Yetismis insan kaynagi guclu olan ABD kurumsal sisteminin uygulanacak ilave tarifeler için ortaokul terk ogrenci seviyesinde formul gelistirip, bunu da dunyaya empoze etme cabasi gercekten acikli.
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Sinan Ulgen @sinanulgen.bsky.social · 02/04/2025
How do BRICS members, partners, and aspirants see the organization? A helpful summary by @CarnegieEndow, with a small contribution by yours truly on Turkish perspectives. @carnegieendowment.org carnegieendowment.org/research/202...
carnegieendowment.org
BRICS Expansion and the Future of World Order: Perspectives from Member States, Partners, and Aspirants
The potential of BRICS members and partner countries to fulfill their individual aspirations via BRICS hinges on what vision of the future of world order ultimately wins out within BRICS.
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Reposted by Sinan Ulgen
Carnegie Europe @carnegieeurope.bsky.social · 27/03/2025
The Trump administration's decision to impose #tariffs increases the likelihood of retaliatory measures & global #trade wars. As a major economic force, the EU's response will impact the stability of the global trading system, writes @sinanulgen.bsky.social. carnegieendowment.org/europe/strat...
carnegieendowment.org
Navigating the Looming Trade War: Options for the EU
The Trump administration’s decision to impose tariffs increases the likelihood of retaliatory measures and global trade wars. The response of the EU, as a major economic force, will have a significant...
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Rosa Balfour @rosabalfour.bsky.social · 14/02/2025
Chuffed that @munsecconf.bsky.social big report #Multipolarization shortlists @carnegieeurope.bsky.social publications - in the good company of @sinanulgen.bsky.social @RichardYoungs - third year in a row
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Sinan Ulgen @sinanulgen.bsky.social · 09/02/2025
ABD 'nin nükleer konulardaki bilimsel merkezlerinden Lawrence Livermore laboratuvarının düşünce kuruluşunun Orta Doğu'da nükleer dengeye ilişkin yaptığı yayında Türkiye başlığını kaleme aldım. Türkiye nükleer silahlanmaya gider mi ? cgsr.llnl.gov/sites/cgsr/f...
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Sinan Ulgen @sinanulgen.bsky.social · 09/02/2025
Are you interested in nuclear deterrence and non-proliferation with a focus on the Middle East ? Read this new publication by the Center for Global Security Research at the Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory. With my chapter on Türkiye. cgsr.llnl.gov/sites/cgsr/f...
cgsr.llnl.gov
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Steven Everts @sbeverts.bsky.social · 07/02/2025
Europe has a problem with permitting to get big new infrastructure projects in place. But this case from the UK takes it to a whole new level:
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Sinan Ulgen @sinanulgen.bsky.social · 06/02/2025
@edamorg.bsky.social 2025 yılı beklentiler raporunda ben de Trump'ın bizi nasıl bir dünyaya sürüklediğini yazmıştım. Ticaret savaşları, Filistin konusunda yaşanması muhtemel görüş ayrılıkları vs. 5 soruda 2. Trump döneminde Türk-Amerikan ilişkileri www.edam.org.tr/dis-politika...
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Sinan Ulgen @sinanulgen.bsky.social · 06/02/2025
@rusencakir.bsky.social ile Trump'ın dünyayı nereye sürüklediğini konuştuk. Ticaret savaşları başta olmak üzere. medyascope.tv/2025/02/04/t...
medyascope.tv
Tüm yönleriyle Trump'ın başlattığı ticaret savaşları | Sinan Ülgen değerlendirdi - Medyascope
Ruşen Çakır ve Sinan Ülgen tüm yönleriyle Trump'ın başlattığı ticaret savaşının etkilerini yorumladı.
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Sinan Ulgen @sinanulgen.bsky.social · 06/02/2025
Nevsin Mengu ile yapay zeka ekonomisi ve jeopolitigini konustuk. #DeepSeek de ele aldik. youtu.be/h-VNVpfR7Ck?...
youtu.be
Nedir bu Deepseek? Yapay Zekada Çin ABD’yi geçti mi?
YouTube video by Nevşin Mengü
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Nathalie Tocci @nathalietocci.bsky.social · 29/01/2025
Europe Can’t Wishcast Away What Trump Means for Ukraine Policy. My column for World Politics Review www.worldpoliticsreview.com/ukraine-war-...
worldpoliticsreview.com
Europe Can’t Wishcast Away What Trump Means for Ukraine Policy
Many Europeans are latching onto wishful thinking about how Trump will address the war in Ukraine, instead of preparing for more realistic scenarios.
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Tolga Demiryol @tolgademiryol.bsky.social · 27/01/2025
An excellent read by the always insightful @sinanulgen.bsky.social
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Sinan Ulgen @sinanulgen.bsky.social · 27/01/2025
Our interactions with LLMs will increasingly shape our knowledge of the world. In the field of international relations, LLMs will provide their input based on their sometimes fabricated world view or biases. What can go wrong? I have tested them. @carnegieendowment.org @carnegieeurope.bsky.social
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Çağdaş Üngör @cagdasungor.bsky.social · 20/01/2025
Oooops.
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Sinan Ulgen @sinanulgen.bsky.social · 20/01/2025
Top European basketball teams as of Jan 2025. Men and women. The same team is number 1 in both categories. #Fenerbahçe
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Çağdaş Üngör @cagdasungor.bsky.social · 12/01/2025
Adam dünyanın en kuzeyinde, karlar altında yaşayan sakin kasabalıların bile huzurunu kaçırdı :)
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Sinan Ulgen @sinanulgen.bsky.social · 23/12/2024
The one where I am explaining why SDF and all other weapons carrying factions in Syria are to be disarmed. The monopoly of violence must belong exclusively to the state. No surprises there. @bbcworldservice archive.org/details/BBCN...
archive.org
BBC News : BBCNEWS : December 23, 2024 5:00am-5:31am GMT : Free Borrow & Streaming : Internet Archive
The latest news from the BBC. [S]
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Ruşen Çakır @rusencakir.bsky.social · 23/12/2024
Yeni Suriye ve "bölgesel güç" olarak Türkiye (VİDEO) medyascope.tv/2024/12/23/y... @sinanulgen.bsky.social
medyascope.tv
Ruşen Çakır ve Kadri Gürsel ile Hafta Başı (15) - Sinan Ülgen değerlendirdi: Yeni Suriye ve "bölgesel güç" olarak Türkiye - Medyascope
Ruşen Çakır, Kadri Gürsel ve Sinan Ülgen son gelişmeleri yorumladı.
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Sinan Ulgen @sinanulgen.bsky.social · 23/12/2024
I spoke to @bbcnews-world-rss.bsky.social Newsday this morning on the situation in Syria and Turkey's role. www.bbc.co.uk/sounds/play/...
bbc.co.uk
Newsday - Syria's new leader to bring all weapons under state control - BBC Sounds
Ahmed al-Sharaa says armed factions would be incorporated into the army
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Sinan Ulgen @sinanulgen.bsky.social · 19/12/2024
Very timely analysis on Syria sanctions @agathedemarais.bsky.social . I agree with the need for a staged approach. And a possible linkage to democratic progress. But the milestones should be clear.
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Sinan Ulgen @sinanulgen.bsky.social · 12/12/2024
Across the Middle East, the removal of strongmen has generally produced violent chaos, not stable and inclusive governance. Can Syria get it right? My @projectsyndicate.bsky.social oped with Charles Kupchan www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/m...
project-syndicate.org
Rebuilding Syria After Assad | by Charles A. Kupchan & Sinan Ülgen - Project Syndicate
Charles A. Kupchan & Sinan Ülgen say that Syrians themselves must do the hard work, but multilateral assistance has an important role to play.
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Sinan Ulgen @sinanulgen.bsky.social · 11/12/2024
"Hope must be tempered by caution. Across the Middle East, the removal of strongmen has generally produced violent chaos, not stable and inclusive governance. Syria’s diverse population could easily fall prey to the politics of ethnic and sectarian division."
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Sinan Ulgen @sinanulgen.bsky.social · 11/12/2024
My @projectsyndicate.bsky.social oped with Charles Kupchan on the first order priorities in Syria. Assad’s fall has created an opportunity for the reconstruction of a key Arab state. Yet the stabilization record of post-conflict societies in the ME is littered with failure. bit.ly/3ZOSldd
project-syndicate.org
Rebuilding Syria After Assad | by Charles A. Kupchan & Sinan Ülgen - Project Syndicate
Charles A. Kupchan & Sinan Ülgen say that Syrians themselves must do the hard work, but multilateral assistance has an important role to play.
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Açıkça Etraflıca @acikcaetraflica.bsky.social · 06/12/2024
📌 Tarihsel, arkeolojik bağlamı bir kenara bırakıp Noel Baba konusunda kim, neye inanıyor diye bakarsak, rivayet muhtelif. 🙂
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Sinan Ulgen @sinanulgen.bsky.social · 06/12/2024
As Christmas season is approaching big news from Turkiye. Sarcophagus possibly belonging to St Nicholas unearthed in his original church in Demre near Antalya.
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Evren Balta @evreki.bsky.social · 03/12/2024
Güç geçişi döneminde küresel güney ve Türkiye'nin ilişkisini @mustafakutlay.bsky.social @senemaydndzgit.bsky.social @sinanulgen.bsky.social ve @selimkuneralp ile birlikte konuştuk. Makaleyi okumanızı şiddetle öneririm, yayının kaydını da hazır olunca paylaşacağım. www.tusiad.org/tr/yayinlar/...
tusiad.org
TÜSİAD Küresel Siyaset Forumu Makale Dizisi No: 7 - “21. Yüzyılı Kazanmak”: Güç Geçişleri Döneminde Küresel Güney ve Türkiye
Yazar: Doç. Dr. Mustafa Kutlay
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