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Center for Strategic Politics @stratpolitics.org · 21/09/2026

We use small donations from everyday people, not big grants from foundations, to power our work. Support our research and help us fund more surveys: stratpolitics.org/donate

stratpolitics.org

Donate – Center for Strategic Politics

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Center for Strategic Politics @stratpolitics.org · 21/09/2026

The full crosstabs for every question we asked are available here: stratpolitics.org/wp-content/u...

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Center for Strategic Politics @stratpolitics.org · 21/09/2026

Just for fun, we asked voters which establishments they regularly tip at. At least among Democrats, the norm is to tip everywhere with one exception: fast food.

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Center for Strategic Politics @stratpolitics.org · 21/09/2026

27% of Democrats told us they plan to use AI to figure out how to vote in future elections, with 7% saying they plan to use it "a lot".

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Center for Strategic Politics @stratpolitics.org · 21/09/2026

A majority of Democrats want to pack the Supreme Court and abolish the filibuster, but getting rid of the Senate altogether is highly disfavored (however, 34% of Dems under 45 support it).

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Center for Strategic Politics @stratpolitics.org · 21/09/2026

Criminal prosecutions of Trump officials are generally favored by Dems, with clear majorities indicating support in all cases. Voters also support prosecution of officials from both the Trump and Biden admins over US support for Israel's genocide in Gaza.

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Center for Strategic Politics @stratpolitics.org · 21/09/2026

We polled five routes for Trump to leave office before the end of his term. A plurality of Dems support four of them, including a military coup and death by natural causes. The only one underwater, an assassination, is still supported by 29%.

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Center for Strategic Politics @stratpolitics.org · 21/09/2026

Who do Democrats trust? Their friends, family, and the New York Times. Who do they distrust? CEOs and the government.

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Center for Strategic Politics @stratpolitics.org · 21/09/2026

All 2028 contenders and high-profile party figures we polled are broadly popular with Dems. The one exception? Chuck Schumer. And for all the arguing over Hasan Piker, 72% of Dems either don't know or don't care about him.

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Center for Strategic Politics @stratpolitics.org · 21/09/2026

Kamala Harris easily takes first place in our poll of the 2028 Democratic primary, with Gavin Newsom and Pete Buttigieg rounding out the top three.

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Center for Strategic Politics @stratpolitics.org · 21/09/2026

🚨 NEW POLL of Democratic voters w/ @liberalcurrents.com 🔹 Harris, Newsom, Buttigieg lead the 2028 field 🔹 59% of Dems support military coup against Trump 🔹 57% of Dems want Biden officials in jail over Gaza 🧵 Read the thread for more insights

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nickan نیکان @gaygirl.bsky.social · 19/08/2026

as expected, the overwhelming majority of undecideds went to Moskowitz—87% of them were 45+, so they were already primed to lean toward him, and his much greater ad spending was effective in winning them over. this suggests the CSP poll was a more accurate snapshot than competitors' were

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Reposted by Center for Strategic Politics

SK @sstratpolitics.bsky.social · 19/08/2026

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Oliver Larkin @oliveralarkin.bsky.social · 07/08/2026

NEW POLL: We are in a statistical tie with Rep. Jared Moskowitz — with just 11 days until the election! 🟦 Oliver Larkin: 38% 🟥 Jared Moskowitz: 40% ⬛ Undecided: 22%

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Center for Strategic Politics @stratpolitics.org · 07/08/2026

We use small donations from everyday people, not big grants from foundations, to power our work. Support our research and help us fund more surveys: stratpolitics.org/donate

stratpolitics.org

Donate – Center for Strategic Politics

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Center for Strategic Politics @stratpolitics.org · 07/08/2026

For more information, including crosstabs for the full poll, visit our website: stratpolitics.org/2026/08/fl-2...

stratpolitics.org

FL-25 Democratic Primary Poll (August 2026) – Center for Strategic Politics

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Center for Strategic Politics @stratpolitics.org · 07/08/2026

In Jared Moskowitz’s word cloud, the word DeSantis appears frequently due to Moskowitz’s previous identification as a “DeSantis Democrat”. The words Israel and AIPAC appear frequently due to Moskowitz’s self-identification as strongly pro-Israel.

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Center for Strategic Politics @stratpolitics.org · 07/08/2026

In Oliver Larkin’s word cloud, the words pedophile, Trump, and Fox appear frequently due to a recent appearance on Fox News in which he said “We need to hold this pedophile Donald Trump accountable.” Clips of this appearance have spread widely on social media in the past week.

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Center for Strategic Politics @stratpolitics.org · 07/08/2026

We asked respondents to optionally provide a statement on what they’ve recently heard, seen, or read about both of the candidates, then transformed these statements into word clouds.

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Center for Strategic Politics @stratpolitics.org · 07/08/2026

Support for military aid to Israel is even less popular than AIPAC, with 68% of FL-25 Democrats saying they want to either reduce or cease all military aid to Israel.

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Center for Strategic Politics @stratpolitics.org · 07/08/2026

AIPAC support has become a deep vulnerability in districts around the country and FL-25 is no different. 43% of FL-25 Dems are less likely to support an AIPAC-backed candidate, only 15% are more likely to, while another 42% either feel neutral or aren’t sure how they feel.

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Center for Strategic Politics @stratpolitics.org · 07/08/2026

But when separating responses between those who have already voted and those still waiting to vote, a significant divergence appears. With a 10% lead among not-yet-voters, Oliver Larkin’s path to victory relies on mobilizing his later-voting base to the greatest extent possible.

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Center for Strategic Politics @stratpolitics.org · 07/08/2026

With under two weeks to election day, Oliver Larkin and Jared Moskowitz are in a statistical tie to claim the Democratic nomination in Florida’s new 25th Congressional District.

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Center for Strategic Politics @stratpolitics.org · 07/08/2026

🚨 NEW POLL of likely Dem voters in FL-25 🔹Oliver Larkin and Jared Moskowitz in statistical tie with 22% undecided 🔹 68% of voters want to end or reduce military aid to Israel 🔹Moskowitz has -27 net favorability with Black voters 🧵Read the thread for more insights

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Center for Strategic Politics @stratpolitics.org · 05/08/2026

Congratulations to Donavan McKinney (@donavanmckinney.bsky.social) and Chris Gilmer-Hill (@313cgh.bsky.social)! Center for Strategic Politics client Progress Detroit PAC used our polling to direct resources & ascertain the state of the race in the weeks leading up to the primary for their endorsees.

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Center for Strategic Politics @stratpolitics.org · 24/06/2026

You can find the entire memo we prepared for the campaign here: stratpolitics.org/wp-content/u... And the crosstabs for the entire poll here: stratpolitics.org/wp-content/u...

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Center for Strategic Politics @stratpolitics.org · 24/06/2026

But just looking at toplines can be misleading. Breaking out the top 3 issues by ideology reveals a much more complicated picture, where housing affordability is extremely socialist-biased, cost of living is ideologically even, and crime is extremely moderate-biased

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Center for Strategic Politics @stratpolitics.org · 24/06/2026

We also conducted issue polling, finding that housing, cost of living, and crime are the top 3 issues for Ward 1 Democrats

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Center for Strategic Politics @stratpolitics.org · 24/06/2026

RCV transfers concluded before votes from either Rashida Brown or Miguel Trinidade Deramo transferred, avoiding the impact of their cross-endorsement. But our poll found that even after being widely-publicized, it was still less than 50% effective and wouldn't have been decisive

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Center for Strategic Politics @stratpolitics.org · 24/06/2026

Although Aparna won one round earlier than we expected in our RCV simulation, it was still extremely accurate. Round 3 results in our simulation correspond almost exactly to the final round of the election (with Aparna at 51% rather than 49%, avoiding the 4th round we simulated)

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Center for Strategic Politics @stratpolitics.org · 24/06/2026

While our poll stayed internal during the campaign, we can now share that we successfully projected the first-round results within the margin of error back in April

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Center for Strategic Politics @stratpolitics.org · 24/06/2026

Congratulations to Center for Strategic Politics client @aparnafordc.bsky.social! With ranked choice voting being newly introduced to DC elections this year, Aparna’s campaign used CSP polling to determine the state of the race and test messages.

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Center for Strategic Politics @stratpolitics.org · 17/06/2026

Congratulations to Center for Strategic Politics client @samsonforgeorgia.bsky.social on his win tonight! Mathewos’ campaign used CSP polling and data to effectively direct resources through both the primary and runoff elections.

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Center for Strategic Politics @stratpolitics.org · 18/05/2026

Seth Moulton has made Ed Markey's age a centerpiece of his primary challenge to the 79-year-old senator. Is it helping win over younger voters?

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Center for Strategic Politics @stratpolitics.org · 17/05/2026

MA-6 Democratic voters are broadly in favor of the rent control ballot measure, with 63% in favor and only 20% opposed.

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Center for Strategic Politics @stratpolitics.org · 17/05/2026

And on prosecution of ICE leaders and agents, voters are in favor by a 74-point margin.

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Center for Strategic Politics @stratpolitics.org · 17/05/2026

On artificial intelligence, voters support stronger government regulation by a 90-point margin.

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Center for Strategic Politics @stratpolitics.org · 17/05/2026

On Israel, MA-6 primary voters are generally aligned: 86% want to end, reduce, or condition military aid to Israel, with a near-majority (44%) wanting to fully end military aid.

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Center for Strategic Politics @stratpolitics.org · 17/05/2026

In the race for Senate, Seth Moulton is down 7 points against Ed Markey in Moulton’s home district.

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Center for Strategic Politics @stratpolitics.org · 17/05/2026

The race for Congress starts with 59% of voters undecided. But after respondents read balanced biographies of all candidates (available on our website), Beth Andres-Beck and Jamie Belsito jump into the lead.

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Center for Strategic Politics @stratpolitics.org · 17/05/2026

🚨 NEW POLL of likely Democratic primary voters in MA-6 🔷 Beth Andres-Beck and Jamie Belsito lead the field after candidate bios 🔷 Senate: Markey up by 7 points in Moulton's home district 🔷 Dems support ICE agent prosecutions 86-12 🧵 Read the thread for more insights

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Center for Strategic Politics @stratpolitics.org · 17/05/2026

The public polling memo and crosstabs are available on our website: stratpolitics.org/2026/05/ma-6...

stratpolitics.org

MA-6 Democratic Primary Poll (May) – Center for Strategic Politics

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Drop Site @dropsitenews.com · 21/04/2026

⚡️📊 New Poll Shows Likely Dem Voters in NJ Rejecting Aid to Israel & Its Lobby’s Influence on American Politics 🔹A poll commissioned by Mussab Ali, Dem. primary challenger to Rep. Robert Menendez in NJ's 8th congressional district, & conducted by Center for Strategic Politics Strategies shows the...

⚡️📊 New Poll Shows Likely Dem Voters in New Jersey Rejecting Aid to Israel and Its Lobby’s Influence on American Politics

🔹A poll commissioned by Mussab Ali, Democratic primary challenger to Rep. Robert Menendez in New Jersey’s eighth congressional district, and conducted by Center for Strategic Politics Strategies shows the majority of Democratic primary voters unsatisfied with U.S. foreign policy towards Israel, with 40% calling to cease the country’s military aid and an additional 35% calling either to reduce or condition it.

🔹The poll, conducted April 11-16 among 416 likely Democratic primary voters, also found 49% of respondents would be less likely to vote for an AIPAC endorsed candidate as compared with a mere 16% found more likely.

🔹The poll also surveyed respondents on its upcoming congressional race between incumbent Rep. Robert Menendez, son of former Sen. Bob Menendez who was convicted of and sentenced on bribery and foreign agent charges, and progressive challenger Mussab Ali. Before candidate biographies were provided, respondents favored Menendez to Ali at a 42% to 27% margin. But, after positive and negative biographies are reviewed, Ali jumps to a lead of 43% to 33% over Menendez.

🔹This poll adds to the trend of recent polls showing Democratic voters rejecting Israeli influence over American politics and foreign policy

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Center for Strategic Politics @stratpolitics.org · 21/04/2026

We use small donations from everyday people, not big grants from foundations, to power our work. Support our research and help us fund more surveys: stratpolitics.org/donate

stratpolitics.org

Donate – Center for Strategic Politics

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Center for Strategic Politics @stratpolitics.org · 21/04/2026

For more information, including crosstabs for the full poll, visit our website: stratpolitics.org/2026/04/nj-8...

stratpolitics.org

NJ-8 Democratic Primary Poll (Apr) – Center for Strategic Politics

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Center for Strategic Politics @stratpolitics.org · 21/04/2026

NJ-8 primary voters lean progressive on other issues too. When asked about Medicare for All, voters support it by a 70-point margin.

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Center for Strategic Politics @stratpolitics.org · 21/04/2026

Attitudes towards Israel and Palestine directly are similarly lopsided. Only 17% of NJ-8 Dems support Israel, opposed to 42% who support Palestine.

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