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Turan Orujlu

@turanorujlu.bsky.social
90 followers 368 following 16 posts

PhD Student @unituebingen.bsky.social. Interested in intuitive physics, world models, causality, and reinforcement learning.

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Konrad Kording @kordinglab.bsky.social · 24/08/2026
Hiring for research scientists in expansion chemistry and optical physiology at mindspan.org with @eboyden3.bsky.social, Yongxin Zhao, Xue Han. We will build tools to analyze the human brain. We are into compiling arxiv.org/abs/2603.25713. We are into cutting edge technology.
mindspan.org
Mindspan Institute
A non-profit creating and applying tools to characterize the molecules and wiring of the human brain, as well as to interpret how they contribute to brain functions and dysfunctions, openly sharing to...
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Turan Orujlu @turanorujlu.bsky.social · 25/07/2026
The identification results above are mathematically formalized and proven in the full paper: arxiv.org/abs/2605.03268 I thank my co-authors Jordan Matelsky, Martin Butz, Charley Wu, and Konrad Kording. @jordan.matelsky.com @thecharleywu.bsky.social @kordinglab.bsky.social
arxiv.org
Partially Observed Structural Causal Models
Here we introduce Partially Observed Structural Causal Models (POSCMs) as an extension of structural causal models (SCMs) to settings where upstream contexts co-determine both the interaction structur...
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Turan Orujlu @turanorujlu.bsky.social · 25/07/2026
We use eccentricity (distance from the center of the retina) as a stand-in for β, and recover the sigmoidal BC (bipolar cell) → RGC (retinal ganglion cell) transfer curve (stand-in for mechanism f) with the help of β and V interventions.
Mean change in RGC membrane potential against bipolar-cell clamp voltage, from −70 mV to −20 mV. Points with error bars trace a sigmoid rising from about −0.29 mV to about +0.46 mV, with a least-squares affine-tanh guide curve through them and a midpoint near −37 mV.
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Turan Orujlu @turanorujlu.bsky.social · 25/07/2026
Positive result: with observational + β-node + V-node interventions, the kernels α, {φ_i}, Γ are identifiable. We validate this in a retina simulator. Retina is a natural POSCM: cell type co-determines both wiring and synapses, and the laminar circuit supplies the ordering τ.
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Turan Orujlu @turanorujlu.bsky.social · 25/07/2026
We provide both positive and negative identification results: Negative: With no β-level interventions, α, {φ_i}, and Γ are non-identifiable. V-level data cannot break a symmetry that lives in Phase I.
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Turan Orujlu @turanorujlu.bsky.social · 25/07/2026
To enable edge interventions we introduce per-parent decomposition of mechanisms that we call edge-local messages:
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Turan Orujlu @turanorujlu.bsky.social · 25/07/2026
We show the power of edge interventions in POSCMs using the distributive law of multiplication. x·(y+z) and x·y+x·z agree under every node intervention do(x,y,z) when the internal ops are latent. Perturb one channel of x: LHS 3·(1+1)=6, RHS 3·1+2·1=5. Graphs are separated.
Two computation graphs for the same output W. On the left, W = x·(y+z) via one addition and one multiplication. On the right, W = (x·y)+(x·z) via two multiplications. An edge intervention setting x′=3 on a single channel yields W=6 on the left and W=5 on the right, while every node intervention leaves the two indistinguishable.
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Turan Orujlu @turanorujlu.bsky.social · 25/07/2026
The connectome-shifting, economic-link-rewiring interventions can be modeled in POSCMs as the Phase-I context interventions that alter the graph-generating measure: P(A_j | do(β_j = b)).
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Turan Orujlu @turanorujlu.bsky.social · 25/07/2026
Generation happens in two phases: Phase I: A_ji ← α(β_j), then β_i ← φ_i(β_pa) Phase II: f_i ← Γ(β_i, Pa(i)), then V_i ← f_i(V_pa) The augmented graph β₁→A₁₂→β₂→… stays acyclic. SCMs are the degenerate case A ~ δ_A*, f ~ δ_f*.
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Turan Orujlu @turanorujlu.bsky.social · 25/07/2026
POSCM's constituent parts (context β, structure A, mechanisms f, values V) are jointly generated and can be partially observed via noisy channels. Furthermore, context shapes wiring (A), wiring shapes context. To avoid circularity, we impose generation over an exogenous order τ.
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Turan Orujlu @turanorujlu.bsky.social · 25/07/2026
UAI 2026 paper: A genetic perturbation can change the connectome, a new policy can rewire economic links between firms. In each case, interventions change the graph itself which standard SCMs treat as fixed. We tackle this in Partially Observed Structural Causal Models (POSCMs).
Expanded DAG for a 3-node POSCM under ordered generation. An exogenous ordering τ feeds context variables β₁, β₂, β₃; each βᵢ generates adjacency variables A_ji, which gate the value channels between endogenous variables V₁, V₂, V₃ and also feed the mechanism variables f₁, f₂, f₃. Phase I covers structure and context generation; Phase II covers mechanism assignment and value generation.
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Konrad Kording @kordinglab.bsky.social · 25/07/2026
I think this is importantly work bringing causality closer to reality.
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Turan Orujlu @turanorujlu.bsky.social · 25/07/2026
UAI 2026 paper: A genetic perturbation can change the connectome, a new policy can rewire economic links between firms. In each case, interventions change the graph itself which standard SCMs treat as fixed. We tackle this in Partially Observed Structural Causal Models (POSCMs).
Expanded DAG for a 3-node POSCM under ordered generation. An exogenous ordering τ feeds context variables β₁, β₂, β₃; each βᵢ generates adjacency variables A_ji, which gate the value channels between endogenous variables V₁, V₂, V₃ and also feed the mechanism variables f₁, f₂, f₃. Phase I covers structure and context generation; Phase II covers mechanism assignment and value generation.
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Hanqi Zhou @hanqizhou.bsky.social · 18/06/2026
Come join us!
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Marcel Binz @marcelbinz.bsky.social · 09/06/2026
Excited to announce that I'll be starting my own lab in Tübingen this October! Hiring at all levels: Postdoc, PhD & RA. Want to work on computational cognitive science at scale? Apply: core-cognition.github.io Reposts and shares much appreciated 🙏
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Roxana Zeraati @roxana-zeraati.bsky.social · 21/05/2026
Some incredibly exciting news that still feels a bit surreal: I am starting my research group @mpicybernetics.bsky.social! The best part? We are hiring at all levels! Curious about the science we plan to tackle, read along :) #NeuroSky
An illustration of different species, from worms to humans, foraging, indicating the main topic of our research group.
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Blake Richards @tyrellturing.bsky.social · 08/05/2026
I don't think our culture is ready for accepting this idea, and probably some percentage of humans never will be. My guess: hundreds of years from now a majority will agree with this, but many still won't, and it will correlate with religion and education. (See, e.g., Darwinian evolution) 🧠📈 🧪
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ArXiv Paperboy (Stat.ME+Econ.EM) @paperposterbot.bsky.social · 06/05/2026
arXiv📈🤖 Partially Observed Structural Causal Models By Orujlu, Matelsky, Butz et al
Here we introduce Partially Observed Structural Causal Models (POSCMs) that formalize causal systems where latent contexts co-determine both the interaction structure and downstream mechanisms on observed variables. POSCMs provide an extension of structural causal models (SCMs), as a self-contained causal modeling framework for endogenous graphs, allowing for an intervention hierarchy spanning node- and edge-level context and endogenous variable interventions. To enable surgical edge interventions, we adopt a Kolmogorov-Arnold-Sprecher edge-functional decomposition, an existence theorem for representing each node mechanism as a sum of univariate functions of its parents, yielding an explicit parametrization of dyadic functional contributions. We provide an identifiability theory that clarifies which intervention families would suffice to disentangle structure formation from mechanisms. We empirically validate these predictions in a biophysically detailed virtual human retina simulator, constructing intervention protocols that (i) reproduce the non-identifiability predicted when context is latent and no context-level interventions are available, (ii) exhibit structure-mechanism confounding under latent edges when only node interventions are observed, and (iii) recover synaptic input-output relationships via targeted node interventions, consistent with our positive kernel identifiability result. Our work generalizes SCMs in a way that allows it to work in a world closer to the one we live in.
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arXiv cs.LG Machine Learning @cslg-bot.bsky.social · 06/05/2026
Turan Orujlu, Jordan Matelsky, Martin V. Butz, Charley M. Wu, Konrad P. Kording: Partially Observed Structural Causal Models arxiv.org/abs/2605.03268 arxiv.org/pdf/2605.03268 arxiv.org/html/2605.03268
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Shervin Safavi @neuroprinciplist.bsky.social · 07/04/2026
If you need a method to infer causality from neural data, even when the signal is short, check our recent paper: Paper: joss.theoj.org/papers/10.21... Code: github.com/CMC-lab/Tran...
joss.theoj.org
TranCIT: Transient Causal Interaction Toolbox
Nouri et al., (2025). TranCIT: Transient Causal Interaction Toolbox. Journal of Open Source Software, 10(116), 9302, https://doi.org/10.21105/joss.09302
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CMC Unit @cmc-unit.bsky.social · 08/01/2026
Wanna compare dynamics across different systems? See our fast and furious method developed by us (@armanbehrad.bsky.social @mmdtaha.bsky.social, @neuroprinciplist.bsky.social) together with our wonderful collaborators! You can already use our code: github.com/CMC-lab/fast...
github.com
GitHub - CMC-lab/fastDSA: Fast DSA package
Fast DSA package. Contribute to CMC-lab/fastDSA development by creating an account on GitHub.
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Ryutaro Uchiyama @uchiyama.bsky.social · 26/12/2025
My new lab in Singapore is seeking a full-time RA to help investigate how exploratory cognitive states shape environmental representations (cognitive maps). The position is funded until late 2027, and comes with a postdoc-level salary package. Please forward! careers.sutd.edu.sg/job/Singapor...
careers.sutd.edu.sg
Research Assistant/Associate
Research Assistant/Associate
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Charley Wu @thecharleywu.bsky.social · 29/07/2025
Proud of the work from hmc-lab.com & collaborators @ #CogSci2025 this year, but sad I cant be there myself @hanqizhou.bsky.social @davidnagy.bsky.social @alexthewitty.bsky.social @stepalminteri.bsky.social @brendenlake.bsky.social @kefang.bsky.social @rdhawkins.bsky.social @meanwhileina.bsky.social
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Charley Wu @thecharleywu.bsky.social · 24/07/2025
SCMs often assume overly-dense causal graphs in dynamic settings 👉⚽🥎, since any object interaction is a potential causal edge, making them hard to scale. In joint work with @turanorujlu.bsky.social @cgumbsch.bsky.social & Martin Butz we propose a new Causal Process Model to tackle this. Thread👇
arxiv.org
Reframing attention as a reinforcement learning problem for causal discovery
Formal frameworks of causality have operated largely parallel to modern trends in deep reinforcement learning (RL). However, there has been a revival of interest in formally grounding the representati...
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Turan Orujlu @turanorujlu.bsky.social · 22/07/2025
Reframing attention as an RL problem for causal discovery AI models like GNNs & Transformers can struggle with dynamic causal reasoning. Our work introduces the Causal Process Model (CPM), which reframes attention as an RL problem. Agents dynamically build sparse causal graphs.
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