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CBI Economics

@cbieconomics.bsky.social
312 followers 495 following 634 posts

Posts from the economics directorate of the CBI. Follow us for updates and analysis on the UK economy, tax & fiscal policy, our business surveys, and consulting projects.

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CBI Economics @cbieconomics.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
Here are the key UK economic data releases and events for this week
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CBI Economics @cbieconomics.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
How are rising energy prices shaping UK interest rate decisions? CBI Deputy Chief Economist @AlpeshPaleja looks at this in our latest Economy in Brief 🔒 www.cbi.org.uk/articles/eco...
cbi.org.uk
Economy in brief: October 2026 | CBI
Your monthly overview of the major trends impacting the UK’s main business sectors, from the CBI's Deputy Chief Economist Alpesh Paleja.
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Reposted by CBI Economics
Martin Sartorius @martinsartorius.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
Conditions in the UK FS sector showed signs of stabilising in Q3. Check out the results of our latest FSS 👇
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CBI Economics @cbieconomics.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
For a more detailed look at the September Financial Services Survey data, check out our press release 👇 www.cbi.org.uk/media-centre...
cbi.org.uk
Financial services conditions show signs of stabilising in Q3 - CBI Financial Services Survey | CBI
Financial services conditions show signs of stabilising in Q3 - CBI Financial Services Survey
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CBI Economics @cbieconomics.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
FS firms expect to increase investment in land & buildings and IT over the next twelve months (compared to the previous twelve), while capex on vehicles, plant & machinery is set to decline.
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CBI Economics @cbieconomics.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
Headcount in FS grew quickly over the three months to September. Firms expect to expand headcount at a more moderate pace in the next three months.
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CBI Economics @cbieconomics.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
Sentiment among FS firms fell at a modest rate in the three months to September.
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CBI Economics @cbieconomics.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
Business volumes in the financial services sector fell at a modest pace in the three months to September, following a rapid decline in Q2, according to the latest CBI Financial Services Survey. Firms expect volumes to be broadly flat next quarter.
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CBI Economics @cbieconomics.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Here are the key UK economic data releases for this week
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CBI Economics @cbieconomics.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Our Deputy Chief Economist @alpeshpaleja.bsky.social said “Against the backdrop of renewed fiscal pressures, the Budget must draw a red line under any more rises in the cost of hiring, investing and doing business” 🔗 To learn more, click here: www.cbi.org.uk/media-centre...
cbi.org.uk
Growth outlook remains negative for the rest of 2026 – CBI Growth Indicator | CBI
Growth outlook remains negative for the rest of 2026 – CBI Growth Indicator
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CBI Economics @cbieconomics.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
💸 Selling price pressures have eased to pre war lows Selling price expectations for the next quarter have eased to their lowest since November 2025.
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CBI Economics @cbieconomics.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
[Figures shown are net balances – the percentage of firms expecting an increase in output/activity, minus those expecting a decrease]
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CBI Economics @cbieconomics.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
📊But across sectors, expectations generally remain less negative than earlier this year Manufacturing: -6% Business & professional services: -10% Consumer services: -12% Distribution: -34%
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CBI Economics @cbieconomics.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
📉 GROWTH OUTLOOK REMAINS NEGATIVE FOR THE REST OF 2026 Firms expect activity to decline in the three months to December, extending a period of negative predictions that have persisted since late 2024.
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CBI Economics @cbieconomics.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
For a more detailed look at the September Distributive Trades Survey and @martinsartorius.bsky.social's view of the results, check out our press release 👇 www.cbi.org.uk/media-centre...
cbi.org.uk
Retail conditions deteriorate further in September 2026 - CBI Distributive Trades Survey | CBI
Retail conditions deteriorate further in September 2026 - CBI Distributive Trades Survey
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Reposted by CBI Economics
Martin Sartorius @martinsartorius.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
UK retailers reported a steep fall in annual sales volumes in September, with some firms attributing the deterioration to poor consumer sentiment. 🧵 of results 👇
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CBI Economics @cbieconomics.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
Total distribution sales volumes (across retail, wholesale, and motor trades) fell at a faster rate in the year to September. Sales are expected to contract at a slightly slower pace next month.
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CBI Economics @cbieconomics.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
Retail orders placed upon suppliers fell in the year to September at the quickest pace on survey record (since 1983). The rate of decline is set to remain similarly rapid in October.
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CBI Economics @cbieconomics.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
Online retail sales volumes dropped in the year to September at the fastest rate since October 2023. Internet sales volumes are expected to fall at the same pace next month.
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CBI Economics @cbieconomics.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
Retailers separately judged September’s sales to be below seasonal norms, to a greater extent than last month. October’s sales are set to disappoint to a similar degree.
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CBI Economics @cbieconomics.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
Retail sales volumes fell at a steeper pace in the year to September, according to the latest CBI Distributive Trades Survey. Retailers anticipate that sales will decline at a strong, albeit slower, rate next month.
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Reposted by CBI Economics
Julian Jessop @julianhjessop.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
Some welcome good news from manufacturing 🫰 @cbieconomics.bsky.social's latest Industrial Trends Survey shows a further improvement in order books, though this is perhaps best described as "stabilisation" rather than "recovery". (ps. the flash PMI is out tomorrow) www.cbi.org.uk/media-centre...
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CBI Economics @cbieconomics.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
CBI Senior Economist @thecmartin.bsky.social said “there are growing signs that conditions are stabilising for manufacturers” To learn more, read our press release here: www.cbi.org.uk/media-centre...
cbi.org.uk
Order books strengthen and output decline eases – CBI Industrial Trends | CBI
Order books strengthen and output decline eases – CBI Industrial Trends
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CBI Economics @cbieconomics.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
Stocks of finished goods were reported as adequate in September, but the balance stood at its lowest since April 2024 and below the long-run average.
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CBI Economics @cbieconomics.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
Expectations for selling price inflation eased in September, though remain slightly above historical norms.
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CBI Economics @cbieconomics.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
Output volumes fell in the quarter to September, at the slowest pace since the quarter to July 2025. Manufacturers expect output volumes to fall again, at a slow pace, in the quarter to December.
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CBI Economics @cbieconomics.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
The latest CBI Industrial Trends Survey found that total manufacturing order books improved in September. Total order books were reported as below normal to the smallest extent since July 2023.
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CBI Economics @cbieconomics.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
Here are the key UK economic data releases and events for this week
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CBI Economics @cbieconomics.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
August’s recovery was led by a bounce back in non-store retailing, following a fall in July. This more than offset a fall in fuel sales, with retailers highlighting a change in consumer habits (i.e. partially filling their tanks) as a result higher fuel prices.
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CBI Economics @cbieconomics.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
#Retail sales volumes grew by 0.5% m/m in August, surpassing analysts’ expectations and reversing a 0.5% decline in July. While easing slightly, underlying momentum remains firm, with volumes rising by 0.9% in the three months to August.
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Reposted by CBI Economics
Martin Sartorius @martinsartorius.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
Higher fuel prices caused inflation to accelerate to 3.1% in August. We expect that increased energy costs and some passthrough to domestic prices will further push up inflation over the months ahead
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CBI Economics @cbieconomics.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
“We expect that increased energy costs and some passthrough to domestic prices will further push up inflation over the months ahead.” Read @martinsartorius.bsky.social's response to the data and what they could mean for interest rates: www.cbi.org.uk/media-centre...
cbi.org.uk
CBI responds to latest inflation data for August 2026 | CBI
CBI responds to latest inflation data for August 2026
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CBI Economics @cbieconomics.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
August’s inflation acceleration was led by a sharp rise in motor fuels costs. This reflected an increase in the average price of petrol to its highest level since November 2022, spurred by escalating tensions in the Middle East.
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CBI Economics @cbieconomics.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
UK CPI #inflation rose to 3.1% in August (from 2.9% in July), in line with consensus expectations. Core CPI inflation (excl. energy, food, alcohol, and tobacco) held steady at 2.6%, for the fourth consecutive month.
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CBI Economics @cbieconomics.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
Here are the key UK economic data releases and events for this week
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CBI Economics @cbieconomics.bsky.social · 11/09/2026
“The economy has proved more resilient to the fallout from the Middle East conflict than initially seemed likely, but the second half of the year looks a bit more challenging” said Ben Jones, CBI Senior Lead Economist. To read our full response, click here: www.cbi.org.uk/media-centre...
cbi.org.uk
CBI responds to GDP data for July 2026 | CBI
CBI responds to GDP data for July 2026
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CBI Economics @cbieconomics.bsky.social · 11/09/2026
Growth was driven by increased services output, whereas activity in the construction and production sectors fell.
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CBI Economics @cbieconomics.bsky.social · 11/09/2026
UK GDP rose by 0.4% in the three months to July, matching growth of 0.4% in the three months to June. This leaves GDP 1.6% higher than in July 2025. GDP grew 0.4% in the month of July, beating consensus estimates of no growth.
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CBI Economics @cbieconomics.bsky.social · 07/09/2026
Here are the key UK economic data releases for this week
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CBI Economics @cbieconomics.bsky.social · 03/09/2026
What’s driving the UK economy’s recent resilience and improving productivity? How do these sit alongside another bout of volatility in global bond markets? Deputy Chief Economist @alpeshpaleja.bsky.social explores this in our latest Economy in Brief 🔒 www.cbi.org.uk/articles/eco...
cbi.org.uk
Economy in brief: September 2026 | CBI
Your monthly overview of the major trends impacting the UK’s main business sectors, from the CBI's Deputy Chief Economist Alpesh Paleja.
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CBI Economics @cbieconomics.bsky.social · 01/09/2026
Here are the key UK economic data releases and events for this week
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CBI Economics @cbieconomics.bsky.social · 01/09/2026
Our Deputy Chief Economist @alpeshpaleja.bsky.social said “our surveys paint a picture of a tentative move towards stabilisation, rather than strong, sustained growth.” 🔗 To learn more, click here: www.cbi.org.uk/media-centre...
cbi.org.uk
Pessimism fades, but momentum still weak ahead of Budget – CBI Growth Indicator | CBI
Pessimism fades, but momentum still weak ahead of Budget – CBI Growth Indicator
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CBI Economics @cbieconomics.bsky.social · 01/09/2026
[Figures shown are net balances – the percentage of firms expecting an increase in output/activity, minus those expecting a decrease]
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CBI Economics @cbieconomics.bsky.social · 01/09/2026
📊There are tentative signs of stabilisation across some sub-sectors • Business & professional services: -3% • Manufacturing: -7% • Distribution: -21% • Consumer services: -31%
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CBI Economics @cbieconomics.bsky.social · 01/09/2026
📉 PRIVATE SECTOR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO FALL AGAIN, BUT THE OUTLOOK IS LESS WEAK Firms expect activity to decline in the three months to November, but expectations are now the least negative since November 2024
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CBI Economics @cbieconomics.bsky.social · 27/08/2026
Gas restocking ahead of the winter is adding upward pressure to natural gas prices, as the supply disruption in the Strait of Hormuz persists. Our latest blog covers what’s happened with prices and what risks lurk ahead of winter. 🔒 www.cbi.org.uk/articles/nat...
cbi.org.uk
Natural gas prices: turning up the heat ahead of winter | CBI
UK natural gas prices have risen sharply this year due to the Iran conflict, although they remain well below their 2022 peak.
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CBI Economics @cbieconomics.bsky.social · 27/08/2026
For more detail on the latest Service Sector Survey, check out our press release 👇 www.cbi.org.uk/media-centre...
cbi.org.uk
Services selling prices grow at fastest pace since May 2025 - CBI Service Sector Survey | CBI
Services selling prices grow at fastest pace since May 2025 - CBI Service Sector Survey
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CBI Economics @cbieconomics.bsky.social · 27/08/2026
Employment contracted in the quarter to August, with the rate of decline quickening in consumer services but slowing in business & professional services. Next quarter, employment is set to stabilise in business & professional services and fall at a similar rate in consumer services.
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CBI Economics @cbieconomics.bsky.social · 27/08/2026
Despite an uptick in selling price growth, cost pressures still outweighed prices, causing profitability to fall further in the three months to August. Next quarter, profits at set to drop at similar paces.
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CBI Economics @cbieconomics.bsky.social · 27/08/2026
Cost pressures remained elevated across the service sector last quarter, causing firms to raise prices at the quickest rate since May 2025 in both sub-sectors. Next quarter, price growth is set to ease in business & professional services and steady in consumer services.
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