As both parties scramble to identify any small advantage they can leverage to motivate voters before the midterm elections, one issue that barely registered a few years ago looms larger with each pass...

Despite a push for mid-decade redistricting, a massive reserve of cash, and an unpopular opposition party, Republicans are on track to lose their House majority this November.Unlike in 2018, the last ...

Of all the electoral subgroups to watch with less than 40 days until November 3, one matters more than any other: the cross-pressured voters who disapprove of President Donald Trump's job performance ...

Our current outlook for the Senate predicts that Democrats could net between one and five Senate seats come Election Day; they need four for a majority. But where could those gains come from among our...

With just under six weeks until Election Day, control of the Senate is on a knife’s edge as the handful of key races that will decide the majority remain within the margin of error.

From the moment he descended the golden escalator, President Donald Trump has defied the rules and laws of political gravity like no other politician in our lifetime.Trump’s staying power in our polit...

Last week, we shifted the four-way Alaska gubernatorial race one step in Democrats' direction into the Lean Republican column. But this week we have gotten further evidence that the lone Democrat in t...

A new Battleground District Project poll of the most competitive House districts in the country finds Democrats in a strong position to flip control of the chamber this fall. It also finds an electora...

The 120th Congress is on track to have one of the largest freshman classes of the past decade. A whopping 61 House members decided not to run for reelection this year — and another 11 lost their prima...

Despite headwinds against Republicans, there is one Senate race that some in both parties privately concede may be a sleeper offensive opening for the GOP: New Hampshire.

After months of uncertainty about whether GOP groups would pony up the dollars needed for Republican Ken Paxton to compete against fundraising juggernaut Democrat James Talarico, the cavalry is coming...

After a flurry of eleventh-hour court rulings, Missouri’s redistricting saga is finally coming to a close. The U.S. Supreme Court blocked a federal judge’s ruling that ordered the state to use the map...

Governors' races sometimes operate independently of the national environment, especially when issues germane to the state take on outsized influence.Although Oregon is a deep-blue state, Democrats adm...

A new survey of Texas Hispanic likely voters, conducted for The Cook Political Report and TelevisaUnivision, finds the Democratic candidates in the state’s Senate and gubernatorial contests leading th...

How will we know if 2026 is a wave election in the House? To me, the real sign of a wave year won’t be how many seats Republicans lose, but rather the types of seats that change hands.

Voters head to the polls in New Hampshire on Tuesday and in Rhode Island on Wednesday. Here’s what we’re watching.

Hispanic voters, who swung right in 2024 but have moved away from Republicans in the past year and a half, will play a major role in determining control of the House this cycle.

Two Massachusetts Democrats face primaries from much younger challengers in Tuesday’s primaries, which will be the last test of Democratic voters’ hunger for a new generation of leadership. But the outcomes may not render a clean narrative.Polls close in Massachusetts at 8.p.m. EST. Here’s what we’re watching.

With Republicans facing massive headwinds this fall, some Democrats are beginning to dream big — not just about flipping the core competitive states needed to attain a slim majority, but about reachin...

With 64 days before Election Day (although the first mail-in ballots will go out in a matter of days), Republicans should brace themselves: The three most plausible outcomes are that it will be bad, r...

Two Massachusetts Democrats face primaries from much younger challengers in Tuesday’s primaries, which will be the last test of Democratic voters’ hunger for a new generation of leadership. But the ou...

Two Massachusetts Democrats face primaries from much younger challengers in Tuesday’s primaries, which will be the last test of Democratic voters’ hunger for a new generation of leadership. But the ou...

Florida has been a mirage for Democrats during the era of President Donald Trump. Some in the party hoped the Senate race could come online thanks to Alex Vindman’s massive fundraising hauls, but his ...

The difference between a bad Election Night and a catastrophic one for Republicans hinges on whether the currently moribund GOP base shows up to vote.“The enthusiasm gap,” one Republican strategist sa...

President Donald Trump’s endorsement is on the line in a pair of statewide runoffs on Tuesday. Here’s what we’re watching on one of the primary season’s final decisive nights.

The battle for the Senate is about to intensify ahead of the traditional Labor Day starting gun. Republicans still retain a structural advantage given the partisan challenges of the map, and Democrats still need almost every key race to break their way. But as we recently wrote, in a wave election akin to 2006, even states that President Donald Trump won by double digits could move within Democrats’ reach.

One of the best ways to understand the issues driving a midterm election is to follow what the candidates are highlighting in their campaign ads.Since January, The Cook Political Report, in partnership with AdImpact, has been tracking broadcast TV ads run in every competitive House and Senate race (those rated Toss Up and Lean) and ranking the top issues that Democratic and Republican campaigns are featuring in their advertising.

This is an unusually vexing election. Political history and President Trump’s unpopularity argue for one set of outcomes, but geography and the gravitational pull of partisanship make the opposite case.

Primary voters will have their say in Florida, Wyoming and Alaska on Tuesday, setting up clashes in November that could be determinative for control of both the House and the Senate.

Senate Democrats’ path to the majority runs through decidedly Republican territory. They need to win in at least two states that President Donald Trump carried by double digits — and potentially more ...

Last night's primary results were a reminder that candidate and campaign quality matter – a lot.

Starting Aug 11 at 8:30 PM EDT

Fresh off of Abdul El-Sayed’s Democratic primary win in Michigan last week, progressives and moderates will clash again Tuesday in another pair of potentially competitive midwestern states.

Starting Aug 11 at 8:30 PM EDT

Fresh off of Abdul El-Sayed’s Democratic primary win in Michigan last week, progressives and moderates will clash again Tuesday in another pair of potentially competitive midwestern states.

Fresh off of Abdul El-Sayed’s Democratic primary win in Michigan last week, progressives and moderates will clash again Tuesday in another pair of potentially competitive midwestern states.