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Ayşegül Kayaoğlu

@aysegulkayaoglu.bsky.social
1.2K followers 627 following 41 posts

Researcher on migration, political economy, labour economics, conflict and development economics @University of Bremen/ #FirstGen / RT≠endorsement

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Reposted by Ayşegül Kayaoğlu
leavenetwork.bsky.social @leavenetwork.bsky.social · 15/06/2026
In a new article, Keonhi Son and Aysegul Kayaoglu offer a systematic review of causes and consequences of work-family tensions and challenges, and policy responses to address them. www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
sciencedirect.com
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Michael Clemens @mclem.org · 24/07/2026
Important new textbook is open-access at @mitpress.bsky.social —> "The Microeconomics of Artificial Intelligence" by Joshua Gans Review by @maxkasy.bsky.social —> www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=... #EconSky
direct.mit.edu
The Microeconomics of Artificial Intelligence
A comprehensive treatment of the microeconomics associated with the adoption and use of artificial intelligence.It is well recognized that recent advances
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Keonhi Son @keonhison.bsky.social · 18/02/2026
📢NEW PUBLICATION: Do you think work-family challenges are limited to advanced economies, where many women work in the formal sector? Our review article disagrees (w @aysegulkayaoglu.bsky.social ). doi.org/10.1016/j.wo...
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Ayşegül Kayaoğlu @aysegulkayaoglu.bsky.social · 04/08/2025
Thursday-Friday 🙃
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Ayşegül Kayaoğlu @aysegulkayaoglu.bsky.social · 04/08/2025
Just received my teaching evaluation results for the “Causal Inference Methods in Economics” course I designed and taught this semester at the University of Osnabrück— feeling grateful and happy! 💛 #Economics #teaching #Academia #Germany #causality
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Marisa Kabas @marisakabas.bsky.social · 22/07/2025
A horrifying statement published today by the Editorial Committee of the Agence France-Presse (AFP) news agency. "Without immediate intervention, the last reporters in Gaza will die" Translation from French to English by @cnorristrent.bsky.social:
Without immediate intervention, the last reporters in Gaza will die
July 21, 2025

AFP has been working with 1 writer, 3 photographers and 6 videographers, all freelance, in the Gaza Strip since its staff journalists left in 2024.

Along with a few others, they are now the only ones left to report what is happening in the Gaza Strip. The international press has been banned from entering the territory for nearly two years.

We refuse to watch them die.

One of them, Bashar, has been working with AFP since 2010, first as a fixer, then freelance photographer, and since 2024, as lead photographer. On July 19th he managed to post a message on Facebook: “I no longer have the strength to work for the media. My body is thin and I can’t work anymore.”

Bashar, 30, works & lives in the same conditions as all Gazans, moving from one refugee camp to another under Israeli bombings. For > a year he’s lived in utter destitution, working at extreme risk to his life. Hygiene is a major issue for him, with recurring bouts of severe intestinal illness.

Since Feb, Bashar’s been living in the ruins of his home in Gaza City with his mother, 4 brothers & sisters and the family of one of his brothers. Their house is devoid of any furnishings, except a few cushions. On Sunday morning, he reported that one of his brothers had “fallen, due to hunger.”

Even though these journalists receive a monthly salary from AFP, it’s no longer enough to buy food, or they have to pay completely exorbitant prices. The banking system has collapsed, and those who exchange money via online bank accounts charge a commission of up to 40%.

AFP no longer has the ability to provide them with a vehicle and there is not enough fuel to allow these journalists to travel for their reporting. Driving a car means becoming a target for Israeli airstrikes. AFP reporters therefore travel on foot or by donkey cart. (alt txt continued in next post)
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Ayşegül Kayaoğlu @aysegulkayaoglu.bsky.social · 21/06/2025
This is the dream conference for any economist working on migration. 👇🏼
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Ayşegül Kayaoğlu @aysegulkayaoglu.bsky.social · 04/06/2025
🆕📢 New publication in the Journal of Refugee Studies! How does exposure to refugees shape local attitudes in the world's largest refugee-hosting country? 👇 Key findings from my article on Türkiye 🧵 🔗 doi.org/10.1093/jrs/...
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Olivier Sterck @oliviersterck.bsky.social · 12/06/2025
🆕What happens when humanitarian aid is cut or delayed? A 20% aid cut in one of the world's largest refugee camp didn’t just reduce what and how much refugees eat; it also triggered a cascade of effects across households and markets. voxdev.org/topic/instit... with Vittorio Bruni and @wfp.org
voxdev.org
What happens when humanitarian aid is cut or delayed?
Humanitarian aid systems are under mounting pressure, with key donors like the US and UK cutting funding despite growing needs. New research in one of the world’s largest refugee camps shows that aid ...
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Ayşegül Kayaoğlu @aysegulkayaoglu.bsky.social · 04/06/2025
8/ Read the full article in the Journal of Refugee Studies: 📄 "Refugee Exposure and Attitudes Toward Refugees in a Developing Country Context: Evidence from Türkiye" 🔗 doi.org/10.1093/jrs/... #Migration #Refugees #Türkiye #SocialCohesion #JRS #Development
doi.org
Refugee exposure and attitudes toward refugees in a developing country context: evidence from Türkiye
Abstract. Despite hosting large refugee populations, causal evidence on how refugee exposure shapes local attitudes in developing countries remains scarce.
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Ayşegül Kayaoğlu @aysegulkayaoglu.bsky.social · 04/06/2025
7/ This is the first causal study from a developing country hosting the largest protracted refugee population. It speaks to broader Global South challenges—where refugee numbers are high, but resources and capacities are limited.
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Ayşegül Kayaoğlu @aysegulkayaoglu.bsky.social · 04/06/2025
6/ Policy implications? ➤ Job creation for low-income host communities ➤ Targeted interventions to reduce resentment and misinformation These are vital for sustainable integration and social cohesion.
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Ayşegül Kayaoğlu @aysegulkayaoglu.bsky.social · 04/06/2025
5/ Contrary to the "contact hypothesis", more frequent contact with refugees does not reduce hostility. Instead, consistent with the "integration paradox", closer contact amplifies cultural tensions in urban areas.
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Ayşegül Kayaoğlu @aysegulkayaoglu.bsky.social · 04/06/2025
4/ Interestingly, religiosity mitigates some negative attitudes. But even respondents who view Syrians as "religious brothers" support exclusionary policies like encampment. This points to a complex interaction of identity, empathy, and exposure.
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Ayşegül Kayaoğlu @aysegulkayaoglu.bsky.social · 04/06/2025
3/ Economic concerns (especially perceived competition in informal labour markets and overburdened public services) are strong drivers of negative attitudes. Cultural alienation and feelings of insecurity further exacerbate these sentiments.
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Ayşegül Kayaoğlu @aysegulkayaoglu.bsky.social · 04/06/2025
2/ I find that exposure to refugees significantly increases antirefugee sentiments—especially around exclusion, insecurity, and economic burden. But notably, helping behaviour remains high even among the most exposed communities.
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Ayşegül Kayaoğlu @aysegulkayaoglu.bsky.social · 04/06/2025
1/ Despite hosting over 3 million Syrian refugees, causal evidence on how refugee exposure affects local attitudes in Türkiye—and in the Global South more broadly—remains scarce. My study fills this gap using an IV strategy and a rich survey data.
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Ayşegül Kayaoğlu @aysegulkayaoglu.bsky.social · 04/06/2025
🆕📢 New publication in the Journal of Refugee Studies! How does exposure to refugees shape local attitudes in the world's largest refugee-hosting country? 👇 Key findings from my article on Türkiye 🧵 🔗 doi.org/10.1093/jrs/...
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Stefan Schubert @stefanschubert.bsky.social · 24/05/2025
How economics has changed
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David Evans @daveevansphd.bsky.social · 08/05/2025
If it looks like the intervention you evaluated didn't work, what does that really mean? blogs.worldbank.org/en/impacteva... My summary of a taxonomy by Glewwe & Muralidharan #throwbackthursday
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Ayşegül Kayaoğlu @aysegulkayaoglu.bsky.social · 29/03/2025
Nobel prize winner Orhan Pamuk explains what is going on in Turkey. 👇🏼
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Michael Clemens @mclem.org · 27/03/2025
Many of the world's best and brightest young people once came to study in the United States, fueling our global innovation powerhouse. They now know that if they come, they can be seized by secret police off the street, at any moment—without charges, trial, or appeal, with absolute discretion.
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Dr Balki Begum Bayhan @bbbayh.bsky.social · 24/03/2025
Day 6 of the #Turkey protests. This is from the Istanbul Teknik University Maçka. Security locked the doors of the building to prevent the students from joining the demonstration outside. Students started to climb out of the windows to join the protests.
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Ayşegül Kayaoğlu @aysegulkayaoglu.bsky.social · 19/03/2025
It is a very sad day for Turkey and for everyone who had still hope for a democratic change. 😔
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SSRN @ssrn.bsky.social · 13/03/2025
This study investigates the causal impact of #refugee exposure on local attitudes & #migration policy preferences in developing countries, particularly in areas with high concentrations of refugees. Read: papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.... Subscribe: www.ssrn.com/index.cfm/en...
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Esteban J. Quiñones, Ph.D. @estebanjq.bsky.social · 25/02/2025
The Demographic and Heath Survey program received their USAID termination email last night www.linkedin.com/posts/caren-...
linkedin.com
Caren Grown on LinkedIn: I am so sad to report that the Demographic and Heath Survey program…
I am so sad to report that the Demographic and Heath Survey program received their USAID termination email last night. This is a terrible loss to the data…
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Ayşegül Kayaoğlu @aysegulkayaoglu.bsky.social · 26/02/2025
That’s such a loss! 😔
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Macartan Humphreys @macartan.bsky.social · 14/02/2025
🚨 please share! We will be running our annual workshop on the political economy of development in Berlin @wzb.bsky.social in June. This is a really fun workshop doing deep reads of a small number of new papers. Call for papers / participants below! ⬇️ www.wzb.eu/en/events/mo...
wzb.eu
MoPED Workshop
Berlin Meeting on the Political Economy of Development (MoPED) -- The MoPED workshop offers an opportunity for scholars who focus on the political economy of development, broadly defined, to build...
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Bilge Yabancı—Peace & Justice for Palestine 🇵🇸 @bilgeyabanci.bsky.social · 29/01/2025
📢 Hiring! I am seeking a Postdoc for the project Re-shaping Attitudes about Refugees & Gender Minorities in Spain & Portugal 📍 Bilbao, Spain 📆 12 months (+6m extension possible) 🔍 PhD & strong quantitative skills (esp. survey experiments) 🔗 Details: deusto.talentclue.com/en/node/1136...
deusto.talentclue.com
Research Staff - Postdoctoral position - Re-shaping Attitudes about Refugees and Gender Minorities in Spain and Portugal
The Faculty of Social and Human Sciences at the University of Deusto is seeking a motivated and highly qualified Postdoctoral Researcher to join the project Re-shaping Attitudes about Refugees and Gen...
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Jonathan Conning @jonathanconning.bsky.social · 06/02/2025
Kristof: "Musk has a net worth greater than the poorest billion people on Earth. ..since the election, Musk’s personal net worth has grown by far more than the entire annual budget of USAID., which in any case accounts for less than 1 percent of the federal budget." www.nytimes.com/2025/02/05/o...
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Governance and Local Development Institute @gldinstitute.bsky.social · 03/02/2025
Latest News from GLD! - 2024 Annual Report published - New Fellows announced - Upcoming event: #Syria Policy Roundtable - Podcast on Decentralization in the MENA - New working papers on #Forum #Pluralism & #Refugee #Attitudes - Spring workshops kicked off! Read all news: mailchi.mp/gld.gu.se/gl...
GLD newsletter February 2025.
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Joël Machado @joelmachado.eu · 08/01/2025
With @jeromevalette.bsky.social & Simone Bertoli, we are thrilled to announce the Call for Papers for the 3rd edition of the Junior Workshop on the Economics of Migration on 23-24 June 2025 @CERDI, Clermont-Ferrand, France. Submit until 23 February 2025 on economig2025.sciencesconf.org
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Andrea Carter @andreacarter.bsky.social · 20/12/2024
What a photograph.
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Ayşegül Kayaoğlu @aysegulkayaoglu.bsky.social · 20/12/2024
1/ 🚨 New Working Paper Publication! 🚨 How do climate change and conflict shocks relate to food security, and how do these relationships differ by gender?🌍👩‍🌾👨‍🌾 Our study explores these pressing questions in Sudan—a country facing floods, droughts, and violent conflict.🧵
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Derya Zayim @deryazayim.bsky.social · 20/12/2024
📢 New Article Alert! How does changing the school starting age impact mothers' labor supply? Our study, co-authored with @aysegulkayaoglu.bsky.social explores the labor market consequences of Turkey's 2012 education reform, which lowered the school starting age. Thread 👇
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Ayşegül Kayaoğlu @aysegulkayaoglu.bsky.social · 20/12/2024
12/ Let's discuss! What do you think about these findings? How can social protection systems be improved to address gender disparities? 🤝 #FoodSecurity #ClimateChange #SocialProtection #GenderEquality @isdcberlin.bsky.social @fao.org @unu-wider.bsky.social
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Ayşegül Kayaoğlu @aysegulkayaoglu.bsky.social · 20/12/2024
11/ Sudan offers critical lessons for regions grappling with climate & conflict crises. 🌍 Our findings underline the importance of tailored, inclusive policies to build resilience among the most vulnerable. 🔗Read the full paper here: [tinyurl.com/duux5w5r]
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Ayşegül Kayaoğlu @aysegulkayaoglu.bsky.social · 20/12/2024
10/ Policy Recommendations: ✅ Design gender-sensitive social protection programs. ✅ Prioritize interventions that: Enhance asset ownership. Improve market access. Strengthen women’s social networks. Encourage income diversification.
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Ayşegül Kayaoğlu @aysegulkayaoglu.bsky.social · 20/12/2024
9/ Mixed results for cash transfers: 💡 Informal cash transfers are highly effective, especially for female-headed households. ❌ Formal cash transfers, however, show a negative correlation with FCS—except for male-headed households during violent conflict.
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Ayşegül Kayaoğlu @aysegulkayaoglu.bsky.social · 20/12/2024
8/ Income diversification is key: 🌾 Especially during conflict, diverse income sources significantly improve FCS for female-headed households.
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Ayşegül Kayaoğlu @aysegulkayaoglu.bsky.social · 20/12/2024
7/ Social networks play a role: 👩‍🌾 Women’s group memberships boost FCS for female-headed households. 🚫 However, women do NOT benefit as much from broader social networks during shocks. 👨‍🌾 Male-headed households benefit from ALL types of networks.
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Ayşegül Kayaoğlu @aysegulkayaoglu.bsky.social · 20/12/2024
6/ Market access is critical: 📉 Longer distances to agricultural markets = lower FCS. 🔍 This effect is sharper for male-headed households.
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Ayşegül Kayaoğlu @aysegulkayaoglu.bsky.social · 20/12/2024
5/ Assets matter! 🔑 Owning productive & non-productive assets improves FCS for all households. 🌟 Female-headed households see even greater benefits.
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Ayşegül Kayaoğlu @aysegulkayaoglu.bsky.social · 20/12/2024
4/ Key Findings: 1️⃣ Climate shocks (e.g., floods, droughts) did NOT significantly affect food consumption scores (FCS). 2️⃣ Violent conflict caused a substantial drop in FCS. Conflict = major driver of food insecurity.
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Ayşegül Kayaoğlu @aysegulkayaoglu.bsky.social · 20/12/2024
3/ Using novel survey data from 7,908 rural households across 14 Sudanese states, we examine: 1️⃣ How food insecurity relates to climate & conflict shocks. 2️⃣ Gendered differences in these impacts. 3️⃣ Mechanisms that mitigate these effects.
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Ayşegül Kayaoğlu @aysegulkayaoglu.bsky.social · 20/12/2024
2/ Why it matters: Climate change and conflict are among the biggest threats to human welfare. Yet, their gendered impacts on food security are poorly understood. And what role can social protection play in reducing these impacts? 🤔
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Ayşegül Kayaoğlu @aysegulkayaoglu.bsky.social · 20/12/2024
1/ 🚨 New Working Paper Publication! 🚨 How do climate change and conflict shocks relate to food security, and how do these relationships differ by gender?🌍👩‍🌾👨‍🌾 Our study explores these pressing questions in Sudan—a country facing floods, droughts, and violent conflict.🧵
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Seema Jayachandran @seema.bsky.social · 17/12/2024
Using the results shown below and others, we estimate that couples in Germany act as if they value women's earnings at 48 cents on the Euro, compared to men's earnings. In Sweden, it's 80 cents on the Euro. Full paper here: bit.ly/MTO-T
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Ayşegül Kayaoğlu @aysegulkayaoglu.bsky.social · 14/12/2024
We all must appreciate and follow this attitude towards replication studies👏
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Michael Clemens @mclem.org · 21/11/2024
More and more migration-and-development economists are here! Please suggest yourself or others for me to add. #EconSky
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