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Sam Taylor

@staylorish.bsky.social
960 followers 1.3K following 1.4K posts

Runs @theseislands.bsky.social. “cannot stand the awesome reality of Scotland’s energy wealth” - Alex Salmond. Posting in a personal capacity.

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Sam Taylor @staylorish.bsky.social · 06/09/2026
Uncanny.
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Sam Taylor @staylorish.bsky.social · 21/06/2026
Three pages of MMT in the Herald on Sunday. The central argument is that mainstream economists believe governments are like households, and MMTers are the only people who know they are not. Which is nonsense. Mainstream economists do not believe governments are like households.
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Sam Taylor @staylorish.bsky.social · 10/05/2026
The bill should call for an independent “Expert Commission on the Holyrood Voting System” to recommend the most robust & truly proportional system. That recommendation would then be put to voters in a referendum, for ratification. Would be enormous fun to see the SNP oppose that.
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Sam Taylor @staylorish.bsky.social · 10/05/2026
An MSP should introduce a Member’s Bill during this parliament to reform the voting system for Holyrood elections. Of course the SNP and Greens would shoot it down. But they should be made to stand up and explain why 57% of the seats with 41% of the votes is a good system.
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Sam Taylor @staylorish.bsky.social · 10/05/2026
“We’re in a proportional system that is designed to be able to best reflect the way that the people of Scotland have voted.” It doesn’t matter that the voting system fails to deliver proportional results, says Màiri McAllan. As ever, intentions are more important than outcomes.
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Sam Taylor @staylorish.bsky.social · 10/05/2026
1/ “We have 110% of our energy needs already met by renewables.” “Scotland has the highest sources of renewable energies in Europe.” No surprise to discover that two newly elected Scottish Green MSPs fully believe in debunked myths about energy in Scotland.
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Sam Taylor @staylorish.bsky.social · 01/05/2026
1/ John Swinney panders to the widely believed fallacy that independence would transfer the energy sector into public ownership. It would not. The SNP wants *lower* taxes on oil & gas companies. And it wants the owners of wind farms to pay *lower* transmission charges.
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Sam Taylor @staylorish.bsky.social · 28/04/2026
John Swinney’s pledge on energy bills at this election is simply fraudulent. He knows that it won’t be properly scrutinised. And he doesn’t care that it’s undeliverable. But voters should care about a candidate for First Minister who doesn’t tell the truth.
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Sam Taylor @staylorish.bsky.social · 27/04/2026
🚨 John Swinney unveils his secret plan to achieve an independence referendum: same as the old plan.
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Sam Taylor @staylorish.bsky.social · 27/04/2026
“That’s a junk answer” Tom Gordon has had enough of John Swinney’s evasive formulations.
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Sam Taylor @staylorish.bsky.social · 27/04/2026
What are the mechanisms for cutting electricity bills in Scotland, either with the devolution of energy powers, or with independence? John Swinney cannot answer. His response is vacuous and evasive. (@severincarrell.bsky.social asking the question.)
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Sam Taylor @staylorish.bsky.social · 27/04/2026
John Swinney says that on day one of a new SNP government, he will request a Section 30 order transferring powers over energy to the Scottish Parliament. If this was a serious idea, you’d expect the civil service to have done some preparatory work. So… have they? Of course not.
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Sam Taylor @staylorish.bsky.social · 23/04/2026
“Don’t lie to us Angus.” Edinburgh Central constituents react angrily to Angus Robertson’s claim that he took his surgery responsibilities seriously. (During the last parliament, Angus Robertson’s website offered very occasional slots where you could speak to him by Zoom only.)
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Sam Taylor @staylorish.bsky.social · 23/04/2026
Berwick Bank will produce electricity costing substantially more than the wholesale price we are paying in today’s Ofgem price cap. Can Angus Robertson explain how this is consistent with the SNP’s election pledge on energy bills? No. Of course he can’t. An embarrassing answer.
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Sam Taylor @staylorish.bsky.social · 22/04/2026
Yesterday, on the same day the SNP was making its usual ignorant complaints about transmission charges, the UK Gov published its Reformed National Pricing delivery plan. Here, Chris Stark, speaking last month, outlines the general shape of planned transmission charging reforms.
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Sam Taylor @staylorish.bsky.social · 21/04/2026
The performative stupidity of the SNP transmission charging grievance. Yes 5.5 GW of ScotWind projects have been paused or cancelled (those lease options were *not* sold off on the cheap). But that’s because there is a massive grid bottleneck between Scotland and England.
Just three key examples of the punishment Scotland faces total around £16bn in lost investment:
• The 2GW West of Orkney wind farm has been paused with developers warning that excessive transmission costs has made the project uncompetitive. The 125-turbine wind farm would have had enough power for two million homes with £6.4bn investment lost.
• Arven South wind farm was cancelled by Ocean Winds who blamed "the current impact of the current Transmission Charging Regime" ruining
£1.4bn worth of investment.
• Shell walked away from the Campion wind project with around £7bn lost in investment with transmission charges said to have been a key factor.
Commenting, the SNP Westminster Leader and candidate for Aberdeen Deeside & North Kincardine, Stephen Flynn said:
"The Labour Government is hammering our energy sector with crippling transmission charges uniquely applied to Scottish projects while equivalent sites in England are subsidised.
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Sam Taylor @staylorish.bsky.social · 21/04/2026
Of course the transmission charging regime is going to disincentivise generators from locating behind a grid bottleneck, and incentivise them to locate in front of that bottleneck, close to demand. It’s not exactly rocket science. And it’s not “unfair”.
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Sam Taylor @staylorish.bsky.social · 21/04/2026
The performative stupidity of the SNP transmission charging grievance. Yes 5.5 GW of ScotWind projects have been paused or cancelled (those lease options were *not* sold off on the cheap). But that’s because there is a massive grid bottleneck between Scotland and England.
Just three key examples of the punishment Scotland faces total around £16bn in lost investment:
• The 2GW West of Orkney wind farm has been paused with developers warning that excessive transmission costs has made the project uncompetitive. The 125-turbine wind farm would have had enough power for two million homes with £6.4bn investment lost.
• Arven South wind farm was cancelled by Ocean Winds who blamed "the current impact of the current Transmission Charging Regime" ruining
£1.4bn worth of investment.
• Shell walked away from the Campion wind project with around £7bn lost in investment with transmission charges said to have been a key factor.
Commenting, the SNP Westminster Leader and candidate for Aberdeen Deeside & North Kincardine, Stephen Flynn said:
"The Labour Government is hammering our energy sector with crippling transmission charges uniquely applied to Scottish projects while equivalent sites in England are subsidised.
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Sam Taylor @staylorish.bsky.social · 21/04/2026
Important detail in Miliband plan: the new WCfDs will be quite different to regular CfDs. They will (presumably) have a shorter contract length. But they will also, in effect, have two fixed prices. Early years: WCfD strike price + ROC value. Later years: WCfD strike price only.
Explainer: Voluntary long-term fixed contracts
A Contract for Difference (CfD) is a long-term contract between the government and an electricity generator that guarantees a stable, fixed price for the electricity they produce.
A Wholesale Contract for Difference (WCfD) would offer existing eligible generators, who aren't already contracted under a CfD, the option to accept a fixed price for the electricity they generate. This would mean that both they and consumers are no longer exposed to volatile gas-linked electricity prices.
A WCD would see eligible generators give up their current forward wholesale revenues in exchange for a fixed power price achieved via a CfD. Under this proposal it is envisaged that generators accredited under the Renewables Obligation (RO) would continue to receive support via the RO in the way they do currently - with only their wholesale revenues being exchanged for a fixed price CfD.
The WCD will be a voluntary offer to eligible electricity generators, and will be subject to consultation in due course. Government will only offer contracts to electricity generators where it represents clear value for money for consumers. Further details will be set out in due course, with plans to consult later this year.
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Sam Taylor @staylorish.bsky.social · 21/04/2026
There is no energy related challenge or opportunity that becomes easier with Scottish independence. The challenges and opportunities all become *harder* with independence. It’s pretty obvious that more can be achieved when all parts of our small island work together.
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Sam Taylor @staylorish.bsky.social · 17/04/2026
If you don’t like what I’ve written about the costs of renewables, because of my unforgivable politics, here is the FT making the same points. These are not political points. They are points about economic realities. And an independent Scotland cannot abolish economic realities.
Moreover, while renewables' marginal costs are low, wind and solar farms require a lot of upfront investment to build. New projects in Britain tend to secure a contract with the government guaranteeing them a fixed price regardless of the wholesale price, to make sure they can earn back their upfront costs.
This guarantee is funded by a levy on consumer bills, meaning that the wholesale price is not what consumers end up paying for those generators' output.
In the most recent auction round of these contracts, offshore wind farms secured guaranteed prices of about £91 per megawatt-hour, higher than current power prices, and which will rise with inflation for 20 years.
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Sam Taylor @staylorish.bsky.social · 16/04/2026
Decent effort by @severincarrell.bsky.social. But Swinney’s answer is his standard bullshit. To ask this question effectively he *must* be pressed on the fact (and it is a fact) that costs of the latest generation of Scottish renewables are *higher* than the price of electricity set by gas.
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Sam Taylor @staylorish.bsky.social · 16/04/2026
Here is what the SNP manifesto promises on energy bills. No details on how this would be achieved, of course. This is not a policy. It’s a fantasy.
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Sam Taylor @staylorish.bsky.social · 14/04/2026
John Swinney says one of the things he’s most proud of the SNP government for having delivered is something it had almost no role in delivering. (Energy is reserved. Scot Gov’s minor role is limited to planning applications.)
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Sam Taylor @staylorish.bsky.social · 14/04/2026
John Swinney’s inability to give a straight answer on the SNP’s position on new drilling for oil & gas, painfully exposed this morning by Nick Robinson on the Today Programme. (Part 1/2)
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Sam Taylor @staylorish.bsky.social · 14/04/2026
Nick Robinson skewers John Swinney’s fatuous argument that national security concerns are a smoke screen for an “anti-Scottish” conspiracy by the UK government to block a Chinese wind turbine factory in Scotland.
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Sam Taylor @staylorish.bsky.social · 12/04/2026
And again. He loves this line. And it’s wholly false.
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Sam Taylor @staylorish.bsky.social · 12/04/2026
1/ This line, that because a Chinese company has a minority stake in Hinkley Point C, the UK Labour government must be “anti-Scottish” to have blocked the Ming Yang wind turbine factory, on national security grounds, is very easily debunked.
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Sam Taylor @staylorish.bsky.social · 12/04/2026
Scotland’s energy wealth is being “siphoned off” by Westminster, says John Swinney. Populist bullshit of the highest order. #bbcdn
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Sam Taylor @staylorish.bsky.social · 12/04/2026
1/ This line, that because a Chinese company has a minority stake in Hinkley Point C, the UK Labour government must be “anti-Scottish” to have blocked the Ming Yang wind turbine factory, on national security grounds, is very easily debunked.
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Sam Taylor @staylorish.bsky.social · 12/04/2026
Scotland’s energy wealth is being “siphoned off” by Westminster, says John Swinney. Populist bullshit of the highest order. #bbcdn
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Sam Taylor @staylorish.bsky.social · 10/04/2026
How to demonstrate that the SNP is not telling the truth about energy bills and Scotland’s “low-cost” renewables. A step-by-step guide.
these-islands.co.uk
How to interrogate SNP energy bills claim
How to demonstrate that the SNP is not telling the truth about energy bills and Scotland’s “low-cost” renewables. A step-by-step guide.
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Duncan Hothersall @dhothersall.bsky.social · 10/04/2026
This is really important. The SNP, and many supporters of independence, keep making the argument that Scotland's renewables would bring down the price of electricity in an independent Scotland, and imply that the current system is unfair to Scots. This analysis blows that argument out of the water.
these-islands.co.uk
How to interrogate SNP energy bills claim
How to demonstrate that the SNP is not telling the truth about energy bills and Scotland’s “low-cost” renewables. A step-by-step guide.
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Sam Taylor @staylorish.bsky.social · 10/04/2026
How to demonstrate that the SNP is not telling the truth about energy bills and Scotland’s “low-cost” renewables. A step-by-step guide.
these-islands.co.uk
How to interrogate SNP energy bills claim
How to demonstrate that the SNP is not telling the truth about energy bills and Scotland’s “low-cost” renewables. A step-by-step guide.
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Sam Taylor @staylorish.bsky.social · 08/04/2026
1/ How to demonstrate that John Swinney is not telling the truth about Scotland’s “low-cost” renewables.🧵 First, go to the Ofgem website and download this spreadsheet: www.ofgem.gov.uk/energy-regul...
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Sam Taylor @staylorish.bsky.social · 02/04/2026
1/ Pressed for details on his energy rhetoric by @kieranandrews.bsky.social, John Swinney has nothing but glib soundbites. Does he know how to calculate the impact of the gas price on the price of electricity? It’s not difficult…
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Sam Taylor @staylorish.bsky.social · 02/04/2026
1/ Pressed for details on his energy rhetoric by @kieranandrews.bsky.social, John Swinney has nothing but glib soundbites. Does he know how to calculate the impact of the gas price on the price of electricity? It’s not difficult…
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Sam Taylor @staylorish.bsky.social · 30/03/2026
In January, DESNZ published an update to its 2023 cost of renewables figures, skewering Scot Gov claims that Scottish renewables are “low-cost”. Civil servants are working on a briefing for ministers on these figures, but it won’t be done until after the election. How convenient.
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Sam Taylor @staylorish.bsky.social · 30/03/2026
Some seem to think powers over energy would be a stepping stone to Scot Gov nationalising energy. They clearly haven’t been paying attention to the ferries. Who wants an energy provider that delivers no energy for a decade, and then charges you 5x more than you were expecting?
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Sam Taylor @staylorish.bsky.social · 30/03/2026
Scot Gov does own (indirectly, via SNIB) a minority stake in a wind farm currently being developed. When complete, the electricity it produces will cost £216/MWh (uprated for inflation) for 20 years. That is ~3x higher than the wholesale electricity price in current price cap.
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Sam Taylor @staylorish.bsky.social · 30/03/2026
1/ Totally unserious. But journalists should take it seriously and ask Swinney this: if Scotland had to bear the full costs of Scottish assets - which is what this would mean - how could that possibly cut bills in Scotland?
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Sam Taylor @staylorish.bsky.social · 29/03/2026
The implications of this for Scottish independence are, of course, significant. If Scotland had to bear the full costs of CfD top-ups for Scottish wind farms - and if you want independence, that’s what independence *is* - the consequences for Scottish households would be ruinous.
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Sam Taylor @staylorish.bsky.social · 29/03/2026
1/ Good explainer in today’s Sunday Times from @tomcalver.bsky.social on why renewables are not cheap. I’d add this: The wholesale market price of electricity is the *short-run* marginal cost. When renewables dominate, it will often be close to zero.
thetimes.com
Why is the rush into renewable energy not lowering our bills?
Wind power is hitting records, yet bills are set to rise. From the ‘dark calm’ to a £70bn grid overhaul, here is why green energy costs a premium
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Sam Taylor @staylorish.bsky.social · 28/03/2026
The SNP’s “third off electricity bills with independence” claim is so fraudulent, even committed activists cannot defend it.
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Sam Taylor @staylorish.bsky.social · 28/03/2026
Excerpt from speaking notes used by a senior civil servant in a recent presentation to bankers in London on the bond programme. The implication of the highlighted remark seems to be that Scotland could have got a higher credit rating, if only it wasn’t shackled to the UK.
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Sam Taylor @staylorish.bsky.social · 27/03/2026
Gillian Martin said she’d get back to me on how the “third off electricity bills with independence” claim is consistent with the actual costs of Scottish offshore wind (see quoted post). When I chased this up, her officials fobbed me off. The answer is *not* in the SNP paper.
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Sam Taylor @staylorish.bsky.social · 27/03/2026
John Swinney blames “hyperinflation” for the SNP’s failure to keep its 2021 promise to freeze income tax rates and bands. John Swinney obviously doesn’t know what hyperinflation means.
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Sam Taylor @staylorish.bsky.social · 26/03/2026
👀 SPADs keeping a very close eye on FOIs relating to the Scot Gov bond programme. No wonder the responses are so heavily redacted.
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Sam Taylor @staylorish.bsky.social · 26/03/2026
Remarkable. The Scottish MMTers have put up a video explaining the EU fiscal rules which manages to get both of them wrong. Fiscal deficits are expressed as a percentage of GDP, not of tax revenues. And the debt limit is set at 60% *of* GDP, not 60% greater than GDP.
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Sam Taylor @staylorish.bsky.social · 24/03/2026
How often did Scot Gov civil servants offer to meet with people who submitted FOI requests that were likely to breach the cost limit in 2025? Answering this question would breach the cost limit, says Scot Gov. At least they have a sense of humour…
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