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Wendy Manning

@wendymanning.bsky.social
535 followers 309 following 33 posts

I am a family demographer (aka population scientist) with a focus on American family and fertility patterns. Co-PI of NCHAT and co-director of NCFMR.

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Reposted by Wendy Manning
dataindex.us @dataindex.us · 30/09/2026
Join us today at handsoffourcens.us for our weekly briefing analyzing comments submitted on the proposed decennial census rule. 👉 Register here: tinyurl.com/handsoffourcensus-briefing 📅 Wednesdays, 3–3:30 pm ET
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Wendy Manning @wendymanning.bsky.social · 09/08/2026
Andy Cohen from Bravo TV loves sociology!
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Reposted by Wendy Manning
Karen Benjamin Guzzo @karenguzzo.bsky.social · 07/08/2026
New paper alert! Vital stats only capture individual births, not people’s reproductive career. For that, demographers use surveys that collect full fertility histories. But these fertility histories are less helpful if people don’t fully report all their births or report info inaccurately. 1/
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Karen Benjamin Guzzo @karenguzzo.bsky.social · 04/08/2026
If you're attending #ASA2026 in NYC later this week/next week, please join us bright & early on Monday for a session on pronatalism.
Desired Childbearing Amidst Rising Pronatalism: What Role for Sociology?
Mon, August 10, 8:00 to 9:30am, Sheraton, Floor: Third Floor, New York Ballroom West
Description
In the media and public at large, there is considerable concern about the appearance of a lower fertility rate in the United States, and around the world. These declines have given rise to a pronatalist politics that seek to shape Americans’ childbearing decisions. At the same time, there is evidence that Americans would like to have more children than they are currently having. Sociologists might be concerned about both of these trends under a Reproductive Justice (RJ) framework, which includes the right to not have children as well as to have children, along with resources and support necessary to do so. What is the role of sociology in this debate? What might allow all people to have and parent the children they want? To date, it is not clear that interventions like direct payment, tax credits, or parental leave policies are allowing people to fulfill their fertility desires. What’s more, some interventions might be coercive and/or perpetuate rather than ameliorate inequities related to gender, race, and class. This session will include discussion of policy interventions as well as broader sociological theory on topics such as changing family structures, gendered labor, romance and courtship, medically assisted reproduction, social movements, immigration, race and eugenics, and climate change. This panel discussion invites critical stances on questions of decreased fertility rates and changing population dynamics.Presider: Eliza Brown
Panelists: Sarah K. Cowan, Karen Benjamin Guzzo, Holly Hummer, Kate Tierney, Patrice Wright
Organizers: Eliza Brown, Nick Mark
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Reposted by Wendy Manning
Jenn Dowd @drjenndowd.bsky.social · 17/07/2026
Love this timeline where we are fact-checking government claims about teenage sperm count… But glad that @alisongemmill.bsky.social & @srhayford.bsky.social answered the call! www.factcheck.org/2026/07/rfk-... #demography #fertility #publichealth
factcheck.org
RFK Jr.’s Flawed Claims About Sperm Count and Fertility - FactCheck.org
Health and Human Services Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. has baselessly tied alleged declines in sperm counts among teenagers to a “fertility crisis” or an “explosion in infertility.”
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Wendy Manning @wendymanning.bsky.social · 29/06/2026
Inside the new political screening that’s stalling NIH grants www.nature.com/articles/d41...
nature.com
Inside the new political screening that’s stalling NIH grants
Mandatory reviews by top health officials and checks for 235 disfavoured terms have left hundreds of vetted grant applications in administrative limbo.
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Reposted by Wendy Manning
SocArXiv @socarxiv.bsky.social · 19/05/2026
Did you know the Association of Population Centers working papers series is on SocArXiv? Open to papers from faculty and postdocs at any affiliated pop center. Info: www.popcenters.org/research/ass...
Logo
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Reposted by Wendy Manning
Brian Tyler Cohen @briantylercohen.bsky.social · 23/02/2026
Breaking: The Olympic gold-winning U.S. women's hockey team DECLINES Trump's invitation to his State of the Union address after he was caught on video mocking them.
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Council on Contemporary Families @ccfamilies.bsky.social · 02/02/2026
Call for applications: The @ccfamilies.bsky.social Frank F. Furstenberg Early Career Scholars Program! Are you an early-career scholar researching American families? Are you interested in receiving guidance on promoting your research to the media? Apply now! More info: forms.gle/m1grUGQisRt2...
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Karen Benjamin Guzzo @karenguzzo.bsky.social · 10/02/2026
Just a few more weeks to get those submissions in for the special issue on pronatalism!
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Wendy Manning @wendymanning.bsky.social · 10/02/2026
Celebrate Valentine Day with facts about marriage. There is state variation. Utah has the highest marriage rate. 💕 @NCFMRBGSU #ValentinesDay tinyurl.com/58966u7m
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Reposted by Wendy Manning
ICPSR @icpsr.bsky.social · 07/02/2026
💘 Calling all data lovers! From pun-filled notes to clever data jokes, you’ll find customizable Valentines at ICPSR for your Love Data Week celebrations. myumi.ch/ICPSRLoveDataWeek #LoveData26
Image with text that says, "I only have data for you, Valentine!" and "Love Data Week #LoveData26"
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Reposted by Wendy Manning
ICPSR @icpsr.bsky.social · 09/02/2026
Welcome to the ICPSR Data Fair @ Love Data Week! 🎉Join us & the Data Brunch crew all week for webinars and activities to help answer “Where’s the Data?” Find details & links to register at myumi.ch/ICPSRLoveDataWeek #LoveData26
Announcement for ICPSR Data Fair's Data Brunch Live event on February 9, 2026, from 12:00 to 12:30 p.m. ET with registration link.
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Wendy Manning @wendymanning.bsky.social · 07/02/2026
I am a big fan of the data viz section of @sociusjournal.bsky.social Proud that this one was ranked in the top 10. journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/... @ncfmr-bgsu.bsky.social osf.io/preprints/so...
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Wendy Manning @wendymanning.bsky.social · 26/01/2026
Valentine’s Day honors love and romance. The National Center for Family and Marriage Research charts marriage trends. In 2024 there were about 2.4 million marriages and U.S. marriage rates have remained relatively stable since 2010. tinyurl.com/ysa6p4e2 tinyurl.com/3u6x3tfm
Hearts - Photo by freestocks on Unsplash
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Reposted by Wendy Manning
Yourqueerprof @drcompton.bsky.social · 13/01/2026
Did you need a review of LGBTQ+ families? Over 20 years, LGBTQ+ family research in the U.S. has expanded with advocacy, policy debates, and better data tho national datasets still lag. Here is what we know. w/ @chrisajulian.bsky.social
link.springer.com
Client Challenge
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Philip N Cohen @philipncohen.com · 23/11/2025
New from me: Ideal (family size) compared to what? familyinequality.wordpress.com/2025/11/23/i...
familyinequality.wordpress.com
Ideal (family size) compared to what?
It’s not just that the ideal is the wrong thing to measure for this. It’s also that total fertility rate is the wrong thing to compare it to.
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Philip N Cohen @philipncohen.com · 23/10/2025
Follow @ncfmr-bgsu.bsky.social for timely, reliable, US demographic trends. Great they're here!
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National Center for Family and Marriage Research @ncfmr-bgsu.bsky.social · 20/10/2025
💔 The U.S. refined divorce rate in 2024 was 14.2 per 1,000 married women, down slightly from 14.4 in 2023. Nearly a million women divorced nationwide. Read more → doi.org/10.25035/ncf...
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National Center for Family and Marriage Research @ncfmr-bgsu.bsky.social · 20/10/2025
⚭ Marriage in the U.S. varies widely. In 2024, the national refined marriage rate was 31.2 per 1,000 unmarried women. Utah ranked highest (51.7), Delaware lowest (20.1). 📖 Read the new @NCFMR Family Profile → doi.org/10.25035/ncf...
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The National Couples' Health and Time Study @nchatstudy.bsky.social · 21/09/2025
Happy Sunday! Check out this recent NCHAT publication from @chrisajulian.bsky.social, Hannah Tessler, @wendymanning.bsky.social, Alexandra VanBergen, and @clairekampdush.bsky.social. read.dukeupress.edu/demography/a...
read.dukeupress.edu
Half of the Picture: A Research Note on Measuring the Sexual Identity Composition of Couples | Demography | Duke University Press
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Wendy Manning @wendymanning.bsky.social · 09/08/2025
Divorce rate decline continues… we have been documenting these trends alongside marriage. @ncfmr-bgsu.bsky.social www.bgsu.edu/ncfmr/resour...
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Wendy Manning @wendymanning.bsky.social · 08/08/2025
Check out our new paper using @nchatstudy.bsky.social dyadic data to measure sexual minority couples. The levels are twice as high when you consider the sexual identity of BOTH members of the couple. @chrisajulian.bsky.social read.dukeupress.edu/demography/a...
read.dukeupress.edu
Half of the Picture: A Research Note on Measuring the Sexual Identity Composition of Couples | Demography | Duke University Press
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Wendy Manning @wendymanning.bsky.social · 31/07/2025
Three out of five recent newlyweds cohabited prior to marriage. www.bgsu.edu/ncfmr/resour... @ncfmr-bgsu.bsky.social
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Reposted by Wendy Manning
Conrad Hackett @conradhackett.bsky.social · 29/06/2025
About 1 in 4 U.S. adults worry they or someone close to them could be deported www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/...
pewresearch.org
About 1 in 4 U.S. adults worry they or someone close to them could be deported
About four-in-ten immigrants (43%) say they worry a lot or some, up from 33% in March.
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Karen Benjamin Guzzo @karenguzzo.bsky.social · 28/06/2025
Another new paper on fertility intentions! Using @nchatstudy.bsky.social data, we consider whether cohabiting & married people's short-term fertility intentions are subjective perceptions of well-being. The answer? Yes! 1/ link.springer.com/chapter/10.1...
As fertility rates in the U.S. and elsewhere continue to fall, standard demographic theories that focus on objective micro- and macroeconomic conditions seem unable to explain these trends. New approaches, such as the Narrative of the Future framework and the “uncertainty” paradigm, have emphasized the potential for subjective perceptions to be important for fertility decision-making, net of objective characteristics. We use a unique new source of data—the National Couples’ Health and Time Study, a nationally representative sample of cohabiting and married adults interviewed between September 2020 and April 2021—to examine short-term fertility intentions and better understand if and how including a general subjective evaluation (overall life satisfaction) and domain-specific subjective evaluations (economic stress and relationship satisfaction) are related to fertility intentions. We find that most respondents did not intend to have a child in the next year, though about one in seven respondents were unsure about if/when to have a(nother) child. Net of objective characteristics, overall life satisfaction was positively associated with short-term intentions to have a child, and greater economic stress was linked to uncertainty about short-term intentions. We did not observe a link in multivariable models between relationship satisfaction and intentions. Further, models stratified by parenthood indicated that both objective characteristics and subjective perceptions were more strongly linked to first-birth intentions than higher-parity intentions. Our results add to the growing body of work suggesting that (a) subjective perceptions have modest but significant links to fertility decision-making and (b) uncertainty in decision-making is important to consider.
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Wendy Manning @wendymanning.bsky.social · 26/06/2025
4% of marriages each year are now to same-sex marriage! 10 years of love wins! www.bgsu.edu/ncfmr/resour...
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Wendy Manning @wendymanning.bsky.social · 22/06/2025
Support for marriage equality persists! www.nytimes.com/2025/06/22/o...
nytimes.com
Opinion | Roll Back Legal Same-Sex Marriage? Republicans Are Getting It Wrong.
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Wendy Manning @wendymanning.bsky.social · 21/06/2025
Want to know more about same-sex couples? Check out our work. www.bgsu.edu/content/dam/...
bgsu.edu
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Wendy Manning @wendymanning.bsky.social · 19/06/2025
Check out profiles of marriages to same-sex couples. In 2023 there were newly 73,000 marriages to same-sex couples, representing about 4% of all marriages that year. www.bgsu.edu/ncfmr/resour...
bgsu.edu
LGBTQ+ Population
Resources for Research on Same-Gender Couples and Families Family Profiles FP-25-21 Marriages to Same-sex and Different-sex Couples: 2019, 2021, & 2023 FP-25-20 Geographic
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Philip N Cohen @philipncohen.com · 13/06/2025
"personal economic pessimism and concerns about having a good relationship in the future are associated with greater importance of avoiding a pregnancy in the short term" (controlling for economic and relationship status, etc) @karenguzzo.bsky.social, Belykh, @wendymanning.bsky.social , & Roza
link.springer.com
Perceptions of the Future and Pregnancy Avoidance in the U.S - Population Research and Policy Review
Despite low U.S. fertility rates since the Great Recession, two-child norms remain pervasive, suggesting individuals are unable to achieve their goals. To understand what may be driving the apparent m...
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Karen Benjamin Guzzo @karenguzzo.bsky.social · 04/06/2025
It's also worth noting that when women aged 40 and over have a birth, their partners are usually over 40, too. We don't often talk about delayed parenthood among men, but it's definitely happening. 3/3 www.bgsu.edu/ncfmr/resour...
Figure showing the distribution of paternal age of births to women who had a birth aged 40 and older.
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Aaron Sojourner @aaronsojourner.org · 06/06/2025
EXTREMELY BAD NEWS for economic research, per former BLS Commissioner @ericagroshen.bsky.social on LinkedIn. BLS is suspending access to its restricted data "for the forseeable future." Applies to projects through the Federal Statistical Research Data Centers & onsite projects with BLS. #EconSky
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Jeffrey Mervis @policyhound.bsky.social · 06/06/2025
Exclusive: Confusion over new DEI language from NSF and NIH leads Williams College to be first institution to pause accepting any grants www.science.org/content/arti...
science.org
U.S. college is first to decline federal science grants because of new DEI language
Williams College says NSF and NIH requirement related to discrimination “undermines” academic freedom
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Karen Benjamin Guzzo @karenguzzo.bsky.social · 27/05/2025
New paper alert on - you guessed it - childbearing decision-making! @srhayford.bsky.social & I evaluate if people's perceptions of their personal lives & how things are going more broadly are associated with whether they thought it was likely they would have a(nother) child. 1/
CHAPTER 6
SUBJECTIVE EVALUATIONS OF PERSONAL AND PUBLIC WELL-BEING AND EXPECTED FUTURE CHILDBEARING
Karen Benjamin Guzzo and Sarah R. Hayford




ABSTRACT
Since the Great Recession, birth rates have fallen steadily in the United States and other 
high-income countries, even as macroeconomic conditions improved and have since remained largely 
positive. To understand this surprising juxta- position, scholars are increasingly turning to 
subjective measures of current and future conditions, hypothesizing that worries about potential 
negative futures may lead to lower birth rates even when economic conditions are good. Building on 
this literature, we use survey data from the American Trends Panel (ATP; n = 3,696) to assess how 
respondents’ satisfaction with their own lives, their understanding of challenges facing young 
people, their beliefs about problems in their community, and their predictions of future COVID-19 
impacts are associated with their expectations for having children. Results show that people who 
are more dissatisfied with their own lives are less likely to expect a child, controlling for other 
perceptions as well as objective sociodemographic char- acteristics. Further analyses reveal that 
this association is largely restricted to
childless women.
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The Conversation U.S. @us.theconversation.com · 02/06/2025
Our trans health study was terminated by the government – the effects of abrupt NIH grant cuts ripple across science and society buff.ly/eFZCL4H
theconversation.com
Our trans health study was terminated by the government – the effects of abrupt NIH grant cuts ripple across science and society
The losses include millions of dollars the NIH has already spent on research that will no longer generate results, and the next generation of scientists whose work has been cut short.
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Tiffany Green @tiffanylgreen.bsky.social · 30/05/2025
Are you a grad student or postdoc stressing out about job talks? Join me on 6/26/25 at 2 PM CST for a free class. You'll learn how to: ✔️ Avoid the “Big 3” job talk killers ✔️ Use storytelling breath life into your research ✔️ Handle Q&A like a boss Register here and please share: lnkd.in/g5f3YwtX
“Job talk got you stressed? I can help. Free Masterclass: Making Academic Job Talks Fun | June 26, 2025, 2 PM CST | 60 minutes of strategy, support, & clarity. Register now!" Zoom registration link: https://us06web.zoom.us/meeting/register/3c9_zpsFSsSy6mfv0fmmAQ
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Wendy Manning @wendymanning.bsky.social · 26/04/2025
Let’s focus on the empirical evidence provided by demographic research & population science. www.npr.org/2025/04/25/n...
npr.org
They say they want Americans to have more babies. What's beneath the surface?
Pronatalists believe that modern culture has failed to adequately prioritize the value of nuclear families and making lots of babies. They see powerful potential allies in Elon Musk and JD Vance.
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Wendy Manning @wendymanning.bsky.social · 26/04/2025
Folks should appeal! Some universities don’t have resources or are not interested but it is important to appeal.
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Wendy Manning @wendymanning.bsky.social · 24/04/2025
Great to see demographic expertise used in coverage of fertility. www.nytimes.com/2025/04/23/h...
nytimes.com
Birthrates Languish in Record Lows, C.D.C. Reports
Despite a 1 percent increase in 2024, U.S. birthrates remained in a historic slump, a trend that worries demographers and cultural critics.
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The National Couples' Health and Time Study @nchatstudy.bsky.social · 13/04/2025
One last NCHAT poster presentation today at 10:30am in the Ballrooms! Go check out the poster by @chrisajulian.bsky.social @wendymanning.bsky.social, Alex VanBergen, and @clairekampdush.bsky.social on Collecting Dyadic Data on LGBTQ+ Partnerships!
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LGBTQ Health Center of Excellence @lgbtqhealthexce.bsky.social · 11/04/2025
This analysis of canceled NIH grants really hits home. “According to a Bloomberg Opinion analysis, more than half of the 550 grants terminated over the last six weeks by the NIH addressed LGBTQ health somehow,” writes @lisamjarvis.bsky.social #LGBTQ #HealthEquity #PublicHealth #MedSky
buff.ly
The Very Idea of LGBTQ Health Is Under Attack
The Trump administration has canceled millions of dollars in grants to study disparities affecting the well-being of the community. Valuable research has been lost.
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Vicki Larson @omgchronicles.bsky.social · 03/04/2025
Marriage equality has had profound impacts on LGBTQ + Americans’ lives, and even the threat of its potential loss is having serious disruptions on their individual, relational, and family well-being. link.springer.com/article/10.1...
link.springer.com
Perceived Impact of Marriage and Concerns About the Future of Marriage Equality: A Mixed-Methods Study of LGBTQ+ Married Individuals in the United States - Sexuality Research and Social Policy
Introduction The year 2024 marked the 20th anniversary of legal marriage for same-sex couples in the USA, which began in Massachusetts in 2004, and it has been almost a decade since Obergefell v. Hodg...
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UW-Madison CDE @cdeuw.bsky.social · 02/04/2025
🎉If you are looking for a lively networking opportunity, then join us (@cdhauw.bsky.social) for #PAA2025 on April 11th in Washington, DC! 🎓Connect with researchers from top universities across the country and feel free to bring a friend to this casual event! ➡️ cde.wisc.edu/event/2025-r...
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Hansi Lo Wang (he/him) @hansilowang.bsky.social · 28/03/2025
NEW: Ten voting House Republicans have now signed on to a resolution that says Congress "should take all appropriate measures" to make sure USPS remains an independent government agency and "not subject to privatization,” including Reps. Sam Graves and Thomas Kean www.congress.gov/bill/119th-c...
A list of the latest cosponsors of House Resolution 70
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Philip N Cohen @philipncohen.com · 28/03/2025
Now you know: Percent married, US Black and White men and women ages 18-59: 1880-2023
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Hansi Lo Wang (he/him) @hansilowang.bsky.social · 27/03/2025
NEW: The Census Bureau’s internal watchdog raises concerns about the reliability of the 2020 census over- and undercount estimates produced by the Post-Enumeration Survey, which was disrupted by COVID www.oig.doc.gov/wp-content/O...
Screen grab of the Commerce OIG report
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Karen Benjamin Guzzo @karenguzzo.bsky.social · 25/03/2025
"The NIH has eliminated funding for dozens of HIV-related research grants, halting studies and threatening patient care across the country. Several researchers said the cuts put a stop to hopes of ending HIV in the US and around the world." www.cnn.com/2025/03/25/h...
cnn.com
‘People will die based on these decisions’: Trump administration cuts funding for dozens of HIV studies | CNN
The NIH has eliminated funding for dozens of HIV-related research grants, according to a US Department of Health and Human Services database that was updated last week, halting studies and threatening...
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Hansi Lo Wang (he/him) @hansilowang.bsky.social · 25/03/2025
My latest @npr.org story: Adding a citizenship question to U.S. census forms — a change that many Republicans in Congress and President Trump have wanted — would likely undermine the accuracy of the population counts, a new peer-reviewed study shows
npr.org
A new study quantifies how a citizenship question would likely hurt census accuracy
The next U.S. head count's accuracy would likely be undermined by a census question about citizenship status that GOP lawmakers and President Trump have pushed to add, a new peer-reviewed study finds.
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NPR @npr.org · 24/03/2025
The Trump administration's erasure of federal data has put the Internet Archive in the spotlight. The organization, with its small but mighty team, is working to help save the world's digital history.
npr.org
As the Trump administration purges web pages, this group is rushing to save them
The Trump administration's erasure of federal data has put the Internet Archive in the spotlight. The organization, with its small but mighty team, is working to help save the world's digital history.
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