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Tommaso Pavone

@tommasopavone.bsky.social
2.1K followers 926 following 201 posts

Assistant Professor, @utoronto.ca | Director, CEFMF @uoft.bsky.social | Researcher, @unioslo-arena.bsky.social | Princeton PhD | European & EU politics, law & society, law & political development | Book: The Ghostwriters @cambridgeup.bsky.social

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Reposted by Tommaso Pavone
uoft-poli-sci.bsky.social @uoft-poli-sci.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
@uoft-poli-sci.bsky.social @tommasopavone.bsky.social comments as PM Carney returns from his pivotal trip to Europe this week. www.ctvnews.ca/politics/art...
ctvnews.ca
Why PM Carney’s trip to Europe this week has just taken on more importance
With Canada-U.S. trade talks at a standstill and Donald Trump's continued musings about making an all-North America U.S. territory, Mark Carney is heading to Europe with plans to pursue a "unique" tra...
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Tommaso Pavone @tommasopavone.bsky.social · 30/06/2026
It turns out trying to reach a human being at @lufthansagroup.bsky.social about a luggage that has been delayed for two days for which you are receiving zero updates is a new Kafka-esque level of hell. Do better, OMG 🥵
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Tommaso Pavone @tommasopavone.bsky.social · 28/06/2026
Last night in #Brussels... nature 🩷 pride 🌈
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Tommaso Pavone @tommasopavone.bsky.social · 22/05/2026
I'm shocked and so deeply saddened that my colleague and friend, Ran Hirschl, passed away. A towering figure in law and politics, he was so supportive of junior faculty like me, and had so much intellectual firepower to go. I'll miss him so much 😢 www.politics.utoronto.ca/news/memoria...
politics.utoronto.ca
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Tommaso Pavone @tommasopavone.bsky.social · 14/05/2026
𝗖𝗮𝗻 𝗿𝗲𝗳𝗹𝗲𝗰𝘁𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗼𝗻 𝗱𝗲𝗺𝗼𝗰𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗰 𝗯𝗮𝗰𝗸𝘀𝗹𝗶𝗱𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗶𝗻 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗿𝗲𝗰𝗲𝗻𝘁 𝗽𝗮𝘀𝘁 “𝗶𝗻𝗼𝗰𝘂𝗹𝗮𝘁𝗲” 𝗰𝗶𝘁𝗶𝘇𝗲𝗻𝘀 𝗶𝗻𝘁𝗼 𝗹𝗶𝗯𝗲𝗿𝗮𝗹 𝗱𝗲𝗺𝗼𝗰𝗿𝗮𝘁𝘀 𝘃𝗶𝗴𝗶𝗹𝗮𝗻𝘁 𝗼𝘃𝗲𝗿 𝘁𝗵𝗲𝗶𝗿 𝗴𝗼𝘃𝗲𝗿𝗻𝗺𝗲𝗻𝘁𝘀? A few months back @movadek.bsky.social & I promised we would try to find out. 𝗪𝗲 𝗻𝗼𝘄 𝗵𝗮𝘃𝗲 𝗺𝗼𝘀𝘁𝗹𝘆 𝘀𝗼𝗯𝗲𝗿𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗻𝗲𝘄𝘀 𝘁𝗼 𝘀𝗵𝗮𝗿𝗲 𝗳𝗿𝗼𝗺 𝗦𝗹𝗼𝘃𝗮𝗸𝗶𝗮: tinyurl.com/2add6c2a (1/7)
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Tommaso Pavone @tommasopavone.bsky.social · 30/04/2026
They nicknamed the bus "Javert"
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Tommaso Pavone @tommasopavone.bsky.social · 28/04/2026
Spring has finally arrived on the @utoronto.ca campus! 🤩
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Reposted by Tommaso Pavone
uoft-poli-sci.bsky.social @uoft-poli-sci.bsky.social · 24/04/2026
congrats👏@uoft-poli-sci.bsky.social Derefe Chevannes, @tommasopavone.bsky.social, Caleb Pomeroy, David Ragazzoni, Lana Salman, @semrasevi.bsky.social and @sverrir.bsky.social (Munk) who have been awarded the 2025 Academic Citizen Award from UTFA! www.politics.utoronto.ca/news/utfa-ac...
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Reposted by Tommaso Pavone
Kim Lane Scheppele @kimlanelaw.bsky.social · 17/04/2026
Here’s my analysis of how challenger Peter Magyar was able to overcome the rigged election system to win in Hungary. www.journalofdemocracy.org/online-exclu...
journalofdemocracy.org
How Viktor Orbán Loses | Journal of Democracy
Opposition leader Péter Magyar overcame the rigged system that Orbán created and used it against him. The old playbook of disinformation and dirty tricks was no match for a disciplined campaign that…
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R. Daniel Kelemen @rdanielkelemen.bsky.social · 16/04/2026
My take on the Hungarian election in @lawfaremedia.org www.lawfaremedia.org/article/how-...
lawfaremedia.org
How Hungary Escaped Electoral Autocracy
Viktor Orbán’s defeat will have consequences for the country, Europe, and aspiring autocrats around the world.
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Reposted by Tommaso Pavone
Antoinette Scherz @ascherz.bsky.social · 14/04/2026
Democratic frontsliding in the EU is real! #Hungary Curious what people think: how does our frontsliding framework travel from Poland to Hungary? In our new paper @chrishillion.bsky.social, @tommasopavone.bsky.social & I examine the challenges of democratic restoration after backsliding. 👇 thread
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Tommaso Pavone @tommasopavone.bsky.social · 13/04/2026
𝗛𝗼𝘄 𝗰𝗮𝗻 𝗘𝗨 𝗺𝗲𝗺𝗯𝗲𝗿 𝗴𝗼𝘃𝗲𝗿𝗻𝗺𝗲𝗻𝘁𝘀 𝗿𝗲𝘀𝘁𝗼𝗿𝗲 𝗱𝗲𝗺𝗼𝗰𝗿𝗮𝗰𝘆 𝗮𝗳𝘁𝗲𝗿 𝗯𝗮𝗰𝗸𝘀𝗹𝗶𝗱𝗶𝗻𝗴? Yesterday's #election in #Hungary forces us to grapple w/ the politics of "𝘥𝘦𝘮𝘰𝘤𝘳𝘢𝘵𝘪𝘤 𝘧𝘳𝘰𝘯𝘵𝘴𝘭𝘪𝘥𝘪𝘯𝘨." In @jeppjournal.bsky.social, @chrishillion.bsky.social, @ascherz.bsky.social & I have an argument- and warning- from Poland 👇thread
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Kim Lane Scheppele @kimlanelaw.bsky.social · 12/04/2026
Orban called Magyar to congratulate Magyar - and admitted defeat to his supporters. It's over. Peter Magyar and his Tisza Party wins with such an overwhelming victory that he has two-thirds of the seats in the parliament and can undo Orban's autocratic legalism!
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Tommaso Pavone @tommasopavone.bsky.social · 12/04/2026
HUGE: TISZA/democratic opposition headed for a historic win against autocratic Fidesz/Orban, despite electoral tampering/gov't controlled media. THIS, not Brexit, is a real "liberation day!" BUT: we've learned from Poland that restoring democracy takes more than election. More on that this week...
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Europe Elects @europeelects.bsky.social · 12/04/2026
National Parliament Election in Hungary today 🇭🇺 🇪🇺 Do 2022 government or opposition strongholds show greater increases in turnout? Evidence from the municipal level. #Hungary Full data: europeelects.eu/2026/04/04/national…
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Vlad Makszimov @vmakszimov.bsky.social · 12/04/2026
1/ Many were wondering whether Fidesz would actually concede if it lost. High turnout today is encouraging — but there are now clear signals the government is preparing the ground to contest the legitimacy of the result, at least if it’s close.
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R. Daniel Kelemen @rdanielkelemen.bsky.social · 12/04/2026
This is a great sign. Looks like the Orban regime is finally going down today. He has tilted the playing field heavily in his own favor and will try vote buying schemes, but a big enough wave of support for the opposition can overcome all that…
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Tommaso Pavone @tommasopavone.bsky.social · 09/04/2026
Interested in legal mobilization & strategic litigation? Check out my new open access chapter w/ @silje-hermansen.bsky.social! We ask: who litigates EU law? Who wins @ @eucourtofjustice.bsky.social? W/ what downstream impact? New dat/comparisons to litigation in the US included! tinyurl.com/bdznr98v
tinyurl.com
EU Law Litigation (Chapter 15) - Empirical Legal Studies in EU Law
Empirical Legal Studies in EU Law - May 2026
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Tommaso Pavone @tommasopavone.bsky.social · 23/02/2026
How have lawyers, lobbyists & consultants reshaped regulation/public power in the EU? On March 2 @ 3PM, the Centre for Study of France & Francophone World @utoronto.ca hosts @lolaavril.bsky.social (CNRS/Sorbonne) for “Transforming the Regulatory State in Europe," Info/register!: tinyurl.com/3mkhk3f9
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Reposted by Tommaso Pavone
World Politics @worldpolitics.bsky.social · 18/02/2026
Today in Encode/Decode @rdanielkelemen.bsky.social and @tommasopavone.bsky.social examine the consequences of #politicizing #international #institutions and the trade-offs facing executives double-hatting as #prosecutors and #policymakers. Read how data played a vital role: doi.org/10.1353/wp.2...
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Tommaso Pavone @tommasopavone.bsky.social · 13/02/2026
How is justice rebuilt after terrorism? Can a trial shoulder this burden? On Feb 25 @ 5PM, the Centre for the Study of France & Francophone World (CEFMF) @utoronto.ca hosts Sandrine Lefranc (CNRS/Sciences Po) for “Judgment Without Appeal,” on the Bataclan Trial. Info/register!: tinyurl.com/4rpm439a
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Oliver Grimm @grimmse.bsky.social · 09/02/2026
Great analysis, as always, by @davidcarretta.bsky.social, on the Commission's omissions. With a reference to a very important paper by @rdanielkelemen.bsky.social and @tommasopavone.bsky.social.
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Tommaso Pavone @tommasopavone.bsky.social · 26/01/2026
Snow is wrapping up in Toronto. On my deck, there were about 2" of icy snow on the ground before the storm started. Three measurements to try to avoid/account for drifting averaged 26.16". Take away 2" but also account for compacting, & downtown #Toronto probs got 24-26" (60-66cms) #ONwx #ONstorm
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Tommaso Pavone @tommasopavone.bsky.social · 25/01/2026
Extraordinary sights from @utoronto.ca and the city of #Toronto right now; incredible snowfall rates, and the all-time snowfall record in jeopardy for parts of the city. Snow squall will begin drifting south, but not before dumping even more snow #ONwx #ONstorm
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Tommaso Pavone @tommasopavone.bsky.social · 25/01/2026
The city of #Toronto & @utoronto.ca campus midway through what will surely be a historic winter storm. No doubt, the most intense snowfall rates I've ever experienced. The lake effect snow band is just sitting over the city, and still has many more inches in it before it drifts south #ONwx $ONstorm
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Tommaso Pavone @tommasopavone.bsky.social · 24/01/2026
Sunday-Sun night winter storm for S. Ontario & the NE US is finally coming into the window of the high-resolution models. Here’s three w/ good agreement for #Toronto: ~10” (25cms) with locally 12-13” (30-33cms) where lake enhancement focuses. A mess for #NYC: models all over the place #ONwx #ONstorm
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Tommaso Pavone @tommasopavone.bsky.social · 22/01/2026
Another week, another major winter storm to impact the Northeast US & southeast Ontario on Sun-Mon. Again, the computer model spread is huge: Look @ the implications for NYC & Toronto! Here's 2 outlier & 2 in-the-middle scenarios. Best bet IMO is the ICON but shifts/refinements likely #ONwx #ONstorm
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Tommaso Pavone @tommasopavone.bsky.social · 21/01/2026
In 2025 @chrishillion.bsky.social, @ascherz.bsky.social & I proposed a theory of "democratic frontsliding" & "restorative disobedience" to confront recalcitrant "autocratic enclaves" & restore democracies that backslid. Poland is our key case. Read/share our new/improved paper! tinyurl.com/mrx7kep9
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Chris Hayes @chrislhayes.bsky.social · 20/01/2026
This is the best speech, just from a pure rhetoric perspective - its sophistication and persuasiveness - that I've seen a politician deliver in a good long while. Really recommend watching or reading the whole thing.
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Tommaso Pavone @tommasopavone.bsky.social · 15/01/2026
Final tally near the @utoronto.ca St. George campus is around/just shy of 11” (27-28cms), though difficult to measure/to avoid drifting. Just 10 miles north of downtown near Vaughan, where the heavy snow band lingered all day, I wouldn’t be surprised to see some 20” reports (50 cms) #ONwx #ONstorm
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Tommaso Pavone @tommasopavone.bsky.social · 15/01/2026
As we go to sleep, Toronto may be in for a historic snowstorm & a huge forecast bust. Evening run of the computer models go from low end of 10-12” (25-30cms) to high end of 17-20” (43-50cms) of snow. Even now, Environ Canada’s snowfall warning only forecasts 10-20cms. We’ll see! 🫣 #ONwx #ONstorm
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Tommaso Pavone @tommasopavone.bsky.social · 14/01/2026
Toronto friends: on Wed nite-Thurs the official forecast from Environ Canada is flurries/2cms of snow. But some computer models now predict a snowstorm as temps plummet & snow/liquid ratios skyrocket. Look @ this insane spread just 24hrs out: 4 models forecasting from 0.8”/2cms to 18.9”/48cms😵‍💫 #ONwx
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Connor Ewing @cmewing.bsky.social · 14/01/2026
👀 67% increase in the number of applications to the Toronto political science PhD program from last year, 92% increase from 2024 👀
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British Journal of Political Science @bjpols.bsky.social · 13/01/2026
From November 2025 - Leveling and Spotlighting: How the European Court of Justice Favors the Weak to Promote Its Legitimacy - cup.org/4oWD6ZT - @silje-hermansen.bsky.social, @tommasopavone.bsky.social & @louisabo.bsky.social #OpenAccess
BJPolS abstract discussing the impact of international courts like the European Court of Justice on individual rights and civil society, highlighting their role in promoting legal claims and supporting networks.
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uoft-poli-sci.bsky.social @uoft-poli-sci.bsky.social · 13/01/2026
We are delighted to announce that @tommasopavone.bsky.social, Caleb Pomeroy and Nicole Bernhardt have each received Connaught New Researcher Awards for 2024-25! www.politics.utoronto.ca/news/connaug...
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Michal Ovádek @movadek.bsky.social · 02/01/2026
can't wait to dig into the data with @tommasopavone.bsky.social. This is probably one of the largest survey experiments ever run in Slovakia, a country you will not find analysed in the big journals very often
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Tommaso Pavone @tommasopavone.bsky.social · 02/01/2026
Can reflecting on past democratic backsliding episodes “inoculate” citizens into vigilant liberal democrats? Drawing on the Slovak case, @movadek.bsky.social & I will find out: our registered report is in-principle accepted @thejop.bsky.social & survey results forthcoming! See tinyurl.com/uv5wybhs
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Tommaso Pavone @tommasopavone.bsky.social · 14/12/2025
“Is the @eucourtofjustice.bsky.social a social court protecting the ‘have nots’ or an economic court beholden to the ‘haves’?” @silje-hermansen.bsky.social, @louisabo.bsky.social & I have an answer on @verfassungsblog.de. This holiday season, our analysis give us reason to be biased for hope:
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European Consortium for Political Research @ecpr.bsky.social · 08/12/2025
🌍 #SGEU26 @ecprsgeu.bsky.social Section seeking Panels & Papers 💼 Judicial Politics, Legal Mobilisation, and Empirical Legal Studies 🪑 @dnaurin.bsky.social & @tommasopavone.bsky.social ⌛ Deadline: 10 Dec buff.ly/wxnegaD #CallforProposals #Polisky
buff.ly
Judicial Politics, Legal Mobilisation, and Empirical Legal Studies
13th Biennial Conference of the Standing Group on the European Union, 1 – 3 July 2026, Università di Catania
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Tommaso Pavone @tommasopavone.bsky.social · 03/12/2025
A paper titled "The Credibility Revolution in Political Science" is making the rounds (osf.io/preprints/so...). Kudos to the authors for the key proviso below (pg 34): quant political scientists pursing design-based causal inference arguably need MORE, not less, engagement w/ qual research & theory
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Daniel Naurin @dnaurin.bsky.social · 01/12/2025
10 days left to apply for our section on judicial politics, legal mobilisation and empirical legal studies at ECPR SGEU in Catania, Sicily on July 1-3, 2026. @tommasopavone.bsky.social and I look forward to your paper/panel submission!
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Tommaso Pavone @tommasopavone.bsky.social · 30/11/2025
There's a debate about replication going on re-the flagship polisci journal. My 2 cents: if replications become an incentive to seize mistakes (all papers are imperfect) to make examples of colleagues in the public square/social media, this'll get toxic. Let's not. We're contrarian enough. Be kind 🙏
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European Consortium for Political Research @ecpr.bsky.social · 27/11/2025
🌍 #SGEU26 @ecprsgeu.bsky.social Section seeking Panels & Papers ✒️ Judicial Politics, Legal Mobilisation, and Empirical Legal Studies 🪑 @dnaurin.bsky.social & @tommasopavone.bsky.social ⌛⬇️ Deadline: 10 Dec buff.ly/aiDifx0 #EU #CallforProposals #Polisky #EU
buff.ly
Judicial Politics, Legal Mobilisation, and Empirical Legal Studies
13th Biennial Conference of the Standing Group on the European Union, 1 – 3 July 2026, Università di Catania
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Tommaso Pavone @tommasopavone.bsky.social · 24/11/2025
Do you research judicial politics/legal mobilisation/empirical legal studies in the European Union? Submit your paper/panel proposal for the @ecprsgeu.bsky.social conference in Catania, Sicily on July 1-3 2026! @dnaurin.bsky.social & I are section co-chairs. Deadline Dec 10: ecpr.eu/Events/Event...
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Louisa Boulaziz @louisabo.bsky.social · 13/11/2025
So delighted to see this out 🤩🤩
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Tommaso Pavone @tommasopavone.bsky.social · 13/11/2025
Friends, my article w/ @silje-hermansen.bsky.social and @louisabo.bsky.social on how/why the "have nots" come out ahead in litigation @eucourtofjustice.bsky.social is out in @bjpols.bsky.social! We propose a theory of judicial leveling & spotlighting to explain these contrarian results: take a look!
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Tommaso Pavone @tommasopavone.bsky.social · 12/11/2025
The @utoronto.ca continues to recruit talent: two leading economists & a physicist from Stanford & MIT are coming to Toronto! This is the value of being @ a large research university in a multicultural city, a liberal democracy & a state committed to research funding: www.utoronto.ca/news/new-con...
utoronto.ca
New constellation of academic stars headed to U of T
In a “big win for Canada,” the University of Toronto is further strengthening its academic ranks with three top researchers from U.S. universities whose work ranges from the search for new planets to ...
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Tommaso Pavone @tommasopavone.bsky.social · 05/11/2025
The 2025 Carney Gov't budget includes this "brain gain" provision to recruit/retain int'l scholars in Canadian universities like @utoronto.ca: excellent! Would like to see even more emphasis on junior scholars (postdocs, assistant profs): they're the future, are often under-placed, & they'd stay!
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Leonardo Puleo @leonardo-puleo.bsky.social · 31/10/2025
💫Second great news of the day The book “Dissensus over Liberal Democracy: Insights from European Judges” is finally out with @bloomsburyacad.bsky.social @hartpublishing.bsky.social I’m truly happy to have co-edited this volume with Ramona Coman, Viktor Kazai, and Andrew Bradley. A thread 🧵 1/N
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Olúfẹ́mi O. Táíwò @olufemiotaiwo.bsky.social · 28/10/2025
The government of Jamaica has set up a portal for contributing to official relief efforts. I will update this thread if anything analogous opens up for Haiti, Cuba, or the DR supportjamaica.gov.jm
supportjamaica.gov.jm
Support Jamaica
1827442074