Prepare for fireworks on Sunday Night Football. If there’s one thing neither of these teams is known for, it is a grind-it-out, defense-first style of football. Since Jared Goff and Dan Campbell took over in Detroit, the team has ranked near the top of the NFL in offensive firepower. Bryce Young has also been hot out of the gate, posting more than 280 passing yards in each of the Panthers’ first three games. The projections for this game are sky-high, and the Vegas-implied total likely...

WEEK 4 NFL CHEATSHEET Pat Mayo is dropping the ultimate NFL Week 4 Cheat Sheet. Get the latest on key player injuries, updated fantasy football rankings, DFS ownership strategies, and top Underdog Fantasy props for Week 4. Plus, Alex Blickle stops by to talk DFS leverage and underdog plays, and fill out another Underdog entry to try and give away $1000. Plus, Adam Pranica joins Pat to break down their Circa Millions contest picks. NFL Week 4 Cheatsheet + $1,000 Giveaway & Best Prop...

This hasn't been the best start to an NFL season, to put it lightly, but we are ready to turn that around quickly. It's mostly been a lot of outlier usage that has sunk some of our unders, so I'm trusting the process here. 6 profitable seasons in a row gives you some strength to move forward. Before we get into the plays, make sure to check out Sharpstack. The odds screen is incredible, and the EV tool has been printing on CFB. Get a free 7-day trial here: https://www.4for4.com/...

UFC Salt Lake City puts Natalia Silva's spotless 8-0 UFC run on the line against Wang Cong, a women's flyweight volume machine with a +4.02 significant strike differential. The market prices Silva more confidently than the underlying data does, which makes this a main event worth handicapping closely. In the co-main, rising bantamweight Payton Talbott gets his biggest name yet in former flyweight champion Deiveson Figueiredo, testing whether youth and pace can finally close the door on a...

Week 4 Fantasy Football Rankings Pat Mayo, Jake Ciely, and Ian Hartitz break down everything you need to know for your fantasy lineup, including major running back updates on injuries (De'Von Achane, Travis Etienne, Breece Hall, Jaylen Wright, and Ollie Gordon), wide receiver movement, tight end strategies, and start/sit decisions. Find out where players like Malik Washington, Chase Brown, Saquon Barkley, and Drake Maye land in this week's expert positional tiers. 2026 Week 4 Fantasy...

Whether you are interested in turning $1 into $1.80 or $50 into $90, deploying a sound cash game strategy when you are building your lineup for Sunday main slates is crucial. Cash game fantasy grinders can run into pitfalls when they fail to recognize the main goal of cash games is to maximize median and beat, often, a small group of opponents (or maybe just one) in the quest to do so. Ceiling outcomes should be narrowly considered relative to maximizing your lineup’s projectable floor. You...

Ryan Noonan and Connor Allen welcome John Hyslop back to Move The Line for a full breakdown of the NFL Week 4 player prop market. The trio discusses their favorite passing, rushing, and receiving props across the slate, using projections, matchup data, and Prop Drops to identify the numbers and prices that stand out before kickoff. Subscribe to 4for4's Betting Package or try SharpStack free for 7 days: https://www.4for4.com/plans Watch Move The Line on YouTube: https://4for4.co/3OupraJ Join the Discord: http://discord.gg/4for4 Follow the show: https://x.com/MoveTheLineNFL Connor: https://x.com/ConnorAllenNFL | Ryan: https://x.com/RyNoonan | John: http://x.com/sloprules Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

We've added a handful of really talented analysts to the team this season, so make sure to get into our subscriber Discord. All of our plays are released there, and most Saturday night and early Sunday morning plays don't make it into this article due to time constraints. Join, head to #Role-Assign, and turn on "NFL Prop Star" to receive push notifications whenever a prop is released by the 4for4 team. Go to Channels & Roles and customize your Discord experience. This new bet tracker can...

Week 4 brings a 12-game main slate on Sunday, kicking off at 1 p.m. ET, and both sites are again featuring Millionaire Maker contests. JAX/CIN carries the highest total on the slate at 51.5, with the Bengals favored by 2.5, and NE/BUF and DAL/HOU follow at 48.5, with the Bills favored by 7.0 and the Texans by 3.0. KC/LV and DEN/SF sit at 47.5, MIA/MIN has the lowest total on the slate at 38.5, and the Bills carry the highest implied team total at 27.75, with the Bengals and Ravens (27.0),...

Short on time setting your DFS lineups? These quick positional rankings cover the top skill players on both FanDuel and DraftKings for the week. I'll publish the first look each Friday morning, then update by Sunday morning to reflect injury news from Friday practices and Saturday travel reports. Think of these rankings as a snapshot of how I see the slate shaping up, along with the players I expect to have exposure to in my own lineups. FanDuel DFS Positional Picks Quarterbacks [...

Last week I threw a little shade at the number of teams having to start backup QBs in Week 4, and apparently that train of thought was just outright misguided. The backups came through in spades , as not only did the three I pointed out last week cover their spreads, they outright won. Case Keenum came in from a multi-year starting hiatus to down the Eagles with a 110 passer rating. Marcus Mariota more or less lucked his way into a 33-31 win against a typically very stout Seahawks...

Two losing weeks in a row do not feel great. Alas, we press on. It was a pretty exciting week of NFL football; 12 one-score games in total on Sunday. We learnt a little bit more about who we can trust and who we should be wary of. I like to wait four weeks typically before jumping to bigger conclusions. Another 1-2 week; not great, but let’s recap. Week 2 Recap (1-2), Overall (5-4): How TreVeyon Henderson couldn’t get to 12 carries after amassing eight in the first half, I...

This week's historical revenge takes us back to 1941 during WWII. Devastated by her husband’s death on the Eastern Front, Mariya Vasilyevna Oktyabrskaya sold all her belongings to buy a Soviet T-34 battle tank. She named it “Fighting Girlfriend” and drove it directly into combat, becoming a legendary tank ace who crushed anti-tank guns and braved heavy artillery fire to get her revenge. Revenge is always on the minds of those done dirty, and not all NFL players who changed teams were...

Lookahead lines offer a glimpse into how bookmakers value teams before the week begins, unaffected by recency bias that can set in after watching eight hours of football earlier in the day. It's also an opportunity to act before the games are posted and sharpened on Sunday evening, after the previous week's games are complete. Depending on the bookmaker, and bettor, for that matter, you may or may not be able to get the type of action down that you'd like, depending on your unit sizing. The...

Week 4 of the NFL season kicks off with an AFC North Showdown between the Steelers and the Browns at Huntington Bank Field. Kickoff is 8:15 p.m. ET, and the Steelers are favored by 2.5 points on the road, with the total set at 38.5 points. The Steelers beat the Falcons 20-13, lost 20-3 in New England, and then beat the Bengals 30-27 on Sunday. Aaron Rodgers threw for 292 yards and three touchdowns against Cincinnati after throwing one touchdown pass in the first two games. Rico Dowdle (toe)...

Ryan Noonan and Connor Allen turn their attention to NFL Week 4 and break down the best betting opportunities across the slate. They discuss their favorite sides, totals, and team-based markets, highlighting where the numbers and matchups offer value before kickoff. Subscribe to 4for4's Betting Package or try SharpStack free for 7 days: https://www.4for4.com/plans Watch Move The Line on YouTube: https://4for4.co/3OupraJ Join the Discord: http://discord.gg/4for4 Follow the show: https://x.com/MoveTheLineNFL Connor: https://x.com/ConnorAllenNFL | Ryan: https://x.com/RyNoonan Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Evaluating offensive line play through a fantasy football lens can uncover matchup advantages that aren’t always obvious from traditional rankings or defensive fantasy points allowed. Each week, we’ll rank all 32 offensive lines, track the biggest movers, and compare those units against the opposing defense’s adjusted fantasy points allowed (aFPA) to identify the quarterback, running back, and D/ST matchups most affected by play in the trenches.

About a quarter of the field in the Splash Sports $21M Survivor World Championship got eliminated courtesy of Green Bay and Seattle last week, as the chalk choked for the second straight week. They are offering second-chance Week 3 contests, so get back in there if you were one of the casualties. We have the assistance of Sharpstack's EV Tool to guide us through this process, highlighting the win percentages of each NFL team and the optimal path, plus the option of a custom one if you...

Evaluating offensive line play through a fantasy football lens can uncover matchup advantages that aren’t always obvious from traditional rankings or defensive fantasy points allowed. Each week, we’ll rank all 32 offensive lines, track the biggest movers, and compare those units against the opposing defense’s adjusted fantasy points allowed (aFPA) to identify the quarterback, running back, and D/ST matchups most affected by play in the trenches. For Week 4, the Lions, Bears, and Vikings...

Three weeks into the season, we have just enough information to be dangerous. It's the point of the year when fantasy managers start believing they know exactly who their players are. The guy who opened with two big games is a league winner. The guy who has disappointed three straight weeks is a bust. Neither is usually true, and that gap between perception and reality is where trades get won. Each week this season, I'll be here to highlight the most notable players to Buy Low or Sell High,...

All but the luckiest fantasy owners at some point need to find the proverbial diamond in the rough—a waiver wire or bench player capable of putting up some points in a pinch. This weekly feature is dedicated to that part of fantasy football. It’s not pretty, but it’s part of the game. As of Week 4, our signature strength-of-schedule metric, adjusted fantasy points allowed, is updated for 2026 data, so the rankings you see can be trusted to a degree. Quarterbacks Bryce Young,...

Welcome to another edition of Hoopes There It Is! We’re previewing every game in Week 4, highlighting advanced stats like EPA, success rate, pass rate over expected (PROE), and completion percentage over expected (CPOE) to help make the best decisions for your fantasy teams. I’ll provide a quick start/sit section at the top that stems from the longer write-ups. And if you’re interested in more, which I hope you are, you can jump to any of the 16 games in the week. Let’s get started! Start ‘...

We’re back again looking at the breakout model picks after Week 3. Let’s give some details on how this works, but the article last week has a more thorough walkthrough. About the Breakout Receiver Model The table below shows pre-snap field position on the x-axis, and air yards on the y-axis. The numbers in the table show the average number of half PPR fantasy points that a target in that specific bucket earned in 2025. So, I made a machine learning model that looked at every target...

Pat Mayo, Jake Ciely, and Ian Hartitz break down everything you need to know for your fantasy lineup, including major running back updates on injuries (De'Von Achane, Travis Etienne, Breece Hall, Jaylen Wright, and Ollie Gordon), wide receiver movement, tight end strategies, and start/sit decisions. Find out where players like Malik Washington, Chase Brown, Saquon Barkley, and Drake Maye land in this week's expert positional tiers. 2026 Week 4 Fantasy Football Rankings: STARTS, SITS,...

Three weeks into the season, we're finally getting enough usage data to separate actual role changes from one-week box-score noise. That's where we want to live with this column. We're looking for players whose snaps, routes, targets, or backfield involvement are moving in the right direction before the fantasy production and rostership completely catch up. Injuries have also opened several new paths to playing time this week, giving us a few more speculative options than we had entering...

Three weeks are officially in the books, which means we finally get to stop pretending 2025 matchup data is doing all of the heavy lifting. 4for4's Schedule-Adjusted Fantasy Points Allowed (aFPA) now incorporates 2026 results, giving us a much more useful look at how defenses are actually performing against tight ends this season. Three games still isn't some massive sample, so routes, targets, and offensive role will remain the backbone of our decisions, but the matchup data can finally...

While Week 3 was not the best for streaming kickers, there were some epic performances for some fantasy managers, so let's keep it rolling into Week 4. In order to provide advice you can actually implement, candidates for streaming must be rostered in no more than 40% of Yahoo! fantasy leagues. As always, check 4for4’s rankings and our signature schedule-adjusted fantasy points allowed (aFPA) metric when making weekly decisions on any position. More Week 4 Streamers: QB | TE | D/ST...

While Week 3 was not the best for streaming kickers, there were some epic performances for some fantasy managers, so let's keep it rolling into Week 4. In order to provide advice you can actually implement, candidates for streaming must be rostered in no more than 40% of Yahoo! fantasy leagues. As always, check 4for4’s rankings and our signature schedule-adjusted fantasy points allowed (aFPA) metric when making weekly decisions on any position. More Week 4 Streamers: QB | TE | D/ST...

In this space, the weekly targets will range from individual players and positional groups to entire defensive units. IDP leagues are like snowflakes, so if you have specific questions, jump into our subscriber Discord, find the IDP channel, and tag me with any questions you have. Some of you play in leagues where all of these players are already owned, and some of you play in IDP leagues where only 3-4 players are rostered on each team, so the players listed below might not even be on your...

We're back for Week 4 of the streaming defense column here at 4for4, armed with more context and data. The goal, as always, is to identify the top fantasy defenses available on most waiver wires that you can pick up and play this weekend. For reference, we'll be using 50% Yahoo rostership as our benchmark — anything higher will technically be cheating (though it'll probably happen once or twice). Also, the teams will be roughly ordered as I'd rank them for the week, but you can pick and...

Despite wet conditions in some games, we still saw plenty of productive quarterbacks during Week 3. Nine of them posted at least three touchdown passes, with Brock Purdy, Sam Darnold, and Tyler Shough all throwing four each. In terms of passing yards, Matthew Stafford led the way with 390 of them in a wild loss to the Broncos on Sunday night. Week 4 is the final slate before bye weeks begin. Given the injuries at the position across the league, some fantasy managers might still be forced to...

Ryan Noonan and Connor Allen close out NFL Week 3 with a full look at the Monday Night Football player prop market. They discuss their favorite passing, rushing, and receiving props, breaking down the matchups, projections, and odds that stand out before kickoff. Subscribe to 4for4's Betting Package or try SharpStack free for 7 days: https://www.4for4.com/plans Watch Move The Line on YouTube: https://4for4.co/3OupraJ Join the Discord: http://discord.gg/4for4 Follow the show: https://x.com/MoveTheLineNFL Connor: https://x.com/ConnorAllenNFL | Ryan: https://x.com/RyNoonan | John: http://x.com/sloprules Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

I always advise being aggressive on the waiver wire early in the year. I don't like to overreact to just one week, but anchoring to priors instead of seeing what actually happened is even more dangerous. Subscribe to 4for4 for FREE today! Don't overreact to a slow performance from one of your team's anchor IDP'ers, but don't be afraid to turn over some of the players at the bottom of your roster if someone with more appealing usage or alignment is available to scoop up. My intention...

Week 3 of the NFL season wraps up with an NFC Showdown between the Eagles and the Bears at Soldier Field. Kickoff is 8:15 p.m. ET, and the line has flipped since last week. The Bears were 1.5-point favorites before Caleb Williams went down, and the Eagles are now favored by 3.5 points on the road with the total set at 41.5 points. The Bears will start Case Keenum with Williams out (hamstring) and Tyson Bagent, who didn’t clear the concussion protocol until Sunday, available as the backup....

It’s been a rough week. A week ago, I (and everyone else) pushed Broncos’ rookie Jonah Coleman as the obvious top waiver wire option. He missed practice all week and landed on injured reserve, and we got nothing in return for our high FAAB bids. We’ve already discussed how important it is to overcome poor draft picks; now comes the harsh reminder that most waiver picks will not work out. Often, those players sit on your roster for a week or two before shuffling them out. This Coleman example...

The NFL injuries are not slowing down whatsoever. There have been plenty of re-injuries, which makes me think that some of these players were rushed back a bit too early. In case you had trouble keeping up with all of them, let's dive right into it. To stay up to date on NFL injuries and for deeper explanations on mechanisms and research, check out my YouTube! Travis Etienne, RB (NO) Injury: Hamstring Projected Return: Week 5-7 If you’ve read my articles, you know how much I am...

Sunday Night Football in Week 3 features an exciting West Coast matchup between the Broncos and a Rams team that many expected to be the league’s best entering the season. As elsewhere around the NFL this week, a plethora of injuries will be key to understanding how to break down this game. On the Broncos side, J.K. Dobbins and RJ Harvey will both be active despite being limited in practice earlier in the week, while Jonah Coleman will be sidelined after being placed on injured reserve just...

Pat Mayo is dropping the ultimate NFL Week 3 Cheat Sheet. Get the latest on key player injuries, updated fantasy football rankings, DFS ownership strategies, and top Underdog Fantasy props for Week 3. Plus, Alex Blickle stops by to talk DFS leverage and underdog plays, and Adam Pranica joins Pat to break down their Circa Millions contest picks. Plus, a $1000 giveaway. NFL Week 3 Cheat Sheet: Lotto Prop Parlay, Injuries, Fantasy Rankings, DraftKings & Spread Picks WEEK 3 RB...

2026 Week 3 Fantasy Football Rankings Pat Mayo is dropping the ultimate NFL Week 3 Cheat Sheet. Get the latest on key player injuries, updated fantasy football rankings, DFS ownership strategies, and top Underdog Fantasy props for Week 3. Plus, Alex Blickle stops by to talk DFS leverage and underdog plays, and Adam Pranica joins Pat to break down their Circa Millions contest picks. Plus, a $1000 giveaway. NFL Week 3 Cheat Sheet: Lotto Prop Parlay, Injuries, Fantasy Rankings, DraftKings...

Week 3 is here, and we finally have two games of real data to work with. Usage is starting to settle, coaches are telling us who they want to get more involved, and there are still a few spots where the market hasn't caught up to what we're seeing on the field. Before we get into the plays, a quick note on SharpStack. Use promo code TD3 to get your first month for just $9, with access to all of our tools, projections, and full NFL results tracking so you can see exactly how the algorithm is...

Ryan Noonan and Connor Allen welcome John Hyslop back to Move The Line for a full breakdown of the NFL Week 3 player prop market. The trio discusses their favorite passing, rushing, and receiving props across the slate, using projections, matchup data, and Prop Drops to identify the numbers and prices that stand out before kickoff. Subscribe to 4for4's Betting Package or try SharpStack free for 7 days: https://www.4for4.com/plans Watch Move The Line on YouTube: https://4for4.co/3OupraJ Join the Discord: http://discord.gg/4for4 Follow the show: https://x.com/MoveTheLineNFL Connor: https://x.com/ConnorAllenNFL | Ryan: https://x.com/RyNoonan | John: http://x.com/sloprules Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

UFC Vegas 121 brings a classic generational clash to Las Vegas this weekend. Bantamweight prospect Raul Rosas Jr. meets 39-year-old veteran Raoni Barcelos in a fight that tests youth and relentless grappling pressure against savvy, battle-hardened striking. The co-main pits Norma Dumont's volume and composure against Ailin Perez's suffocating top control, a stylistic chess match with real divisional stakes. For DFS, Yazmin Jauregui and Rinya Nakamura are chalky but expensive anchors with...

Whether you are interested in turning $1 into $1.80 or $50 into $90, deploying a sound cash game strategy when you are building your lineup for Sunday main slates is crucial. Cash game fantasy grinders can run into pitfalls when they fail to recognize the main goal of cash games is to maximize median and beat, often, a small group of opponents (or maybe just one) in the quest to do so. Ceiling outcomes should be narrowly considered relative to maximizing your lineup’s projectable floor. You...

Week 3 brings a 13-game main slate on Sunday, kicking off at 1 p.m. ET, and both sites are again featuring Millionaire Maker contests, with one on FanDuel and multiple on DraftKings. Two games carry totals above 50 points: BAL/DAL at 53.5, with the Ravens favored by 3.5 in the Rio de Janeiro game, and LAC/BUF at 50.5, with the Bills favored by 7.0. NYJ/DET and ARI/SF follow at 48.5, TEN/NYG has the lowest total on the slate at 38.5, and the Bills carry the highest implied team total at 28.75,...

Short on time setting your DFS lineups? These quick positional rankings cover the top skill players on both FanDuel and DraftKings for the week. I'll publish the first look each Friday morning, then update by Sunday morning to reflect injury news from Friday practices and Saturday travel reports. Think of these rankings as a snapshot of how I see the slate shaping up, along with the players I expect to have exposure to in my own lineups. FanDuel DFS Positional Picks [subscribe_dfs[...

Week 1 of the NFL season set a lofty bar that, sadly, Week 2 did not quite reach. The early slate on Sunday had some sloppy, ill-disciplined football that did not reflect on the quality of the season’s opening weekend. Even sadder, we could only manage 1-2 with our player props; let’s recap... Week 2 Recap (1-2), Overall (4-2): I thought we were going to get a void on our Saquon Barkley bet. He got a stinger on his first carry of the game and subsequently missed the entire...