iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

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Daniel Swain @weatherwest.bsky.social · 06/08/2026

In case you missed it live, Tuesday's #ElNiño-focused virtual town hall event hosted by CA Sen Mike McGuire was recorded and is now available. This was a really constructive and worthwhile event; I'd strongly encourage folks to check it out! #CAwx

youtube.com

Super El Nino Town Hall

Join Senator McGuire, along with climate scientists, meteorologists, and disaster preparedness experts, for a virtual Super El Niño Town Hall to learn how California is preparing for very strong or “super” El Niño weather patterns and events this fall.

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Daniel Swain @weatherwest.bsky.social · 03/08/2026

On Mon, Aug 10 at 1pm PT, I'll host another livestream focused solely on El Niño. I'll offer a deep dive into El Niño's remarkable trajectory to date, the extraordinary latest forecasts, and additional thoughts on implications from California to global scales.

youtube.com

"Super" El Niño update: The latest regarding a potentially historic event and its implications - YouTube

The latest in a recurring series of live, virtual, & interactive #weather and #climate-focused "office hours" hosted by Dr. Daniel Swain. 08/10/2026 topic: E...

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Daniel Swain @weatherwest.bsky.social · 08/08/2026

The irony is that a record wet winter is certainly *possible,* and probably more likely than the background probability this year. But it's simply not a specific outcome that we can predict, as such, months in advance--"Super" El Niño or not.

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Daniel Swain @weatherwest.bsky.social · 08/08/2026

I'm seeing headlines, "citing" me, to effect of "California braces for wettest winter ever." To be clear: I have not claimed any such thing! Record strength El Niño? Quite possibly! But while that does shift odds in favor of wet winter, that's a far cry from "wettest ever."

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NWS Bay Area Bot @nwsbayareabot.bsky.social · 08/08/2026

Everyone is at risk from the dangers of extreme heat, but these groups are more vulnerable than most. Ensure that your loved ones and neighbors are safe from the heat and remain #WeatherReady. weather.gov/safety/heat-during x.com/NWSBayArea/status/20858677961…

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NWS Bay Area Bot @nwsbayareabot.bsky.social · 08/08/2026

A Heat Advisory remains in effect until 10 PM PDT Sunday for interior valleys and hills. Highs will range from the mid-90s up to 105°F, with warm overnight lows in higher elevations. Stay hydrated and take cooling breaks! ☀️🥤 #CAwx #BayA... x.com/NWSBayArea/status/20861394455…

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NWS Bay Area Bot @nwsbayareabot.bsky.social · 09/08/2026

When outdoors in the heat, wear lightweight, loose-fitting, and light-colored clothing to reflect heat and sun. Hats are also a good idea to protect your face and scalp from harmful UV rays. Also, don’t forget to apply sunscreen liberally. htt... x.com/NWSBayArea/status/20862791204…

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NWS Bay Area Bot @nwsbayareabot.bsky.social · 25/06/2026

Winds are expected to strengthen through the weekend with the strongest winds tonight and Friday night through east-west passes, where localized wind gusts could exceed 60 mph. At lower elevations, expect sustained winds of around 15 mph with gu... x.com/NWSBayArea/status/20702076410…

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NWS Bay Area Bot @nwsbayareabot.bsky.social · 26/06/2026

🌊Beach Hazards Statement issued beginning Saturday morning. Long-period S-SW swell will generate hazardous conditions including sneaker waves & strong rip currents. Stay back from the water’s edge, stay off of jetties & piers, & NEVER turn ... x.com/NWSBayArea/status/20704208058…

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Daniel Swain @weatherwest.bsky.social · 10/06/2026

During this period, elevated daytime & nighttime temperatures can be expected along entire West Coast except possibly for immediate NorCal coastline where are experiencing temporary reprieve from broader marine heatwave affecting NE Pacific Ocean. SoCal waters remain very warm.

Current sea surface temperature (SST) anomaly map from NOAA Coral Reef Watch. It depicts a broad and intense marine heatwave, characterized by much warmer than average ocean temperatures, across nearly the entire northeastern Pacific except along the immediate coast of California from about San Francisco northward.

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Daniel Swain @weatherwest.bsky.social · 10/06/2026

Elevated fire weather conditions are likely across much of West due to building heat, dry airmass, & occasionally windy conditions as low pressure systems slide down east side of ridge. Highest risk in interior major drought areas, but even CA will see higher risk in coming days.

Map showing current US Drought Monitor status across Western U.S. It depicts widespread moderate to extreme drought, with patches of "exceptional" drought, except in California where little or no drought is indicated.

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Daniel Swain @weatherwest.bsky.social · 10/06/2026

As earlier noted, a significant West Coast heatwave will build in the coming days, persisting at least 7-10 days. A strong & at least somewhat persistent ridge will bring war-to-hot conditions West Coast wide. Heat will be most anomalous in PacNW, but will also be present in CA.

Surface temperature anomaly map showing predicted pattern in about 1 week from present (using data from the ECMWF ensemble). It shows a broad region of much above average temperatures across most of the U.S. West coast and points inland.

500mb GPH anomaly map showing predicted pattern in about 1 week from present (using data from the ECMWF ensemble). It shows a large, broad, and persistent ridge centered in the Pacific Northwest.

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NWS Bay Area Bot @nwsbayareabot.bsky.social · 25/05/2026

Hazardous Beach Conditions 9 am Tuesday to 9 am Wednesday. x.com/NWSBayArea/status/20590236621…

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NWS Bay Area Bot @nwsbayareabot.bsky.social · 26/05/2026

🚩🚩The ocean is not your friend today and tomorrow! Hazardous beach and marine conditions are expected as strong northerly winds generate rough seas and strong rip currents. Remember to always wear a life jacket and never turn your back on ... x.com/NWSBayArea/status/20591792539…

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San Francisco Bay Area Skywarn @sfoskywarn.bsky.social · 26/05/2026

Weather spotters can use the #sfoskywarn channel on MeshCore for posting observations and sharing information. For more info about MeshCore, see MeshCore.io. In addition, NWS issued alerts (Watches, Advisories, Warnings) for the SF Bay Area are periodically posted on the #sfoskywarn channel.

meshcore.io

MeshCore - Official Site

Off-Grid, Encrypted, Mesh Communications

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Greg Porter @gporterwx.bsky.social · 26/05/2026

Not too windy at the moment and not too warm either! Winds pick up this afternoon. Temperatures not so much. But at least its sunny

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San Francisco Bay Area Skywarn @sfoskywarn.bsky.social · 26/05/2026

NWS Bay Area Storm Spotter Talk with Brayden Murdock Wednesday, May 27 · 5:00 – 7:00pm Time zone: America/Los_Angeles Google Meet joining info Video call link: meet.google.com/qro-kkfm-uox Or dial: ‪(US) +1 347-745-6002‬ PIN: ‪429 226 332‬# (2/2)

meet.google.com

Meet

Real-time meetings by Google. Using your browser, share your video, desktop, and presentations with teammates and customers.

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San Francisco Bay Area Skywarn @sfoskywarn.bsky.social · 26/05/2026

There will be a webinar about the need for weather spotters. It will be held this coming Wednesday, 5-7pm PDT, by Meteorologist Brayden Murdock of the National Weather Service (NWS) Forecast Office in Monterey, CA. (1/2)

meet.google.com

Meet

Real-time meetings by Google. Using your browser, share your video, desktop, and presentations with teammates and customers.

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NWS Bay Area Bot @nwsbayareabot.bsky.social · 17/05/2026

RT by @NWSBayArea: 🚨[VEGETATION FIRE] #MiddleFire 📍Location: Near Middle Ridge Road, Annapolis (Sonoma County) ⌚ Time of Dispatch: 7:03 a.m. | May 17, 2026 🔥 Initial Report on Conditions: Firefighters from CAL FIRE and the North Sonom... x.com/CALFIRELNU/status/20560203788…

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NWS Bay Area Bot @nwsbayareabot.bsky.social · 17/05/2026

WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM SUNDAY THIS EVENING TO 11 AM PDT MONDAY For The Santa Cruz Mountains, North Bay Interior Mountains, Eastern Santa Clara Hills, and East Bay Hills. North to NE winds 15 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph. Local g... x.com/NWSBayArea/status/20559809711…

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NWS Bay Area Bot @nwsbayareabot.bsky.social · 17/05/2026

Thinking of hitting the beach for sunset? Think again. Strong and gusty winds with gusts of 45-55 mph are generating hazardous beach conditions. Hazardous beach and marine conditions will continue through the weekend. @ALERTCalifornia #CAwx x.com/NWSBayArea/status/20558172302…

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NWS Bay Area Bot @nwsbayareabot.bsky.social · 16/05/2026

Plenty of reasons to stay weather aware this weekend: Strong winds, high tides, and dangerous surf #CAwx x.com/NWSBayArea/status/20556268534…

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National Weather Service @nws.noaa.gov · 07/05/2026

Be prepared for hurricane season by knowing what to do during a storm. Whether you’ve evacuated or are sheltering in place, know what to expect from the hazards you may face. #HurricanePrep #HurricaneStrong noaa.gov/stay-protected-during-storms

Hurricane Preparedness - Stay Protected During Storms. Stay in your safe places from water and wind. Have a way to get weather alerts and forecast updates. Keep in mind that impacts can be felt far from the coast. Listen to local officials and avoid travel unless ordered to evacuate.

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NWS Bay Area Bot @nwsbayareabot.bsky.social · 06/05/2026

☁️➡️☀️What a difference 24 hours makes... yesterday at this time it was pretty gloomy and cloudy for the Bay Area and Central Coast. Today has mostly clear skies and warming temperatures -- apologies to Napa County for the lingering ... x.com/NWSBayArea/status/20521130825…

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NWS Bay Area Bot @nwsbayareabot.bsky.social · 07/05/2026

The marine layer is 1,800 feet deep this morning. x.com/NWSBayArea/status/20523537399…

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Paul Heggen @paulheggenwx.bsky.social · 07/05/2026

Yesterday's and today's rain did not arrive in time to be factored into the latest US Drought Monitor data (which is collected every Tuesday). Thus, very little change with this week's update...hopefully some improvement next week! @wbtv.com #NCwx #SCwx

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NWS Bay Area Bot @nwsbayareabot.bsky.social · 17/12/2025

(2/2) Gutters should be cleaned out and loose outdoor items secured by Thursday. Impactful weather in the form of rain, wind, and even a slight chance for thunderstorms returns Sunday. Rainy and windy conditions are expected to continue into nex... x.com/NWSBayArea/status/20012627209…

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NWS Bay Area Bot @nwsbayareabot.bsky.social · 17/12/2025

(1/2) Good early Wednesday morning! Light rain showers will move into the area from the north this morning, becoming isolated to scattered this afternoon. More light rain showers are expected tomorrow ahead of widespread beneficial rainfall Frid... x.com/NWSBayArea/status/20012627185…

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NWS Bay Area Bot @nwsbayareabot.bsky.social · 13/12/2025

🚨Attention drivers and mariners! 🚨 Dense fog is being reported across the region. Follow the safety precautions in the images if you are unable to delay travel. #CAwx x.com/NWSBayArea/status/19998223005…

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NWS Bay Area Bot @nwsbayareabot.bsky.social · 13/12/2025

A Dense Fog Advisory is in effect for the North Bay Interior Valleys, East Bay Interior Valleys through 11AM Saturday. Expect visibility less than 1/4 mile at times. x.com/NWSBayArea/status/19996986540…

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NWS Bay Area Bot @nwsbayareabot.bsky.social · 12/12/2025

🌧️A pattern change is expected through the weekend with chances for light rain across the middle of next week, followed by possible heavy rain for the following weekend! Our colleagues at the @NWSCPC have more info. Keep track of forecast u... x.com/NWSBayArea/status/19996061120…

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San Francisco Bay Area Skywarn @sfoskywarn.bsky.social · 05/12/2025

Although Skywarn Recognition Day (SRD) has been officially cancelled for 2025, this Saturday, December 6 from 0000-2359 UTC (4pm PST Friday Dec 5 through 3:59pm PST Saturday Dec 6), WX6MTR will be on the air participating in SRD in an unofficial capacity. sfoskywarn.org/2025/12/05/s...

sfoskywarn.org

Skywarn Recognition Day — WX6MTR will be on the air – San Francisco Bay Area SKYWARN®

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NWS Bay Area Bot @nwsbayareabot.bsky.social · 05/12/2025

🌫️Dense Fog Advisory for the East Bay interior valleys through 11 AM due to visibilities of 1/4 miles or less in patchy dense fog making driving hazardous. If driving, slow down, use your low beam headlights, and leave plenty of distance ah... x.com/NWSBayArea/status/19969617436…

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NWS Bay Area Bot @nwsbayareabot.bsky.social · 28/11/2025

Patchy dense fog is being reported in the inland valleys, including Santa Rosa and Hollister. Drivers: if you encounter dense fog, slow down, use low beam headlights, and keep extra space between you and the car in front! #CAwx x.com/NWSBayArea/status/19943801686…

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NWS Bay Area Bot @nwsbayareabot.bsky.social · 28/11/2025

Unfortunately we have had a couple of incidents where people have been swept out to sea by hazardous surf conditions, including sneaker waves and rip currents, and died as a result. If your weekend plans involve a trip to the beach, NEVER turn y... x.com/NWSBayArea/status/19943759487…

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NWS Bay Area Bot @nwsbayareabot.bsky.social · 28/11/2025

⚠️🌊Heads up! A Beach Hazards Statement is in effect now through 10 PM Sunday along the Pacific coast. There will be an increased risk for sneaker waves and rip currents with breaking waves between 13 to 18 feet expected. Never turn your b... x.com/NWSBayArea/status/19943696390…

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Greg Porter @gporterwx.bsky.social · 19/11/2025

This was fun to write! But also one of the more complex topics that I’ve covered!

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Greg Porter @gporterwx.bsky.social · 16/11/2025

I've been trying to write this story for months. I've had a sneaking suspicion that the public perception of what El Nino and La Nina means for weather outcomes is not aligned with the truth. www.sfchronicle.com/weather/arti...

sfchronicle.com

California’s rule book on El Niño and La Niña is broken

La Niña is back, but week-to-week jet-stream chaos really decide whether California floods or stays dry.

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NWS Bay Area Bot @nwsbayareabot.bsky.social · 20/11/2025

3:15PM 11/20/25 Radar Update: Showers slowly slide through and taper off this afternoon. Here's a nice shot of some rain showers from @ALERTCalifornia via the West Gonzalez camera. For those looking to dry out for a bit, fret not that arrives to... x.com/NWSBayArea/status/19916479643…

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NWS Bay Area Bot @nwsbayareabot.bsky.social · 19/11/2025

⚠️Heads up! A Beach Hazards Statement will go into effect at 4 PM Thursday and continue through Monday night. There will be an increased risk for sneaker waves and rip currents with breaking waves between 13 to 18 feet expected. Never turn y... x.com/NWSBayArea/status/19911177898…

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NWS Bay Area Bot @nwsbayareabot.bsky.social · 19/11/2025

🌧️More rain on the way. Here's the latest rainfall totals with next storm. While there still is some uncertainty with the exact track of the storm boom and bust rainfall scenarios don't vary that much. Heaviest rain will be Wed PM-> Thu AM ... x.com/NWSBayArea/status/19911187571…

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NWS Bay Area Bot @nwsbayareabot.bsky.social · 13/11/2025

We're getting a better look at the main rain band as it approaches the coast this morning. The latest Mesoscale Precipitation Discussion from the @NWSWPC states, "Flash flooding is expected on at least an isolated basis" www.wpc.ncep.noa... x.com/NWSBayArea/status/19889129935…

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NWS Bay Area Bot @nwsbayareabot.bsky.social · 13/11/2025

The main band of rain has reached the North Bay as of 2:45 AM. Steady rain will continue here until 10 AM or so #CAwx x.com/NWSBayArea/status/19889234596…

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NWS Bay Area Bot @nwsbayareabot.bsky.social · 09/11/2025

Rain returns midweek! 🌧️ Probabilities are increasing for 2"+ of rain Wed–Fri, highest in the North Bay, Santa Cruz Mountains, & Big Sur coast (60–90%), lower across the South Bay & interior valleys (10–30%). #CAwx #BayAreaWX x.com/NWSBayArea/status/19875686368…

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NWS Bay Area Bot @nwsbayareabot.bsky.social · 09/11/2025

☀️➡️🌧️Today is a warm and sunny day... the perfect time to begin preparing for a rainy midweek period! Latest forecast shows most intense rain expected late Wednesday into Thursday. Clean out gutters and storm drains to prevent road... x.com/NWSBayArea/status/19874638834…

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NWS Bay Area Bot @nwsbayareabot.bsky.social · 04/11/2025

Higher than normal tides are expected this week thanks to a Supermoon taking place on November 5th. The Supermoon brings the highest (and lowest) tides of all and can result in coastal flooding. A Coastal Flood Advisory remains in effect now thr... x.com/NWSBayArea/status/19858111754…

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NWS Bay Area Bot @nwsbayareabot.bsky.social · 05/11/2025

It's going to be a wet commute this morning. Allow extra patience, space, and time when driving this morning and remember to turn on your headlights! #CAwx x.com/NWSBayArea/status/19859869368…

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NWS Bay Area Bot @nwsbayareabot.bsky.social · 05/11/2025

The NOAA Weather Radio Weekly Test has been cancelled today due to impactful weather. Visit weather.gov/nwr for more information. Next week's test will occur on Wednesday, November 12th, 2025 between 11 AM and 12 PM. #CAwx x.com/NWSBayArea/status/19860113094…

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