Documentation for BVDOutbreakSize

Documentation for BVDOutbreakSize

Fitting to summarised, potentially biased, published estimates jointly with individual level data

Provides functions for working with primary event censored distributions and Stan implementations for use in Bayesian modeling. Primary event censored distributions are useful for modeling delayed rep...

An epidemic’s expected course is determined by the magnitude and timing of a typical person’s infectiousness — captured, in turn, by the basic reproduction number and the generation-time distribution....

Infectious disease epidemiologist / computer science professor @ CU Boulder. Trying to figure out how to keep us all healthy and fed.

The emergence of successive SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern during 2020-22 created a need to understand the drivers of such growth. This study uses a Bayesian model to reveal how a set of key covariate...

Author summary In public health, it is important to know key temporal properties of diseases (such as how long someone is ill for or infectious for). Mathematical characterisation of properties requir...

A guide on how to fit non-parametric delay distributions using primarycensored, with both MLE and Bayesian approaches.

Epidemiological delays are key quantities that inform public health policy and clinical practice. They are used as inputs for mathematical and statistical models, which in turn can guide control strat...