Andrew Dessler @andrewdessler.com · 2hThis Kevin you're referring to, is it the Kevin wave that's going to hit California? 470
Reposted by Andrew DesslerDaniel Swain @weatherwest.bsky.social · 7hIn other words: This meme is a surprisingly accurate scaled depiction of the magnitude of the 2026 El Niño event vs the 1997 event *if using the absolute index.* But if using the relative index, Danny DeVito is currently the same height as Arnold Schwarzenegger. And either pairing is striking... 👀 513233
Reposted by Andrew DesslerRobert Rohde @rarohde.bsky.social · 20hTemperatures in the Central Pacific El Niño region are the hottest ever measured (top panel), and far above any other El Niño at this time of year. But, if you adjust for the warming of the global ocean, the current trajectory is not so different from other very strong events. 58538
Andrew Dessler @andrewdessler.com · 10ha lot of people are going to be asking, "who's this Kevin guy and why is raising sea level?" 230
Andrew Dessler @andrewdessler.com · 30/09/2026I don’t care what the polls say. There’s one group that can F this up, it’s the Democrats. gift link 🎁: www.theatlantic.com/politics/202...theatlantic.comCan the Polls Possibly Be Right?Democrats are now favored to take back the Senate, a prospect that seemed far-fetched a year ago. 0257
Andrew Dessler @andrewdessler.com · 29/09/2026I wrote about it here on The Climate Brink: www.theclimatebrink.com/p/the-mercha...theclimatebrink.comThe Merchants of Doubt are coming for Extreme Event Attribution scienceDoubt is still their product 052
Andrew Dessler @andrewdessler.com · 29/09/2026Merchants of Doubt are going after extreme event attribution www.politico.com/news/2026/09...politico.comInside the anti-climate campaign against researchersA POLITICO investigation reveals more than 100 open records requests demanding documents from climate scientists nationwide. 12613
Andrew Dessler @andrewdessler.com · 29/09/2026I think the more likely outcome is that those students will simply choose other classes, which is an even better outcome for fossil fuel interests. 100
Andrew Dessler @andrewdessler.com · 29/09/2026In Texas, the State is removing climate change courses from the core curriculum. They have decided that climate change is just too dangerous to teach the students. This is indoctrination. I wrote an oped about it in the SA Express-News. Gift link: www.expressnews.com/opinion/comm...expressnews.comTexas can’t hide from climate change by stopping students from learning about itTexas has removed climate change courses from core curriculum at public universities. Ignoring climate change will not serve the state. 512874
Andrew Dessler @andrewdessler.com · 28/09/2026Like Susan Collins, Alito has counted votes and understands that his side still wins if he takes the does the bare minimum to look a bit less corrupt. 1290
Andrew Dessler @andrewdessler.com · 28/09/2026Next unlikely headline: 'Rossby' wave seen hanging out with Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce 0210
Andrew Dessler @andrewdessler.com · 28/09/2026never expected to see Kelvin wave in a newspaper headline www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026...theguardian.comConcern mounts over slow-moving, planetary-scale ‘Kelvin’ wave heading for CaliforniaThe ocean phenomenon could raise sea levels by up to a foot as El Niño keeps warm water trapped along the coast 810423
Reposted by Andrew DesslerAbdul El-Sayed @abdulelsayed.bsky.social · 28/09/2026Mike Rogers is a corporate sellout who moves back to Michigan every few years to run for office to take another swing at the revolving door of corporate politics. 314162554557
Andrew Dessler @andrewdessler.com · 26/09/2026my thought was what kind of crater that would leave: 35 lbs at several km per sec. it would not gently land in your yard. 130
Andrew Dessler @andrewdessler.com · 26/09/2026anyone else in a meteorology dept. get Qs about meteors/meteorites? 4223
Reposted by Andrew DesslerBob Kopp @bobkopp.net · 26/09/2026The literature about changes in nor’easters due to climate change is clear about two things: 1) more intense precipitation due to a warmer atmosphere, and 2) more extensive coastal flooding due to higher sea levels 315449
Reposted by Andrew DesslerAndrew Dessler @andrewdessler.com · 26/09/2026The total number of tropical cyclones on Earth is pretty constant — around 80 per year — so if there are few in the Atlantic, we would expect to see a lot in other basins. 1397
Andrew Dessler @andrewdessler.com · 26/09/2026Note that we don't understand what regulates tropical cyclone numbers so my statement that the number is basically constant is an inference from the limited historical record. Take it with a grain of salt. 1260
Andrew Dessler @andrewdessler.com · 26/09/2026The total number of tropical cyclones on Earth is pretty constant — around 80 per year — so if there are few in the Atlantic, we would expect to see a lot in other basins. 1397
Andrew Dessler @andrewdessler.com · 25/09/2026I would disagree with this. MDPI is/was certainly a predatory publisher, but I agree that some of its journals cross the line into “credible”. I would also include Remote Sensing in the list of reasonable journals.  110
Andrew Dessler @andrewdessler.com · 24/09/2026The paper is absolute trash, so it deserved to be retracted, I’m just trying to figure out how it happened. The journalist wouldn’t retract unless someone complained. 270
Andrew Dessler @andrewdessler.com · 24/09/2026MDPI started out as a predatory publisher but has been trying to become legitimate. So I’m not surprised it got published. And I suppose retracting it helps get credibility so maybe that’s not that surprising either. 341
Andrew Dessler @andrewdessler.com · 24/09/2026That's impressive. With a class of 100, I end up knowing 20 students: the 10 best and 10 worst. 100
Andrew Dessler @andrewdessler.com · 24/09/2026Thanks. I wonder if the author gets his page charges back. 040
Andrew Dessler @andrewdessler.com · 24/09/2026does anyone know the backstory of this retraction? www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/14... 7163
Andrew Dessler @andrewdessler.com · 24/09/2026faculty tweeps: How many students do you need to have before you feel OK not knowing all of their names. I feel OK not knowing students' names in a class of 100, but I would feel terrible for a class of 20. 360
Andrew Dessler @andrewdessler.com · 24/09/2026Letting Hader throw so many pitches was a risk that didn't pay off. Hader obviously not available today and I wonder if he'll be available tomorrow. Unless the Astros or Rangers go 4-0, the winner of the AL West in 2026 will set a record for worst record to win a division. 010
Reposted by Andrew DesslerBob Kopp @bobkopp.net · 22/09/2026NEW PAPER: In a new paper, jointly published in @agu.org Earth's Future & @ametsoc.org BAMS, and co-led by Melissa Kenney, @costasamaras.com and me, 175 authors outline priorities to guide the future of scientific assessments of climate change in the United States. 🧵doi.orgResearch Priorities for Robust Climate Assessments in the United StatesA network of climate assessments plays a critical role in synthesizing the state of science to support evidence-based decision-making To support future U.S. and sub-national climate assessments, ... 114782
Andrew Dessler @andrewdessler.com · 20/09/2026Donald J. Trump: The best climate president in history 2424
Andrew Dessler @andrewdessler.com · 20/09/2026I keep getting emails like this, which makes me worry that I am not doing something that I should be. 120
Andrew Dessler @andrewdessler.com · 20/09/2026Somehow – and I have no idea how this happened – I am the administrator for Texas A&M on huggingface.  Yes, I know, with great power comes great responsibility.  2151
Andrew Dessler @andrewdessler.com · 19/09/2026.@jimmykimmel.com posted his interview with @jamestalarico.bsky.social on YouTube. www.youtube.com/watch?v=WLDE...youtube.comJimmy Kimmel’s Interview with James Talarico That the FCC Doesn’t Want You To SeeYouTube video by Jimmy Kimmel Live 1105
Reposted by Andrew DesslerAbdul El-Sayed @abdulelsayed.bsky.social · 18/09/2026Mike Rogers couldn't be bothered to show up to the debate, but here's what I would have asked him if he wasn't such a coward: 142101282921
Reposted by Andrew DesslerPeter Gleick @petergleick.bsky.social · 18/09/2026Given the outrageous, dangerous, and outright false statements made about how the polio (and other) vaccine was a "fraud" (at the Children's Health Defense conference), here's a reminder of what a massive success it was. RFK Jr. & his minions must be stopped from destroying the US healthcare system. 9300133
Andrew Dessler @andrewdessler.com · 18/09/2026I'm sure someone will come here to say this, so let me get it out first: you should be skeptical of trends from reanalysis systems. Changes in the data being ingested can create spurious trends or remove real ones. 090
Andrew Dessler @andrewdessler.com · 18/09/2026I got a question from @afreedma.bsky.social about what the models show. Here's global average precipitable water for Aug. from CMIP6 models. PWAT increases more in the models than in the observations. The disagreement appears to be linked to a lack of increase in the observations prior to 2000. 1141
Andrew Dessler @andrewdessler.com · 18/09/2026I was going to make that exact joke but you beat me to it. 170
Andrew Dessler @andrewdessler.com · 17/09/2026nb: vapor/vapour is a joke I always make bsky.app/profile/andr... 3150
Andrew Dessler @andrewdessler.com · 17/09/2026Nice article by @readfearn.bsky.social about the Aug. 2026 record in atmospheric water vapor. My only criticism: they misspelled vapor throughout the article. Come on, guys, use a spellchecker next time. www.theguardian.com/environment/...theguardian.comPlanet’s atmosphere breaks record for water vapour levels increasing risk of extreme heat and rainfallGlobal heating contributes to record, with a warmer atmosphere able to hold more water, scientists say 13329
Reposted by Andrew DesslerGlenn Branch @glennbranch.bsky.social · 16/09/2026"The Atmosphere Just Set a Water Vapor Record," writes Andrew Dessler (@andrewdessler.com) at The Climate Brink.theclimatebrink.comThe Atmosphere Just Set a Water Vapor RecordMore water vapor means more rocket fuel for extreme rain — so this record is not good news 11264138
Reposted by Andrew DesslerJustin S. Mankin @jsmankin.bsky.social · 16/09/2026"The amendment misconstrues the design and purpose of emissions scenarios; imposes an ad hoc evaluation standard that no emissions scenario ... can meet; [and] it would create confusion and errors into an assessment that already effectively and accurately communicates scenario dependence." 074
Reposted by Andrew DesslerZeke Hausfather @zekehausfather.com · 14/09/2026US Energy Data is an awesome new dashboard by @hannahritchie.bsky.social and the @ifp.bsky.social team that takes data from the inimitable DOE EIA and makes it far more accessible to the broader community: usenergydata.orgusenergydata.orgUnderstanding America's energy systemTrack and understand the numbers behind US energy — year by year, and state by state. 15122
Reposted by Andrew DesslerRyan Stauffer @ryanswx.bsky.social · 17/09/2026The Montreal Protocol was signed on this date in 1987. The greatest environmental treaty in history. With the current intense polar vortex, 25 years ago we would be observing one of the largest ozone holes on record. Today, a sizable ozone hole, and a sign of slow healing. ozonewatch.gsfc.nasa.gov 13715
Reposted by Andrew DesslerAndrew Dessler @andrewdessler.com · 15/09/2026I did a podcast with CBC (Canadian Broadcasting Corp) about El Nino. It turned out pretty good. urldefense.com/v3/__https:/...urldefense.comIs this Super El Niño a peek into forever weather?Podcast Episode · What on Earth? · September 12 · 25m 1258
Reposted by Andrew DesslerLaura Routh @laurarouth.bsky.social · 16/09/2026“The atmosphere holds more water vapor than it used to because it is warmer than it used to be. August 2026 saw the highest water vapor levels in the modern record due to the extreme warmth from climate change and the El Niño.” 0102