Whether you are interested in turning $1 into $1.80 or $50 into $90, deploying a sound cash-game strategy when building your lineup for Sunday’s main slate is crucial. Cash-game fantasy grinders can run into pitfalls when they fail to recognize that the main goal is to maximize median projection and beat what is often a small group of opponents—or perhaps just one. Ceiling outcomes should receive limited consideration relative to maximizing your lineup’s projectable floor. You can save those...

Short on time setting your DFS lineups? These quick positional rankings cover the top skill players on both FanDuel and DraftKings for the week. I'll publish the first look each Friday morning, then update by Sunday morning to reflect injury news from Friday practices and Saturday travel reports. Think of these rankings as a snapshot of how I see the slate shaping up, along with the players I expect to have exposure to in my own lineups. FanDuel DFS Positional Picks Quarterbacks [...

Week 6 brings a 10-game main slate on Sunday, kicking off at 1 p.m. ET. BUF/LV carries the highest total on the slate at 53.5, with the Bills favored by 4.5. ARI/LAR and CHI/ATL are next at 51.5, with the Rams favored by 12.5 and the Bears by 1.5. CAR/PHI has the lowest total on the slate at 38.5, and the Rams carry the highest implied team total at 32.0, with the Bills (29.0), the Bears (26.5), the Colts (25.75), and the Patriots (25.5) behind them. Injuries are shaping the slate again. The...

Ryan Noonan and John Hyslop take over the Week 6 player prop show with Connor Allen away traveling. They break down their favorite passing, rushing, and receiving props across the slate, using projections, matchup data, and Prop Drops to identify the numbers and prices that stand out before kickoff. Subscribe to 4for4's Betting Package or try SharpStack free for 7 days: https://www.4for4.com/plans Watch Move The Line on YouTube: https://4for4.co/3OupraJ Join the Discord: http://discord.gg/4for4 Follow the show: https://x.com/MoveTheLineNFL Connor: https://x.com/ConnorAllenNFL | Ryan: https://x.com/RyNoonan | John: http://x.com/sloprules Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Week 5 was another winning week, bringing me up to 27-14-1 (65.9%) on the season to date, good for +11.2 units and a 24.2% ROI. I'm up to 13-2 on IDP prop releases this season (12-2 on tackles and assists), so jump in and join us! We've added a handful of really talented analysts to the team this season, so make sure to get into our subscriber Discord. All of our plays are released there, and most Saturday night and early Sunday morning plays don't make it into this article due to time...

Now that is more like it. I did say four weeks of data is typically enough to get a good grasp on what is going on in this league. Before we recap Week 5, I cannot tell you how close I was to tipping a Carnell Tate prop. I had written it all out, but something in the back of my mind was telling me to veer off, and I pivoted to Garrett Wilson instead. As we discovered just five minutes into Sunday’s early slate, this was a pretty good decision. As I said before, I wasn’t totally sold on the...

This week's revenge story takes us back to 1981. A year earlier, a German woman named Marianne Bachmeier's daughter Anna was abducted by Klaus Grabowski, a local butcher. He sexually assaulted and then strangled the seven-year-old before dumping her body on the shore of a canal. Bachmeier attended Grabowski's trial, snuck a pistol into the courtroom, and shot him dead before the trial could continue. She was later convicted of manslaughter in 1983 and sentenced to six years in prison, but...

Thursday Night Football brings a matchup between the Seahawks and Broncos in Denver. Before the game, want to test your knowledge of players on either team? Try to guess a player in tonight's game from just 4 clues. Guess the Player from 4 Clues (SEA vs DEN) Give it a shot! Here are your four clues for a player taking the field on Thursday Night Football between the Broncos and Seahawks on October 15. *Keep scrolling to see the answer... Seahawks at Broncos at 8:15 pm ET You...

Week 6 of the NFL season kicks off with an interconference Showdown between the Seahawks and the Broncos at Empower Field at Mile High. Kickoff is 8:15 PM ET, and the Seahawks are favored by 2.5 points on the road, with the total set at 40.5 points. The defending Super Bowl champion Seahawks are 3-2, with both losses coming by three points or fewer, and they rank eighth in the league at 26.8 points per game. Jaxon Smith-Njigba won Offensive Player of the Year last season after leading the...

Lookahead lines offer a glimpse into how bookmakers value teams before the week begins, unaffected by recency bias that can set in after watching eight hours of football earlier in the day. It's also an opportunity to act before the games are posted and sharpened on Sunday evening, after the previous week's games are complete. Depending on the bookmaker and bettor, for that matter, you may or may not be able to get the type of action down that you'd like, depending on your unit sizing. The...

Ryan Noonan and Connor Allen turn their attention to NFL Week 6 and break down the best betting opportunities across the slate. They discuss their favorite sides, totals, and team-based markets, highlighting where the numbers and matchups offer value before kickoff. Subscribe to 4for4's Betting Package or try SharpStack free for 7 days: https://www.4for4.com/plans Watch Move The Line on YouTube: https://4for4.co/3OupraJ Join the Discord: http://discord.gg/4for4 Follow the show: https://x.com/MoveTheLineNFL Connor: https://x.com/ConnorAllenNFL | Ryan: https://x.com/RyNoonan Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

The Cowboys did some damage to Survivor pools everywhere, with 51.01% of the entries ousted in the Splash Sports $21M Survivor World Championship pool. My picks in this article went 4-1, with, of course, Dallas going down and the Bengals, Texans, and Lions getting a victory. Even my trap game hit as the Commanders and Giants ended in a weird tie. With five teams gone, four teams on a bye, and pools getting smaller, Week 6 is an interesting one. There is just one double-digit favorite...

Evaluating offensive line play through a fantasy football lens can reveal matchup advantages that traditional rankings or defensive fantasy points allowed don't always show. Each week, we’ll rank all 32 offensive lines, track the biggest movers, and compare those units against the opposing defense’s adjusted fantasy points allowed (aFPA) to identify the quarterback, running back, and D/ST matchups most affected by trench play. For Week 6, the 49ers and Raiders offer two of the slate’s...

All but the luckiest fantasy owners at some point need to find the proverbial diamond in the rough, a waiver wire or bench player capable of putting up some points in a pinch. This weekly feature is dedicated to that part of fantasy football. It’s not pretty, but it’s part of the game. Since Week 4, we’ve been using 2026 data only for our signature strength-of-schedule metric, adjusted fantasy points allowed (aFPA). The higher, the better the matchup. Quarterbacks Jordan Love, Packers...

Week 5 featured some free lessons in how to NOT win games. From the early game in London, where the Eagles had three plays to burn the final Jaguars timeout and elected to throw on first down and run out of bounds on the second down, stopping the clock themselves in both cases. In the end, the Jags had one second left on the clock after a long return to kick the game-winner. The Monday nighter had the Rams, whose offense could not be stopped all second half, try to settle for a field goal from...

A mostly poor Week 5 for me. Carnell Tate had his lowest target share of the season, while someone named Teagan Quitoriano scored two TDs for the Cardinals instead of Michael Wilson. Before pushing on to Week 6, let’s give some details on how the breakout models work. About the Breakout Receiver Model The table below shows pre-snap field position on the x-axis, and air yards are on the y-axis. The numbers in the table show the average number of half PPR fantasy points that a target in...

Welcome to another edition of Hoopes There It Is! We’re previewing every game in Week 6, highlighting advanced stats like EPA, success rate, pass rate over expected (PROE), and completion percentage over expected (CPOE) to help make the best decisions for your fantasy teams. I’ll provide a quick start/sit section at the top that stems from the longer write-ups. And if you’re interested in more, which I hope you are, you can jump to any of the 14 games this week. Let’s get started! Start ‘Em...

Time for another report card, and this one comes with a little humble pie. Christian Watson, who I told you to sell last week, caught six passes for 143 yards and two touchdowns, finishing as the WR2 with 32.3 fantasy points. Michael Wilson, one of my favorite buys, was the WR49. That’s not a great combination. The rest of the list held up better. Blake Corum found the end zone and finished as the RB13, while Ashton Jeanty (RB27) and Jalen Hurts (QB20) both struggled, just as I expected. One...

We saw the start of bye weeks in Week 5, and that ramps up in Week 6 with four more teams (Bengals, Lions, Dolphins, and Vikings) off, meaning we have to be more intentional about how we treat the bottom of our rosters. In this space, the weekly targets will range from individual players and positional groups to entire defensive units. IDP leagues are like snowflakes, so if you have specific questions, jump into our subscriber Discord, find the IDP channel, and tag me with any questions you...

Week 6 Fantasy Football Rankings Pat Mayo, Ian Hartitz, and Jake Ciely break down the latest positional rankings, buy-low trade targets, waiver wire pickups, and start/sit decisions! Whether you are navigating major bye weeks, dealing with injuries, or looking for the best streaming options at running back, wide receiver, tight end, and quarterback, this comprehensive breakdown covers it all. Plus, get expert insights on player usage, snap shares, DFS props, and betting angles to help you...

Five weeks into the season, our stash list is becoming less about guessing which preseason sleeper might eventually get a chance and more about identifying roles that are changing right in front of us. Injuries have opened several depth charts, struggling veterans are beginning to lose work, and a few young players are earning enough opportunities to make their coaching staffs reconsider the pecking order. We're still trying to beat the waiver-wire rush, but some of these situations could...

Five weeks are in the books, and the tight end streaming landscape is starting to look less like blindfolded dart-throwing. At this point, 4for4's Schedule-Adjusted Fantasy Points Allowed (aFPA) has enough 2026 data behind it to carry more weight in our weekly decisions. Routes and target earning will still be the backbone of the process, but we can be more comfortable using matchup strength to separate players with similar roles. As always, candidates for streaming must be rostered in no...

3. I’ll be here each week for a breakdown of the top waiver wire targets and players it’s time to get off your squad. For this year, the recommended additions will be available in more than 60% of Yahoo fantasy football leagues, while the Drop List will consist of players rostered in at least 50% of leagues. Each position group will also include a Watch List. If your league is deeper with larger rosters, this is the spot for you. The Overall Top 10 is prioritized by typical league...

We're without four kickers this week, with three of them in starting lineups for most of the fantasy realm, so streaming gets kicked up a notch in Week 6. Don't fret, I've got you covered wth some nice options ripe for plucking off the waiver wire. More Week 6 Streamers: QB | TE | D/ST In order to provide advice you can actually implement, candidates for streaming must be rostered in no more than 40% of Yahoo! fantasy leagues. As always, check 4for4’s rankings and our signature...

We're back for Week 6 of the streaming defense column here at 4for4, armed with more context and data. The goal, as always, is to identify the top fantasy defenses available on most waiver wires that you can pick up and play this weekend. For reference, we'll be using 50% Yahoo rostership as our benchmark — anything higher will technically be cheating (though it'll probably happen once or twice). Also, the teams will be roughly ordered as I'd rank them for the week, but you can pick and...

Although only six quarterbacks threw for at least 300 yards during Week 5, it was still a productive week for the position. Seven quarterbacks had at least three touchdown passes, including Drake Maye and Joe Burrow, providing four each. Seven quarterbacks had rushing touchdowns, including Jayden Daniels providing two scores on the ground. It’s going to be a tricky slate for quarterbacks during Week 6 with four teams on a bye, including the Lions and Bengals. That means fantasy managers who...

Ryan Noonan and Connor Allen take a final look at NFL Week 5 with a full breakdown of the Bills-Rams Monday Night Football player prop market. They discuss their favorite passing, rushing, and receiving props, highlighting the projections, matchup edges, and prices that stand out before kickoff. Subscribe to 4for4's Betting Package or try SharpStack free for 7 days: https://www.4for4.com/plans Watch Move The Line on YouTube: https://4for4.co/3OupraJ Join the Discord: http://discord.gg/4for4 Follow the show: https://x.com/MoveTheLineNFL Connor: https://x.com/ConnorAllenNFL | Ryan: https://x.com/RyNoonan Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Week 5 of the NFL season wraps up with an interconference Showdown between the Bills and the Rams at SoFi Stadium. Kickoff is 8:15 PM ET, and the Rams are favored by 3.5 points at home, with the total set at 54.5 points. The Bills are 3-1 and rank second in the league at 31.8 points per game, trailing only the Lions. Josh Allen has accounted for 13 of their 16 offensive touchdowns. His seven rushing scores are tied with Derrick Henry and Jahmyr Gibbs for the league lead, and he led all...

We're on to Week 6, with four more bye-week teams (Bengals, Lions, Dolphins, and Vikings) to navigate. This is when your depth gets tested, and those stale cross-your-fingers-and-hope-they-figure-it-out assets need to be looked at through a different lens. I always advise being aggressive on the waiver wire early in the year, and that gets tested more in the next few weeks. Anchoring to priors instead of seeing what actually happened is even more dangerous. Subscribe to 4for4 for FREE...

3. I’ll be here each week for a breakdown of the top waiver wire targets and players it’s time to get off your squad. For this year, the recommended additions will be available in more than 60% of Yahoo fantasy football leagues, while the Drop List will consist of players rostered in at least 50% of leagues. Each position group will also include a Watch List. If your league is deeper with larger rosters, this is the spot for you. The Overall Top 10 is prioritized by typical league...

The NFL injuries have slowed down a bit this week, and I am not complaining! In case you missed any of the action, check out the research-backed timelines and fantasy impact below. All of the injuries from this week have been added to the injury tracker table you can find at the bottom of the article, which compiles return dates and perceived injury severity. To keep up to date with fantasy football injury content throughout the week, be sure to check out my YouTube channel. T...

Sunday Night Football in Week 5 features a matchup between two of the best running backs in the NFL, with Bijan Robinson and Derrick Henry set to square off. Each team’s passing game, on the other hand, enters with a bevy of question marks. On the Falcons’ side of the ball, things are a bit more stable, with Michael Penix now firmly established as the team’s starter following early-season injury absences for both himself and Tua Tagovailoa, which thrust Cooper Rush into the starting...

WEEK 5 NFL WEEKEND CHEATSHEET Get ready for NFL Week 5 with Pat Mayo and Alex Blickle on the Pat Mayo Experience! Get the ultimate fantasy football cheat sheet featuring expert injury reports, the best Underdog Fantasy player props, and a complete DraftKings GPP strategy breakdown. Find out who to start, which key players are ruled out, and how to build winning NFL DFS lineups for Week 5. NFL Week 5 Cheatsheet + $1,000 Giveaway & Best Prop Bets Week 5 RB Injuries Saquon...

WEEK 5 NFL WEEKEND CHEATSHEET Get ready for NFL Week 5 with Pat Mayo and Alex Blickle on the Pat Mayo Experience! Get the ultimate fantasy football cheat sheet featuring expert injury reports, the best Underdog Fantasy player props, and a complete DraftKings GPP strategy breakdown. Find out who to start, which key players are ruled out, and how to build winning NFL DFS lineups for Week 5. NFL Week 5 Cheatsheet + $1,000 Giveaway & Best Prop Bets Week 5 RB Injuries Saquon...

Week 5 Fantasy Football Rankings Pat Mayo is dropping the ultimate NFL Week 5 Cheat Sheet. Get the latest on key player injuries, updated fantasy football rankings, DFS ownership strategies, and top Underdog Fantasy props for Week 5. Plus, Alex Blickle stops by to talk DFS leverage and underdog plays, and fill out another Underdog entry to try and give away $1000. NFL Week 5 Weekend Update: Best Underdog Props, Injury Report & DraftKings Picks RANKINGS LAST UPDATED 10/10 | SET TO 1...

We're five weeks in, and the market is still slow to adjust to how much a single lineup change can reshape a player's role. It's been a less-than-ideal start to the season, but we are starting to turn the ship, and I think that continues in Week 5. Before we get into the plays, a quick note on SharpStack. We have full NFL results transparency, so you can see exactly how the algorithm is performing market by market, and no other tool in the space shows real performance the way we do....

UFC Vegas 122 lands at the Meta Apex this Saturday with a main event that screams stylistic clash and DFS leverage. Brendan Allen drags his suffocating grappling into a five-round headliner against Christian Leroy Duncan, a rangy striker riding five straight wins and desperate to keep this fight upright at all costs. The co-main offers a softer slate anchor as Matheus Camilo is a 13-year-younger pressure wrestler against the aging, eight-inch reach and striking of Jai Herbert. Early-finish...

Ryan Noonan and Connor Allen welcome John Hyslop back to Move The Line for a full breakdown of the NFL Week 5 player prop market. The trio discusses their favorite passing, rushing, and receiving props across the slate, using projections, matchup data, and Prop Drops to identify the numbers and prices that stand out before kickoff. Subscribe to 4for4's Betting Package or try SharpStack free for 7 days: https://www.4for4.com/plans Watch Move The Line on YouTube: https://4for4.co/3OupraJ Join the Discord: http://discord.gg/4for4 Follow the show: https://x.com/MoveTheLineNFL Connor: https://x.com/ConnorAllenNFL | Ryan: https://x.com/RyNoonan | John: http://x.com/sloprules Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Whether you are interested in turning $1 into $1.80 or $50 into $90, deploying a sound cash-game strategy when building your lineup for Sunday’s main slate is crucial. Cash-game fantasy grinders can run into pitfalls when they fail to recognize that the main goal is to maximize median projection and beat what is often a small group of opponents—or perhaps just one. Ceiling outcomes should receive limited consideration relative to maximizing your lineup’s projectable floor. You can save those...

Week 5 brings an 11-game main slate on Sunday, kicking off at 1 p.m. ET, and both sites are again featuring Millionaire Maker contests. DET/ARI carries the highest total on the slate at 54.5, with the Lions favored by 5.5, which is nine points higher than any other game. CHI/GB, LV/NE, and SF/SEA are next at 45.5, with the Bears favored by 1.5, the Patriots by 3.5, and the Seahawks by 3.0. HOU/TEN has the lowest total on the slate at 38.5, and the Lions carry the highest implied team total at...

Short on time setting your DFS lineups? These quick positional rankings cover the top skill players on both FanDuel and DraftKings for the week. I'll publish the first look each Friday morning, then update by Sunday morning to reflect injury news from Friday practices and Saturday travel reports. Think of these rankings as a snapshot of how I see the slate shaping up, along with the players I expect to have exposure to in my own lineups. FanDuel DFS Positional Picks Quarterbacks [...

We've added a handful of really talented analysts to the team this season, so make sure to get into our subscriber Discord. All of our plays are released there, and most Saturday night and early Sunday morning plays don't make it into this article due to time constraints. Join, head to #Role-Assign, and turn on "NFL Prop Star" to receive push notifications whenever a prop is released by the 4for4 team. Go to Channels & Roles and customize your Discord experience. This new bet tracker can...

Jeez, what a frustrating week. You think you have a good grasp on how a team will operate, or how a game will go, and then you’re chewed up and spat out by the ridiculousness of the NFL. The upside plays aren't going as planned; it’s the best time of year to play them, as the lines aren’t adjusted for players who will have an increasing role over the course of the year. Let’s dissect what went right, and what went wrong... Week 4 Recap (1-2), Overall (6-6): Well, let’s start...

Week 5 of the NFL season kicks off with an NFC Showdown between the Buccaneers and the Cowboys at AT&T Stadium. Kickoff is 8:15 p.m. ET, and the Cowboys are favored by 9.5 points at home with the total set at 48.5 points. The Cowboys are 2-2 and have scored at least 31 points in three straight games, which has them second in the league at 30.5 points per game. Dak Prescott has completed 105 of 150 passes for 1,065 yards, eight touchdowns, and one interception after throwing for 4,552...

Lookahead lines offer a glimpse into how bookmakers value teams before the week begins, unaffected by recency bias that can set in after watching eight hours of football earlier in the day. It's also an opportunity to act before the games are posted and sharpened on Sunday evening, after the previous week's games are complete. Depending on the bookmaker and bettor, for that matter, you may or may not be able to get the type of action down that you'd like, depending on your unit sizing. The...

Week 5's revenge story is one we can all relate to. In 2003, the concept of "spam" email was fairly fresh, and one situation caught media attention. A Michigan entrepreneur named Alan Ralsky became known as the "spam king" for sending millions of bulk emails with offers for cut-rate insurance, prescription drugs, vacation giveaways, and the like. As a result, Ralsky gained a reputation across various chat rooms and forums and was labeled as "vermin," "sleaze", and "scum." When a local...