VoteHub @votehub.com · 1hVoteHub’s Legacy model has Alaska as the Senate “majority-maker” for Democrats, delivering their 51st seat by a projected 2.5pt margin. Quantitative forecasts and prediction markets broadly agree on the relative competitiveness of Senate races, though Kalshi has Texas as the majority-maker instead. 1215
VoteHub @votehub.com · 4hvotehub.com/2026-early-v...votehub.com2026 Early Vote TrackerSee where ballots are coming from and our estimate of which candidates those voters are likely to support. 030
VoteHub @votehub.com · 4hNebraska U.S. Senate 🐂 As of Oct. 8, 2026 Total mail votes: 28,753 (+28,753) 3.9% of projected final turnout. Estimated share of mail votes: 🟣 Dan Osborn: 56.1–67.6% 🔴 Pete Ricketts: 29.4–40.9% Mail voters typically lean Democratic. VoteHub currently rates the race as Lean R. 1203
VoteHub @votehub.com · 5hOn Supreme Court term limits: Sen. Susan Collins: “Absolutely not. I’m sure that Troy wants to pack the court.” Troy Jackson: “I wouldn’t have to pack it if you didn’t put in Kavanaugh." 352649404
VoteHub @votehub.com · 5hDuring a discussion on ICE, Troy Jackson said Johan Sebastián Guerrero was murdered “because Sen. Collins was not willing to stand up to President Trump.” In response, Collins called the shooting “horrific” and said ICE must be reformed, but not abolished. 1388
VoteHub @votehub.com · 5hMaine Senate candidates clash over Trump: Sen. Susan Collins: “This Congress alone, I voted against President Trump 137 times.” Troy Jackson: “She voted a hundred times against Trump when it didn’t matter.” 28420
VoteHub @votehub.com · 5hOn healthcare, Sen. Susan Collins claimed Troy Jackson passed a “party-line” bill in Augusta that made ACA premiums “77% higher in Maine than New Hampshire.” Jackson fired back, accusing Collins of preferring “junk insurance programs.” 05612
VoteHub @votehub.com · 5hIn a discussion on affordability, Sen. Susan Collins slammed Troy Jackson for “voting against a bill to cut electric costs by $275 a year.” Jackson pushed back, calling the claim “untrue” and asking how much Americans are paying for the war in Iran. 05011
VoteHub @votehub.com · 5hIn a debate on Iran, Troy Jackson accused Sen. Susan Collins and her husband of profiting from the war. Collins called the claim “outrageous” and demanded an apology. 5319
VoteHub @votehub.com · 6hMike Collins leans into culture war issues during tonight’s Georgia Senate debate, calling Sen. Jon Ossoff a “radical” and an “extremist.” “He’s voted for men to go in girls’ sports,” Collins says. 1113
VoteHub @votehub.com · 6hNEWS — During a housing discussion, Abdul El-Sayed took a swipe at his GOP opponent Mike Rogers, saying, “I don't know what Mike intends to do with his house in Florida.” Rogers responded by taking aim at El-Sayed’s “United Arab Emirates” residence, suggesting they “swap houses.” 1194
VoteHub @votehub.com · 6hSen. Jon Ossoff takes a sharply personal tone in tonight’s Georgia Senate debate, repeatedly accusing Mike Collins of bigotry and ties to white nationalists. At one point, Ossoff says Collins has “hired half the Third Reich to staff your congressional office.” 3737
VoteHub @votehub.com · 6hNEWS — In a testy exchange, GOP Senate candidate Mike Rogers claimed Democratic Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed’s mother worked for an organization that funded Al-Qaeda. El-Sayed fired back, saying Rogers “wants this to be about anything else than his record.” 26110
VoteHub @votehub.com · 6hNEWS — GOP Senate candidate Mike Rogers accused Democratic Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed of doing “anything to win,” calling him a “manufactured candidate.” 0116
VoteHub @votehub.com · 6hThe Georgia Senate debate turns personal: Mike Collins calls Sen. Jon Ossoff a “trust fund kid who’s never had a job in his life.” Ossoff says, “Mike Collins is a bigot.” 46111
VoteHub @votehub.com · 6hNEWS — In a discussion on data centers, GOP Senate candidate Mike Rogers accused Democratic Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed of investing in them. El-Sayed called the claim a “joke,” accusing Rogers of being “bought off by big tech.” 0252
VoteHub @votehub.com · 6hNEWS — Asked whether Israel or Iran poses a greater risk to America, Democratic Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed called it a “ridiculous hypothetical.” 2301
VoteHub @votehub.com · 6hNEWS — In a discussion on Israel, Democratic Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed accused GOP Senate candidate Mike Rogers of offering “unconditional support” to a foreign government, saying that he instead wants that for “kids in our schools.” 2293
VoteHub @votehub.com · 6hNEWS — Democratic Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed called GOP Senate candidate Mike Rogers a “sock puppet” for Donald Trump’s war in Iran. In response, Rogers said he has called for an “end to the war,” accusing El-Sayed of refusing to condemn Iran’s Revolutionary Guard. 1294
VoteHub @votehub.com · 7hNEWS — In a healthcare discussion, GOP Senate candidate Mike Rogers called Democratic Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed a “glitchy A.I. chatbot” and accused him of “taking money from the Muslim Brotherhood.” El-Sayed fired back, claiming Rogers voted “19 times” to raise prescription drug prices. 0476
VoteHub @votehub.com · 7hvotehub.com/polls/votehub.comPolling AveragesTrack Trump’s approval, generic ballot, and more with VoteHub’s polling aggregate. Updated in real time with clear, transparent methodology. 030
VoteHub @votehub.com · 7hIn VoteHub’s polling averages, Democrats now lead in enough states to flip eight Senate seats and reach a 55–45 majority. But fundamentals remain considerably stronger for Republicans, meaning we forecast an average of 51.3 Democratic seats. 34512
VoteHub @votehub.com · 11hMinnesota Senate Polls since 9/14 9/30 (Big Data Poll): 🔵 Flanagan +2 9/29 (InsiderAdvantage): 🔵 Flanagan +1 9/15 (co/efficient 1): 🔵 Flanagan +1 9/15 (co/efficient 2): 🔴 Republican +1 9/14 (SurveyUSA): 🟡 Even 4112
VoteHub @votehub.com · 11hNEWS — The Senate GOP’s top super PAC is shifting nearly $2 million in advertising from Georgia to South Carolina, per AdImpact. 1379
VoteHub @votehub.com · 12hOur Georgia forecasts project the Senate race to be nearly 10pts bluer than the governor’s race, with significant ticket-splitting in Atlanta’s northern suburbs/exurbs. We currently project Ossoff to carry 7 more counties than Bottoms, including Fayette. 24713
VoteHub @votehub.com · 12hvotehub.com/2026-forecas...votehub.comVoteHub’s 2026 Midterms ForecastVoteHub is a political media organization that aims to provide top-notch, innovative coverage in three key areas: election reporting at a detailed level and in real time, public opinion survey… 042
VoteHub @votehub.com · 12hThe Iowa Senate race has narrowed substantially in the last several weeks, now nearing Tossup territory. Josh Turek (D) now leads Ashley Hinson (R) by 0.7 points in our polling average. Hinson remains narrowly favored; her chances in our forecast have fallen from over 70% a month ago to 56% today. 33614
VoteHub @votehub.com · 12hwww.nytimes.com/2026/10/08/u...nytimes.comhttps://www.nytimes.com/2026/10/08/us/elections/trump-voter-enthusiasm-midterms.html 150
VoteHub @votehub.com · 12hA Democratic wave in November may be driven more by Republicans staying home than by Dems persuading undecided voters, per @nytimes.com. In western Michigan, GOP officials report struggling to recruit volunteers as longtime Trump supporters express frustration with the president. 1277
VoteHub @votehub.com · 12h... 9/16 (co/efficient): 🔴 Hinson +4 (R) 9/11 (Cygnal): 🟡 Even (R) 9/8 (YouGov) 🔵 Turek +4 030
VoteHub @votehub.com · 12hIowa Senate Polls since 9/8 🆕 10/5 (CNN/SSRS): 🔴 Hinson +2 🆕 10/4 (Suffolk): 🔵 Turek +4 9/30 (NYT/Siena): 🔴 Hinson +1 9/29 (Quantus): 🔴 Hinson +2 9/28 (Beacon/Shaw): 🔵 Turek +2 9/23 (InsiderAdvantage): 🔵 Turek +2 9/20 (Marist): 🔵 Turek +8 9/18 (Trafalgar): 🔴 Hinson +2 (R) ... 1121
VoteHub @votehub.com · 13hNEWS — President Trump will travel to Alaska next Tuesday to rally for Sen. Dan Sullivan (R), who faces a competitive re-election bid against Democrat Mary Peltola. The visit comes just eight days after Vice President JD Vance rallied for Sullivan in Fairbanks. 2156
VoteHub @votehub.com · 13hvotehub.com/2026-early-v...votehub.com2026 Early Vote TrackerSee where ballots are coming from and our estimate of which candidates those voters are likely to support. 030
VoteHub @votehub.com · 13hOhio U.S. Senate 🏟️ As of Oct. 8, 2026 Total person-linked early votes: 63,471 (+63,471) 1.5% of projected final turnout. Estimated share of linked votes: 🔵 Sherrod Brown: 51.8–59.9% 🔴 Jon Husted: 37.9–46.1% VoteHub currently rates the race as Lean D. 1334
VoteHub @votehub.com · 18hNEWS — President Trump is calling for a debate between Ken Paxton and James Talarico, declaring Paxton “ready, willing, and able.” Talarico has already accepted five debate invitations. Paxton has declined all five. 611028
VoteHub @votehub.com · 23hwww.reuters.com/world/us/mos...reuters.comhttps://www.reuters.com/world/us/most-republicans-tight-midterm-distance-themselves-trump-reuters-review-finds-2026-10-07/ 020
VoteHub @votehub.com · 23hNearly two-thirds of Republicans in competitive House and Senate races are distancing themselves from President Trump, according to a Reuters analysis. In 41 of 62 races, GOP candidates have either broken with Trump on policy or downplayed their ties to him.reuters.comhttps://www.reuters.com/world/us/most-republicans-tight-midterm-distance-themselves-trump-reuters-review-finds-2026-10-07/ 33511
VoteHub @votehub.com · 08/10/2026Georgia Sen. Jon Ossoff and Mike Collins will face off in a town hall style debate on Thursday night at 7pm ET. The debate will air on Gray Media stations and their online platforms. 3266
VoteHub @votehub.com · 08/10/2026Michigan Senate candidates Abdul El-Sayed and Mike Rogers will face off in their first debate this Thursday night at 7pm ET. The debate will air on WOOD-TV and its online platforms, as well as nationally on NewsNation. 24412
VoteHub @votehub.com · 08/10/2026Maine Sen. Susan Collins and Troy Jackson will face off in another debate on Thursday night at 8pm ET. The debate will air on WMTW and its online platforms. 2277
VoteHub @votehub.com · 08/10/2026Kansas Sen. Roger Marshall had a 93% chance to win in our forecast just one month ago. @cookpolitical.com and others have since moved Kansas into Tossup territory. VoteHub still rates it Lean R, with fundamentals carrying significant weight in our model. 0242
VoteHub @votehub.com · 08/10/2026Our forecast now gives Adam Hamilton a better shot at flipping Kansas than Sen. Dan Sullivan has at holding Alaska. 06512
VoteHub @votehub.com · 08/10/2026Kansas Senate Polls since 9/16 🆕 10/4 (GBAO): 🔵 Hamilton +5 (D) 🆕 10/4 (YouGov): 🔵 Hamilton +4 10/1 (Trafalgar): 🔵 Hamilton +1 (R) 9/30 (NYT/Siena): 🟡 Even 9/24 (Wedgewood): 🔵 Hamilton +2 9/16 (GSG): 🔵 Hamilton +4 (D) 9/16 (Emerson) 🔵 Hamilton +1 0306
VoteHub @votehub.com · 08/10/2026votehub.com/2026-forecas...votehub.comVoteHub’s 2026 Midterms ForecastVoteHub is a political media organization that aims to provide top-notch, innovative coverage in three key areas: election reporting at a detailed level and in real time, public opinion survey… 030
VoteHub @votehub.com · 08/10/2026President Trump attacks Michigan Democratic Senate nominee Abdul El-Sayed on Truth Social, repeatedly calling him “Mohammed.” Meanwhile, El-Sayed’s chances in our forecast have climbed from 59% on Aug 15 to 74% today. We currently project a 4-point victory. 19121
VoteHub @votehub.com · 08/10/2026Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) has endorsed Amanda Janoo (D) against GOP Gov. Phil Scott, potentially signaling he sees a competitive race against a once-safe incumbent. Sanders declined to endorse Scott’s Democratic opponents in 2022 and 2024. 25712
VoteHub @votehub.com · 08/10/2026NEWS — Governors Josh Shapiro (D-PA) and Wes Moore (D-MD) both leave the door open to 2028 presidential runs, declining to commit to serving full terms if re-elected during debates with their Republican opponents. 3212
VoteHub @votehub.com · 08/10/2026NEWS — VoteHub is going live on Election Night! We’re partnering with CBS to power “The Nerd Show,” bringing election results, maps, and models to a national audience. And of course, we’ll still be posting maps and analysis here nonstop, with live results on our site. www.axios.com/2026/10/07/c...axios.comCBS News to launch election night "nerd show" for politics junkiesThe special streaming show will begin at 5pm ET, a few hours before CBS News' official election broadcast. 5351