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𝖜𝖆𝖗𝖕𝖗𝖆𝖜𝖓 //- KOSA must be stopped.

@winterwarpath.bsky.social
1.7K followers 442 following 14K posts

🥇Voted "Nicest Misanthropist 2025" Trans rights are human rights. Cheese Enjoyer ⚣ he / him ・Bicycle Lane Propagandist ・Topics: Human rights; Walkable cities; Activism; Elections; How to make a difference #WHYiFIGHT Find your reason to win.

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𝖜𝖆𝖗𝖕𝖗𝖆𝖜𝖓 //- KOSA must be stopped. @winterwarpath.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
Remember to register to vote. Check your voter's registration even if you are already registered to make sure your status is still valid. If you have anyone near you who needs transport to the polls, please offer to take them. We need community to pull through.
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The Downballot @the-downballot.com · 22/09/2026
The bottom line is that Democrats need to be prepared to take advantage of a potential tidal wave—one that's even bigger than 2018. In fact, a lot of signs—not just primary turnout—are pointing in that direction.
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The Downballot @the-downballot.com · 22/09/2026
That gives us a *lot* of data to work with—enough to create a scatterplot and draw a regression line. The dots faithfully cluster around that line, with just a small number of maybe-outliers (and removing them makes little difference). And now we're in uncharted territory, quite literally.
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The Downballot @the-downballot.com · 22/09/2026
Oh yes, very much so. Dan's key insight was to plot the *change* in the national primary margin (from midterm to midterm) against the House vote. When you do that, something absolutely astonishing emerges. For the last *80* years, the two measures have closely tracked one another. Eight decades!
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The Downballot @the-downballot.com · 22/09/2026
So what if we compare the margin in the national primary to the House popular vote? In recent years, the two have matched with almost scary synchronicity. The purple (primary) and yellow (House) dots from 2006 onward are almost identical. But things break down before then. So is this real?
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The Downballot @the-downballot.com · 22/09/2026
This chart shows the D minus R margin in this "national primary" going back more than a century. This year, Dems have an 11-point edge.
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The Downballot @the-downballot.com · 22/09/2026
First things first. We didn't look at individual states or elections. We looked at *all* the states, going back to 1918. That let us create a "national primary" by toting up D and R turnout across the country in midterm years. And in 2026, the margin between Ds and Rs was ... huge.
Assessing a state’s total primary turnout in midterm years is not as straightforward as it might seem, however. That’s because every state hosts a mix of different races, and for many contests, it might not even hold a primary at all.

As we gathered data, we had some choices to make. We decided to start with elections for governor, which are the most common type of statewide election in midterm years. If a state didn’t hold a gubernatorial primary in a given year, we then looked to see if there was a primary for U.S. Senate.

Failing that, we moved on to any other statewide races, then the total for all U.S. House races, then the total for all state legislative races, and finally, the total for as many county-level races as possible. Sometimes, we had to mix and match, using, say, a Democratic primary for governor and a Republican primary for Senate. On rare occasions, we were unable to find any data at all, but any gaps are largely immaterial.

With robust data at hand stretching back almost all the way to when the 17th Amendment began mandating the direct election of senators nationwide, we developed the graph at the top of this post. It shows the total number of Democratic and Republican votes across all state primaries from 1918 to 2026, in midterm years only. We’ve dubbed this the “national primary.”
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The Downballot @the-downballot.com · 22/09/2026
In primaries this year, Democratic turnout utterly dwarfed Republican turnout. But does it mean anything for November? It turns out the answer is very much yes. A new analysis from @donnermaps.bsky.social suggests that Dems are on track for a 13-point blowout in the House vote. Here's why.
the-downballot.com
Massive primary turnout points to biggest year for Democrats since Watergate
There’s a remarkably close correlation between the primary vote and the House popular vote
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𝖜𝖆𝖗𝖕𝖗𝖆𝖜𝖓 //- KOSA must be stopped. @winterwarpath.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
We gotta make certain they're cooked, but this is promising. Thank you.
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The Downballot @the-downballot.com · 05/10/2026
Last week, @punchbowlnews.bsky.social reported that Republicans were "almost cooked already" in #NE02. CNN added that the GOP is "discussing pulling money" from the race.
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The Downballot @the-downballot.com · 05/10/2026
A big one: The pro-Dem House Majority PAC is cutting $1.1 million in ad time from #NE02 — a strong indicator that Dems believe Republicans have little chance of holding this open seat. x.com/allymutnick/...
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The Downballot @the-downballot.com · 05/10/2026
We've updated our triage tracker accordingly. So far, three House races have been at least partially triaged by major groups so far—all of which favor Dems
docs.google.com
The Downballot 2026 House race triage tracker
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Fascist Dem Tracker @fascistdemtracker.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
Marimar Martinez is one of the bravest people in the world and is a name everyone should know. The fact that she has to file these charges on her own and criminal charges against ICE haven't been filed by Cook County State's Attorney Eileen O'Neill Burke is a moral crime unto itself.
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TrumpsTaxes @trumpstaxes.com · 05/10/2026
Major triage alert. Republicans appear to be abandoning GOP-held #NE02. Most groups had already shifted this race to Lean D. Looking more like Likely D now.
Ad news: 
@HouseMajPAC
 is cutting a planned ad buy for #NE02 — a sign of confidence that Denise Powell (D) can beat Brinker Harding (R) 

HMP cut $1.1M in Omaha from 10/13 to 11/2, per AdImpact. Incumbent Rep Don Bacon (R) is retiring, making this a top Dem pickup opportunity
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𝖜𝖆𝖗𝖕𝖗𝖆𝖜𝖓 //- KOSA must be stopped. @winterwarpath.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
Ending hunger in the USA: Investment of $40 billion annually. Cost of the Iran War: At least about $34 billion to $42 billion with some experts projecting it could reach at least $1 trillion. We can't find the money to end food insecurity but we sure can find it to keep going to war.
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Good Good Good News @goodgoodgood.news · 23/09/2026
The annual event distributes free naloxone and provides overdose-reversal education.
goodgoodgood.co
Save a Life Day can prevent drug overdoses. Organizers are forging ahead despite new Trump regulations
The annual event distributes free naloxone and provides overdose-reversal education.
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Good Good Good News @goodgoodgood.news · 23/09/2026
In what officials say is the largest labor settlement in city history, New York City just announced a $131.5 million settlement with DoorDash for underpaying delivery workers. Most of the settlement will be paid out to more than 260,000 delivery workers in the city.
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Good Good Good News @goodgoodgood.news · 23/09/2026
Sandy Hook families have turned their tragedy into hope for so many others. Now, the organization has officially been credited with preventing at least 20 planned school shootings since 2018.
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Good Good Good News @goodgoodgood.news · 24/09/2026
Breaking Good News: Macklemore is going back on tour. The rapper just announced his new “Free Palestine Tour” featuring a lineup of to-be-announced artists “who understand that our platforms mean very little if we’re only willing to use them when it’s safe.”
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Good Good Good News @goodgoodgood.news · 24/09/2026
At the UN General Assembly, Germany became the third major economy to lay out its plan to phase out fossil fuels entirely, following France and the Netherlands.
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Hope For The Planet @h4tp.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
We now have rigorous pooled data showing that even without active restoration efforts, cleared rainforest can rebound to 75% of their former species composition and 90% of species diversity within just thirty years. #goodnews
optimistdaily.com
Rainforest biodiversity rebounds within a single generation | The Optimist Daily
A major Ecuador study finds cleared rainforests can recover 90 percent of their species diversity in just 30 years, as long as humans leave the land alone.
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Good Good Good News @goodgoodgood.news · 25/09/2026
Beaver dams provide habitats for the mammals while slowing floodwaters and filtering pollutants from water.
goodgoodgood.co
This Canadian national park is home to the world's largest beaver dam: 'The size of 1600 hockey rinks'
Beaver dams provide habitats for the mammals while slowing floodwaters and filtering pollutants from water.
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Good Good Good News @goodgoodgood.news · 25/09/2026
Learn more and apply here: www.goodgoodgood.co/jobs
goodgoodgood.co
Come work with us.
We're looking for great people to join our growing team.
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Good Good Good News @goodgoodgood.news · 25/09/2026
We’re hiring a Managing Editor to join our growing small business! Please share this post with your most optimistic journalist friend 🎉
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Good Good Good News @goodgoodgood.news · 25/09/2026
The world, including the U.S., agreed that rising seas will not change national borders even as small islands disappear.
goodgoodgood.co
The UN just passed the first declaration on sea level rise, protecting island nations' sovereignty
The world, including the U.S., agreed that rising seas will not change national borders even as small islands disappear.
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Good Good Good News @goodgoodgood.news · 25/09/2026
September 25 marked the first official Dolly Parton Day — a playful nod to the late country singer’s world-renowned hit.
goodgoodgood.co
Here's how Dolly Parton fans celebrated the first official '9 to 5' day
September 25 marked the first official Dolly Parton Day — a playful nod to the late country singer’s world-renowned hit.
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Good Good Good News @goodgoodgood.news · 29/09/2026
Seattle is now home to the reported strongest ban on surveillance pricing in the United States. The city council passed the ban last week, prohibiting personalized pricing in the sale of groceries.
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Good Good Good News @goodgoodgood.news · 29/09/2026
The story of Pizza John and a community of Nerdfighters making the world a better place... in the weirdest way possible.
goodgoodgood.co
Pizzamas: How John Green's 'bad mustache' became an annual fundraiser
The story of Pizza John and a community of Nerdfighters making the world a better place... in the weirdest way possible.
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Good Good Good News @goodgoodgood.news · 29/09/2026
Brad Montague founded Socktober in 2011 thanks to a nudge from a few middle school students. After learning that a concerning number of neighbors were living on the streets, these kids were eager to help in a tangible way.
goodgoodgood.co
From a middle school project to a global movement: The story of Socktober
Brad Montague founded Socktober in 2011 thanks to a nudge from a few middle school students. After learning that a concerning number of neighbors were living on the streets, these kids were eager to help in a tangible way.
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Good Good Good News @goodgoodgood.news · 03/10/2026
Your weekly roundup of the best good news worth celebrating...
goodgoodgood.co
Good News This Week: October 3, 2026 - Rhinos, Books, & EVs
Your weekly roundup of the best good news worth celebrating...
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Mychal Threets @mychal3ts.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
My name is Mychal. I love books. I celebrate the freedom to read 📚✨
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Mychal Threets @mychal3ts.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
books unite, bans divide
Mychal smiles and stands in front of NYPL
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Chise @sailorrooscout.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
WELL NOW, would you look at that? A massive, 4-YEAR-LONG study of NEARLY 30 MILLION people in France found that individuals who received a COVID-19 mRNA vaccine had a 74% LOWER risk of death from severe COVID-19 compared to unvaccinated individuals and ZERO increased risk of all-cause mortality.
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Vance Bostic for NY-8 @vancebosticforny8.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
We need people in office that want to take a strong stance in support of a greater separation of Church and State! Especially in this moment right now where we see them tearing down the wall between the two… My starting point would be taking the Oath of Office on the Constitution and NOT the Bible.
fuckmarrykillyourego
I can't wait for religion to be done

vance.b.nyc › Vance Bostic for NY-08
Help me get into Congress to replace Hakeem Jeffries as representative of NY-08 and I vow to be a GREATER separation between Church and State!

There is ONLY ONE wall I intend to build through
Congress!

BUILD THIS WALL
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TrumpsTaxes @trumpstaxes.com · 05/10/2026
THIS is why you vote early, folks. Things happen, often unexpectedly. You never know if you are going to be sidelined on Election Day by an illness, a death in the family, a surprise work shift, or a flat tire. So vote early. And let’s all wish Bill a full and speedy recovery.
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TrumpsTaxes @trumpstaxes.com · 05/10/2026
What a map! #NY21 #CO03 #FL27 #AR02 #TN09 #NV02
DCCC adds six more candidates to Red to Blue

The DCCC is adding six new Democratic challengers running in deep-red districts to its Red to Blue endorsed candidate program. The endorsement slate is the latest indicator of how bullish Democrats are feeling a month out from Election Day. Here’s the list.
Blake Gendebien, New York’s 21st District. Gendebien is a dairy farmer running in the Upstate New York seat being vacated by retiring Rep. Elise Stefanik (R-N.Y.). In 2024, the district went for President Donald Trump by 21 points.
Dwayne Romero, Colorado’s 3rd District. Romero, an Army veteran, is challenging Rep. Jeff Hurd (R-Colo.) in a seat that voted for Trump by 10 points. Hurd found himself on the wrong side of the White House earlier this year when he voted against Trump’s tariffs.
Eliott Rodriguez, Florida’s 27th District. Rodriguez is a Cuban-American former local news anchor whose biography is tailor-made for this majority Latino Miami-area district. Rodriguez is seeking to knock off Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar (R-Fla.), the incumbent who notably recorded an ad distancing herself from Trump’s deportation agenda. This district backed Trump by 15 in 2024.
Chris Jones, Arkansas’ 2nd District. Jones is facing House Financial Services Committee Chair French Hill (R-Ark.) in a district Trump carried by 16 last cycle. Some outside Democratic groups, including Illinois Gov. JB Pritzker’s PAC, have started to spend in the seat.
Justin Pearson, Tennessee’s 9th District. Pearson started the cycle by primarying Rep. Steve Cohen (D-Tenn.). Cohen decided not to seek reelection after a GOP gerrymander shifted the safe blue Memphis seat to a heavily red district that backed Trump by 21 points.
Teresa Benitez-Thompson, Nevada’s 2nd District. Nevada’s 2nd District is open due to Rep. Mark Amodei’s (R-Nev.) upcoming retirement. Amodei notably has refused to back the GOP candidate, David Flippo, in a seat that Trump won by 14 points.
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TrumpsTaxes @trumpstaxes.com · 05/10/2026
Gallup Party ID 🟦 Democrat 50% 🟥 Republican 39% It's not just that Gallup is showing is a record D+11 party ID environment. It's the trend. Look at where party ID was in Q4 2024. This represent a net +15 swing towards Democrats in less than 2 years.
Gallup Party ID charts since 2024 Q4, showing a net +15 swing towards Dems.
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THEE Mabel Spookytits @mabelsmalltits.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
So I'm ressurecting the venmo post bc I need roughly $1000 to get Terri's nail fixed. I literally just paid my rent so I am flat broke atm and have been denied by multiple creditors. Please, I am begging for whatever you can spare. I take him back to the vet on monday to get looked at for cheaper.
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👻👹 boo-rit 👹👻 @britculpsapp.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
please help mabel if you’re able 🙏 why does the vet have to be so damn expensive 😩😭
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A.R. Moxon @juliusgoat.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
For everyone who spent #MeToo fretting “what if this goes too far?”—be of good cheer! It turns out we didn’t go too far at all! It turns out we didn’t nearly far enough! Good job guys!
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Vance Bostic for NY-8 @vancebosticforny8.bsky.social · 06/09/2026
I think it’s CRAZY when people say they don’t vote or that people shouldn’t vote. They are trying to take our voice away as is, they don’t want us voting. We must use every tool available to us and voting is ONE of those tools to be used. WE NEED ALL HANDS ON DECK!
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Vance Bostic for NY-8 @vancebosticforny8.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
They tried to keep me off the ballot. Now I need you to write my name in. Between Oct 24th - Nov 3rd, write “Vance Bostic” in the write-in box for Representative in Congress on your NY-08 ballot. This is how we take our district and the power of our seat back for the people!
VANCE BOSTIC FOR NY-8

WRITE-IN CANDIDATE FOR CONGRESS

How to Write Me In.
1. Find the write-in box for Representative in Congress on your ballot.
2. Write in print "Vance Bostic" clearly in the box.
3. Fill in the oval next to the write-in spot with a pen only.

That's it. No confusion, no tricks. Just democracy and people power.

SAMPLE BALLOT
REPRESENTATIVE IN CONGRESS

DEMOCRATIC
CANDIDATE
Hakeem Jeffries

REPUBLICAN
CANDIDATE
~~~~  ~~~~

Write-in Candidate
Vance Bostic
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Vance Bostic for NY-8 @vancebosticforny8.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
Up late, doing another round of printing for the campaign, and this cat (Artemis) decides to make herself comfortable in my box of finished sheets! She likes to make sure everything is covered in hair so the world knows she exists. I can’t ask for a better campaign staff though.
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Marine Melon @marinemelon.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
I work in graphic design My boss has repeatedly pushed AI use and ive been very resistant. About 2 years into this, she is no longer able to help me with projects without the use of GPT her brain just blanks. Ai makes you worse at creating not better
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spooky scary renegade cut @renegadecut.com · 03/10/2026
"we can't make video games without AI" only makes sense if you think video games were invented about three years ago. anyway, here's doom played on an old calculator powered by potatoes
two hands holding a ti 84 calculator next to some potatoes with wires coming out of them
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Chise @sailorrooscout.bsky.social · 31/08/2026
Just a heads up. I was able to schedule my COVID vaccine appointment. Online it may ask “do you have a condition that puts you at high risk for severe outcomes from COVID-19 virus.” Click yes and it will allow you to schedule an appointment. No questions asked. No proof required. Pass it on.
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Chise @sailorrooscout.bsky.social · 04/09/2026
Published in The New England Journal of Medicine. Peer-reviewed. Large sample size. Sound methodology. An antiviral pill has, for the FIRST time, been shown to PREVENT COVID-19 in individuals exposed to SARS-CoV-2. Ensitrelvir blocks the enzyme coronaviruses need to make new copies of themselves.
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Chise @sailorrooscout.bsky.social · 07/09/2026
GOOD NEWS! Phase I clinical trial results out of Johns Hopkins show a first-of-its-kind vaccine designed to target common KRAS mutations was safe AND stimulated KRAS-specific T-cell responses in 90% of study participants who were at HIGH risk of developing pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC).
insideprecisionmedicine.com
Pancreatic Cancer Vaccine Triggers Immune Response Before Tumors Develop
Phase I results show early promise for a vaccine designed to prevent pancreatic cancer in people at high risk of developing the disease.
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Chise @sailorrooscout.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
CVS also has updated COVID vaccines for the 2026-2027 season available. Appointments are open for the updated vaccine so be sure to check your local pharmacy. • www.cvs.com/immunization...
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Chise @sailorrooscout.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
For those of you wondering about the 2026-2027 COVID-19 vaccines. THEY ARE AVAILABLE NOW AT WALGREENS. The 2026-2027 COVID-19 vaccine composition has been designed to match the JN.1-lineage XFG variant for the upcoming respiratory season. • www.walgreens.com/topic/promot...
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