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Andy Scollick

@andyscollick.bsky.social
19K followers 2.3K following 33K posts

Strategic defence planning and foresight | security and defence policy | interactions between climate change, energy, security, defence | former adviser to Ukraine's military | marine environmental policy | PhD in sustainability science | Ireland/Europe

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Reposted by Andy Scollick
Patrick Chovanec @prchovanec.bsky.social · 9h
If you understand what the operational commands do, this makes no sense. You want integration of this capability, not segregation/siloing. It is neither a region nor a capability that can easily be "lent" to a theater.
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Patrick Chovanec @prchovanec.bsky.social · 9h
Can this be arranged? Please?
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Andy Scollick @andyscollick.bsky.social · 8h
There's a reason why they call him "Nutlick"
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Michael E. Mann @michaelemann.bsky.social · 9h
New record global sea surface temperature anomaly. This El Niño is for reals pulse.climate.copernicus.eu
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Richard M. Carpiano, PhD, MPH @rmcarpiano.medsky.social · 9h
This 2016 reboot of Patton completely stinks...
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John Carl Baker @johncarlbaker.bsky.social · 9h
REPORTER: Secretary Hegseth, could you weigh in on the christological controversies of late antiquity? Where does the administration stand on the monophysites? HEGSETH: No beardos.
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Kevin M. Kruse @kevinmkruse.bsky.social · 9h
He's so far gone he can't even maintain consciousness as his little toadies blow him
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Rob Tracinski @tracinski.bsky.social · 9h
This would come across a lot better if he hadn’t just lost a war.
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Kori Schake @kschake.bsky.social · 9h
This is so dumb. How to destroy a capable military.
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Prof David Farrell, UCD @davidfarrell-ucd.bsky.social · 10h
Potato beer. Now why didn’t we think of that?!
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AFP News Agency @en.afp.com · 10h
Turkey shuts down the website and social media accounts of T24, a leading independent digital news outlet, citing its "LGBT propaganda" u.afp.com/S9Bk
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William Colgan @glacierbytes.bsky.social · 11h
Yes! The @firnmelt.bsky.social traverse equipment has arrived in Kangerlussuaq! We’re super excited to start instrumenting and measuring the near-surface properties of the #Greenland ice sheet! 🤓 Funded by @erc.europa.eu
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AmplifyUkraine 🔱🇺🇦 @amplifyukraine.eu · 14h
Russia warns Poland as Warsaw plans Patriot missile production #Ukraine
uawire.org
Russia warns Poland as Warsaw plans Patriot missile production
Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov has issued a warning to Poland after Warsaw announced plans to produce missiles for US-made Patriot air defense systems. Speaking at the Valdai Discussion Club on September 29, Lavrov urged Poland to "carefully study" Russia's military doctrine—comments that came amid ongoing Kremlin criticism of European support for Ukraine. "As for this issue, we have a military doctrine that the president has cited multiple times. I urge you to carefully study the relevant section of this important document," Lavrov said during his appearance at the forum. He did not specify what retaliatory measures Moscow might take or announce any new Russian decisions. Lavrov did not clarify which provision he was referring to, nor what specific consequences Russia might link to Poland’s plans to manufacture Patriot missiles. Lavrov’s reference to “military doctrine” comes as Russia’s current strategic policy framework centers on the document "Fundamentals of State Policy of the Russian Federation on Nuclear Deterrence," which was approved by Vladimir Putin in November 2024. The Kremlin has previously said this document defines military risks and the circumstances under which Russia would consider using nuclear weapons. Lavrov made his comments as Poland pursues efforts to strengthen its national security and the security of NATO’s eastern flank . Poland and the US have been discussing the possibility of producing Patriot missile system components in Poland for several months. In July, Polish Deputy Defense Minister Magdalena Sobkowiak-Czarnecka said Warsaw had proposed a trilateral cooperation model with the US and Ukraine. She explained that relocating the missile production project—which had also been discussed as a possibility for Ukraine—to Poland would provide a safer location. "We proposed that this cooperation take place as a trilateral partnership—the US, Ukraine, and Poland—precisely to ensure that production can be carried out in a safe place," Sobkowiak-Czarnecka told reporters during a briefing in Washington on July 23, 2026, according to Polish news agency PAP. By August, Polish officials said talks with Washington had moved beyond preliminary evaluations. In an interview with Polish radio TOK FM on August 18, 2026, Sobkowiak-Czarnecka said the US could reach a decision within one to two months. Poland has been competing with Germany for this project. In September, Warsaw expanded its pitch beyond production, discussing the establishment of a maintenance and service center for PAC-3 Patriot missiles in Poland. During negotiations in the US from September 23 to 25, a Polish delegation talked with American counterparts about creating such a center, developing joint production, and future deliveries. The Polish Ministry of National Defense confirmed these discussions. Poland already manufactures Patriot system components Poland is not new to the Patriot program, as it already has domestic production capabilities connected to it. State defense group PGZ and its subsidiaries are involved in the Wisla program—Poland’s effort to develop air and missile defense based on the Patriot system. For example, Poland already produces M903 launchers. In 2024, Polish company Huta Stalowa Wola signed an agreement with Raytheon Polska to manufacture 48 such launchers. Additionally, in September 2026, Polish firm WZE signed deals with Lockheed Martin and Raytheon to produce components for the PAC-3 MSE interceptor and the LTAMDS radar. The first Polish-made PAC-3 MSE components are expected to be delivered to the US in 2027, Polish outlet Defensehere reported on September 10. Warsaw’s latest proposal aims to expand Poland’s role further, including the potential production of the interceptor missiles themselves, rather than building the entire Patriot infrastructure from scratch. Patriot is one of the most important Western air and missile defense systems used by Ukraine to defend cities and critical infrastructure from Russian missile attacks, especially ballistic missiles. However, the supply of interceptor missiles remains limited. On September 25, Reuters reported that Patriot inventories in the US and among allied countries remain constrained, due to high demand not only from the war in Ukraine but also other conflicts. In response, the US and European countries are discussing ways to ramp up production of air defense missiles. Germany has also sought the capability to produce Patriot interceptors in Europe. Poland is preparing a new batch of Patriot missiles for Ukraine to help defend against Russian ballistic missile attacks. Authorities in Warsaw have indicated that the shipment will be small and have not disclosed precise figures. Germany has also said it is willing to share some of its limited missile stocks with Ukraine.
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Olga Nesterova @onestpress.onestnetwork.com · 12h
Lithuanian Gen Vaiksnoras delivered a stark warning on NATO collective security at Euronews Defence Space 2026. Source: Euronews
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Kyiv Post @kyivpost.com · 12h
ANALYSIS: Despite deliberate Russian strikes on data centers, Ukraine’s internet network remains resilient. Deep decentralization, National Roaming, and fast backups ensure taking down connectivity is virtually impossible. www.kyivpost.com/post/85775
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Andy Scollick @andyscollick.bsky.social · 12h
Jeysus! In Ireland that's called "winter". 🙄
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Andy Scollick @andyscollick.bsky.social · 12h
The best tools? Oh, he means a body bag. Lethal drones will have reduced the life expectancy of the average Marine in 10 years' time to something like 2-3 hours on the battlefield.
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Dr Paul Dorfman @drpauldorfman.bsky.social · 13h
Yeh, sure. Why not listen to #EDF #nuclear. ? After all, the longer the fossil fuels, the more time new nuclear has - esp. given it takes 20 years plus for just one nuclear power plant. Plus, what on earth would that do for UK's #climate cred and influence ... www.theguardian.com/business/202...
theguardian.com
New UK gas and oil projects are a ‘no-brainer’, says EDF boss
Developing North Sea fields does not contradict net zero goals, according to Simone Rossi
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Andy Scollick @andyscollick.bsky.social · 12h
Like 🪰🪰 to 💩
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Africa Center for Strategic Studies @africacenter.bsky.social · 12h
Renewed attacks by Yemen’s Houthi militants on maritime traffic and the seizure of territory along the Bab al Mandeb Strait are expanding the militant group’s leverage over access to the Red Sea and reshaping the region’s security . 1/3
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Roland Smith @rolandmcs.bsky.social · 13h
Reminder that the very latest Yougov poll shows 47% of voters want parties that not only 'believe in Brexit' as a central plank of their platform, but notably want to go much further and threaten/trigger a No Deal Brexit. And that's despite 'demographic recycling' since 2016.
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Fionna O’Leary @fascinatorfun.bsky.social · 13h
RAF Fairford arrests. Weirder and weirder Petrol found but no other bomb related stuff One of the five suspects phoned 999 himself Yes. Iran is suspected of being involved. Iran Gov denies it. Yes. All 5 suspects bailed. All British living in London. www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...
bbc.co.uk
How did the RAF Fairford incident go from 'suspected bomb plot' to police bail?
Detectives are entering a vital stage of the investigation, with a number of options still open, the BBC's Daniel Sandford writes.
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Andy Scollick @andyscollick.bsky.social · 13h
With a can of petrol? 🤔
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Robert Rohde @rarohde.bsky.social · 21h
Temperatures in the Central Pacific El Niño region are the hottest ever measured (top panel), and far above any other El Niño at this time of year. But, if you adjust for the warming of the global ocean, the current trajectory is not so different from other very strong events.
Two panel plot showing daily time series of temperature anomalies in the Central Pacific Nino3.4 region during the last four strongest El Niño events without and with correction for changes in global ocean mean temperature.
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DeSmog @desmog.com · 13h
🔺 NEW 🔺 What does Big Oil want from AI? More oil. Read DeSmog's latest in our Tech vs. Climate series. buff.ly/Ndopcew
buff.ly
AI Was Supposed to Cut Emissions. Instead, Fossil Fuel Companies Are Using It to Find More Oil and Gas.
A new study found AI-driven fossil fuel productivity could increase emissions. Here are examples of companies already using AI to boost production.
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Andy Scollick @andyscollick.bsky.social · 13h
Russia is on the brink. All it takes is for Western politicians to have the guts to shock Russia's economy into collapse. Let the 'ordinary' Russian people go hungry and cold. Let their jobs disappear and their savings turn to dust. Let them blame Putin for 'his' war and deal with regime.
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Eliot Higgins @eliothiggins.bsky.social · 13h
The Open Source Munition portal just launched an identification practise tool - Link osmp.ngo/practice-too...
osmp.ngo
Munition Identification Practice Tool
Improve your munition knowledge with challenges using randomly selected imagery from the OSMP archive of munitions and remnants
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🪖MilitaryNewsUA🇺🇦 @militarynewsua.bsky.social · 13h
❗️A large group of 94 Russian military prisoners who were captured during Operation “Vivaldi.”​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​
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Olena Halushka @halushka.bsky.social · 20h
This is Olha. She is a director of the animal shelter in Odesa. The russians sent a missile at her shelter, destroying it fully, burning alive ten cats and three dogs. Olha managed to rescue five animals, pulling them from the fire. The others got terrified and hid, unfortunately. 💔 Photo: Suspilne
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Andy Scollick @andyscollick.bsky.social · 15h
First, NATO would only ever isolate Russia's Kaliningrad exclave in the event of a Russian attack/war against NATO. Second, in the Kremlin's Mirror World, this speaks volumes about their mindset and indicates that Moscow is considering seizing the Suwałki Gap corridor bwteen Poland and Lithuania.
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Margot Finn @eicathomefinn.bsky.social · 15h
'In the highly unusual public alert, the UK's internal security service warned universities and academics that continuing ties with China General Technology Research Institute (CGTRI) could ultimately lead to criminal charges for aiding a foreign state.'
bbc.co.uk
UK research funded by China front company being sent to Beijing's spies, MI5 warns
British universities are being urged to sever ties with China General Technology Research Institute which is linked to the Chinese Ministry of State Security (MSS).
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Carbon Brief @carbonbrief.org · 15h
NEW – Analysis: Wind and solar save UK from gas imports worth £5.9bn during Hormuz crisis | @drsimevans.carbonbrief.org and Ho Woo Nam Read here: buff.ly/K6T9wCt
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Auke Hoekstra @aukehoekstra.bsky.social · 15h
A while ago I made this chart to illustrate that yearly additions of solar and wind (in TWh of energy) are growing fast while nuclear is largely stable. But solar and wind started small versus the older and established technology nuclear. This year we've reached a new milestone.
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Adam Bienkov @adambienkov.bsky.social · 15h
Kemi Badenoch condemned Reform's ban on critical journalists covering their conference as "authoritarian", saying her own party would never do the same as "we believe in free speech. We believe in a free press." Now the Conservatives have banned Byline Times from their conference
bylinetimes.com
Kemi Badenoch's Conservatives Ban Byline Times From Conference After Condemning Reform for Journalist Ban
The ban comes just weeks after the Conservative leader called Reform's barring of critical journalists from their conference an "authoritarian" attack on the free press
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Prof Ian Hall @ianhall.bsky.social · 15h
23,000,000,000,000,000,000,000 joules. That’s the amount of heat the oceans absorbed in 2025. A number so huge it’s almost meaningless…until you realise it’s roughly 40× humanity’s annual energy use. The ocean is buying us time. We’re running out of it. www.theguardian.com/environment/...
theguardian.com
World’s oceans absorbed record heat equal to 40 times annual global energy use
The injection of thermal energy comes amid an increasing rise in sea levels and continuing acidification
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Damian Carrington @dpcarrington.bsky.social · 15h
Saudi Arabia is reaping a massive windfall as elevated oil prices boost its export revenues, writes Robin J Brooks "The Saudi Kingdom is perhaps the only winner in the [Iran] war." #climatecrisis #energycrisis robinjbrooks.substack.com/p/saudi-arab...
robinjbrooks.substack.com
Saudi Arabia Is Winning This War
Saudi Arabia is reaping a massive windfall as elevated oil prices boost its export revenues
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Bob Berwyn @bberwyn.bsky.social · 16h
There were about 16,000 heat-related deaths in Germany last summer, about double the mortality during the first Covid wave in early 2020. Extreme heat needs to be treated as an ongoing public health emergency.
insideclimatenews.org
Mass Heat Wave Deaths in Europe Show Climate Extremes Are Outpacing Adaptation Efforts - Inside Climate News
As preparedness lags, many regions around the world could be overwhelmed by rising temperatures, climate experts warn.
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Damian Carrington @dpcarrington.bsky.social · 16h
Homeowners in England urged to check flood risk: ‘A third of people don’t realise’ - Environment Agency warns residents of 6 million properties to prepare for a wet and windy three months ahead #climatecrisis www.theguardian.com/environment/...
theguardian.com
Homeowners in England urged to check flood risk: ‘A third of people don’t realise’
Environment Agency warns residents of 6m properties to prepare for a wet and windy three months ahead
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Savchenko Volodymyr @savchenkoua.bsky.social · 16h
🐈🐕 Update: The Russian attack in the Odesa region damaged the "Loving Hearts" animal shelter. 🕯️10 cats and 3 dogs died. The fire destroyed more than 400 square meters of premises, as well as all supplies of food and medicine.
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Center for International Environmental Law @ciel.org · 17h
Participants at the climate talks #COP31 in Antalya 🇹🇷 will have a "duty" not to interfere in internal affairs under the country's hosting deal with the UN, reviving a clause dropped for last year's climate summit. READ: www.climatechangenews.com/2026/09/25/c... A 🧵
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Andy Scollick @andyscollick.bsky.social · 17h
The Parades Commission, Northern Ireland Secretary Bryant and Chief Constable must all resign. No one has any confidence in them - not even the marching Oompa Loompas.
rte.ie
'Large scale' probe under way into Garvaghy Road protest
PSNI Chief Constable Jon Boutcher has said "mob rule must not be allowed to win" as the stand-off over a contentious Orange Order march at Drumcree continues into a fourth day.
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Andy Scollick @andyscollick.bsky.social · 17h
This is not the end of the PSNI. But it is certainly the end of Jon Boutcher as Chief Plod in Northern Ireland. What a dick!
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Shipwreck @shipwreck75.bsky.social · 17h
Israel is treating an incident aboard flydubai FZ1073 (Dubai to Tel Aviv) as a terror incident. Officials say the Omani copilot stabbed the Emirati captain over Jordan and tried to take control. The captain signaled a possible hijacking and the jet dropped about 14,000 ft in a minute.
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Reuters @reuters.com · 17h
Romanian PM-designate Muresan loses confidence vote reut.rs/4yzFmL2
reut.rs
Romanian PM-designate Muresan loses confidence vote
Romania's ​Prime Minister-designate ‌Siegfried Muresan ​failed ​to win a ⁠vote ​of confidence ​on Wednesday, a ​parliamentary ​vote count showed, ‌extending ⁠a political crisis that ​is ​threatening ⁠the ​country's investment ​grade ⁠rating.
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UNITED24 Media @united24media.com · 17h
⚡ US intelligence uncovered a Russian plot targeting anti-Kremlin activists for assassination on American soil. united24media.com/world/us-unc...
united24media.com
US Uncovers Russian Intel Plot to Assassinate Anti-Kremlin Activists on US Soil
The alleged operation targeted Garry Kasparov, Ilya Ponomarev, and other exiled Kremlin opponents.
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Andy Scollick @andyscollick.bsky.social · 17h
PSNI Chief Constable pours petrol on the fire. Let's hope he hasn't just put a match to the Troubles 2.0 🤔
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Andy Scollick @andyscollick.bsky.social · 17h
Coming up..
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Savchenko Volodymyr @savchenkoua.bsky.social · 17h
🤬 Russians burned down an animal shelter in the Odesa region with a direct hit.
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SeaNews @seanews.bsky.social · 17h
🚨Severe Weather Alert: A dangerous, stationary V-shaped storm is currently hammering Southern France. Extreme rainfall is hitting the area between Montpellier and Avignon, bringing a massive flash flood risk to the Hérault and Gard regions. #MeteoFrance #WeatherAlert #EpisodeCevenol
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Andy Scollick @andyscollick.bsky.social · 17h
Every entity that lends Russia money should be considered a legitimate military target for the crime of funding Russia's war machine.
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