speedsterm.bsky.social @speedsterm.bsky.social · 1hFYI you have your legal name listed there in case that’s unintentional 000
speedsterm.bsky.social @speedsterm.bsky.social · 12/10/2026Swing counties are good as a snap indicator as you can look at a statewide map and immediately tell. Sure you can analyze elsewhere (see 2024 Loundon) but swing counties are inherently an easy method of is X in good shape. 010
Reposted by @speedsterm.bsky.socialTerry Crows @terrycrows.bsky.social · 02/10/2026Oh, this fun guy 3444
speedsterm.bsky.social @speedsterm.bsky.social · 09/10/2026Huh thanks. Also I don’t know if you can talk about it but would a disbarred lawyer have the same pro se protections? 100
speedsterm.bsky.social @speedsterm.bsky.social · 09/10/2026Sorry if not clear but what does apply for admission mean? I know you need to get certified by your states bar (and they don’t transfer easily) so I thought passing the bar is the admission 100
speedsterm.bsky.social @speedsterm.bsky.social · 09/10/2026Question from a non lawyer: > passed the New York bar on the first try, he is not yet admitted to practice law. What’s the difference? 120
speedsterm.bsky.social @speedsterm.bsky.social · 06/10/2026That implies KS Dems will have the last hurrah tho. 100
speedsterm.bsky.social @speedsterm.bsky.social · 02/10/2026I don’t think that’s it. I’m pretty sure it’s just educated white suburbanites being less attracted to independent schtik not Dems not being anti R 000
speedsterm.bsky.social @speedsterm.bsky.social · 02/10/2026Yes just was wierd at your phrasing as underpreformed implies he underran Harris ie he got 49% Harris got 50% 100
speedsterm.bsky.social @speedsterm.bsky.social · 02/10/2026Eh? Osborn outperformed Harris everywhere beyond possibly a few minority precients in Omaha). Osborn gains vs Harris were disaportionaly in The non white suburbs 110
speedsterm.bsky.social @speedsterm.bsky.social · 01/10/2026Bengs outrunning by 13 is the big thing imo. Was Trump by 29, nat environment shifts say 12 points (persuasion and turnout) and probably more in in the plains coupled with an overpreformence like that and it’s razor close 120
speedsterm.bsky.social @speedsterm.bsky.social · 30/09/2026The ACA vote? bsky.app/profile/sena... 100
speedsterm.bsky.social @speedsterm.bsky.social · 29/09/2026A world where Hinojosa Turek AES Collins (2x) would be funnier 000
Reposted by @speedsterm.bsky.socialSenate Press Gallery @senatepress.bsky.social · 29/09/2026Not adopted, 1-94: Paul amendment #6758 to Cruz-Cantwell substitute amendment #6776 to S.4668, Protect College Sports Act. Senator Paul voted yes. Not voting: Senators Cornyn, Lee, Sullivan, TIllis & Warner. 132
speedsterm.bsky.social @speedsterm.bsky.social · 29/09/2026Imo the winner of the combined Denton/Collin vote is likely the statewide winner. Those 2 plus Hidalgo and Harris for net votes are probably the most important. For a 5th it’s a bit of a cop out but total votes cast in Tarrant vs Dallas. Later one should be higher than former; it isn’t usally 120
Reposted by @speedsterm.bsky.socialBen McAdams (The Resurrection Arc) @purrtah.bsky.social · 27/09/2026Local poll commissioned in Montana for MT01 and MT-Sen coming tomorrow 2344
speedsterm.bsky.social @speedsterm.bsky.social · 25/09/2026static.klipy.comThe Beatles Clapping and CheeringALT: The Beatles Clapping and Cheering 010
speedsterm.bsky.social @speedsterm.bsky.social · 24/09/2026UNH released a poll with Scott down 43-49 in Vermont! WTF scholars.unh.edu/survey_cente...scholars.unh.eduPartisan Headwinds Hamper Scott in Race With Janoo for Governor of Vermont 9/24/2026Democratic nominee for governor Amanda Janoo has increased her support significantly since winning the Democratic Primary last month and is now in a statistical tie with Republican incumbent Phil Scot... 000
speedsterm.bsky.social @speedsterm.bsky.social · 24/09/2026I mean I feel like I can probably draw 5 Romne- 2024 Trump seats with at least one extra Romeny seat and possibly keep Pou in a Trump seay 000
Reposted by @speedsterm.bsky.socialBen McAdams (The Resurrection Arc) @purrtah.bsky.social · 23/09/2026Indiana Republicans privately fear they will lose 7 to 8 state house seats which would break the supermajority 28513
speedsterm.bsky.social @speedsterm.bsky.social · 23/09/2026Colom loses by 2 then wins would be delicious 021
speedsterm.bsky.social @speedsterm.bsky.social · 23/09/2026D+3 Cong Ballot was R+18 in 2024. Texas 24 was R+20, Texas 3 R+25, Texas 26 R+26 (with Gill) not to mention the heavily redrawn seats 000
speedsterm.bsky.social @speedsterm.bsky.social · 22/09/2026I don’t see it just going off the 5% of voters who are blue no matter who is enough to sink. is polling overstating Bankhead probably but I can’t imagine Bodnar v Alme is not within 5% 100
Reposted by @speedsterm.bsky.socialScott Horton @robertscotthorton.bsky.social · 22/09/2026NYT has now independently corroborated all the major allegations against Susan Collins in the ProPublica report, including that investigators were prepared to move against her and then Trump intervened to shut it down. This put Trump in a position of exceptional and extortionate leverage over her.nytimes.comF.B.I. Shut Down Inquiry Into Top Ally of Senator Susan CollinsThe inquiry was closed last year because senior bureau officials questioned the veracity of a campaign donor’s account, according to current and former officials. 24982283351
speedsterm.bsky.social @speedsterm.bsky.social · 22/09/2026Schedule send an email to yourself with this link 110
Reposted by @speedsterm.bsky.socialThe Downballot @the-downballot.com · 22/09/2026You might ask, why has no one noticed this relationship between primaries and House votes before? Some analysts *have* studied it, most recently Ethan Chen (see below). But Daniel Donner appears to be the first to examine the *change* in primary vote share.decalibrate.substack.comThe Data Unambiguously Forecasts A Blue WaveThis Is Not “Reverse 2022” 1715
speedsterm.bsky.social @speedsterm.bsky.social · 22/09/2026I think the more interesting bit is what happens with CD24 000
speedsterm.bsky.social @speedsterm.bsky.social · 21/09/2026Is the non SD9 results from all of Tarrant? if so 5 alarm fire for suburban GOP 150
speedsterm.bsky.social @speedsterm.bsky.social · 21/09/2026I’m just saying I highly disbelieve the quote didn’t happen 000
speedsterm.bsky.social @speedsterm.bsky.social · 21/09/2026I think you’re underestimating A: beltway brain B: how much politicians like to talk 100
speedsterm.bsky.social @speedsterm.bsky.social · 20/09/2026If you are a family owned farm and you live on the farm do you work from home? Shower thoughts 101
speedsterm.bsky.social @speedsterm.bsky.social · 19/09/2026somehow Rs voted against the Trump endorsed Arab name for the worst candidate possible 020
speedsterm.bsky.social @speedsterm.bsky.social · 18/09/2026Moran is probably favored to retire but if he runs again safe R 000
speedsterm.bsky.social @speedsterm.bsky.social · 18/09/2026@gelliottmorris.com I’m reading your most recent SIN most and is it due to favoring the Whitehouse or merely overestimating incumbents? I’d hazard a guess that if you control for incumbents vs open seats it’s probably more charitable for challengers 000
speedsterm.bsky.social @speedsterm.bsky.social · 17/09/2026Also it does depend a bit on the member but their “vacations” are very busy just in terms of traveling to shake hands 1120
speedsterm.bsky.social @speedsterm.bsky.social · 17/09/2026Talarico did hire a senior Cornyn policy advisor to his campaign 040
speedsterm.bsky.social @speedsterm.bsky.social · 15/09/2026I want to know what Bishop does as a very bipartisan lege member. JKT is a member of the lege 010
speedsterm.bsky.social @speedsterm.bsky.social · 15/09/2026But all Dems were No and it needs 60 votes at this stage so Clarity is dead this Congress especially with 3 GOP defectors Hawley and Moran joined banks especially small banks in opposition due to asset flight concerns 100
