iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Apologies for the confusion!

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To be clear this is writing from the Needle about Erin Reed; not Erin Reed’s writing since the deleted context can kinda obscure that/

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TBC it’s a “news article” about Erin Reed.

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This isn’t Erin Reed’s writing.

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This! This! They cannot magically account for confounds!!!!!!! That is not how anything works!!! Like, how on earth did they write that?!?

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Yeah, they look borderline respectable at a glance; and the length and apparent methodology can be fairly convincing peripheral cues of credibility, so I don’t think it’s unreasonable that people keep getting fooled.

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Like even setting aside th3 obvious error that they clearly mean incredibly low, they’re still wrong about everything there!!!

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Many of the signals that they use aren’t actually linked to AI use, even if the stats are right

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bsky.app/profile/ryan... to wit.

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The Needle (not Cross’s tbc) writing here is pure envy, wild speculation and misused stats. Again, that’s not exonerating per-say; I don’t have the specialized knowledge to judge the deeper claims, and the underlying statistical questions. But it’s very clear to me that neither does the Needle.

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Quote changes could easily be explained by shifts in what word processing was used, more technical writing might be driven by 1. Increasingly professional skills, 2. A focus on more technical issues, or several alternative causes.

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There’s a lot of analysis in this Gish-Gallup that could very easily have alternative causes. For instance, I used to use hyphens with spaces in some writing, then eventually memorized alt+0151 and stopped. That’s “AI” by these standards.

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It’s, frankly, ludicrously irresponsible ‘journalism,’ and, given the sensitivity of the issue, the severity of the allegations and the lack of any expert involvement, imo boosting the story before validating the complicated, poorly chosen, statistical analyses is genuinely awful.

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🦇 Katra Scariello, Spooky Apple Audio 🦇🏳️‍⚧️ @katrafiy.bsky.social · 29/09/2026

The authors don’t understand what a p-value is. While I don’t know the tools used specifically, I am almost certain that the error estimation is wildly wrong. l don’t really know or care if Erin Reed uses AI in writing, but it’s very obvious that this is just… not credible on its face.

Finally, most of these p-values are so large because we have a massive sample size available to work with. When you have something like 750,000 words and hundreds of articles, the p values for something that is actually a trend within such a large dataset gets astronomical. P-values are the probability that random chance or something unobserved could explain the hypothesis equally well as the tested explanation.
Every p value below indicates the odds of the same author writing in the same style and making such different groups of work. For example, the difference between pasted sentence or paragraph lengths at this sample size leads to such a p value.

https://theneedlenews.com/2026/09/erin-reed-ai-methodology/

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Reposted by Erin Elkin

Hey everyone, I'm really in a bind. I was just told earlier today that my job will be terminating me on October 13th, exactly one day before my upcoming requested paid medical leave to recover from bottom surgery. I intend to fight this in court, but I could really use some help in the meantime.

gofund.me

Donate to Support Katra Through Bottom Surgery Recovery, organized by Katra Ariello

Hi, my name is Katra, and I’ve just been notified that I’ll be let go of… Katra Ariello needs your support for Support Katra Through Bottom Surgery Recovery

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Reposted by Erin Elkin

Benjanun Sriduangkaew @ Persephone Effect out now @benjanun.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

The paperback is now available! www.amazon.com/dp/B0HLH1YNTX

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Reposted by Erin Elkin

Ada 🏳️‍⚧️🏳️‍🌈 @adamakes.games · 30/09/2026

Late to the party, but These Rainy Autumn Nights by @shadell.itch.io is short and sweet and I'll be thinking about it for the next week I'm sure. If like me you managed to miss it for ages, then you should read it!

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Reposted by Erin Elkin

Charlotte @fireantprincess.bsky.social · 27/09/2026

hey peeps, we are still not doing well financially, and simultaneously not doing well physically, which always sucks because we are less able to cook and go grocery shopping, so everything is more expensive. I know everyone is struggling rn but I’d appreciate a share and a contribution if able

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Erin Elkin @shadell.itch.io · 25/09/2026

Sure, I’ll play. 9 anime that shaped who I am:

9 anime that shaped who I am: Girl’s Last Tour, Kyousougiga, Gatchaman Crowds, Eccentric Family, Ranma, Code Geas, Fresh Precure, Ghost in the Shell: Innocence, and Madoka

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Reposted by Erin Elkin

Rona Altana @ronaaltana.bsky.social · 22/09/2026

Discord finally confirmed for real when they're rolling out age verification service-wide (tomorrow) and I've not seen a single person make a peep about it

discord.com

Safer for Teens, Same Discord for Adults

We’re launching a revamped, privacy-focused age assurance solution including methods that won’t require an ID or selfie. Here’s how it works.

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Reposted by Erin Elkin

Five / #2137 @five.yiff.ie · 19/09/2026

This is still ongoing. I have overdue bills and I need to pay for medication I can't currently afford. I hate asking and I hate the job market. If you know of any companies in need of an online marketing specialist, feel free to get in touch. I'm fucking *desperate* at this point

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Erin Elkin @shadell.itch.io · 21/09/2026

There’s one scene in the epilogue that is weird, incredibly ambiguous in terms of what they were going for and just generally not good. The rest of the episode is imo immaculate.

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Erin Elkin @shadell.itch.io · 21/09/2026

Endings absolutely can retroactively ruin an entire show. But we’re talking about “actually she was coming onto him!!!” (Fuck you Wonder Egg Priority) not an ending that does everything it needs to, but is kinda misframed in ways you could fix with one extra line of dialogue.

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Erin Elkin @shadell.itch.io · 21/09/2026

I guess the last two minutes of Sayonara Lara are kinda bad, and the confession is a bit oblique (but they double down on it in the bad part) but the first 11.9 episodes are excellent, so I honestly don’t care that much.

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You’re really cool and quite kind to your friends!

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Extremely gross, bigoted shit, 100%

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“In this Ohio diner all the real authentic normal Americans were too busy being on their Greek vineyards to vote in the New York mayoral primary” is legitimately parodic levels of out of touch.

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Irrespective of the way that this conflict is very much embedded in a history of marginalized users being judged disproportionately for not showing adequate deference to the chattering class.

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“If we told you how we defined harassment you wouldn’t do it!!!” Seems like either a good justification for a better definition or for making the enforcement mechanisms public.

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Like you can’t be both insistent on strict impartial standards of enforcement AND the need to keep your actual rules a secret because otherwise people might learn to follow them.

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Kay F. Atkinson - Perfect Killer Bodies out Nov. 10 @tinylesbianrobot.itch.io · 17/09/2026

I don’t think “enjoy the camps” is a direct threat; at the same time, it’s very clear that moderation standards which elide transparency make it very easy for mods to come down on groups they dislike personally or see as an outgroup (I.e., disproportionately marginalized people).

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Reposted by Erin Elkin

this has been floating around a fair bit in my less online circles but I figured I'd boost it here too because it's so fucking cool

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Very seriously, the Avignon account’s history is just so fundamentally illegitimizing on its face, even without context.

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worm @rfksbrainworm.bsky.social · 13/09/2026

The dude you’re replying to has literally been cyberstalking Bee for months

2100

Reposted by Erin Elkin

we need more bats on here

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But that’s not even what’s happening! What’s happening is an active hate movement is trying to excise us from public life and the chattering class is eagerly trying to gaslight our requests to not die as strident, greedy and asking too much too fast.

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Like, even if they were telling us to wait for the right moment, that would be deeply shitty; and is a logic that’s been deployed again and again against social movements, see:

“I must make two honest confessions to you, my Christian and Jewish brothers. First, I must confess that over the past few years I have been gravely disappointed with the white moderate. I have almost reached the regrettable conclusion that the Negro's great stumbling block in his stride toward freedom is not the White Citizen's Counciler or the Ku Klux Klanner, but the white moderate, who is more devoted to "order" than to justice; who prefers a negative peace which is the absence of tension to a positive peace which is the presence of justice; who constantly says: "I agree with you in the goal you seek, but I cannot agree with your methods of direct action"; who paternalistically believes he can set the timetable for another man's freedom; who lives by a mythical concept of time and who constantly advises the Negro to wait for a "more convenient season." Shallow understanding from people of good will is more frustrating than absolute misunderstanding from people of ill will. Lukewarm acceptance is much more bewildering than outright rejection.”- Letter from a Birmingham Jail

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It is, quite simply at odds with history to tell us that quietly deferring our rights until our guys get in office will solve an ongoing process that you are completely unwilling to envision as anything other than us being too loud about wanting more.

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Like, saying shut up and wait for a better time is not telling us to defer a struggle until later, but telling us to shut up as an actively ongoing movement that wants to make our lives unlivable erodes more and more ground., which you’ll inevitably decide we’d never had anyway.

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The debates over bathrooms and sports were things that many mainstream Republicans rejected in 2016. Telling trans people that rights we’ve had for decades are too radical and new for America to accept is saying that you have both the memory and the moral conscience of a goldfish.

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