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Andrzej Uhl

@andrzej-uhl.bsky.social
82 followers 85 following 24 posts

PhD student at Cambridge University | analytic criminology, corruption, punishment

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Reposted by Andrzej Uhl
Jose Pina-Sánchez 🇪🇺 @jpinasanchez.eurosky.social · 03/10/2026
Observational studies on decision-making rely on explanatory variables that are themselves partly constructed through the process under investigation. Here, @andrzej-uhl.bsky.social & I explore the implications of overlooking that problem using measurement error models, osf.io/preprints/so...
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Jose Pina-Sánchez 🇪🇺 @jpinasanchez.eurosky.social · 23/07/2026
"[...] judge-level effects and judge-specific slopes explained 61% of the total variance, whereas combined paper and journal-level effects accounted for only 7%." Tell me again how the REF isn't an extremely expensive, incentive-distorting, giant lottery."
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Jose Pina-Sánchez 🇪🇺 @jpinasanchez.eurosky.social · 30/06/2026
Call for abstracts open to participate in the 'Empirical Criminal Law and Empirical Research on Sentencing' mini-conference law.prf.cuni.cz/empiricalcri... next January in Prague. I'll be there presenting 'How to Model Endogenous Legal Factors in Sentencing Research' with @andrzej-uhl.bsky.social.
law.prf.cuni.cz
Home - Empirical Crime
MINI-CONFERENCE OF EMPIRICAL CRIMINAL LAW EMPIRICAL RESEARCH ON SENTENCING 20 to 22 January 2027, Prague, Faculty of Law Introduction This mini-conference brings together two networks of scholars: Emp...
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Andrzej Uhl @andrzej-uhl.bsky.social · 04/06/2026
It looks like sentence inflation is not an issue in Cardiff
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British Journal of Political Science @bjpols.bsky.social · 07/04/2026
NEW - Revisiting the Link between Politicians’ Salaries and Corruption - cup.org/4dxY7XU - Marko Klasnja, Mihály Fazekas & Ahmed Al-Shaibani #OpenAccess
BJPolS abstract discussing the impact of higher salaries for politicians on corruption. The text highlights a study using EU data, noting variations in research designs and the potential benefits of increased salaries for local politicians in decreasing corruption risk.
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David Buil-Gil @davidbuil.bsky.social · 06/03/2026
Yet another criminology article with hallucinated references published in an @elsevierconnect.bsky.social journal. I reported it over a month ago to the journal, but the paper is still online and not retracted www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
sciencedirect.com
Crime hotspot analysis and mapping using geospatial technology in Dessie city, Ethiopia
The problem of urban crime in most developing regions has increased, and spatial configurations tend to be consistent with social and environmental dy…
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Daniel Lakens @lakens.bsky.social · 04/03/2026
Never, ever, write chapters in edited volumes. No one can read them, they are trees that fall in a forest when there is no one around to see it. Do yourself a favor, and post a preprint, or start a blog. It will likely have 1000 time more impact.
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Jose Pina-Sánchez 🇪🇺 @jpinasanchez.eurosky.social · 11/02/2026
@andrzej-uhl.bsky.social showing how anyone could design amazing graphs; no coding skills necessary.
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Daniel Lakens @lakens.bsky.social · 14/02/2026
In standard scientific reports in psych 96% of first mentioned main hypotheses are supported. In Registered Reports, this is 46%. The 96% is clearly biased (given true H1 rate and power). Lack of transparency means we do not know the true baserate. journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
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Jose Pina-Sánchez 🇪🇺 @jpinasanchez.eurosky.social · 20/01/2026
To students looking for PhD opportunities in #CriminalJustice. 3XPhd (fully funded) positions to work with Jakub Drápal & @msoltes.bsky.social on their latest ERC project, from Charles University (Prague), imho the leading research centre on #Sentencing worldwide. www.prf.cuni.cz/sites/defaul...
prf.cuni.cz
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Beth Hardie @bethhardie.bsky.social · 19/01/2026
New paper Co-authored w Dr Chae Rose: The Morality of Speeding & the Conditional Relevance of Controls: rdcu.be/eYEQR #SituationalActionTheory #MoralRules #MoralContext #SpeedingDecisionMaking #ConditionalRelevanceOfControls
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Beth Hardie @bethhardie.bsky.social · 08/09/2025
New paper with @andrzej-uhl.bsky.social detailing the findings of his experimental study of #Corruption within the framework of #SituationalActionTheory. Full article: Revisiting Bad Apples and Bad Barrels: Person × Setting Interactions in Corruption www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
Revisiting Bad Apples and Bad Barrels: Person × Setting Interactions in Corruption
The divide between individual (bad apples) and structural (bad barrels) explanations runs deep through corruption research. This divide is bridged when individual corruption propensities and corrup...
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Per-Olof H Wikström, FBA @powikstrom.bsky.social · 29/08/2025
Time for a new wave of PADS+ data collection. Visiting the PADS+ office meeting Kyle and Beth, and our new research assistants (Katie, Rhianna, Giulia) who will be doing the most important job interviewing the participants. And of course it was time for a coffee!
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Jose Pina-Sánchez 🇪🇺 @jpinasanchez.eurosky.social · 15/08/2025
'Exploring the effect of motor #traffic on street #crime'. New preprint with @toby-davies.bsky.social jmpinasanchez.github.io/static/Traff... When neighbourhoods are affected by 'heavy traffic' perceptions of vandalism, burglary and theft grow from 6% to 9%, and that is most likely an underestimate.
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Matt Ashby @mattashby.com · 05/08/2025
Politicians too often think that crime problems can be solved by passing a new law, because that’s what they know how to do. Sometimes a new law is needed, but much more often the solution lies in better implementation of existing laws, or in doing things that have nothing to do with criminal law.
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Matt Ashby @mattashby.com · 09/07/2025
Well this is fascinating: only 1% of 300 members of the public felt a police officer should be dismissed for taking sick leave to go to a family event after being denied annual leave, and only 24% would dismiss an officer who liked a racist WhatsApp joke. doi.org/10.1007/s112...
doi.org
Is misconduct worse when a cop does it? Public perceptions of police misconduct - Journal of Experimental Criminology
Purpose To test how the public perceives the seriousness of types of police misconduct, what they think the appropriate punishments are, and whether they view police misconduct as worse than similar…
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Andrzej Uhl @andrzej-uhl.bsky.social · 10/07/2025
PhD advisors: read the classics in your field The classics in my field:
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Charles C. Lanfear @clanfear.bsky.social · 20/06/2025
New at JQC: Dan Nagin, Christoph Engel, and I use a lab experiment to examine a key mechanism of informal socail control: when can offenders be deterred by bystanders with the capacity to punish? link.springer.com/article/10.1...
link.springer.com
When Do Guardians Deter Offending? An Experimental Test of Informal Social Control Mechanisms - Journal of Quantitative Criminology
Purpose To inform community theories of informal social control, we test the circumstances under which private citizens can be effective in deterring would-be offenders and identifying characteristics...
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David Buil-Gil @davidbuil.bsky.social · 12/05/2025
New pub alert 🍾 The most challenging yet rewarding paper I’ve worked on: 3y from idea to publication in BJC! I explore how unstructured spare time shapes individual and temporal differences in crime, and propose a spare time model in criminology. doi.org/10.1093/bjc/...
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Christoph Herrmann @c-herrmann-ch.bsky.social · 25/04/2025
In our new paper, published in Deviant Behaviour, we combine experimental video scenarios and process tracing to open the black box of criminal decision-making. New insights for Situational Action Theory. By C. Herrmann, @andrzej-uhl.bsky.social, and K. Treiber www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
Peeking into the Black Box of Offender Decision-Making: A Novel Approach to Testing Situational Action Theory’s Perception Choice Process
Situational action theory’s perception-choice process explains how individual traits and setting characteristics interact to produce criminal behavior. Specifically, it identifies the cognitive mec...
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Pablo Ezquerra @pezquerra.bsky.social · 24/04/2025
Very fresh out of the oven! Our last paper with @nicotrajtenberg.bsky.social. Has loads of cool plots for everyone to enjoy (?) www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
sciencedirect.com
An item response theory approach to punitive attitudes
Concerns about how punitive attitudes are measured are long-standing in the academic literature. However, empirical research in this area has often ov…
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Andrzej Uhl @andrzej-uhl.bsky.social · 05/04/2025
This seems v. relevant to crim methods debates: people often lack insight into their own decision-making processes. If you ask them (e.g. in an interview) why they did something, they confabulate, come up with post-hoc rationalizations, miss factors that must have influenced their choice Link below
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Jose Pina-Sánchez 🇪🇺 @jpinasanchez.eurosky.social · 03/04/2025
I am using this for the upcoming pitch for our Quantitative Pathway in Criminology. Want to change the world? Learn some data analysis.
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Nick Huntington-Klein @nickchk.com · 01/04/2025
The second edition of The Effect is now available for preorder! This version has a whole new chapter on Partial Identification, a considerable update on staggered treatment and control variables in DID, and zillions of other little updates throughout. www.routledge.com/The-Effect-A...
routledge.com
The Effect: An Introduction to Research Design and Causality
The Effect: An Introduction to Research Design and Causality, Second edition is about research design, specifically concerning research that uses observational data to make a causal inference. It is s...
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Per-Olof H Wikström, FBA @powikstrom.bsky.social · 29/03/2025
Cumulative risk as a marker of social context New open access paper by myself and Kyle Treiber in which we suggest and preliminary test an explanation of the phenomenon of cumulative risk in the study of crime doi.org/10.1002/cbm....
doi.org
Cumulative Risk as a Marker of Social Context
Background This paper takes on ‘Farrington's challenge’ ‘to bridge the gap between risk factor research and more complex explanatory theories’ by offering an explanation for the unexplained statisti.....
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Per-Olof H Wikström, FBA @powikstrom.bsky.social · 25/03/2025
Just published SAT inspired paper by Saeed Kabiri in Journal of Criminal Justice: Hunting in the digital jungle: Exploring cyberstalking with higher order moderation in situational action theory.
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Paul Bloom @paulbloomatyale.bsky.social · 24/03/2025
New post! smallpotatoes.paulbloom.net/p/is-it-natu...
smallpotatoes.paulbloom.net
"Is it nature or is it nurture?" is a damn good question
Some psychologists are confused about this
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Beth Hardie @bethhardie.bsky.social · 23/03/2025
Nice thread on graphs!
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Andrzej Uhl @andrzej-uhl.bsky.social · 22/03/2025
ggplot2 figures are great but imho a touch of Canva/PowerPoint can bring them to another level (before-after)
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Matt Ashby @mattashby.com · 18/03/2025
Please, I’m begging you: use ordinary language when choosing titles for your articles. Should readers really need to know what both “servitization” and “entrepreneurial bricolage” mean to know what your article is about? (Yes, I know I’ve said all this before.)
A screenshot of an article in the British Journal of Criminology titled “Competing Through Service: Entrepreneurial Bricolage and the Servitization of Local Drug Markets”
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Andrzej Uhl @andrzej-uhl.bsky.social · 12/03/2025
🚨New paper🚨 Judges (🇵🇱) make suspended sentences longer compared to what they’d give the same offender if they hadn’t suspended his/her sentence. This might increase prison populations, even though judges’ intention was to keep offenders out of prison: link.springer.com/article/10.1...
link.springer.com
The Damocles effect: judges may inflate the duration of suspended prison terms by over 50% - Journal of Experimental Criminology
Objective Legal scholars suspect that judges choose longer prison terms when they are going to suspend the sentence. This study examines this so-called sentence inflation in a controlled condition, ho...
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CrimRxiv @crimrxiv.com · 11/03/2025
dlvr.it
The Road to Hell and Criminological Theory: Intention-Behavior Gaps in Crime
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Paul Bloom @paulbloomatyale.bsky.social · 10/03/2025
New post! smallpotatoes.paulbloom.net/p/its-fine-i...
smallpotatoes.paulbloom.net
It's fine if your studies don't work outside the lab
In praise of theoretical psychology
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Andrzej Uhl @andrzej-uhl.bsky.social · 28/02/2025
🚨Preprint🚨 Political psychologists might have got the personality-level predictors of punitiveness wrong by using circular research design and vague operationalizations A manuscript with Malia Marks and Paweł Ostaszewski (accepted by Political Psychology) osf.io/preprints/ps...
osf.io
OSF
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Per-Olof H Wikström, FBA @powikstrom.bsky.social · 26/02/2025
New open access paper by Christoph Hermann: A framework for testing theories of criminal decision-making using VR scenarios and process tracing and its application to situational action theory. Link: t.co/PFyh3cRiVM
t.co
https://doi.org/10.1080/1068316X.2025.2466073
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Andrzej Uhl @andrzej-uhl.bsky.social · 24/02/2025
JQ has just published the new research on white-collar criminals after prison by Diana Sun & Michael Benson. Looks like some aspects of reentry (stigma, publicity) are tougher on middle-class offenders despite all the social support they otherwise enjoy www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
Resiliency in Reentry, Sensitivity in Strangers: An Examination of White-Collar Offenders and Their Reentry Process
Research shows that people who commit federal white-collar offenses come from a different social and demographic background than people who commit other federal offenses. White-collar offenders are...
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Arne Semsrott @arnesemsrott.bsky.social · 23/02/2025
Hier ist das Wahlergebnis umgerechnet auf die gesamte Bevölkerung. Der neue Bundestag wird gewählt von nur 51% der Menschen in Deutschland. Es gibt mehr Menschen ohne deutschen Pass, die von der Wahl ausgeschlossen werden, als AfD-Wähler. Wen repräsentiert der Bundestag?
Das Ergebnis der Bundestagswahl plus Stimmen von Nichtwählern, Menschen ohne deutschen Pass und Minderjährigen. Danach hat die Union 17%, SPD und Grüne 8%, Linke 3%, AfD 12 %, Sonstige 8%, Nictwähler 16%, kein deutscher Pass 12%, Minderjährige 17%
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Nico Trajtenberg 🐝 @nicotrajtenberg.bsky.social · 21/02/2025
Oldies but goldies 'Rejection of rejection: a novel approach to overcoming barriers to publication' "Dear Prof. [insert editor name] Thank you for your rejection of the above manuscript. Unfortunately, we are not able to accept it at this time..." www.bmj.com/content/351/...
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Per-Olof H Wikström, FBA @powikstrom.bsky.social · 19/02/2025
Social category differences in crime RATES is rather something that needs to be explained than something that explains. People do not commit acts of crime just because they are, for example, male, 16 years old, working class or belong to a specific ethnic group.
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Will Jennings📉🗳️ @drjennings.bsky.social · 12/02/2025
Our article 'A Crisis of Political Trust?' led by @viktorv.bsky.social is now out in @bjpols.bsky.social! We use >3,000 surveys in 143 countries between 1958 and 2019, finding that trust in representative institutions has generally been declining in recent decades. www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
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Andrzej Uhl @andrzej-uhl.bsky.social · 16/02/2025
I’ve had this situation where dodgy journals cited my research in reference list only (no mention in the main text) even though my topic wasn’t even vaguely relevant to their paper. Is it just poor editing? An invitation to a citation ring? An attempt to advertise their paper through email alerts? 🤔
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Andrzej Uhl @andrzej-uhl.bsky.social · 12/02/2025
Some celebrate women in science by misnaming one of the greatest female scientists in history and pretending she only used her husband’s name (she didn’t). Even worse are angry tribalistic comments posted only bc that name doesn’t reveal her nationality. It should be about basic respect, not about🇵🇱
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Per-Olof H Wikström, FBA @powikstrom.bsky.social · 11/02/2025
People are rule-guided creatures. The causes of their actions are situational, an outcome of how they see and choose their action alternatives when responding to motivations in the circumstance, a result of the interaction of their propensities and the settings inducements.
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Matt Ashby @mattashby.com · 11/02/2025
Suspects weren’t any more likely to resist arrest by female officers than arrest by male officers (🇧🇷). Which will come as no surprise to actual police but probably will to women haters on social media.
doi.org
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Tom Calver @tomcalver.bsky.social · 03/02/2025
A key reason why the US murder rate is so much higher than Britain’s: they have access to more guns 🔗 www.thetimes.com/article/7c54...
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Daria Przybylska @daria-przblsk.bsky.social · 27/01/2025
Excited to announce the 3rd run of our PhD conference for doctoral students researching in areas of criminology and criminal justice! We welcome submissions from PhDs at any stage of their degree, from the UK and abroad.
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Per-Olof H Wikström, FBA @powikstrom.bsky.social · 24/01/2025
A new SAT inspired paper by Herrmann, Uhl, & Treiber: "Peeking into the Black Box of Offender Decision-Making: A Novel Approach to Testing Situational Action Theory's Perception-Choice Process" www.crimrxiv.com/pub/xt9mzi8o...
crimrxiv.com
Peeking into the Black Box of Offender Decision-Making: A Novel Approach to Testing Situational Action Theory’s Perception Choice Process
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Alex Stevens @profalexstevens.bsky.social · 19/01/2025
E.g. prison sentences of 20+ years are given for drug supply offences, when there is little evidence that they have any more deterrent than 10 year sentences.
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Daniel Lakens @lakens.bsky.social · 19/01/2025
People, just stop doing Frontiers special issues. Find a nice diamond open access journal, and self-publish and collaboratively peer review the set of papers you all want to write. Do not give Frontiers money. They add no value. If anything, they hurt your reputation. MDPI is of course even worse.
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