Sign in

Emanuele Bevacqua

@bevacquae.bsky.social
1.1K followers 580 following 44 posts

Climate scientist • Physicist • Group leader @ufz_de • Compound weather/climate extreme events • 🎨 • ❄️ • he/him

PostsRepliesMedia
Emanuele Bevacqua @bevacquae.bsky.social · 24/04/2026
📄🌽 New study led by @sifangfeng.bsky.social In model simulations, low production in major breadbaskets worldwide does not systematically co-occur to produce global crop failures. But, climate change is expected to increase concurrent extremes across breadbaskets, favouring global-scale events.
sciencedirect.com
The influence of spatial correlations in crop production on global crop failures in model simulations
Spatial correlation between climate variables may modulate concurrent regional crop failures and reduce global crop production. However, the influence…
130
Emanuele Bevacqua @bevacquae.bsky.social · 20/04/2026
📄🔥 New study on Spatially compounding fire danger in Europe, led by E. Gauthier. We often view extreme fire weather locally—but what if multiple European countries face it simultaneously, potentially overwhelming shared firefighting resources via widespread fires? www.nature.com/articles/s44...
nature.com
Human-induced climate change intensifies spatially compounding fire weather extremes across European countries - npj Natural Hazards
npj Natural Hazards - Human-induced climate change intensifies spatially compounding fire weather extremes across European countries
12613
Reposted by Emanuele Bevacqua
UFZ @ufz.de · 26/03/2026
Extreme Klimafolgen sind auch bei 2 Grad Erwärmung möglich! Das zeigt eine Studie von #UFZ et al. Bislang wurden extreme Klimafolgen oft mit sehr hohen globalen Erwärmungsniveaus von 3 oder 4°C in Verbindung gebracht... @zscheischlerjak.bsky.social @bevacquae.bsky.social www.ufz.de/index.php?de...
Ernteausfälle durch Dürre ©André Künzelmann UFZ
0198
Emanuele Bevacqua @bevacquae.bsky.social · 25/03/2026
Great coverage by @ayeshatandon.carbonbrief.org at Carbon Brief on our new study about extreme global climate outcomes.
030
Emanuele Bevacqua @bevacquae.bsky.social · 25/03/2026
Here is a great News & Views article by Rachel Warren discussing our recent work: www.nature.com/articles/d41... @natureportfolio.nature.com
nature.com
Extreme climate outcomes could still occur with just 2 °C of global warming
Moderate global warming creates a risk of climate impacts that are more severe than the most-likely impacts of high global warming.
051
Emanuele Bevacqua @bevacquae.bsky.social · 25/03/2026
In a new Nature study, we show that extreme global climate outcomes may occur even under moderate 2°C warming for several sectors. The findings reinforce the urgency of limiting warming well below 2°C. Together with @erichfischer.bsky.social @janasillmann.bsky.social @zscheischlerjak.bsky.social
nature.com
Moderate global warming does not rule out extreme global climate outcomes - Nature
Extreme global climate outcomes may occur even under moderate 2 °C warming and may turn out to be more extreme than model-averaged projections at 3 °C or 4 °C warming.
19854
Emanuele Bevacqua @bevacquae.bsky.social · 10/03/2026
🔥 PhD position alert ➡️ We are looking for a PhD candidate interested in studying spatially compounding fire risk and its drivers under climate change. Details & applications👇 recruitingapp-5128.de.umantis.com/Vacancies/33...
recruitingapp-5128.de.umantis.com
PhD Researcher (f/m/x) – Spatially compounding fire weather extremes across Europe in a changing climate
064
Reposted by Emanuele Bevacqua
Jakob Zscheischler @zscheischlerjak.bsky.social · 29/08/2025
Our new study on how large floods will change in Europe under climate change, led by @bfang.bsky.social, with @bevacquae.bsky.social
1206
Emanuele Bevacqua @bevacquae.bsky.social · 16/07/2025
Indeed, it was a pleasure to contribute to this course with content on extreme events, climate change, and attribution science. Now it’s time for the examination! :)
020
Reposted by Emanuele Bevacqua
sifangfeng.bsky.social @sifangfeng.bsky.social · 28/04/2025
To what extent does human-induced climate change contribute to global extreme wildfires? In our latest study, we quantified the contribution of human-induced climate change to over 700 observed extreme wildfires globally. www.nature.com/articles/s41...
nature.com
Growing human-induced climate change fingerprint in regional weekly fire extremes - npj Climate and Atmospheric Science
npj Climate and Atmospheric Science - Growing human-induced climate change fingerprint in regional weekly fire extremes
373
Emanuele Bevacqua @bevacquae.bsky.social · 05/05/2025
🔥🌍 In a new paper led by Sifang Feng, we find a growing human-induced climate change fingerprint in weekly regional fire extremes. 📈 On average, climate change was responsible for a fraction equal to 8 ± 4% of the predicted probability of more than 700 fire extremes worldwide between 2002 and 2015.
nature.com
Growing human-induced climate change fingerprint in regional weekly fire extremes - npj Climate and Atmospheric Science
npj Climate and Atmospheric Science - Growing human-induced climate change fingerprint in regional weekly fire extremes
12812
Reposted by Emanuele Bevacqua
Zack Labe @zacklabe.com · 05/03/2025
Hi - I'd like to share this story of what is happening at NOAA GFDL, where some of my colleagues and I worked until the mass firings at NOAA last week. "...the birthplace of weather and climate forecasting"
science.org
NOAA firings hit the birthplace of weather and climate forecasting
Dismissed researchers were improving severe weather predictions
331113538
Emanuele Bevacqua @bevacquae.bsky.social · 24/02/2025
Great job opportunity in Graz, check it out!
010
Reposted by Emanuele Bevacqua
New Scientist @newscientist.com · 10/02/2025
2024 was the first year to see global average temperatures rise more than 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels. Has the Paris Agreement goal already bitten the dust? www.newscientist.com/article/2467...
newscientist.com
Have we already breached the 1.5°C global warming target?
Although the climate goals set by the Paris Agreement are based on the long-term average temperature, one year of high temperatures might be a sign that the 1.5°C threshold has already been reached
03111
Reposted by Emanuele Bevacqua
Nature Portfolio @natureportfolio.nature.com · 10/02/2025
Two papers in Nature Climate Change suggest that exceeding 1.5 °C in 2024 may indicate that we have entered a multi-decadal period of 1.5 °C average global warming. go.nature.com/4hR9GYO go.nature.com/3WVdJM1 🧪
This is figure 2 from “A year above 1.5 °C signals that Earth is most probably within the 20-year period that will reach the Paris Agreement limit.” It shows strong warming trends place the first 1.5 °C year within the 1.5 °C 20-year period.
04926
Emanuele Bevacqua @bevacquae.bsky.social · 10/02/2025
In Nature Climate Change, we show that a year above 1.5 °C signals that Earth is most probably within the 20-year period that will reach the Paris Agreement limit. @natclimchange.bsky.social
nature.com
A year above 1.5 °C signals that Earth is most probably within the 20-year period that will reach the Paris Agreement limit - Nature Climate Change
What a first year with temperature 1.5 °C above the pre-industrial baseline implies for long-term temperature goals is unclear. Here the authors show that such a first year above the baseline is highl...
414776
Reposted by Emanuele Bevacqua
Ed Hawkins @edhawkins.org · 10/01/2025
Spiralling global temperatures: 2024 edition
6338186
Reposted by Emanuele Bevacqua
Emanuele Bevacqua @bevacquae.bsky.social · 04/12/2024
We are delighted to announce the "Compound weather and climate events" session at #EGU25! We look forward to receiving your exciting abstracts! @compoundnet.bsky.social
0115
Emanuele Bevacqua @bevacquae.bsky.social · 04/12/2024
We are delighted to announce the "Compound weather and climate events" session at #EGU25! We look forward to receiving your exciting abstracts! @compoundnet.bsky.social
0115
Emanuele Bevacqua @bevacquae.bsky.social · 20/11/2024
Do you remember the extreme #drought in Europe in 2022? Our @naturegeosci.bsky.social paper shows that human-induced global warming contributed to 31% of the intensity, with 14–41% of such contribution due to warming-driven soil drying that occurred before 2022. rdcu.be/dXA1S 1/n
196
Reposted by Emanuele Bevacqua
Benjamin Cook @dustybowl.bsky.social · 23/10/2024
Climate change intensified the 2022 European drought "human-induced global warming contributed to over 30% of the drought intensity and its spatial extent via enhanced evaporation" www.nature.com/articles/s41...
nature.com
Direct and lagged climate change effects intensified the 2022 European drought - Nature Geoscience
An attribution analysis using observations, hydrological models and climate models suggests that both direct and lagged effects of climate warming contributed to Europe experiencing the highest observ...
37550
Reposted by Emanuele Bevacqua
Kai Kornhuber @kornhuber.bsky.social · 24/09/2024
Great to get the 3rd Como trainingschool on statistical modeling of @Compound_Event|s started with a keynote by @Bevacqua_E and an international cohort of early career researchers. Two exciting weeks ahead! @kan_risk
061
Emanuele Bevacqua @bevacquae.bsky.social · 09/02/2024
🔥 PhD position alert! 🌍 Are you interested in studying fire risk and its drivers in Europe under climate change via large datasets? Join our new research group on compound climate extremes! Details & applications👇 recruitingapp-5128.de.umantis.com/Vacancies/28...
043