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Patrick O'Neil

@upspatrick.bsky.social
586 followers 796 following 514 posts

Professor of political science. Here for Ukraine. Here for democracy, anywhere.

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Patrick O'Neil @upspatrick.bsky.social · 13h
static.klipy.com
Jack Jack's Fiery Excitement
ALT: Jack Jack's Fiery Excitement
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Patrick O'Neil @upspatrick.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
Someone needs to write something comparing the ideologies around effective altruism with H.G. Wells' Things to Come and the idea of a world government that had to take over because people were so irrational and prone to disaster.
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Patrick O'Neil @upspatrick.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
No drink will flow, no blood will spill
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Patrick O'Neil @upspatrick.bsky.social · 19/09/2026
No war is started in the film. That's the whole point. It's a stunt.
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Patrick O'Neil @upspatrick.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
Are you able to clarify whether one can talk to baggage services for AA or SAS at SeaTac? They've lost my luggage and are giving my the runaround online. I'd come back to the airport if someone would just talk to me
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Patrick O'Neil @upspatrick.bsky.social · 06/08/2026
They are super comfy
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Patrick O'Neil @upspatrick.bsky.social · 21/07/2026
This power isn't that uncommon, imo, though using it is another matter
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Patrick O'Neil @upspatrick.bsky.social · 09/07/2026
That phrasing is straight out of chat GPT
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Patrick O'Neil @upspatrick.bsky.social · 27/06/2026
My son arrived in Cottbus yesterday 🥵
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Patrick O'Neil @upspatrick.bsky.social · 20/06/2026
Curious, that's never been my experience. Students are very interested in India, Middle East.
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Patrick O'Neil @upspatrick.bsky.social · 04/05/2026
Axios reports that the recent "Peace Missiles" sent to the UAE indicate that Iranian delegates are headed to Pakistan with a new set of concessions.
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Patrick O'Neil @upspatrick.bsky.social · 04/05/2026
Oil markets response? NOTHING.
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Patrick O'Neil @upspatrick.bsky.social · 03/05/2026
For those of us completely unaware of this debate could you explain a bit?
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Patrick O'Neil @upspatrick.bsky.social · 02/05/2026
Are you surprised they aren't dropping this weekend? I am...
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Patrick O'Neil @upspatrick.bsky.social · 29/04/2026
It looks to me like retailers are slow to reprice gas at the pump in spite of the last couple of days. Am I correct in assuming they are loathe to make a dramatic jump until they know they have no other choice?
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Reposted by Patrick O'Neil
𝓔𝔁𝓬𝓵𝓾𝓭𝓮𝓭 𝓜𝓾𝓰𝔀𝓾𝓶𝓹 @excludedmugwump.bsky.social · 20/04/2026
Hey, journalists! Could you do us all a favour? Fact check Donald Trump BEFORE you quote him. Then, if he's lying, we don't need the quote. A simple statement "Donald Trump lied again" will do. Save us all a LOT of time - you don't have to write a lot of nonsense, we don't have to read it.
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Patrick O'Neil @upspatrick.bsky.social · 22/04/2026
The star has gone nova but the light hasn't reached us yet bsky.app/profile/econ...
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Patrick O'Neil @upspatrick.bsky.social · 22/04/2026
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Patrick O'Neil @upspatrick.bsky.social · 21/04/2026
But we've always had this electoral system, so you can't use it to explain change...
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Reposted by Patrick O'Neil
Shipwreck @shipwreck75.bsky.social · 17/04/2026
There of course are these reports: Numerous ships making the break for the Strait of Hormuz this evening have made abrupt U-turns and are heading back towards the Persian Gulf. Over a dozen ships have already turned back.
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Patrick O'Neil @upspatrick.bsky.social · 17/04/2026
Did we not understand this?
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Patrick O'Neil @upspatrick.bsky.social · 17/04/2026
Book title?
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Patrick O'Neil @upspatrick.bsky.social · 17/04/2026
Danny Citrinowicz
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Patrick O'Neil @upspatrick.bsky.social · 15/04/2026
What?? Without those funds MCC won't be able to host Rob Schneider any longer!
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Patrick O'Neil @upspatrick.bsky.social · 15/04/2026
Urea will tell us more than the flights of fancy in oil futures I suspect
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Patrick O'Neil @upspatrick.bsky.social · 13/04/2026
Szeged for the win! My first home away from home in the 1980s. "Pol Pot County," the wags called it, because of the local party leadership.
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Patrick O'Neil @upspatrick.bsky.social · 12/04/2026
Love seeing the Iran experts on Twitter deleting their takes from yesterday. Forever correct
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Patrick O'Neil @upspatrick.bsky.social · 12/04/2026
He's the president we need!
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Patrick O'Neil @upspatrick.bsky.social · 12/04/2026
Brent is spiking up as well
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Patrick O'Neil @upspatrick.bsky.social · 12/04/2026
I know 😞
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Reposted by Patrick O'Neil
Ron Filipkowski @ronfilipkowski.bsky.social · 12/04/2026
Here he is tonight. Working hard to end his War in Iran and make life more affordable for Americans like he promised.
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Patrick O'Neil @upspatrick.bsky.social · 12/04/2026
This is really bad. Forget about gas and diesel prices what about fertilizer and other petrochemical inputs?
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Patrick O'Neil @upspatrick.bsky.social · 12/04/2026
Oh and he deleted this.
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Patrick O'Neil @upspatrick.bsky.social · 12/04/2026
I'm going to keep posting this to remind myself that experts are no more immune to self-delusion than anyone else. Anyone who's read Tetlock would know this. To be fair I posted this earlier today because it seemed so not in keeping with what was unfolding.
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Reposted by Patrick O'Neil
Acyn @acyn.bsky.social · 12/04/2026
Vance: We have not reached for agreement. They have chosen not to accept our terms.
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Patrick O'Neil @upspatrick.bsky.social · 12/04/2026
God damn it.
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Patrick O'Neil @upspatrick.bsky.social · 12/04/2026
I miss this America
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Patrick O'Neil @upspatrick.bsky.social · 11/04/2026
🤦
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Patrick O'Neil @upspatrick.bsky.social · 11/04/2026
I don't want to live in a world where the United States tries to negotiate with Iran over a partnership where both sides would engage in rent-seeking--or if you prefer highway robbery--in the Persian Gulf.
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Patrick O'Neil @upspatrick.bsky.social · 11/04/2026
This is what passes for negotiations.
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Patrick O'Neil @upspatrick.bsky.social · 10/04/2026
Iranians are a no show?
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Reposted by Patrick O'Neil
Michelle Goldberg @michellegoldberg.bsky.social · 09/04/2026
Started/going, Sohrab Ahmari edition
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Reposted by Patrick O'Neil
Reuters @reuters.com · 10/04/2026
Saudi Arabia says attacks cut oil output and East-West Pipeline flow reut.rs/4t0PU33
reut.rs
Saudi Arabia says attacks cut oil output and East-West Pipeline flow
Attacks on Saudi energy facilities have cut the kingdom's oil production capacity by around 600,000 barrels per ​day and throughput on its East-West Pipeline by about 700,000 bpd, Saudi state news agency SPA reported on Thursday, citing an official source ‌at the Ministry of Energy.
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Patrick O'Neil @upspatrick.bsky.social · 09/04/2026
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Patrick O'Neil @upspatrick.bsky.social · 09/04/2026
Reality returns to punch markets in the mouth
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Patrick O'Neil @upspatrick.bsky.social · 09/04/2026
But the situation is persisting...how can gas drop in a day when supplies, even future supplies, are the same?
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Reposted by Patrick O'Neil
Dan Immergluck @danimmergluck.bsky.social · 08/04/2026
Brutal.
A WHOLE CIVILIZATION
WILL DIE TONIGHT
My son needs lunch, and I have to put his backpack together, but a whole civilization will die tonight, so I'm wondering if they've closed their schools.
Like, a snow day, maybe, except instead of snow it's
"keep your children home so if you die, you die together" — instead of "well open back up once the plows have cleared" it's
"we don't know if we'll be here tomorrow, hold your babies tight."
It's just "talk" I'm told, which I've been told before.
"It's how the president makes his deals." But I've never heard anyone talk about other human beings this way, and I'm not certain I can look my son in the eyes if we all agree to stomach it one more time.
A civilization will die tonight, but as I zip up his backpack and kiss him off to school I think: if this is what we call leadership then I'm not entirely sure ours isn't already dead.
@michaelfdubois
Mukad A QuBoy
@michacifdubois
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Reposted by Patrick O'Neil
Shibley Telhami @stelhami.bsky.social · 08/04/2026
Potentially big: Netanyahu seems to contradict understanding between Trump and Iran as reported by the Pakistani mediator; says that for Israel, ceasefire does not in include Lebanon.
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