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Tyler Meredith

@tylermeredith.bsky.social
4.6K followers 758 following 336 posts

Current: www.mbpolicy.com Past: head of fiscal + econ policy for 🇨🇦’s PM & Ministers of Finance @JustinTrudeau, @cafreeland & @bill_morneau (2016-22) #cdnpoli

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Tyler Meredith @tylermeredith.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
Even the cash strapped Trump administration is coming to the conclusion that “tax alpha” strategies are illegitimate and abusive investment vehicles. And should be shut down (potentially). www.bloomberg.com/news/article... #cdnpoli
bloomberg.com
Treasury Takes Aim at Wall Street Tax Trades in New Notice
The US Treasury Department took a big step toward curbing a Wall Street boom in investment strategies that help cut tax bills, with a notice signaling potential action on an array of tactics and a rul...
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Tyler Meredith @tylermeredith.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
🚀 Parliament is back and we are re-launching our weekly pod as free and ad free! THIS WEEK: we deep dive: ▶️ labour code changes ▶️ airport “asset recycling” and pension ownership ▶️ the BC election shit show. (Links below) #cdnpoli #bcpoli #canlab #cdnecon #pensions
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Tyler Meredith @tylermeredith.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
Listen on Apple, Spotify and YouTube from here lnk.to/MBPIBriefing... #cdnpoli #canlab #pensions #cdnecon
lnk.to
MBP Intelligence Briefing Podcast
The MBP Intelligence Briefing gets past the headlines into the policy shaping Canada: the legislation, the budgets, the regulatory decisions, and the politics driving them. Completely free and complet...
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Tyler Meredith @tylermeredith.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
🚀 Parliament is back and we are re-launching our weekly pod as free and ad free! THIS WEEK: we deep dive: ▶️ labour code changes ▶️ airport “asset recycling” and pension ownership ▶️ the BC election shit show. (Links below) #cdnpoli #bcpoli #canlab #cdnecon #pensions
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Nick P @npilon.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
Especially since Gleason in the Net Zero Accountability Act case literally just said that “may” can mean “shall” so. I focused on the ESDC assessment in my letter to my MP, since that’s also not in the legislation. Hopefully the text gets some cleanup during debate.
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Aaron Wherry @aaronwherry.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
A month after this, the Conservatives did not lead question period with any questions about trade talks.
cbc.ca
Poilievre asks Carney to recall Parliament to discuss collapsed U.S. trade deal | CBC News
Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre is calling for Prime Minister Mark Carney to reconvene Parliament to get details on the proposed U.S. trade deal he rejected, and answers on how Canadians will be ...
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Tyler Meredith @tylermeredith.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
6/n If the goal is stability then we must ask ourselves how will this be used and what will it do to the way employers and workers pursue their own goals. Success or failure will depend on whether people use these things in good faith or not. At this uncertain moment that is key. #cdnpoli
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Tyler Meredith @tylermeredith.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
5/n Now for some challenges - like with any change this will create new ways to game the system. We don’t know how that will work out and this comes at a time of heightened anxiety about jobs and the future of work. #cdnpoli
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Tyler Meredith @tylermeredith.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
4/n 4️⃣ the law provides new powers for a special mediator to make public a report of the problems at the table. This will be a key incentive for parties to ensure they are not to blame for a breakdown. This is good and keeps the pressure at the table to get a deal. #cdnpoli
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Tyler Meredith @tylermeredith.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
3/n 3️⃣ in applying the national interest test to intervene the Minister must also consider and balance constitutionally protected rights to freedom of association. This preserves the right to strike. That is not an unfettered right anyway and is protected separately by case law. #cdnpoli
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Tyler Meredith @tylermeredith.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
2/n 2️⃣ the national interest test can only be used in situations where there has been significant problems in the past. Good - this preserves incentives for parties to solve their own problems. #cdnpoli
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Tyler Meredith @tylermeredith.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
Some things to keep in mind about Canada Labour Code changes 1️⃣ section 107 previously gave unfettered power to intervene in a dispute. It was abused in some cases. The new national interest test narrows it. Good. 1/n #cdnpoli
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Tyler Meredith @tylermeredith.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
Some things to keep in mind about Canada Labour Code changes 1️⃣ section 107 previously gave unfettered power to intervene in a dispute. It was abused in some cases. The new national interest test narrows it. Good. 1/n #cdnpoli
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Jason Markusoff @markusoff.bsky.social · 20/09/2026
More separatists are challenging Danielle Smith’s leadership — because she’s been taking any stances against their referendum campaign. www.cbc.ca/news/canada/...
cbc.ca
UCP riding group demands leadership review as separatist leader criticizes Danielle Smith's unity stance | CBC News
To force a party vote on the premier's leadership, 22 riding associations would need to make same request.
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Tyler Meredith @tylermeredith.bsky.social · 20/09/2026
This was written last summer. The moment I saw it I immediately grabbed a screenshot knowing it would age poorly. It did indeed - what a stinker. #cdnpoli
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Tyler Meredith @tylermeredith.bsky.social · 20/09/2026
3/ The survey changes that up by first noting the potential consequences of aid cuts (death from depleted famine and global health programming) and then asks what to do. That’s instructive and should be front and centre in how Canada thinks about its next aid policy.
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Tyler Meredith @tylermeredith.bsky.social · 20/09/2026
2/ There’s a key lesson here for both governments and NGOs. Historically lots of people say they love aid yet also reward politicians and promises to cut it. Why? Because we don’t talk to self interest enough both of people and states (trade, stability and peace).
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Tyler Meredith @tylermeredith.bsky.social · 20/09/2026
The Rockefeller Foundation did a 34-country survey on foreign aid. Even though Canada has cut int’l assistance much less (and still up over time) than the U.S. did to USAID, Canadians are just as determined to increase aid. The key here is knowing the consequences #cdnpoli
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Connor Turner @ctoverdrive.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
Thank you for this. I don’t mind opening up a new approach if it means reducing some of the airport fees and costs.
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Bernie Michalik @berniemichalik.ca · 15/09/2026
Good thread. I think Carney is making a gamble that the upfront money pays off in other things like regional airports which have a harder time funding bigger initiatives. I can understand some might see this cynically.
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Aaron Wherry @aaronwherry.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
Over at the the other place, @tylermeredith.bsky.social has thoughts on airport operations. x.com/tylermeredit...
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Tyler Meredith @tylermeredith.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
On airports it’s probably worth a point of clarification for folks new to all this. A 🧵 1/n #cdnpoli Govt doesn’t “own” airports today. It created a series of non-profit concession corps (who can do profit making things) who run on top of land Canada owns.
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Tyler Meredith @tylermeredith.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
This is the smart and progressive way to drive jobs and growth. Kudos to Mark Carney and Minister Champagne. Rather than reward profits or rich people or dead money Canada will have a massive advantage for building assets. That drive the economy. Rewarding building. It’s time to build. #cdnpoli
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Aaron Wherry @aaronwherry.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
Name something that Canadians love more than filling out the census.
canada.ca
Statistics Canada thanks Canadians for their exceptional participation in the 2026 Census - Canada.ca
Thanks to outstanding participation across the country, the final response rate for the Canadian census is among the highest ever recorded.
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The Economist @economist.com · 13/09/2026
The rise in bond yields is by no means uniquely American. The knock-on effects of rising yields will be seen most immediately in other financial markets
bit.ly
Surging bond yields presage pain—and not just for bond investors
Stubborn inflation, corporate demand for capital and big public debts are squeezing holders of government bonds
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Tyler Meredith @tylermeredith.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
🇨🇦’s plan to double electricity is perhaps the biggest, boldest and most consequential economic policy idea right now. But how do we want to use it? What should Ottawa finance (and not)? How much to spend? I answer all this in 3 long essays (free, links below) #cdnpoli
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Tyler Meredith @tylermeredith.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
Part 1 (federal role and goals) www.mbpintelligence.com/blog/meredit... Part 2 (fiscal and cost advantages) www.mbpintelligence.com/blog/meredit... Part 3 (a Building Canadian Electricity Advantage Act) www.mbpintelligence.com/blog/meredit...
mbpintelligence.com
MEREDITH: It’s time for the Building Canadian Electricity Advantage Act
Ottawa should put roughly a quarter of the national electricity-funding gap on the table — and legislate the terms up front, through a new Building Canadian Electricity Advantage Act, rather than nego...
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Tyler Meredith @tylermeredith.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
🇨🇦’s plan to double electricity is perhaps the biggest, boldest and most consequential economic policy idea right now. But how do we want to use it? What should Ottawa finance (and not)? How much to spend? I answer all this in 3 long essays (free, links below) #cdnpoli
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Tyler Meredith @tylermeredith.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
🇨🇦’s plan to double electricity is perhaps the biggest, boldest and most consequential economic policy idea right now. But how do we want to use it? What should Ottawa finance (and not)? How much to spend? I answer all this in 3 long essays (free, links below) #cdnpoli
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Tyler Meredith @tylermeredith.bsky.social · 04/09/2026
This would imply a provincial ballot today of PC 36 OLP 34 NDP 23 GPO 5 That’s actually fairly close to what Liaison’s polling had in latest last week #cdnpoli #onpoli
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Tyler Meredith @tylermeredith.bsky.social · 04/09/2026
Last night’s Ontario by-elections weren’t what some expected. But it’s still pretty clear Ford is down and the opposition is up. Change from 2025 same ridings NDP ⬆️ 4.5pts OLP ⬆️ 4.2pts PC ⬇️ 7.3pts #onpoli #cdnpoli
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Tyler Meredith @tylermeredith.bsky.social · 01/09/2026
Across the 3 by-elections last night there was only one party who lost significant ground compared to the same races last year. LPC ⬆️ 1.6 ppts CPC ⬇️ 10.6 ppts NDP ⬆️ 5.5 ppts GPC ⬆️ 2.8 ppts #cdnpoli (Note - this is a pooled result, within Chicoutimi-Le Fjord specifically BQ vote gained 1.7 ppts)
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Tyler Meredith @tylermeredith.bsky.social · 29/08/2026
Since we are in for the long fight with Trump, what’s the economic strategy that comes next? @jrobson.bsky.social Ginny Roth and I, tackle this great Q in 90 minutes of deep policy nerd-dom. On this week’s @airquotesmedia.bsky.social Herle Burly youtu.be/QdzRoICHz6A?... #cdnpoli #cdnecon
youtu.be
Canada's Policy Path Forward with Meredith, Robson, and Roth | The Herle Burly
YouTube video by Air Quotes Media
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Tyler Meredith @tylermeredith.bsky.social · 30/08/2026
The latest Ipsos polling on tariffs is a must read from Darrell Bricker. Even 70% of Albertans support dollar for dollar tariff hit back, including openness to an export tax on energy. Full results: www.ipsos.com/en-ca/canadi... #cdnpoli #abpoli #onpoli #cusma #cdnecon
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Tyler Meredith @tylermeredith.bsky.social · 29/08/2026
Since we are in for the long fight with Trump, what’s the economic strategy that comes next? @jrobson.bsky.social Ginny Roth and I, tackle this great Q in 90 minutes of deep policy nerd-dom. On this week’s @airquotesmedia.bsky.social Herle Burly youtu.be/QdzRoICHz6A?... #cdnpoli #cdnecon
youtu.be
Canada's Policy Path Forward with Meredith, Robson, and Roth | The Herle Burly
YouTube video by Air Quotes Media
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Tyler Meredith @tylermeredith.bsky.social · 26/08/2026
Yesterday I sat down with Andrew Nichols @cbcnews.ca to do an in-depth analysis of the government’s counter measures and economic supports. A key thing to keep in mind: Ottawa has more fire power in reserve. And that’s good for this fight. youtu.be/i8Sfc-HJ9KM?... #cdnpoli
youtu.be
How Canada's federal supports will help workers amid the Canada-U.S. trade war
YouTube video by CBC News
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Tyler Meredith @tylermeredith.bsky.social · 22/08/2026
Let’s put this in context now that Trump has invoked his new tariffs. As PM Carney said, there has been rupture. In the space of a year Trump has rolled back 60 years of free trade progress with 🇨🇦. That is existential - not just a new tariff. #cdnpoli
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Andrew Parkin @parkinac.bsky.social · 08/08/2026
The difference between with / without children children is significant (but likely a function of age, not being a parent). The differences between those with 1, 2 or 3+ children are likely not significant (even with that large a base sample, but knowing subsample sizes would help).
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Andrew Parkin @parkinac.bsky.social · 08/08/2026
My point is just a note of caution about what conclusions to draw from the chart. It's a chart about age. The group most likely to not have children in the household are older people (~55+). What the chart shows is that older people are more likely to vote Liberal, which we knew already. =>
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Andrew Parkin @parkinac.bsky.social · 08/08/2026
That is not at all what this chart implies.
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Tyler Meredith @tylermeredith.bsky.social · 07/08/2026
Since January 2025, Canada has created jobs at more than 4x the pace of the United States Tariffs are a losing strategy for Mr. Trump. And we are becoming our own best customer. #Cdnpoli #canadastrong
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The Beaverton @thebeaverton.com · 03/08/2026
Canadians overwhelmingly demand wealth tax after Kevin O’Leary says it will make him move away
thebeaverton.com
Canadians overwhelmingly demand wealth tax after Kevin O’Leary says it will make him move away
OTTAWA - Pollsters report a split among Canadians over the idea of higher tax on the assets of wealthy individuals, though support skyrockets after noting that Kevin O'Leary has vowed that he will res...
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Tyler Meredith @tylermeredith.bsky.social · 03/08/2026
12/ And it’s why governments need to be very careful not to put their thumb on the scale. Which they didn’t here. Congrats to everyone.
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Tyler Meredith @tylermeredith.bsky.social · 03/08/2026
11/ And we shouldn’t expect that all airlines will be able to seamlessly negotiate these things every time. The union bears some shared responsibly in how this change happens. But that is what bargaining is all about.
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Tyler Meredith @tylermeredith.bsky.social · 03/08/2026
10/ BUT it’s also true this is a departure from what was previously bargained by the same union before. It will take time for this structural change to work its way through the system across all airlines.
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Tyler Meredith @tylermeredith.bsky.social · 03/08/2026
9/ The CUPE staff have now bargained on multiple occasions to structurally change how they are paid in order to adopt something akin to regular hours. Based on @abacusdataca polling it’s clear Canadians fully support this shift — it makes gut level sense to people. And biz shouldn’t fight it.
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Tyler Meredith @tylermeredith.bsky.social · 03/08/2026
8/ A strike is not indicative of a bad employer. It’s the process sometimes needing more time and a change in the dynamics at the table. WJ made real concessions that will cost money — costs that consumers will bear. But public opinion also seems fine with that.
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Tyler Meredith @tylermeredith.bsky.social · 03/08/2026
7/ The key here is to let the parties do their jobs — and bear the risks and accountabilities that come from that. It is also true that WestJet is not a bad actor here even if there was a strike.
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Tyler Meredith @tylermeredith.bsky.social · 03/08/2026
6/ That serves no one’s interest and would arguably INCREASE labour unrest across the system at a time when we need more certainty for investment.
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Tyler Meredith @tylermeredith.bsky.social · 03/08/2026
5/ This comes at a key time as Ottawa is looking at significant changes to the Canada Labour Code. The fact this was resolved fairly successfully is proof that the system works — it can certainly be improved but we should not move to dismantle hard won rights.
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