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Ben Raue

@benraue.com
3.7K followers 1.1K following 2K posts

The guy from The Tally Room. Psephologist analysing Australian elections, and hosting a podcast about elections in Australia and elsewhere. Find me at www.tallyroom.com.au

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Reposted by Ben Raue
casey briggs @caseybriggs.com · 18h
David Shoebridge won the Greens leadership vote on first preferences, but the party announced the two-candidate-preferred result anyway. Gotta love the commitment to ranked choice voting
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Sydney YIMBY @sydney.yimby.au · 27/09/2026
We would currently have a lot more art deco flats in Woollahra Council if not for 100 years of tradition of upholding bans explicitly initiated to keep the poors out. The street in Rose Bay mentioned at the end recently got declared a mid-rise zone by Minns under the LMR. 🎉
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Ben Raue @benraue.com · 27/09/2026
No luck there unfortunately.
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Anthony Zougras @anthonyzougras.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
This week marks the end of Nick Xenophon's political party legacy (statewise atleast) as SA-Best has been voluntarily de-registered. As such, I've written an introspective on the party and Xenophon's time/legacy in politics. anthonyhistoryrant.blogspot.com/2026/09/a-re... #saparli #auspol 🗃️
anthonyhistoryrant.blogspot.com
A Retrospective on Nick Xenophon and SA-Best | Or, how I learned to stop worrying and drive a small car around parliament
This week marks the end of Nick Xenophon's political party legacy (statewise atleast) as SA-Best has been voluntarily de-registered. As such...
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Ben Raue @benraue.com · 25/09/2026
yeah I don't think they have TV ads.
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Ben Raue @benraue.com · 25/09/2026
Do you reckon I can access that without, yknow, going to Queensland?
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Ben Raue @benraue.com · 24/09/2026
Does anyone have any suggestions about how I could get a copy of this ad? From the 2001 QLD state election.
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emilyrosefoley.bsky.social @emilyrosefoley.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
Excited to be in this line up and can’t wait to chat Vic election aftermath with these legends 🙂
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Ben Raue @benraue.com · 22/09/2026
If they don't sell out, remaining tickets will be available the following Monday for everyone else.
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Ben Raue @benraue.com · 22/09/2026
I'm excited to announce I'll be hosting my first Tally Room live podcast recording in Melbourne on December 1 - three days after the Victorian state election - with guests @rachelwithers.bsky.social and Emily Foley. Tickets will be available for Patreon members next Monday www.tallyroom.com.au/68631
tallyroom.com.au
Tally Room Live – after the Victorian election
I’m excited to announce I will be doing a live recording of the Tally Room podcast on the Tuesday after the Victorian state election, December 1, in Melbourne. The event will be held at the P…
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Ben Raue @benraue.com · 16/09/2026
The AEC has published the official numbers to be used for the federal redistribution of Queensland, so I've analysed which parts of the state are under quota or over quota. Suggestions can now be made, with a deadline of October 16.
tallyroom.com.au
Population figures published for QLD federal redistribution
The Australian Electoral Commission has officially opened the first round of submissions for the federal redistribution of Queensland. The state will maintain thirty electorates, but the current bo…
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Reposted by Ben Raue
David Weiskopf believes in you @dave.bzky.team · 14/09/2026
A statistic that haunts me because it is 100% true and shocking and useless in advocacy precisely because it is true and shocking: Policy that enables a 1-car lifestyle rather than 2 is equivalent to giving a family a $25,000 annual pay raise.
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Ben Raue @benraue.com · 12/09/2026
If you’re always using the Apple TV you don’t need to see it. But I think I switched off a setting that at least stopped it auto playing.
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Ben Raue @benraue.com · 12/09/2026
we have this tv and I think I basically solved this by only using the Apple TV and pretty much never looking at the home screen.
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Ben Raue @benraue.com · 12/09/2026
Polls have closed for the by-election for the NT Assembly seat of Mulka. I am not properly liveblogging this result, but I might post briefly here. It is a very remote electorate where I expect a lot of votes to be cast at mobile booths, but there is one election day booth and two pre-poll booths.
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Ben Raue @benraue.com · 10/09/2026
After Victoria recently abolished group voting tickets (GVTs) for the state upper house, they are now doing the same for the City of Melbourne, the last public office to use the system. A good result!
tallyroom.com.au
The final blow to group voting tickets
A piece of legislation passed Victoria’s upper house last night that seems set to abolish the last use of group voting tickets for public office in Australia. Legislation making changes to lo…
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Ben Raue @benraue.com · 09/09/2026
Oh wow
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Ben Raue @benraue.com · 07/09/2026
thanks!
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Ben Raue @benraue.com · 07/09/2026
Can anyone point me to the list of the 21 double dissolution triggers used by Fraser in 1975?
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Ben Raue @benraue.com · 29/08/2026
Labor is getting very strong flows of preferences over One Nation but it doesn't seem likely to be enough. I think One Nation has won Secret Harbour.
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Ben Raue @benraue.com · 29/08/2026
Updated the live blog - first batch of postal votes has One Nation way out in front, with Labor losing almost half of their support.
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Ben Raue @benraue.com · 29/08/2026
I will be liveblogging from this website, which is my backup for this purpose. The liveblog will be put back on the Tally Room when it is back in action. tallyroominexile.wordpress.com/2026/08/29/s...
tallyroominexile.wordpress.com
Secret Harbour by-election results live
6:33pm WA time – The Tally Room website is unable to handle the traffic right now. I won’t be increasing my server capacity permanently just for tonight, since for the state elections I…
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Ben Raue @benraue.com · 29/08/2026
I'll just be posting here as the website is unable to handle the traffic and isn't working. Anyone who offers a technical fix will be blocked, thanks!
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Ben Raue @benraue.com · 29/08/2026
I'll be following the results of the Secret Harbour by-election tonight, here: www.tallyroom.com.au/66265
tallyroom.com.au
Secret Harbour by-election results live
6:00pm WA time – Polls have just closed in the by-election for the WA state seat of Secret Harbour. I will be covering results tonight, although I don’t plan on doing much in the next h…
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Ben Raue @benraue.com · 24/08/2026
Today's blog post analyses the list of candidates who have announced so far for the Victorian state election. Labor and Greens are close to a full ticket, as are the Coalition. Interestingly the Victorian Socialists have already nominated over 60 candidates. www.tallyroom.com.au/66259
tallyroom.com.au
Candidate numbers piling up in Victoria
We’re just about three months out from the Victorian election. The list of announced candidates for the election has been growing, and it is quite interesting to look at the field of candidat…
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Ben Raue @benraue.com · 22/08/2026
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Ben Raue @benraue.com · 21/08/2026
I want my guides to be freely available at election time, so I have now unlocked my guide to the upcoming Victorian state election, here:
tallyroom.com.au
Victoria 2026
Welcome to the Tally Room’s guide to the 2026 Victorian state election. This guide includes comprehensive coverage of each seat’s history, geography, political situation and results of the 2022 ele…
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Ben Raue @benraue.com · 21/08/2026
That guide is mostly paywalled, apart from three seats that are freebies. If you want to read the whole thing, sign up for $10+ per month to be a Tally Room member via Patreon. You'll get access to election guides, the discord and ad-free podcasts.
patreon.com
Get more from The Tally Room on Patreon
Get more from The Tally Room on Patreon. Join for free or become a member for just A$1/month. Hi, I'm Ben Raue, and I run the Tally Room website. I've…
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Ben Raue @benraue.com · 21/08/2026
I'm excited to announce that my Queensland state election guide is now live. That election is a while away, in October 2028, but with the redistribution finalised I have now been able to put up the guide. www.tallyroom.com.au/66247
tallyroom.com.au
Queensland election guide published
With the redistribution of Queensland’s state electorates now finalised, I have completed my guide to the 2028 Queensland state election. While this election is still some way off, it should …
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Ben Raue @benraue.com · 17/08/2026
Presumably they are referencing Labour here because these are voters who may otherwise vote Labour on both ballots.
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Ben Raue @benraue.com · 17/08/2026
There is an element of this in Scotland where people vote SNP for the constituencies and Green for the regional list, thus maximising the pro-independence seat count.
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Ben Raue @benraue.com · 14/08/2026
Yes the article goes through the data.
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Ben Raue @benraue.com · 14/08/2026
thespinoff.co.nz
Why Chrises run the country
An in-depth study of New Zealanders with the name Chris.
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Matt at Keyboard @mattatkeyboard.bsky.social · 14/08/2026
#nzpol Perennial Meme
Moe and Barney meme, where A Chris is thrown out of the bar by A Different Chris, but Another Chris appears behind him
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Kevin Bonham @kevinbonham.bsky.social · 11/08/2026
FINALLY! Legislation to repeal Group Ticket Voting has passed the Victorian Parliament. #springst
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Ben Raue @benraue.com · 11/08/2026
Not anymore.
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Ben Raue @benraue.com · 11/08/2026
The state parliament will need to pass legislation to that effect, but yes they will be.
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Ben Raue @benraue.com · 11/08/2026
the boundary changes have already been locked in, so Franklin now is entirely east of the Derwent and the Huon Valley is now in Clark. tallyroom.com.au/franklin2028
tallyroom.com.au
Franklin – Australia 2028
ALP 18.7% Incumbent MP Julie Collins, since 2007. Geography Redistribution History Candidates Assessment 2025 results Booth breakdown Results maps Geography South-eastern Tasmania. Franklin covers …
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Ben Raue @benraue.com · 10/08/2026
It is. He was a Tasmanian Aboriginal war leader in the early 19th century.
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Ben Raue @benraue.com · 10/08/2026
No…?
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Ben Raue @benraue.com · 10/08/2026
The proposal to rename the federal seat of Franklin to "Tongerlongeter" has been dropped - the seat will remain Franklin for this redistribution cycle.
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Ben Raue @benraue.com · 07/08/2026
Yes, I did.
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Ben Raue @benraue.com · 07/08/2026
New Zealand needs a more vigorous public campaign to defend PR where it exists (as does Australia)
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Ben Schwarz @benschwarz.bsky.social · 03/08/2026
Australia’s eSafety commissioner buried a report (released Friday afternoon) that shows the under 16 social media ban didn’t tangibly reduce teen social media use, and also resulted in parents tuning out of kids usage. We traded our privacy for no reason. theconversation.com/more-than-80...
theconversation.com
More than 80% of kids still using social media despite ban, new eSafety report finds
The report provides more evidence Australia’s world-leading social media ban isn’t going to plan.
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Nate Bethea @inthesedeserts.bsky.social · 31/07/2026
Apple charges people ~20% more than the Patreon list price and they keep the difference for themselves. They also hold the proceeds of iOS app sales for 75 days, making it impossible for creators to accurately predict earnings. They basically inserted themselves in order to rip *more* people off
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Ben Raue @benraue.com · 01/08/2026
It's not surprising that with so many more Australians to choose compared to Irish players that Australia is winning comfortably, but I think Ireland could do quite respectably in some kind of State of Origin competition against the big 3 AFL states.
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Ben Raue @benraue.com · 01/08/2026
North Sydney Oval. It was a sellout.
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Ben Raue @benraue.com · 01/08/2026
We have 2 adult tickets and 1 child’s ticket for the AFLW Australia-Ireland game and we can’t go, if anyone wants them.
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Ben Raue @benraue.com · 31/07/2026
Bizarre quote. Is he not aware of the legislation?
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ABC News Australia @news.abc.net.au · 30/07/2026
Book returned to NSW library 150 years after being borrowed
abc.net.au
Library book returned after 150 years, $28k fine waived
A NSW library has a book returned rather late, but the policy of fining people for the offence was dropped at some point during the century-and-a-half years since it was borrowed.
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