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Seed Oil Drinkers Against Trump @superkatzbro.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

I’m a naturally optimistic person and I choose to delude myself about politics to some extent, BUT: - Recalled vote weighting w/ 30% approval POTUS?? - lame duck midterm history - Voter registration numbers - Outlier polls are mostly in one direction, maybe many others are excessively hedged.

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Seed Oil Drinkers Against Trump @superkatzbro.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

Also, could we see an extra swing against Republicans in some of these white working class areas where the Trump economic message was a larger share of his appeal vs. a kind of long term trend to GOP among cultural conservatives.

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Seed Oil Drinkers Against Trump @superkatzbro.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

I'm wondering if some of the political party/recalled vote weighting will blow up in pollsters faces when it's recalled vote for a 30% approval President and response rates keep going down.

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Seed Oil Drinkers Against Trump @superkatzbro.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

Yeah, I think a lot of the pollsters are hedging by weighting to recalled vote which tends to revert everything to 50-50.

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Seed Oil Drinkers Against Trump @superkatzbro.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

I think some of these polls are off and we’re winning by more than this in a lot of the country.

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Seed Oil Drinkers Against Trump @superkatzbro.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

I really like the gaming PC on the lazy susan. Must make it easy to get to the 10 gbps port on the motherboard if you need to transfer a large file or something.

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Seed Oil Drinkers Against Trump @superkatzbro.bsky.social · 08/10/2026

In practice, being "left" means being socially liberal/not hateful towards immigrants/non-white/religious minorities/LGBTQ, plus enjoying living in a city, and having some level of aspiration to be cultured and educated. Being conservative is the opposite, hating people, cities and culture.

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Seed Oil Drinkers Against Trump @superkatzbro.bsky.social · 08/10/2026

The evil worldview of the tech-Nazi cabal of Peter Thiel, Elon Musk, etc. If you're a visionary elite CEO, you're a demi-God. If you're a white, Christian, rosy cheeked American, you're a noble savage to be protected. If you're a Jew, a black, an Asian, or an immigrant, you're vermin.

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Seed Oil Drinkers Against Trump @superkatzbro.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

Gainful hobby? Sounds more like a second job

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Joel S. @joelhs.bsky.social · 05/10/2026

Seems like if you're going to make a national story out of Hasan Piker, who campaigned a few times with the Democratic Senate candidate in Michigan, saying Israel causes antisemitism, you should also make a national story out of the favorite intellectual of the US Vice President supporting Hitler.

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Seed Oil Drinkers Against Trump @superkatzbro.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

"Talarico thinks toast should be 13 millimeters thick instead of 30 millimeters. You, a fat, stupid, bigoted Texan, must hate that right!? Doesn't that seem hypothetically gay if he had said that?" Lone Star Liberty PAC is responsible for the content of this advertisement.

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Seth Cotlar @sethcotlar.bsky.social · 04/10/2026

Can confirm. This, for example, was at the top of my “for you” feed when I logged in to find an old post the other day.

Adolf Hitler • @Mein_Fuhrer__
X.com
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Adolf Hitler @Mein_Fuhrer_
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8:36 AM • 10/1/26 • 458K Views

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Seed Oil Drinkers Against Trump @superkatzbro.bsky.social · 04/10/2026

I’ve seen it a couple times in Arizona watching football.

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Seed Oil Drinkers Against Trump @superkatzbro.bsky.social · 04/10/2026

The AI-promoter argument is that they're going to produce this incredibly valuable tech in 5-10 years but the gate on how valuable is 100% their vendors (like memory manufacturers) being risk averse and not building enough fabs/capacity, and governments being slow on permits and infrastructure.

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Seed Oil Drinkers Against Trump @superkatzbro.bsky.social · 04/10/2026

Have you considered this: bsky.app/profile/supe...

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Seed Oil Drinkers Against Trump @superkatzbro.bsky.social · 04/10/2026

And I think the bearish hypothesis for Democrats is that there's a massive polling error specifically among younger voters that's propping them up. And, the more bullish hypothesis is that young people are more impacted by inflation and that's persuading people/impacting turnout differentials.

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Seed Oil Drinkers Against Trump @superkatzbro.bsky.social · 04/10/2026

I was thinking about this and here's the insight. If you take polls seriously, Democrats are poll above generic ballot baseline in Alaska, Idaho, Kansas, and Texas, and below in Maine, New Hampshire, and Vermont. Median age ME: 44.8 NH: 43.3 VT: 43.1 KS: 37.4 ID: 37.3 AK: 35.8 TX: 35.6

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Seed Oil Drinkers Against Trump @superkatzbro.bsky.social · 04/10/2026

They have the Democrat straight up winning the white vote for governor. If that happens, she would win by more than the poll says I bet. Unless this poll is pretty wildly off on polling white voters, Democrats will win Alaska, maybe the house seat too.

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Seed Oil Drinkers Against Trump @superkatzbro.bsky.social · 04/10/2026

No. It’s really hard to poll Alaska especially Alaskan natives who have some of the most eccentric voting patterns and turnout patterns in the US. Peltola historically receives huge margins in some Alaskan Native communities. The only conclusion from the high quality polling is that she’s ahead.

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Seed Oil Drinkers Against Trump @superkatzbro.bsky.social · 04/10/2026

Most of them are tech engineers of some kind in their education however.

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Seed Oil Drinkers Against Trump @superkatzbro.bsky.social · 04/10/2026

The 17 largest tech companies by market cap: #1, #2, #3, #4 #6, #9, #11, #12, #13, #14, #15, #16, #17, they all studied tech in school, and that's not counting Elon, or Zucc.

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Seed Oil Drinkers Against Trump @superkatzbro.bsky.social · 04/10/2026

Maybe the retort is that the VC money will dry up and there will be a supply glut so in terms of compute to kilowatt, it will always be worth it to toss your Hopper architecture GPUs in the trash and replace them with custom ASICs and 1.4 nm GPUs because of energy cost and efficiency.

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Seed Oil Drinkers Against Trump @superkatzbro.bsky.social · 04/10/2026

What if the old GPUs will service "free" tiers of LLM based products that are less profitable than the cutting edge inference GPUs in 5-10 years will be, but they'll be profitable enough to be powered up in at a data center somewhere, especially in a supply constrained environment? IDK but possible?

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Walter MOONdale @dabenner.bsky.social · 04/10/2026

Tucker Carlson is losing a debate to a 60 year old man who still has a nanny

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Seed Oil Drinkers Against Trump @superkatzbro.bsky.social · 04/10/2026

Crying "woke" situations: .01%: A woke leftist mob mistreating someone. 19.99%: Mildly unfair criticism that because an online social media frenzy damages a person's psyche 30%: Fair criticism that would be better handled with more grace on both sides. 50%: Bigoted/racist/antisocial people.

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Seed Oil Drinkers Against Trump @superkatzbro.bsky.social · 03/10/2026

People have a very antiquated understanding of a lot of trades. Plenty of people doing high-tech stuff in manufacturing have masters degrees and even PhDs

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Seed Oil Drinkers Against Trump @superkatzbro.bsky.social · 03/10/2026

The Iran war is a gas prices and government incompetence and corruption issue for people, not foreign policy.

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Seed Oil Drinkers Against Trump @superkatzbro.bsky.social · 03/10/2026

Looking at the cross-tabs on Texas Senate, the generational divide is pretty insane. Obviously we know Texas is a diverse state among younger people, but I think younger people feel some of the economic issues more passionately. Republicans need low turnout is my conclusion.

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Seed Oil Drinkers Against Trump @superkatzbro.bsky.social · 02/10/2026

The days of computer hardware becoming outdated after 3-5 years are over for the most part, but I just don’t know long the GPUs will last before breaking on average. Seems like it’s complicated.

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Seed Oil Drinkers Against Trump @superkatzbro.bsky.social · 02/10/2026

If your debt collateral is a GPU that will be outdated in a few years and will die from being used 24/7 at 100% before too long, that seems very complicated.

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Anna Maltese @annamaltese.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

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Seed Oil Drinkers Against Trump @superkatzbro.bsky.social · 29/09/2026

Thank you. You LITERALLY have never heard “The Blimp (Mousetrapreplica)” by Captain Beefheart & His Magic Band???? You live in a bubble dude. I hope you know that. youtu.be/MpA4XpnnI_U?...

youtu.be

Captain Beefheart - The Blimp (mousetrapreplica)

YouTube video by Revanlation

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Seed Oil Drinkers Against Trump @superkatzbro.bsky.social · 29/09/2026

You LITERALLY have never heard “The Blimp (Mousetrapreplica)” by Captain Beefheart & His Magic Band???? You live in a bubble dude. I hope you know that. I need to find a way to have a conversation where I can say that and seem really annoying.

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Seed Oil Drinkers Against Trump @superkatzbro.bsky.social · 29/09/2026

The bonus EP has “All day sucker” which has an incredible clavinet riff.

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Seed Oil Drinkers Against Trump @superkatzbro.bsky.social · 28/09/2026

It’s extremely vulgar to claim Trump isn’t a big fat moron.

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Seed Oil Drinkers Against Trump @superkatzbro.bsky.social · 26/09/2026

I got some super lame Ken Paxton ad during a Texas A&M game about Talarico voting to allow Chinese companies to buy land for a windfarm.

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Seed Oil Drinkers Against Trump @superkatzbro.bsky.social · 25/09/2026

I have found LLMs to be more useful when you’re essentially using them for data entry or doing basic coding/python when you can iterate/ have a large context window. That’s not something you can sell to a typical user who isn’t tech savvy though. And data privacy is a huge issue with the cloud.

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Seed Oil Drinkers Against Trump @superkatzbro.bsky.social · 25/09/2026

With online reservations being almost ubiquitous, I’m not sure telling an AI to make restaurant reservations is faster than doing it yourself.

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Seed Oil Drinkers Against Trump @superkatzbro.bsky.social · 25/09/2026

Bucc-ee’s Public Opinion Research poll has Talarico +3.

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Seed Oil Drinkers Against Trump @superkatzbro.bsky.social · 25/09/2026

I got that when I tried to use Bluesky in DFW airport. I just turned on my VPN but it’s ridiculous.

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Aaron Reichlin-Melnick @reichlinmelnick.bsky.social · 24/09/2026

Incredible. First Secretary Mullin claimed that DHS had identified 15,903 noncitizens on Nevada’s voter roll. Then DHS officials told a skeptical Nevada, no no no, that’s just people we flagged. Here are the names of 185 people we KNOW aren’t citizens. All 185 were citizens. DHS got 100% wrong.

When the Department of Homeland Security sent Nevada a list of 185 names last month that it claimed identified noncitizens who had been improperly allowed to register to vote, state election officials got to work.
On Tuesday, the state sent a strongly worded rebuke to the federal government: Every single person on the list was a lawful citizen.
"As for the 185 individuals, our records indicate that they were citizens," Greg D. Ott, a deputy attorney general in Nevada, wrote, according to a copy of a letter sent to Department of Homeland Security officials obtained through open records requests.
"You have provided nothing of substance to suggest otherwise."

Following the meeting, Ms. Vogt sent a clarifying email to Nevada officials. "I also wanted to be sure I clarified that we did not reduce the 15,903 to 185," she wrote. "We've manually reviewed some of the 15,903 and confirmed 185 are not U.S. Citizens."
Now, Nevada officials are saying even that 185 number is wrong. They also took issue with a letter D.H.S. sent them in early September, in which the agency reiterated its initial claims about nearly 16,000 noncitizens on the rolls and pressured state officials to review each case in a letter to Nevada officials in early September.

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Ryan Goodman @rgoodlaw.bsky.social · 23/09/2026

Before midnight, DOJ told Judge Kelly the press ban of CNN, MSNow, Politico is based on their National Security reporting. But examples are core First Amendment protected reporting. First howler: WH says it is b/c POLITICO reported GOP Convention was a political disaster.

"In September 2026, Politico Playbook relied on unnamed sources to paint the Republican midterm convention in Dallas as a disaster."

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Seed Oil Drinkers Against Trump @superkatzbro.bsky.social · 22/09/2026

Graham Platner level scandal implicating Susan Collins. She needs to drop out of the race now.

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Seed Oil Drinkers Against Trump @superkatzbro.bsky.social · 20/09/2026

Are you allowed to build a triumphal arch after you LOSE a war?

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Corey Rayburn Yung @coreyryung.bsky.social · 20/09/2026

From the official Dept of Education account on X, an endorsement of Bo French's racist tweet about Indian students at a University of Texas football game. Just awful.

A photo of a Texas football game with a largely white audience shown and the caption "Make college football great again."

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Seed Oil Drinkers Against Trump @superkatzbro.bsky.social · 19/09/2026

I always feel better about my community after I spend a few hours with everyone who is interested in going to a Gustav Mahler symphony, etc.

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Seed Oil Drinkers Against Trump @superkatzbro.bsky.social · 18/09/2026

I saw one outside my house in Tucson when I was a kid.

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Seed Oil Drinkers Against Trump @superkatzbro.bsky.social · 18/09/2026

The only UK university ranking is who wins University Challenge.

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The Washington Post @washingtonpost.com · 18/09/2026

Exclusive: More American service members have died in the Middle East during the ongoing Iran war than the Pentagon has disclosed publicly, according to six U.S. officials familiar with the data.

washingtonpost.com

More U.S. troops have died amid Iran war than Pentagon has disclosed publicly

Officials who spoke with The Post expressed frustration that the additional loss of life in the Middle East is not reflected in the Defense Department’s casualty database.

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