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Sam Freedman

@samfr.bsky.social
91K followers 953 following 16K posts

Writes the most popular UK Substack (samf.substack.com) Author of Sunday Times bestselling book "Failed State". (An Economist and Financial Times Book of the Year for 2024). Working on book two. Senior fellow: Institute for Government

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Sam Freedman @samfr.bsky.social · 23h
I really want to know who falls for this shite. There must be some kind of market in idiots with enormous egos because I get a lot these emails.
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Sam Freedman @samfr.bsky.social · 12/10/2026
What if I want the unofficial experience?
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Sam Freedman @samfr.bsky.social · 12/10/2026
Why we're moving into uncharted territory in the Baltics, as Russia gets increasingly desperate and vulnerable.
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Sam Freedman @samfr.bsky.social · 11/10/2026
This is M&S is a clear sign that civilisation is coming to an end. There is no dignity anymore.
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Sam Freedman @samfr.bsky.social · 10/10/2026
When I say the politics will become increasingly obvious... I mean look at this. If you want to unite the left/centre and split the Tories, without a big spending committment there's no better option.
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Sam Freedman @samfr.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
On Badenoch's Reform alliance problem.
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Sam Freedman @samfr.bsky.social · 08/10/2026
Restore is such a weird mix of fascism and random mad boomer Facebook shit.
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Sam Freedman @samfr.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
I reviewed Michael Lewis's new book "Blockers" for the Guardian. It's on the Trump administration's efforts to destroy the US civil service. www.theguardian.com/books/2026/o...
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Sam Freedman @samfr.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
It is remarkable how badly the Russians treat their troops.
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Sam Freedman @samfr.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
There was a section of Burnham's speech that was eerily similar to Sunak's in 2023. Will he have any more luck in answering the question?
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Sam Freedman @samfr.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Times this morning. Me in December last year. It was pretty damn obvious this would happen to anyone who did the maths. samf.substack.com/p/the-oversh...
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Sam Freedman @samfr.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
*bangs head against wall forever* Apparently the way Burnham thinks we get parity of esteem is by saying vocational quals are for non-academic kids.
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Sam Freedman @samfr.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
The difference between the performance of immigrants in England and Western Europe is staggering. (20 pts equals a year of learning.) I looked at this in detail in the post - it can't be explained away by language or relative advantage of different immigrant communities. There is a policy factor.
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Sam Freedman @samfr.bsky.social · 20/09/2026
Always enjoy it when @ldfreedman.bsky.social quotes Russian military bloggers panicking.
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Sam Freedman @samfr.bsky.social · 20/09/2026
Labour lead up to 4 points in the latest Ipsos poll. (And congrats to them for using error bars - all pollsters should do this).
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Sam Freedman @samfr.bsky.social · 19/09/2026
Here's a chart from the post.... quite a change in a single generation.
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Sam Freedman @samfr.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
This seems bad:
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Sam Freedman @samfr.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
I think a lot of people tend to think of the Houthis as a small and fairly primative group - but they've built some potentially v damaging networks....
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Sam Freedman @samfr.bsky.social · 10/09/2026
On the importance of ministers understanding delivery. Guess the politician she's talking about...
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Sam Freedman @samfr.bsky.social · 08/09/2026
Increasingly the shifts in European politics are intertwined with the war in Ukraine. One thing stopping Putin moving towards a ceasefire is the prospect of the far right in power in Europe.
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Sam Freedman @samfr.bsky.social · 08/09/2026
One reason England does so well is our second generation immigrants outperform their peers which is not true in most OECD countries. We are also very good at integration. And it's v sad that this is never acknowledge in debates on immigration.
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Sam Freedman @samfr.bsky.social · 08/09/2026
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Sam Freedman @samfr.bsky.social · 03/09/2026
When do you think they're all going to notice Farage's favourability polling is -44%? He's already incredibly unpopular!
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Sam Freedman @samfr.bsky.social · 03/09/2026
The best bit is where she accidentally implies her father was a Miss United Kingdom finalist.
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Sam Freedman @samfr.bsky.social · 02/09/2026
I know but I'm not talking about the serious reporting. I'm talking about this BS.
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Sam Freedman @samfr.bsky.social · 31/08/2026
On the argument that Britain doing anything about climate change is futile because we're so small.
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Sam Freedman @samfr.bsky.social · 30/08/2026
As a Bluesky bonus as I didn't include them in the post, but these are some of the ads from the 1990s I mention that were done by a fossil fuel funded front group called "Informed Citizens for the Environment".
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Sam Freedman @samfr.bsky.social · 27/08/2026
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Sam Freedman @samfr.bsky.social · 24/08/2026
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Sam Freedman @samfr.bsky.social · 22/08/2026
You can also read all my answers on subjects from whether they'll be an early election to exactly how much of a mess Reform is in. samf.substack.com/p/should-bur...
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Sam Freedman @samfr.bsky.social · 22/08/2026
Covering all this...
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Sam Freedman @samfr.bsky.social · 21/08/2026
Why I think, if Reform imploded, a lot of their vote would go to Restore not the Tories.
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Sam Freedman @samfr.bsky.social · 20/08/2026
Here's a trend I didn't see coming... Boys are (very slowly) catching up with girls at GCSE. Wonder if it's because we've got better at teaching boys or if girls were more affected by the pandemic.
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Sam Freedman @samfr.bsky.social · 19/08/2026
On climate change I explain why Burnham hasn't been talking much about it despite the fires/weather but also why I think he's missing a trick as the nature of the debate is changing...
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Sam Freedman @samfr.bsky.social · 19/08/2026
Post covers all of these topics....
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Sam Freedman @samfr.bsky.social · 18/08/2026
The worst timeline
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Sam Freedman @samfr.bsky.social · 17/08/2026
Tim's piece is pretty funny.
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Sam Freedman @samfr.bsky.social · 15/08/2026
This is why I love doing the substack... write a post on why Thatcher wasn't a Thatcherite and Nigel Lawson's private secretary pops up in the comments to confirm one of my arguments...
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Sam Freedman @samfr.bsky.social · 12/08/2026
Includes v interesting analysis of the impact of Ukraine's strikes on "Wildberries" - the Russian equivalent of Amazon.
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Sam Freedman @samfr.bsky.social · 08/08/2026
Like it's not "naive" not to have noticed *last October* that right-wing extremism might be a fairly major issue for Jews, it's either moronic or disengenous.
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Sam Freedman @samfr.bsky.social · 06/08/2026
On the problems with Jacobsen's nuclear war scenario....
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Sam Freedman @samfr.bsky.social · 31/07/2026
The funeral for irony will be held next week.
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Sam Freedman @samfr.bsky.social · 31/07/2026
Good to see acknowledgement of the accountability challenge. Want more detail on this though.
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Sam Freedman @samfr.bsky.social · 31/07/2026
Yay!
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Sam Freedman @samfr.bsky.social · 31/07/2026
Telling that this line was the best the Tories could come up with. Since when were they opposed to growth incentives because it might seem unfair?
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Sam Freedman @samfr.bsky.social · 26/07/2026
This idea is one of the challenges discussed in the post. Hugely important to making the whole thing work.
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Sam Freedman @samfr.bsky.social · 24/07/2026
This is the equivalent of asking how a £1.5m turnover company is going to pay for £100 of drinks at the Xmas party.
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Sam Freedman @samfr.bsky.social · 22/07/2026
Look the way she translates the opening versus other versions. It's incredible.
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Sam Freedman @samfr.bsky.social · 22/07/2026
This is what I mean. Good numbers. But only useful if its used as permission to do something more substantive than temporary cost of living measures.
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Sam Freedman @samfr.bsky.social · 21/07/2026
That really isn't what I mean. The right see me as one of the most pro-migrant commentators (see this lovely accusation from X).
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