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Emanuele Bevacqua

@bevacquae.bsky.social
1.1K followers 580 following 44 posts

Climate scientist • Physicist • Group leader @ufz_de • Compound weather/climate extreme events • 🎨 • ❄️ • he/him

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Emanuele Bevacqua @bevacquae.bsky.social · 10/02/2025
Making their result actionable requires the occurrence of 12 consecutive months above 1.5°C, a condition met in ERA5 and BEST observational datasets, but that has not been met based on the mean of multiple observational datasets (plot for consecutive months strictly > 1.5°C by @hoegner.bsky.social).
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Emanuele Bevacqua @bevacquae.bsky.social · 10/02/2025
The IPCC AR6 flags “High Risks” at 1.5°C for unique systems (such as biodiversity) and extreme events. Floods in Brazil, Spain, and Kenya, mega-drought in the Amazon, tropical storms, and heatwaves in 2024 gave us a taste of these risks. We are not prepared for the climate risks at 1.5°C to unfold.
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Emanuele Bevacqua @bevacquae.bsky.social · 10/02/2025
Through climate models, observations, and idealised experiments, we show that unless stringent climate mitigation is implemented, the first year above 1.5°C in 2024 signals that it is highly probable that Earth has already entered the 20-year period that *will* reach the 1.5°C Paris Agreement limit.
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Emanuele Bevacqua @bevacquae.bsky.social · 04/12/2024
We are delighted to announce the "Compound weather and climate events" session at #EGU25! We look forward to receiving your exciting abstracts! @compoundnet.bsky.social
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Emanuele Bevacqua @bevacquae.bsky.social · 20/11/2024
We find that 14–41% of the climate change contribution was due to warming-driven soil drying that occurred *before* the hydrological year of 2022, indicating the importance of considering lagged climate change effects to avoid underestimating drought risks. 4/n
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Emanuele Bevacqua @bevacquae.bsky.social · 20/11/2024
Combining observations and climate models with hydrological and land-surface simulations, we show that Central-Southern Europe saw the highest total water storage deficit since satellite observations began in 2002, probably the most extreme soil moisture deficit in 60 years. 2/n
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Emanuele Bevacqua @bevacquae.bsky.social · 20/11/2024
Do you remember the extreme #drought in Europe in 2022? Our @naturegeosci.bsky.social paper shows that human-induced global warming contributed to 31% of the intensity, with 14–41% of such contribution due to warming-driven soil drying that occurred before 2022. rdcu.be/dXA1S 1/n
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Emanuele Bevacqua @bevacquae.bsky.social · 29/09/2024
Here's what it would look like for global temperature (up to 2019) in 2d...
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Emanuele Bevacqua @bevacquae.bsky.social · 09/02/2024
🔥 PhD position alert! 🌍 Are you interested in studying fire risk and its drivers in Europe under climate change via large datasets? Join our new research group on compound climate extremes! Details & applications👇 recruitingapp-5128.de.umantis.com/Vacancies/28...
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