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PolicyEngine US

@us.policyengine.org
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PolicyEngine US @us.policyengine.org · 23/09/2026
PolicyBench has a new #1: GPT-6 Sol gets 94.2% of tax and benefit answers within $1 with no tools, ending GPT-5.6 Sol's run at the top since July. Claude Opus 5.5 enters second at 92.9%, GPT-6 Luna fourth at 91.4%. policybench.org/notes/2026-09-22-gpt-6-sol-debuts-first
Bar chart of the top 10 of 42 models on PolicyBench (September 22 board), by share of tax and benefit answers within $1 of PolicyEngine's reference, weighted by household impact, no tools: GPT-6 Sol 94.2%, Claude Opus 5.5 92.9%, GPT-5.6 Sol 92.7%, GPT-6 Luna 91.4%, GPT-6 Astra 91.1%, Claude Fable 5.1 90.2%, Kimi K3 89.9%, GPT-5.6 Luna 88.5%, Inkling 87.9%, GLM-5.3-Flash (preview) 87.8%. GPT-6 Sol, Claude Opus 5.5 and GPT-6 Luna are new.
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PolicyEngine US @us.policyengine.org · 15/09/2026
See it live in less than 90 minutes with guest speakers Cynthia Osborne (Prenatal-to-3 Policy Impact Center) and Josh McCabe (Niskanen Center). Register: us06web.zoom.us/meeting/regi...
us06web.zoom.us
Welcome! You are invited to join a meeting: A live demo of the Child Poverty Impact Dashboard: modeling child poverty reforms in every state. After registering, you will receive a confirmation email a...
The Census Bureau releases its 2025 income and poverty estimates the morning of Tuesday, September 15. That afternoon, Cynthia Osborne (Prenatal-to-3 Policy Impact Center, Vanderbilt University) and J...
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PolicyEngine US @us.policyengine.org · 15/09/2026
Configure a reform: a state Child Tax Credit, EITC, dependent exemption, child allowance, and more to see its impact on child poverty, individual households, income distribution, and congressional districts.
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PolicyEngine US @us.policyengine.org · 15/09/2026
This morning, the Census announced that the SPM child poverty rate was 13.4% in 2025, down 0.1 pp from 2024. Today we're launching the Child Poverty Impact Dashboard: a tool to analyze how reforms can affect this rate across all 50 states and DC. www.policyengine.org/us/child-pov...
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PolicyEngine US @us.policyengine.org · 15/09/2026
Census releases the 2025 poverty numbers today, 10am ET. We predict SPM poverty rises 0.2 points overall and 0.9 for children from 2024. We'll post the score either way. At 2pm ET we go through the numbers live with guests. Register: us06web.zoom.us/meeting/register/PI8-nrevQtCaE3yY7rbIEA
us06web.zoom.us
Welcome! You are invited to join a meeting: A live demo of the Child Poverty Impact Dashboard: modeling child poverty reforms in every state. After registering, you will receive a confirmation email a...
The Census Bureau releases its 2025 income and poverty estimates the morning of Tuesday, September 15. That afternoon, Cynthia Osborne (Prenatal-to-3 Policy Impact Center, Vanderbilt University) and J...
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PolicyEngine US @us.policyengine.org · 15/09/2026
Calculate your Supplemental Poverty Measure threshold: policyengine.org/us/spm-calculator
policyengine.org
SPM Threshold Calculator | PolicyEngine
Calculate Supplemental Poverty Measure (SPM) thresholds by family composition and housing tenure for SPM estimation areas: MSAs, residual metro groups and state nonmetro groups, using published and mo...
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PolicyEngine US @us.policyengine.org · 15/09/2026
SPM thresholds move with consumer spending, not CPI: renters' rose 6.3% in 2025. New from PolicyEngine: a threshold calculator for any metro or state, 2022–2035, every input hashed and reproducible in Python, plus a paper that rebuilds BLS's thresholds from public data to within 3%, most within 2%.
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PolicyEngine US @us.policyengine.org · 04/09/2026
Guest speakers: Cynthia Osborne of the Prenatal to 3 Policy Impact Center at Vanderbilt, and Josh McCabe of the @niskanencenter.bsky.social. Then @dtrim99.bsky.social and @maxghenis.bsky.social walk through the tool live, with Q&A to close. us06web.zoom.us/meeting/regi...
us06web.zoom.us
Welcome! You are invited to join a meeting: A live demo of the Child Poverty Impact Dashboard: modeling child poverty reforms in every state. After registering, you will receive a confirmation email a...
The Census Bureau releases its 2025 income and poverty estimates the morning of Tuesday, September 15. That afternoon, Cynthia Osborne (Prenatal-to-3 Policy Impact Center, Vanderbilt University) and J...
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PolicyEngine US @us.policyengine.org · 04/09/2026
What would a state Child Tax Credit, an expanded EITC, or a child allowance do to child poverty in your state? The dashboard answers in minutes, for all 50 states and DC, down to the congressional district.
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PolicyEngine US @us.policyengine.org · 04/09/2026
New poverty numbers land the morning of Tuesday, September 15. That afternoon at 2pm ET, join us for guest remarks on the release and a live demo of PolicyEngine's new Child Poverty Impact Dashboard. Register: us06web.zoom.us/meeting/regi...
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PolicyEngine US @us.policyengine.org · 23/08/2026
PolicyBench tests how accurately AI models compute US taxes and benefits. Two new rows: Ox Alpha, a cloaked preview model with no maker named, debuts fourth of 32 at 84.2% of answers within $1. Grok 4.6 debuts eighth at 82.8%, 1.9 points past Grok 4.5. policybench.org
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PolicyEngine US @us.policyengine.org · 04/08/2026
Governor Greg Gianforte proposes a flat income tax in Montana, lowering the state’s top marginal rate from 5.4% to 4.7% in 2028. We project the proposal would: *Cost $118 million *Benefit 21.8% of Montana’s residents *Direct 87% of the savings to tax units above $200k
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PolicyEngine US @us.policyengine.org · 22/07/2026
Google Deepmind shipped Gemini 3.6 Flash yesterday, and we've added it to PolicyBench. #8 of 26 — 79.0% of US tax and benefit amounts within $1: the best Gemini on the board, ahead of 3.1 Pro, +2.8 over 3.5 Flash. policybench.org
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PolicyEngine US @us.policyengine.org · 21/07/2026
. @ginafortexas.bsky.social, Democratic nominee for Texas Governor, proposes a $1,500 rebate for every household. We project that in 2027, the proposal would: *Cost $17.7 billion *Direct 42% of the benefit to households under $50k *Lower the state's poverty rate by 6.8%
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PolicyEngine US @us.policyengine.org · 19/07/2026
policybench.org
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PolicyEngine US @us.policyengine.org · 19/07/2026
Kimi K3 debuts #2 of 25 on PolicyBench — the first open-weight model to crack the top ten. 86.2% of US tax and benefit amounts within $1, no tools, +21.6 points over Kimi K2.6: the biggest version jump we've measured.
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PolicyEngine US @us.policyengine.org · 15/07/2026
You can view the impact of this enacted CTC increase on our NJ CTC Calculator and see how it would affect your household, the state, and each NJ congressional district. www.policyengine.org/us/nj-ctc-in...
policyengine.org
NJ Child Tax Credit increase calculator
Interactive analysis of New Jersey's enacted 25% Child Tax Credit increase for tax years 2026-2028 (S-4531 / P.L.2026, c.26).
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PolicyEngine US @us.policyengine.org · 15/07/2026
In 2026, we project the CTC increase will: *Cost $55 million *Benefit 242,000 tax units and 1.0 million residents *Deliver an average benefit of $304 to filers with $30,000 or less in taxable income.
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PolicyEngine US @us.policyengine.org · 15/07/2026
As part of the FY2027 budget, New Jersey enacted S-4531, which raises the state CTC amount by 25% for three years. Families with taxable income below $80,000 can claim a credit for each child under age 6. Using our NJ CTC calculator, we analyzed the impact of this increase.
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PolicyEngine US @us.policyengine.org · 11/07/2026
xAI's Grok 4.5 joins PolicyBench, our benchmark of how accurately AI computes US taxes and benefits (no tools, scored against PolicyEngine): #5 of 24 — 80.9% of answers within $1 +3.7 points over Grok 4.3 (#9) policybench.org
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PolicyEngine US @us.policyengine.org · 09/07/2026
GPT-5.6 joins PolicyBench, our benchmark of how accurately AI computes US taxes and benefits (no tools, scored against PolicyEngine): Sol #1 of 23 — 88.7% within $1 (prior best 83.5%) Luna #2 — 84.5% Terra #4 — 83.4% policybench.org
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PolicyEngine US @us.policyengine.org · 07/07/2026
See the full benchmark: policybench.org
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PolicyEngine US @us.policyengine.org · 07/07/2026
PolicyBench now scores 20 AI models on how accurately they compute US taxes and benefits — adding Claude Fable 5, Claude Sonnet 5, and five open-weight models: DeepSeek, Qwen, GLM, MiniMax, and Kimi. GPT-5.5 leads, Fable ranks #2, and DeepSeek v4-pro tops the open-weight models.
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PolicyEngine US @us.policyengine.org · 05/07/2026
Federalist No. 62 warned that every new revenue law "presents a new harvest to those who watch the change, and can trace its consequences." 250 years after independence, we build free, open-source software so everyone can trace the consequences. policyengine.org
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PolicyEngine US @us.policyengine.org · 19/06/2026
You can view the impact of this enacted CTC on our RI CTC Calculator and see how it would affect your household. www.policyengine.org/us/rhode-isl...
policyengine.org
Rhode Island Child Tax Credit Calculator | PolicyEngine
Calculate the impact of Rhode Island's Child Tax Credit on your household and the state. Design a RI child tax credit, see your household benefit, and explore statewide fiscal impact.
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PolicyEngine US @us.policyengine.org · 19/06/2026
In 2027, we project the CTC will: - Cost $45 million - Benefit 79,000 households - Lower child poverty and deep child poverty by 3.5% and 8.4%, respectively
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PolicyEngine US @us.policyengine.org · 19/06/2026
Last week, @govdanmckee.bsky.social signed the Rhode Island Fiscal Year 2027 budget, which includes a new refundable Child Tax Credit. Beginning in 2027, taxpayers can claim $330 for each child under the age of 19. Using our RI CTC calculator, we analyzed the impact of this program.
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PolicyEngine US @us.policyengine.org · 18/06/2026
The Bureau of Economic Analysis — the federal agency behind GDP — used PolicyEngine to calculate the taxes in its latest Distribution of Personal Income statistics. The first BEA release built on our open-source model. www.bea.gov/data/special...
bea.gov
Distribution of Personal Income | U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA)
Distribution of Personal Income Distribution of personal income statistics take one of BEA's primary economic indicators – personal income – and measure how it is distributed across households nationa...
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PolicyEngine US @us.policyengine.org · 17/06/2026
Want it live? We’re walking through PolicyBench on Thu June 25, 1:30pm ET — demo + Q&A. Register: us06web.zoom.us/meeting/regi...
us06web.zoom.us
Welcome! You are invited to join a meeting: A live walkthrough of PolicyBench: how accurately can AI compute taxes and benefits?. After registering, you will receive a confirmation email about joining...
PolicyBench (https://policybench.org) is PolicyEngine's new open benchmark of how accurately frontier language models compute real household taxes and benefits — no tools, scored against PolicyEngine....
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PolicyEngine US @us.policyengine.org · 17/06/2026
GPT-5.5 leads, getting 80.3% of its figures exactly right. The leaderboard lets you slice accuracy by program; income tax is the hardest. policybench.org/paper
policybench.org
PolicyBench paper
PolicyBench paper — the 2026-06-14 household-equal scored manuscript snapshot, with June 12-13 model responses and PolicyEngine reference outputs on the populace US microdata.
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PolicyEngine US @us.policyengine.org · 17/06/2026
Can a language model compute a household’s taxes and benefits from the prompt alone — no tools? We tested 13 frontier models against PolicyEngine on 100 representative US households. New benchmark: PolicyBench. policybench.org
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PolicyEngine US @us.policyengine.org · 27/05/2026
Earn a dollar more, take home less. Benefit cliffs happen when a household loses more in benefits than it gains in earnings. CliffWatch shows where, when, and how — across earnings levels and US states. Live demo Fri May 29, 1pm ET → us06web.zoom.us/meeting/regi...
CliffWatch screenshot
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PolicyEngine US @us.policyengine.org · 18/05/2026
Join us Thursday at 10am ET for a @pslmodels.org Demo Day on our TAXSIM emulator. Speakers: Dan Feenberg, creator of TAXSIM at @nber.org @pavelmakarchuk.bsky.social, chief of staff at PolicyEngine and creator of our open-source TAXSIM emulator Register here: us06web.zoom.us/meeting/regi...
us06web.zoom.us
Welcome! You are invited to join a meeting: PSL Demo Day: PolicyEngine's TAXSIM Emulator. After registering, you will receive a confirmation email about joining the meeting.
The National Bureau of Economic Research has supported government agencies and over 1,000 academic papers through its provision of TAXSIM, a free tool to calculate state and federal individual income ...
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PolicyEngine US @us.policyengine.org · 04/05/2026
PolicyEngine at the Code for America Summit this week. Thu 2pm — @daphnehansell.bsky.social on Coverage Compass: how life events change health coverage. Fri 2pm — @maxghenis.bsky.social moderating a panel with three orgs using PolicyEngine to calculate eligibility and amounts. Say hi in Chicago.
Poster of Daphne Hansell's sessionPoster of Max Ghenis's session
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PolicyEngine US @us.policyengine.org · 04/05/2026
See the analysis, including a personalized calculator, here: uhero.hawaii.edu/the-true-cos...
uhero.hawaii.edu
The True Cost of Subsidizing Childcare - UHERO
An expanded Child and Dependent Care Tax Credit (CDCC) could recoup a meaningful share of its upfront costs by making it easier for parents to remain in or enter the labor force.
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PolicyEngine US @us.policyengine.org · 04/05/2026
New UHERO analysis uses PolicyEngine to simulate Hawaii's childcare credit bills — first the direct household effect of the expanded CDCC, then the integrated CDCC, EITC, SNAP, WIC, and state income tax impact when a second earner enters the workforce in response.
Chart of earnings and creditWaterfall chart of disposable income
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PolicyEngine US @us.policyengine.org · 15/04/2026
Explore it in full here: policyengine.org/us/ai-inequality/income-shift
policyengine.org
Income shift experiment | PolicyEngine
A PolicyEngine prototype examining distributional effects when positive labor income shifts to positive capital income.
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PolicyEngine US @us.policyengine.org · 15/04/2026
The first analysis from our AI and economics research initiative answers the question: What happens if income shifts from labor to capital? A 10% shift raises the top 1%'s market income share from 25.7% to 29.3%. After taxes and transfers: 21.4% to 24.4%. Policy absorbs 19% of the increase.
CoverMarket income top 1% shareNet income top 1% shareRevenue
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PolicyEngine US @us.policyengine.org · 15/04/2026
We were also cited in Rep. McDonald Rivet’s press release of the bill: mcdonaldrivet.house.gov/media/press-...
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PolicyEngine US @us.policyengine.org · 15/04/2026
Use our calculator below to explore the effect on your household, more nationwide impacts, and how each congressional district would benefit from the WPTRA: www.policyengine.org/us/working-p...
policyengine.org
Working Parents Tax Relief Act Calculator
Calculate your personal and national tax impact under the Working Parents Tax Relief Act. See how the proposed EITC enhancement for parents of young children affects your household.
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PolicyEngine US @us.policyengine.org · 15/04/2026
We project the bill would:  - Lower federal revenues by $184.1B over 10 years - Benefit 2.9% of households and reduce child poverty by 1.4% in 2026
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PolicyEngine US @us.policyengine.org · 15/04/2026
NEW INTERACTIVE: Rep. Kristen McDonald Rivet has released the Working Parents Tax Relief Act (WPTRA), which increases the maximum EITC benefit by $5,500 for each child under 4 in a tax unit.
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PolicyEngine US @us.policyengine.org · 06/04/2026
The Living Wage Institute has adopted PolicyEngine for the tax calculations behind their living wage data. Read how our model is improving the accuracy of their household tax estimates — from iterative income solving to local tax coverage. www.livingwage.institute/post/how-we-...
livingwage.institute
How We're Improving Tax Calculations in Partnership With PolicyEngine
To ensure our data better reflects on-the-ground economic realities, the Living Wage Institute has partnered with PolicyEngine to enhance how we calculate household tax obligations. This partnership r...
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PolicyEngine US @us.policyengine.org · 03/04/2026
Put your assumptions about the billionaire tax to the test: policyengine.org/us/california-wealth-tax
policyengine.org
California wealth tax fiscal impact calculator | PolicyEngine
Estimate how California's proposed billionaire wealth tax changes revenue once avoidance, migration, return flows, and income-tax offsets are taken into account.
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PolicyEngine US @us.policyengine.org · 03/04/2026
How much would California's billionaire wealth tax actually raise? It depends on your assumptions about avoidance, departures, and income tax loss. We built an interactive calculator that lets you explore the tradeoffs — with presets calibrated to existing papers.
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Reposted by PolicyEngine US
PolicyEngine @policyengine.org · 01/04/2026
Introducing the PE-84. The world's first graphing microsimulator. Pre-order now: policyengine.org/pe84
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PolicyEngine US @us.policyengine.org · 26/03/2026
The Joint Economic Committee just released an Immigration Fiscal Impact Calculator powered by PolicyEngine's tax and SNAP calculations. Try it here: www.jec.senate.gov/public/index...
jec.senate.gov
Immigration Fiscal Impact Calculator
The United States needs immigration to maintain the growth of its economy, to mitigate its debt, and to continue competing on the global stage. High-skilled immigration, especially in keystone industr...
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PolicyEngine US @us.policyengine.org · 25/03/2026
We updated the State Legislative Tracker: You can now track tax bills across all 50 states, see each bill's legislative stage, follow real-time activity, and jump to full PolicyEngine analysis. Try it at policyengine.org/us/state-legislative-tracker
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PolicyEngine US @us.policyengine.org · 24/03/2026
Key features of our TANF calculator include: - State-specific estimates - Income & benefits chart - Interactive heatmap - State rankings - Scenario analysis Try it out: policyengine.org/us/tanf-calculator
policyengine.org
PolicyEngine
Free, open-source tools to understand tax and benefit policies. Explore research, meet our team, and learn about policy impacts.
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PolicyEngine US @us.policyengine.org · 24/03/2026
With our new calculator for the Temporary Assistance for Needy Families (TANF) cash assistance program, you can estimate TANF eligibility and benefit amounts for any household across all 50 states and DC.
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