iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Cathal Walsh @cathalwalsh.bsky.social · 28/12/2025

Excellent, Dame Maggie - and good discussion on the statistical likelihood of other life out there toward the end … certainly looking forward to the next chapter tomorrow …

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Ian M. Mackay, PhD (he/him) 🦠🤧🧬📑🦟🧀 @mackayim.bsky.social · 15/11/2025

"..the first known human H5N5 infection has captured a good deal of attention, but the `other' flu story we've been following this week has been the rapid spread of a new seasonal H3N2 subcade (K) virus, which emerged in the Southern Hemisphere" afludiary.blogspot.com/2025/11/cdc-...

afludiary.blogspot.com

CDC FluView, ECDC CDT & Canada Announce Early H3N2 Subclade K Prevalence Numbers

Credit NIAID #18,947 Yesterday's announcement for the first known human H5N5 infection has captured a good deal of attention, but the `ot...

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Dr David Robert Grimes @drg.bsky.social · 30/09/2025

If you're a clinician or researcher in Ireland feeling a little overwhelmed by statistics, join myself & @cathalwalsh.bsky.social on 11th October in SJH for a 6-credit CPD Essential Medical Statistics, where we'll demystify things together. Tickets here! www.eventbrite.ie/e/essential-...

eventbrite.ie

Essential Medical Statistics and Evidence Appraisal

Learn how to interpret and apply essential medical statistics and evidence in a practical and engaging way at our upcoming event!

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Cathal Walsh @cathalwalsh.bsky.social · 13/08/2025

@bromptonbicycle.bsky.social ir todos los días incluso por el camino español

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Cathal Walsh @cathalwalsh.bsky.social · 02/08/2025

This is outrageous but not without precedent ‘Stick to your principles and to the rules at all times. Never compromise. If you compromise in anything, you will not feel well with yourself, and it will create a liability that will come back to haunt you.’ rss.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10....

rss.onlinelibrary.wiley.com

Royal Statistical Society Publications

Andreas Georgiou arrived in Greece to help repair the poor reputation of the country's economic statistics. But he was soon defending his own reputation against charges of damaging the Greek state.

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Kyle Griffin @kylegriffin1.bsky.social · 01/08/2025

Leader Schumer: "What does a bad leader do when they get bad news? Shoot the messenger. That's just what happened with the head of the Bureau of Labor Statistics."

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Anders Åslund @andersaslund.bsky.social · 01/08/2025

It is very unfortunate that the US will no longer have any reliable federal statistics until Trump is gone. Even the best private job statistics, ADP, tends to be far off from the more comprehensive Bureau of Labor Statistics numbers. These statistics cannot be privatized.

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Republicans Against Trumpism @rpsagainsttrump.bsky.social · 01/08/2025

🚨 Trump is demanding the firing of the Commissioner of Labor Statistics, Erika McEntarfer, because the jobs report was bad. When you can’t rig the numbers, fire the messenger. Classic authoritarian move.

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Ron Filipkowski @ronfilipkowski.bsky.social · 01/08/2025

The head of the Bureau of Labor Statistics during Trump’s first admin.

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Our World in Data @ourworldindata.org · 31/07/2025

How does the risk of death change as we age?

Age-specific mortality in the US, broken down by diseases and external causes, using data from the CDC Wonder between 2018 and 2021.

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Marion Campbell @marionkcampbell.bsky.social · 21/07/2025

We often now hear the term “Bayesian borrowing” in trials. But what is Bayesian borrowing and what are the pros and cons around its use? 1/6 #MethodologyMonday #122

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Hetan Shah @hetanshah.bsky.social · 18/07/2025

We’ve all been in meetings like this on.ft.com/3GS1Ykp

On the eve of the proposal, von der Leyen's own budget commissioner Piotr Serafin, who is tasked with selling the significantly enlarged budget to EU capitals, had "no clue" of the complex formula that would determine how much each country would receive, according to a person involved in the discussions.
Despite other commissioners making pleas for advanced notice of the budget breakdown, they were only given final figures of their funding in the minutes before a meeting scheduled to sign it off.
That meeting started four hours later than scheduled.

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Cathal Walsh @cathalwalsh.bsky.social · 05/07/2025

But, look, he is speaking publicly, and they are saying nothing to him. Do the authorities really know that this is the Christ?

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Cathal Walsh @cathalwalsh.bsky.social · 29/06/2025

Nice commentary @stephensenn.bsky.social - needs as much attention as the original article!

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Stephen Senn @stephensenn.bsky.social · 28/06/2025

www.linkedin.com/pulse/twin-p...?

linkedin.com

Twin Piques

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Thomas Lumley @tslumley.bsky.social · 19/06/2025

XKCD has a Tukey quote for Tukey's 110th birthday xkcd.com/3104/ Many of his specific inventions have been made obsolete over time, but he was a major contributor to data analysis and visualisation being serious and respectable parts of statistics research

xkcd.com

Tukey

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Cathal Walsh @cathalwalsh.bsky.social · 16/06/2025

Does anyone else have problems with CAPTCHAs? Is the back of a traffic light not a traffic light? We live in a world where Completely Automated Public Turing tests tell Computers and Humans Apart but don’t!

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Cathal Walsh @cathalwalsh.bsky.social · 13/05/2025

What’s the evidence base here anyone know? And what are the regulatory aspects? It’s a curious ad I’ve seen a few times in a number of places.

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Darren Dahly @statsepi.bsky.social · 10/05/2025

I cannot fucking cope with this world of bullshitters.

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Adam Kucharski @adamjkucharski.bsky.social · 09/05/2025

“Lots of good statistical methods make use of two models… Perhaps, rather than trying to systematize all statistical learning into a single inferential framework, we would be better off embracing our twoishness” statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2011/06/20/t... via @seabbs.bsky.social

statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu

The pervasive twoishness of statistics; in particular, the “sampling distribution” and the “likelihood” are two different models, and that’s a good thing | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and...

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Darren Dahly @statsepi.bsky.social · 22/04/2025

It is not only ok for you to say when you don't understand something, it's critical. Experts know their limits, almost by definition. Novices get swept up in hype.

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Cathal Walsh @cathalwalsh.bsky.social · 11/04/2025

Great quote David - ‘No amount of computation can compensate for ignorance!’

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Darren Dahly @statsepi.bsky.social · 08/04/2025

Many moons again, @cathalwalsh.bsky.social, @philipnolanmu.bsky.social, myself and others worked with the Irish Health Protection Surveillance Centre to create a permanent modelling and biostatistics unit. They are now advertising jobs for that unit. 88-110k. Perm FT about.hse.ie/jobs/job-sea...

about.hse.ie

Statistician Senior NRS14677

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Hetan Shah @hetanshah.bsky.social · 07/04/2025

Easy to miss bit of good news tucked away today - Govt is working with @wellcometrust.bsky.social to create a national health data service to simplify research - as recommended in the Sudlow review (see previous linked posts) on.ft.com/4ljJcBN

on.ft.com

Keir Starmer pledges centralised service for researchers to mine health data

Announcement follows recommendation in UK government-commissioned review last year

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Cathal Walsh @cathalwalsh.bsky.social · 05/04/2025

Wow - was just discussing this now at home when pouring the tea! (Milk in first of course for me.)

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Will Lowe @conjugateprior.org · 03/04/2025

[quietly flips safety and moves finger towards Modus Tollens]

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Darren Dahly @statsepi.bsky.social · 30/03/2025

Finally, it's here. Thanks to everyone who has registered. We are really looking forward to seeing you all tomorrow.

Title slide for the HRB Clinical Research Facility UCC 2025 Symposium.

Investigator-Led Clinical Trials in Ireland:
Finding Statistical Supports Today, Building Capacity for Tomorrow

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Cathal Walsh @cathalwalsh.bsky.social · 30/03/2025

A great day for the short game in the oldest pitch and putt course in the World …

The third tee box of the oldest pitch and putt club in the world with a ball ready to shoot off onto the green.

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LF Lightning-Barugh @cheeseford.bsky.social · 30/03/2025

If you're not doing alt-text on images, you're missing the huge amount of fun that you could be having with it.

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Julia M. Rohrer @dingdingpeng.the100.ci · 30/03/2025

Fascinating article about a cluster of ALS cases. If you think about it, this is a situation in which the researchers skimmed a large number of variables and identified a correlate which is then considered the potential cause.> H/t @scientificdiscovery.dev www.theatlantic.com/health/archi...

theatlantic.com

An ‘Impossible’ Disease Outbreak in the Alps

In one tiny town, more than a dozen people were diagnosed with the rare neurodegenerative disease ALS. Why?

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National Office of Clinical Audit (NOCA) @noca-irl.bsky.social · 25/03/2025

Dr Mary Walsh launches the HipFORESST Project- 'Hip Fracture Outcome Recording – Empowering, Supporting and Sustaining Teams’. Funded by HRB, the project delivered 2 new resources co-designed with patients & partners incl. Age & Opportunity, Sage Advocacy and NOCA. #HipFORGE @marywalsh14.bsky.social

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dwmalone.bsky.social @dwmalone.bsky.social · 21/03/2025

Since @hankgreen.bsky.social is in Dublin and mentioned the "over my dead body" story in TCD, I though I would redo my thread on women in TCD. A lot of this is in the book "A Danger to Men?", and particularly Lucinda Thomson's excellent chapter.

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Hetan Shah @hetanshah.bsky.social · 21/03/2025

Turns out there is first mover advantage if you are a university nearly going bust www.researchprofessionalnews.com/rr-news-uk-u...

The £22 million bailout given to the University of Dundee leaves a "completely irrelevant" amount of emergency funding in the pot from which the rest of Scotland's universities can draw, a former university principal has said.
The Scottish Funding Council announced on 20
March that it had approved a £22m support package for Dundee, comprising a mix of low-cost loans and capital grant funding. The money has been drawn from a £25m pot provided by the Scottish government, meaning just £3m, or 12 per cent, remains to be allocated. There are
19 universities in Scotland.

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Ben Collins @bencollins.bsky.social · 19/03/2025

A big part of the problem is stupid people have been convinced by rich people that AI is God, when AI is closer to an automatic dog food dispenser.

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Dr David Robert Grimes @drg.bsky.social · 19/03/2025

If you're interested in statistics and evidence appraisal, @cathalwalsh.bsky.social and I are running this course in @trinitycollegeuoft.bsky.social next Thursday on Essential biostatistics - 6 CPD RCPI points, all interested clinicians and researchers welcome! www.tcd.ie/medicine/edu...

tcd.ie

Essential Medical Statistics and Evidence Appraisal - Medicine | Trinity College DublinmenusearchSearchmenu

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Andy Garrett @andygarrett.bsky.social · 14/02/2025

Access to reliable data and statistics is important to inform - and to enable the public to hold governments and other bodies to account on climate change (and their responses to it). This guide is predominantly aimed at navigating the UK’s data landscape while also extending out globally.

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Brendan Murphy @tbmurphy.bsky.social · 05/03/2025

Attempt one at adapting an idea I saw during the week to explain some different likelihood-based tests.

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Cathal Walsh @cathalwalsh.bsky.social · 27/02/2025

Relatable! That or a sudden pressure to change your password, while projected in front of a packed classroom!

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Rosy Favicchio @rosyf.bsky.social · 27/02/2025

2/11: I grew up in a small town in Southern Italy in the 80s. Even though the measles vaccine was available at the time (measles vaccine was recommended in Italy for children >15 months in 1979), this didn't trickle down to our local healthcare provider. I was not vaccinated.

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Royal Statistical Society @royalstatsoc.bsky.social · 26/02/2025

The Royal Statistical Society isn’t just for statisticians – we also support data analysts and data scientists. Join today and get involved: rss.org.uk/membership/j...

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Cathal Walsh @cathalwalsh.bsky.social · 18/02/2025

Excellent example @adamjkucharski.bsky.social - and access to Epiverse makes this easier to understand and examine different scenarios. ‘Or parallel epiverses?’ even!

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Dermot Lynott @dermotlynott.bsky.social · 11/02/2025

SPOTTED: Check and balances on the US constitution

Mountain bike chained to a wooden bollard, where the chain could easily be slipped over the top, freeing the bike

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Dorothy Bishop @deevybee.bsky.social · 11/02/2025

Love this quote by Jacob Bronowski about the idealised view of the scholar. Then I think about Elon Musk, FRS

"... they do not make wild claims, they do not cheat, they do not try to persuade at any cost, they appeal neither to prejudice nor to authority, they are often frank about their ignorance, their disputes are fairly decorous, they do not confuse what is being argued with race, politics, sex or age, they listen patiently to the young and to the old who both know everything. These are the general virtues of scholarship, and they are particularly the virtues of science".

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