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On Supreme Court term limits: Sen. Susan Collins: “Absolutely not. I’m sure that Troy wants to pack the court.” Troy Jackson: “I wouldn’t have to pack it if you didn’t put in Kavanaugh."

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During a discussion on ICE, Troy Jackson said Johan Sebastián Guerrero was murdered “because Sen. Collins was not willing to stand up to President Trump.” In response, Collins called the shooting “horrific” and said ICE must be reformed, but not abolished.

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Maine Senate candidates clash over Trump: Sen. Susan Collins: “This Congress alone, I voted against President Trump 137 times.” Troy Jackson: “She voted a hundred times against Trump when it didn’t matter.”

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On healthcare, Sen. Susan Collins claimed Troy Jackson passed a “party-line” bill in Augusta that made ACA premiums “77% higher in Maine than New Hampshire.” Jackson fired back, accusing Collins of preferring “junk insurance programs.”

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In a discussion on affordability, Sen. Susan Collins slammed Troy Jackson for “voting against a bill to cut electric costs by $275 a year.” Jackson pushed back, calling the claim “untrue” and asking how much Americans are paying for the war in Iran.

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In a debate on Iran, Troy Jackson accused Sen. Susan Collins and her husband of profiting from the war. Collins called the claim “outrageous” and demanded an apology.

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Mike Collins leans into culture war issues during tonight’s Georgia Senate debate, calling Sen. Jon Ossoff a “radical” and an “extremist.” “He’s voted for men to go in girls’ sports,” Collins says.

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NEWS — During a housing discussion, Abdul El-Sayed took a swipe at his GOP opponent Mike Rogers, saying, “I don't know what Mike intends to do with his house in Florida.” Rogers responded by taking aim at El-Sayed’s “United Arab Emirates” residence, suggesting they “swap houses.”

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Sen. Jon Ossoff takes a sharply personal tone in tonight’s Georgia Senate debate, repeatedly accusing Mike Collins of bigotry and ties to white nationalists. At one point, Ossoff says Collins has “hired half the Third Reich to staff your congressional office.”

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NEWS — In a testy exchange, GOP Senate candidate Mike Rogers claimed Democratic Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed’s mother worked for an organization that funded Al-Qaeda. El-Sayed fired back, saying Rogers “wants this to be about anything else than his record.”

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NEWS — GOP Senate candidate Mike Rogers accused Democratic Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed of doing “anything to win,” calling him a “manufactured candidate.”

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The Georgia Senate debate turns personal: Mike Collins calls Sen. Jon Ossoff a “trust fund kid who’s never had a job in his life.” Ossoff says, “Mike Collins is a bigot.”

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NEWS — In a discussion on data centers, GOP Senate candidate Mike Rogers accused Democratic Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed of investing in them. El-Sayed called the claim a “joke,” accusing Rogers of being “bought off by big tech.”

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NEWS — Asked whether Israel or Iran poses a greater risk to America, Democratic Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed called it a “ridiculous hypothetical.”

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NEWS — In a discussion on Israel, Democratic Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed accused GOP Senate candidate Mike Rogers of offering “unconditional support” to a foreign government, saying that he instead wants that for “kids in our schools.”

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NEWS — Democratic Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed called GOP Senate candidate Mike Rogers a “sock puppet” for Donald Trump’s war in Iran. In response, Rogers said he has called for an “end to the war,” accusing El-Sayed of refusing to condemn Iran’s Revolutionary Guard.

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NEWS — In a healthcare discussion, GOP Senate candidate Mike Rogers called Democratic Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed a “glitchy A.I. chatbot” and accused him of “taking money from the Muslim Brotherhood.” El-Sayed fired back, claiming Rogers voted “19 times” to raise prescription drug prices.

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VoteHub @votehub.com · 10h

In VoteHub’s polling averages, Democrats now lead in enough states to flip eight Senate seats and reach a 55–45 majority. But fundamentals remain considerably stronger for Republicans, meaning we forecast an average of 51.3 Democratic seats.

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Minnesota Senate Polls since 9/14 9/30 (Big Data Poll): 🔵 Flanagan +2 9/29 (InsiderAdvantage): 🔵 Flanagan +1 9/15 (co/efficient 1): 🔵 Flanagan +1 9/15 (co/efficient 2): 🔴 Republican +1 9/14 (SurveyUSA): 🟡 Even

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VoteHub @votehub.com · 10h

NEWS — The Senate GOP’s top super PAC is shifting nearly $2 million in advertising from Georgia to South Carolina, per AdImpact.

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VoteHub @votehub.com · 11h

Our Georgia forecasts project the Senate race to be nearly 10pts bluer than the governor’s race, with significant ticket-splitting in Atlanta’s northern suburbs/exurbs. We currently project Ossoff to carry 7 more counties than Bottoms, including Fayette.

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VoteHub @votehub.com · 11h

The Iowa Senate race has narrowed substantially in the last several weeks, now nearing Tossup territory. Josh Turek (D) now leads Ashley Hinson (R) by 0.7 points in our polling average. Hinson remains narrowly favored; her chances in our forecast have fallen from over 70% a month ago to 56% today.

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A Democratic wave in November may be driven more by Republicans staying home than by Dems persuading undecided voters, per @nytimes.com. In western Michigan, GOP officials report struggling to recruit volunteers as longtime Trump supporters express frustration with the president.

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Iowa Senate Polls since 9/8 🆕 10/5 (CNN/SSRS): 🔴 Hinson +2 🆕 10/4 (Suffolk): 🔵 Turek +4 9/30 (NYT/Siena): 🔴 Hinson +1 9/29 (Quantus): 🔴 Hinson +2 9/28 (Beacon/Shaw): 🔵 Turek +2 9/23 (InsiderAdvantage): 🔵 Turek +2 9/20 (Marist): 🔵 Turek +8 9/18 (Trafalgar): 🔴 Hinson +2 (R) ...

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NEWS — President Trump will travel to Alaska next Tuesday to rally for Sen. Dan Sullivan (R), who faces a competitive re-election bid against Democrat Mary Peltola. The visit comes just eight days after Vice President JD Vance rallied for Sullivan in Fairbanks.

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VoteHub @votehub.com · 17h

Ohio U.S. Senate 🏟️ As of Oct. 8, 2026 Total person-linked early votes: 63,471 (+63,471) 1.5% of projected final turnout. Estimated share of linked votes: 🔵 Sherrod Brown: 51.8–59.9% 🔴 Jon Husted: 37.9–46.1% VoteHub currently rates the race as Lean D.

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NEWS — President Trump is calling for a debate between Ken Paxton and James Talarico, declaring Paxton “ready, willing, and able.” Talarico has already accepted five debate invitations. Paxton has declined all five.

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VoteHub @votehub.com · 22h

Nearly two-thirds of Republicans in competitive House and Senate races are distancing themselves from President Trump, according to a Reuters analysis. In 41 of 62 races, GOP candidates have either broken with Trump on policy or downplayed their ties to him.

reuters.com

https://www.reuters.com/world/us/most-republicans-tight-midterm-distance-themselves-trump-reuters-review-finds-2026-10-07/

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VoteHub @votehub.com · 23h

Georgia Sen. Jon Ossoff and Mike Collins will face off in a town hall style debate on Thursday night at 7pm ET. The debate will air on Gray Media stations and their online platforms.

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Michigan Senate candidates Abdul El-Sayed and Mike Rogers will face off in their first debate this Thursday night at 7pm ET. The debate will air on WOOD-TV and its online platforms, as well as nationally on NewsNation.

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Maine Sen. Susan Collins and Troy Jackson will face off in another debate on Thursday night at 8pm ET. The debate will air on WMTW and its online platforms.

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Kansas Sen. Roger Marshall had a 93% chance to win in our forecast just one month ago. @cookpolitical.com and others have since moved Kansas into Tossup territory. VoteHub still rates it Lean R, with fundamentals carrying significant weight in our model.

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Our forecast now gives Adam Hamilton a better shot at flipping Kansas than Sen. Dan Sullivan has at holding Alaska.

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Kansas Senate Polls since 9/16 🆕 10/4 (GBAO): 🔵 Hamilton +5 (D) 🆕 10/4 (YouGov): 🔵 Hamilton +4 10/1 (Trafalgar): 🔵 Hamilton +1 (R) 9/30 (NYT/Siena): 🟡 Even 9/24 (Wedgewood): 🔵 Hamilton +2 9/16 (GSG): 🔵 Hamilton +4 (D) 9/16 (Emerson) 🔵 Hamilton +1

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President Trump attacks Michigan Democratic Senate nominee Abdul El-Sayed on Truth Social, repeatedly calling him “Mohammed.” Meanwhile, El-Sayed’s chances in our forecast have climbed from 59% on Aug 15 to 74% today. We currently project a 4-point victory.

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Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) has endorsed Amanda Janoo (D) against GOP Gov. Phil Scott, potentially signaling he sees a competitive race against a once-safe incumbent. Sanders declined to endorse Scott’s Democratic opponents in 2022 and 2024.

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NEWS — Governors Josh Shapiro (D-PA) and Wes Moore (D-MD) both leave the door open to 2028 presidential runs, declining to commit to serving full terms if re-elected during debates with their Republican opponents.

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CBS News to launch election night "nerd show" for politics junkies

NEWS — VoteHub is going live on Election Night! We’re partnering with CBS to power “The Nerd Show,” bringing election results, maps, and models to a national audience. And of course, we’ll still be posting maps and analysis here nonstop, with live results on our site. www.axios.com/2026/10/07/c...

axios.com

The special streaming show will begin at 5pm ET, a few hours before CBS News' official election broadcast.

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10/7 Forecast Update Democrats hit another all-time high in our U.S. Senate model, thanks to generally strong race polls from YouGov released yesterday. 🔵 U.S. Senate: 62.0% (+2.2% vs. last week) 🔵 U.S. House: 85.2% (-1.0% vs. last week)

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NEWS — Republican Michael Whatley’s Senate campaign has paused TV advertising in North Carolina as it rethinks its strategy, per @newsobserver.com. The move comes as outside GOP groups have also shifted millions in planned spending away from the race, including toward Kansas.

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NEWS — House GOP leaders are acknowledging their mid-decade redistricting push is unlikely to deliver all 13 seats the party initially targeted, per @axios. Majority Whip Tom Emmer says Republicans are unlikely to win all five redrawn targets in Texas or all four in Florida.

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NEWS — Democrats are sending money to the Texas governor’s race as polling tightens, per @nytimes.com. JB Pritzker and the Democratic Governors Association are each putting $1 million behind Gina Hinojosa’s campaign against Gov. Greg Abbott.

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Cuyahoga County – Person-Linked 10/6 Early Votes 1,780 Ballots Primary Voting History 🔵 Democratic – 1,186 (66.6%) ⚪️ Unclear – 507 (28.5%) 🔴 Republican – 87 (4.9%) Modeled Race 🟢 Black – 827 (46.5%) 🟣 White – 820 (46.1%) This is very early data and should not be overanalyzed.

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Michigan Senator 🚗 As of Oct. 7, 2026 Total mail votes: 248,621 (+125,055) 5.6% of projected final turnout. Estimated share of cast votes: 🔵 Abdul El-Sayed: 60.6–69.1% 🔴 Mike Rogers: 28.4–36.9% Mail votes are usually blue. VoteHub currently rates the race as Lean D.

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