iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Reposted by Alex O. Diaz

Thomas HD @degolierthomas.bsky.social · 03/10/2026

Brazilian Presidential Poll (CNT/MDA for the National Transportation Confederation) 2,007 V (30 sep-2 Oct) 1st Round (Valid pushed votes) 47.8% Lula (PT) 42.1% Flávio Bolsonaro (PL 3.6% Escritor Avante Curry (Avante) 3.4% Ronaldo Caido (PSD) 1.7% Renan Santos (Missão .9% Zema (Novo)

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Alex O. Diaz @alexodiaz.bsky.social · 03/10/2026

This seems in line with the practice of Republicans hiding their party label in ads now.

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Pinky Herman @walkerbrown.bsky.social · 02/10/2026

Similarly, Stephanie Bice’s new ad in OK-5 (Trump +18) features no mention of Republicans or Trump

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Alex O. Diaz @alexodiaz.bsky.social · 02/10/2026

Curious to see if any Democrat will put a Senate block on hearings or whether they'll follow the old principles of bipartisanship.

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Alex O. Diaz @alexodiaz.bsky.social · 02/10/2026

Today I received a lit drop from Adriana Guzman Fralick (R) whom is running for Attorney General in NV. Her lit made no mention of being a Republican or MAGA. I'm curious to know what internal polling looks like for Republicans in Nevada if they're trying to hide the fact that they're Republicans.

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VoteHub @votehub.com · 02/10/2026

NEWS — Bernie Sanders will campaign with Troy Jackson in Maine, per POLITICO. Sanders is scheduled to join Jackson for three rallies, beginning October 10.

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Taniel @taniel.bsky.social · 02/10/2026

Kansas has 4 former, living GOP governors. Two have now endorsed Adam Hamilton, the Dem, for Senate. Mike Hayden just penned this oped in the Kansas City Star this morning; Adam Graves had done the same last month.

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Ben McAdams (The Resurrection Arc) @purrtah.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

Average bluesky comment I’ll get is: “how can Republicans in a place where Trump won by double digits and has no voters in living memory that had a Democrat representative still be supporting the Republican candidate. Im from New York City btw” Crazy i know but conservatives exist

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Alex O. Diaz @alexodiaz.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

Trump is now an unofficial Talarico booster.

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Alex O. Diaz @alexodiaz.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

When Republicans have a polling lead of 1 pt: "Media: Republicans are popular and have a complete mandate to rule without conpromising." When Democrats lead by 8 pts: "Media: I'm not quite convinced that Democrats are popular, they'll have to reach across party lines to govern."

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Alex O. Diaz @alexodiaz.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

Political Yard Signs that you can only get away with in the state of Nevada.

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VoteHub @votehub.com · 30/09/2026

End of Quarter Net Trump Approval Q1 2025: 🔴 +2.1 Q2 2025: 🔴 +6.7 Q3 2025: 🔴 +10.0 Q4 2025: 🔴 +11.8 Q1 2026: 🔴 +16.0 Q2 2026: 🔴 +17.3 Q3 2026: 🔴 +23.3 Trump's net approval has decreased for seven quarters in a row.

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Alex O. Diaz @alexodiaz.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

The point where I disagree with Megan Messerly here is Lombardo being able to outpace Trump in popularity. Almost every Republican governor in Nevada had a smooth sailing for re-election since 1998 with the exception of Gibbons who was corrupt. Lombardo is in tossup race, because of ties to Trump.

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Michael McDonald @electproject.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

#earlyvote morning update 9/30: at least 600,000 people have voted in the 2026 general election 🥳https://election.lab.ufl.edu/early-vote/2026-early-voting/

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Alex O. Diaz @alexodiaz.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

Republicans trying to campaign an distance themselves from Trump won't be able to now.

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ósanwë 🦭 @isilanor.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

make no mistake they are absolutely terrified

NEW: Jim Justice (R-WV) says ICE sweeps disrupting communities

“you're dragging people away that have lived on your street corner for 15 years, and I don't know that we need to be doing that”

“To get better, the first thing you got to do is admit you're doing something wrong”

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Marc Elias @marcelias.bsky.social · 29/09/2026

The government's AI chatbot is able to say something that no Trump nominee is allowed to.

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Alex O. Diaz @alexodiaz.bsky.social · 28/09/2026

Picture: Representative Tom Kean Jr. sitting in congress.

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VoteHub @votehub.com · 28/09/2026

RACE RATING CHANGE: CA-06 Likely D → Solid D Richard Pan’s chances of defeating Kevin Kiley in the redrawn Sacramento-area CA-06 have risen above 95% in our forecast.

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Alex O. Diaz @alexodiaz.bsky.social · 27/09/2026

Trump references have been reinstated in Byron Donalds website.

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Alex O. Diaz @alexodiaz.bsky.social · 27/09/2026

Welp, Trump is cooked with the Mexican Food Vendor vote. I bought a drink from an older lady and she went on to say that her special drinks are 10 bucks now and that its Trumps fault because he is raising the prices in Walmart, Sam's Club, Costco etc.

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Alex O. Diaz @alexodiaz.bsky.social · 26/09/2026

If JBE had ran, that poll would have had the Democrats in the lead in Louisiana.

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Alex O. Diaz @alexodiaz.bsky.social · 25/09/2026

David Flippo's internal polling must be pretty bad if the NVGOP is asking the FBI to kick dirt in the NV-02 congressional race.

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Aaron Reichlin-Melnick @reichlinmelnick.bsky.social · 24/09/2026

Incredible. First Secretary Mullin claimed that DHS had identified 15,903 noncitizens on Nevada’s voter roll. Then DHS officials told a skeptical Nevada, no no no, that’s just people we flagged. Here are the names of 185 people we KNOW aren’t citizens. All 185 were citizens. DHS got 100% wrong.

When the Department of Homeland Security sent Nevada a list of 185 names last month that it claimed identified noncitizens who had been improperly allowed to register to vote, state election officials got to work.
On Tuesday, the state sent a strongly worded rebuke to the federal government: Every single person on the list was a lawful citizen.
"As for the 185 individuals, our records indicate that they were citizens," Greg D. Ott, a deputy attorney general in Nevada, wrote, according to a copy of a letter sent to Department of Homeland Security officials obtained through open records requests.
"You have provided nothing of substance to suggest otherwise."

Following the meeting, Ms. Vogt sent a clarifying email to Nevada officials. "I also wanted to be sure I clarified that we did not reduce the 15,903 to 185," she wrote. "We've manually reviewed some of the 15,903 and confirmed 185 are not U.S. Citizens."
Now, Nevada officials are saying even that 185 number is wrong. They also took issue with a letter D.H.S. sent them in early September, in which the agency reiterated its initial claims about nearly 16,000 noncitizens on the rolls and pressured state officials to review each case in a letter to Nevada officials in early September.

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Alex O. Diaz @alexodiaz.bsky.social · 24/09/2026

My word of advice for reading polls is not to read too much into one poll. Look for a good quality aggregator that will show you the trend line honestly. The trend paints an approximate picture of voter sentiment. Some polls are accurate, and others will be off. You won't know until election day.

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G Elliott Morris @gelliottmorris.com · 23/09/2026

Begging pollsters to just stop for a single hour releasing new surveys with the president hitting new lows so I can finalize these graphs for an article

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Alex O. Diaz @alexodiaz.bsky.social · 23/09/2026

Pundits acquiesced to the idea that Latino voters were Roman Catholic like Italian American voters and would realign based on that. Republicans decided to double down on racism and do Operation Wetback 2.0 after 2024. This is the opposite social experience of what Italian Americans had after '52.

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Alex O. Diaz @alexodiaz.bsky.social · 23/09/2026

A Diesel export ban sounds like you're robbing Peter to Pay Paul.

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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 23/09/2026

* US ENERGY SECRETARY CHRIS WRIGHT SAYS DIESEL EXPORT BAN WOULD NOT WORK * WRIGHT SAYS US DIESEL EXPORT BAN WOULD RAISE GASOLINE AND JET FUEL PRICES @reuters.com $XOM $CVX $OSX

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Alex O. Diaz @alexodiaz.bsky.social · 23/09/2026

So this why Abbotts campaign double down on negative ads.

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G Elliott Morris @gelliottmorris.com · 23/09/2026

Yes. here you go. Trump’s approval is significantly below where it was in 2018

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Alex O. Diaz @alexodiaz.bsky.social · 23/09/2026

Texas Senate and Texas Gov folks.

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Mrs. Detective PikaBOO, Esq. @clapifyoulikeme.favrd.social · 22/09/2026

I don’t think rerouting a bus is like Nazi Germany

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Alex O. Diaz @alexodiaz.bsky.social · 22/09/2026

RINO alert ⚠️ RINO alert ⚠️

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Alex O. Diaz @alexodiaz.bsky.social · 22/09/2026

I don't use Twitter at all, so I have no idea what Jon Ralston is saying these days outside of NV Independent website articles. So if our hunch overlaps, its highly likely a convergence in Nevada Political thought.

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Alex O. Diaz @alexodiaz.bsky.social · 22/09/2026

Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball has changed numerous Gubernatorial ratings today. NV-Gov - Leans R --> Tossup OH-Gov - Leans R --> Tossup FL-Gov - Likely R --> Leans R TX-Gov - Likely R --> Leans R New Map:

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Alex O. Diaz @alexodiaz.bsky.social · 22/09/2026

People are asking me why I think Joe Lombardo is in danger of losing. NV-02 is within single digits of competitiveness. In normal political cycles Republicans would have a 10-17 pt lead. NV-02 is where Republicans pad their margins. If they're losing ground there, they're likely losing statewide.

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Alex O. Diaz @alexodiaz.bsky.social · 22/09/2026

For the past 30 years, Nevada liked to elect and re-elect moderate Republican governors. The national environment is clearly shifting in favor of the Democratic Party. Joe Lombardo is no Brian Sandoval or Kenny Guinn. He tied his political fortunes too closely around Trump and MAGA.

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Ben McAdams (The Resurrection Arc) @purrtah.bsky.social · 22/09/2026

Fox News shifts 15 races all towards Dems

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