iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Reposted by Tyler Simko

Don Moynihan @donmoyn.bsky.social · 08/06/2026

New at Can We Still Govern? Yes, government can use smart innovations to reduce burdens. Rebecca Johnson and Tyler Simko describe a data-matching innovation that led to a 15 percentage point ⬆️ in pandemic emergency rental assistance access. donmoynihan.substack.com/p/how-automa...

donmoynihan.substack.com

How automation reduced administrative burdens and increased access to Emergency Rental Assistance

New research shows how data can increase access and program integrity

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Reposted by Tyler Simko

Tyler Simko @simko.bsky.social · 21/04/2026

New short working paper with @mpreece.bsky.social + Adam Rauh: "Local community opposition to data centers is clear and growing." We use LocalView to study data center discussions in thousands of local government meetings across the US. First, we show attention is surging: osf.io/preprints/so...

A graph showing the increase in attention to data centers in local government meetings between 2023 and 2026.

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Tyler Simko @simko.bsky.social · 21/04/2026

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Chris Kenny, PhD @chriskenny.bsky.social · 25/02/2026

Redistricting Reforms Reduce Gerrymandering by Constraining Partisan Actors is now forthcoming in the APSR! We use a game theoretic treatment and continuous DiD(iD) to show when redistricting reforms work with @corymccartan.com, @simko.bsky.social, Emma Ebowe, Michael Zhao, and Kosuke Imai

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Tyler Simko @simko.bsky.social · 19/12/2025

Looking for a postdoc in American politics? Come work with us in Ann Arbor! No obligations other than research. Preference for institutions-focused work, but we’re open to a wide range of substantive interests (including local politics!). Happy to answer any questions: apply.interfolio.com/178829

apply.interfolio.com

Apply - Interfolio {{$ctrl.$state.data.pageTitle}} - Apply - Interfolio

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Tyler Simko @simko.bsky.social · 19/12/2025

apply.interfolio.com

Apply - Interfolio {{$ctrl.$state.data.pageTitle}} - Apply - Interfolio

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Center for Political Studies @umisrcps.bsky.social · 11/11/2025

The big Democratic wins of the 2025 elections will shift political dynamics and strategies in the coming year. For key takeaways, read our Q&A with UM political scientist Tyler Simko @simko.bsky.social, elections analyst for CBS. cpsblog.isr.umich.edu?p=3516

cpsblog.isr.umich.edu

Unexpected Margins: Analysis of the 2025 Elections

Expert Q&A with takeaways and predictions drawn from the 2025 elections with CBS elections analyst and University of Michigan political scientist Tyler Simko

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Tyler Simko @simko.bsky.social · 06/11/2025

Dense, high Hispanic counties like Hudson also point against the ‘24 red shift constituting a lasting “new” NJ. Cities like Perth Amboy saw large ‘24 Trump shifts, but supported Sherrill on Tuesday with overwhelming margins. Read more from me and @kabirkhanna.bsky.social for #CBSDataDesk🍎 below!

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Kabir K. @kabirkhanna.bsky.social · 06/11/2025

NJ's bluest counties saw biggest turnout increases, propelling landslide Three densest counties saw largest jumps from '21: Hudson (Jersey City), Essex (Newark), Union >30% increase in total vote >30-pt Democratic margin High-profile local races helped, e.g., Jersey City mayoral w/ former gov 1/2

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Kabir K. @kabirkhanna.bsky.social · 05/11/2025

NYC map shaded by vote margin! We collected very granular precinct data and aggregated it to neighborhoods people actually recognize Bushwick, Flushing, Upper West Side, etc. datawrapper.dwcdn.net/Wrd72/ H/T @mitelectionlab.bsky.social @chriskenny.bsky.social @corymccartan.com @simko.bsky.social

datawrapper.dwcdn.net

2025 NYC Mayoral Race by Neighborhood

CBS News estimates of how different parts of the city voted

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Reposted by Tyler Simko

Kabir K. @kabirkhanna.bsky.social · 05/11/2025

Mamdani's win by NYC neighborhood: datawrapper.dwcdn.net/Wrd72/4/ Hover over map to see our estimates... #CBSDataDesk🍎

datawrapper.dwcdn.net

2025 NYC Mayoral Race by Neighborhood

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Reposted by Tyler Simko

Cory McCartan @corymccartan.com · 05/11/2025

Here at the CBS News data desk with @chriskenny.bsky.social and @simko.bsky.social! Looking at the VA numbers

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Reposted by Tyler Simko

David Houston @dmhouston.bsky.social · 08/10/2025

Supported by both the Fordham Institute and @wallacefoundation.bsky.social, Michael Hartney and I explored the extent to which U.S. school board members are politically and demographically representative of the communities they serve. Here's a summary of our main findings: 1/12

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Center for Political Studies @umisrcps.bsky.social · 08/09/2025

👀 Local governments often take "symbolic" stances on issues where they hold no authority or jurisdiction. @simko.bsky.social and Taran Samarth examine the dynamics and purpose of "symbolic representation" by studying the response of US local governments to the ongoing Israel-Hamas war. #APSA2025

At APSA 2025: Local Governments and Symbolic Representation
In Event: Political Representation in Urban Politics
Thu, September 11, 8:00 to 9:30am PDT
Tyler Simko, University of Michigan
Taran Samarth, Yale University

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Tyler Simko @simko.bsky.social · 28/08/2025

Trump’s proposed rush job Census isn’t just immoral and regressive—it will harm communities across the country and compromise data quality: @chriskenny.bsky.social and I in @thehill.com today: thehill.com/opinion/camp...

thehill.com

Trump’s proposed snap Census won’t get him the seats he wants

A new Census would likely diminish political representation for Republican areas.

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Reposted by Tyler Simko

Chris Kenny, PhD @chriskenny.bsky.social · 27/08/2025

Do you use tract boundaries in your research? Jake Brown, @simko.bsky.social, and I have a new working paper (osf.io/preprints/so...): Any Way You Slice It: Racial Segregation Statistics are Robust to Aggregation Bias We show that tract-level segregation is robust to MAUP using simulation methods.

osf.io

OSF

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Brendan Nyhan @brendannyhan.bsky.social · 22/08/2025

"shifts in political geography and gerrymandering reduced the number of highly competitive districts by over 25% [from 2010 to 2020], with geographic polarization driving most of the decline."

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Reposted by Tyler Simko

Greer Mellon @greermellon.bsky.social · 23/07/2025

In our polarized political environment, I’m excited to share my new ASR publication: “Competence over Partisanship: Party Affiliation Does Not Affect the Selection of School District Superintendents”. journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...

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Tyler Simko @simko.bsky.social · 21/08/2025

Great article, and a good example of the continuing value of public, open source research tools (we published these simulations in 2022). When new claims and arguments arise, anyone can use existing resources to examine them.

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Ben Schneer @benschneer.bsky.social · 08/08/2025

You may have noticed things are happening fast in the world of redistricting… I along with @maxwellpalmer.com and @simko.bsky.social wrote an article last week (though published today) that analyzes the changes to the congressional district map in Texas, and particularly San Antonio.

expressnews.com

Republicans are seeking to create a durable gerrymander in Texas

Short-term tactical gains in Texas could ultimately yield a race to the bottom.

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Austin Buchanan @austinlbuchanan.bsky.social · 20/07/2025

Texas was already arguably the biggest Republican gerrymander in the nation, according to this PNAS paper by @chriskenny.bsky.social @corymccartan.com @simko.bsky.social @shirokuriwaki.bsky.social www.pnas.org/doi/abs/10.1...

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Center for Political Studies @umisrcps.bsky.social · 31/03/2025

Is government suspicion based on real lived experiences and historic harm? #ISRNextGeneration scholar Franshelly Martinez-Ortiz writes on the case of Michigan, where events like the Flint Water Crisis give rise to lasting mistrust. @maraceci.bsky.social #MPSA2025 ➡️ cpsblog.isr.umich.edu?p=3434

cpsblog.isr.umich.edu

In Michigan, conspiracy thinking can be rooted in real historic harm

Conspiracy thinking may result from paranoia or misinformation -- but it's often rooted actual harms and well-earned mistrust in government.

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Reposted by Tyler Simko

Noah Dasanaike @noahdasanaike.bsky.social · 14/02/2025

Urban–rural cleavages are seen as a defining political divide. But does this polarization hold worldwide? My new working paper tests this question using an original dataset of granular, geocoded election returns from 106 countries (polling station-level in 70). (1/8)

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Reposted by Tyler Simko

Phil Rocco @philiprocco.bsky.social · 23/01/2025

How can state and local government partnerships help to safeguard US official statistics when they are under assault? Find out in my @univpressofkansas.bsky.social book, "Counting Like a State". Preorder for a 30% discount with code 24COUNTING here: kansaspress.ku.edu/9780700639687/

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Tyler Simko @simko.bsky.social · 23/01/2025

As a first-generation college student, I found it difficult to adjust to university academics and the “hidden curriculum.” How can universities help students ease this transition? In a new RCT, we (Rebecca Johnson, Kosuke Imai) show “summer bridge” programs can be valuable tools: shorturl.at/WS9Kf

shorturl.at

PNAS

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (PNAS), a peer reviewed journal of the National Academy of Sciences (NAS) - an authoritative source of high-impact, original research that broadly spans...

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Justin de Benedictis-Kessner @jdbk.bsky.social · 15/01/2025

Are Democratic leaders making cities more dangerous than Republicans? Trump + others have repeatedly made claims like this. New paper in Science Advances w/ @chriswarshaw.bsky.social, Dan Jones & Matt Harvey shows that, in short, the answer is no.

Abstract of article titled "The partisanship of mayors has no detectable effect on police spending, police employment, crime, or arrests"

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Tyler Simko @simko.bsky.social · 08/01/2025

Still need a New Year’s resolution? Study school boards! About 100k (and growing) school board meetings over the last decade + text transcripts, with access to raw audio and video data. From us (@mirya.bsky.social + Rebecca Johnson) to you — coming your way soon. 🫡

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Tyler Simko @simko.bsky.social · 25/11/2024

Thanks @mirya.bsky.social! See descriptives on when / where nationally salient partisan language appears in local politics (“climate change,” “gun control,” etc.). Identifiably partisan language is (1) common, (2) especially in larger cities, and (3) local D / R “slant” correlates with pres. vote.

Figure shows the relationship between the number of time members of Congress use certain partisan phrases, and how often those phrases are used in local government meetings.

Plot shows city-level distributions of partisan language in local political meetings.

Two figures showing patterns in the appearance of partisan language in local government meetings. Nationally salient terms are used more often in large places. The “slant” of partisan language that leans Democratic or Republican is correlated with local presidential voting patterns.

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