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Ryan Dack

@ryandack.bsky.social
216 followers 76 following 62 posts

Teacher, UCI Alumnus, and South Orange County Community College Board Vice President. Opinions are my own. RyanDack.com

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Ryan Dack @ryandack.bsky.social · 19/08/2026
I am extremely proud to support the Vote YES on Measure D campaign for fairer Irvine municipal elections. 🗳️ No spoiler candidates. Real majority winners. More civil campaigns. It's time to upgrade our elections.
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FairVote @fairvote.bsky.social · 16/07/2026
Irvine, CA will vote on a #RankedChoiceVoting ballot measure this November. If it's approved, Irvine will use ranked choice voting to elect its mayor and city council members as early as 2028. @calrcv.bsky.social bit.ly/3Rjf5jN
bit.ly
Irvine, CA will vote on ranked choice voting in November - FairVote
If the measure passes, Irvine will use ranked choice voting to elect its mayor and city council members as early as 2028.
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Ryan Dack @ryandack.bsky.social · 16/07/2026
Organizing works!
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The Downballot @the-downballot.com · 01/07/2026
Oh man. This chart of the #COGov GOP primary is an all-timer from the gambling markets. They know the winner neither before polls close nor after! (And we don't, either: The race remains uncalled, with Kirkmeyer ahead by just 953 votes.)
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Ryan Dack @ryandack.bsky.social · 24/06/2026
The Kalshi gamblers have done it again.
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Ryan Dack @ryandack.bsky.social · 08/06/2026
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Ryan Dack @ryandack.bsky.social · 05/06/2026
Looking at the remaining vote, Supervisor Foley will need to win between 58-60% of what is left in her contest to get over 50%. The last few updates have had her winning the counted ballots with 52%. It improves her vote share, and she will be leading soon, but isn't enough to avoid a runoff.
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Ryan Dack @ryandack.bsky.social · 03/06/2026
Update on Orange County's outstanding vote and what that means for races like OC Board of Supervisors, District 5. Current turnout is 26.9%, but if you add in the 200k unprocessed ballots received by the OC Registrar of Voters, that turnout rate jumps to AT LEAST 37.3% Turnout in 2022 was 35.2%
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Ryan Dack @ryandack.bsky.social · 02/04/2026
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The Downballot @the-downballot.com · 24/03/2026
BREAKING: Democrats just flipped the Florida House district that includes Mar-a-Lago. Yes, Donald Trump is going to be represented by a Democrat. Our complete recap -->
the-downballot.com
Florida Democrats flip Donald Trump's home district in Palm Beach
Emily Gregory will now represent Mar-a-Lago—and Trump himself
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Ryan Dack @ryandack.bsky.social · 24/03/2026
It's really just comical at this point. I don't even know what there is left to say.
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Ryan Dack @ryandack.bsky.social · 24/03/2026
The gambling markets have done it again. Masterful work, gamblers.
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Ryan Dack @ryandack.bsky.social · 24/03/2026
"Wisdom of the crowds! Wisdom of the crowds!!" I shout into the void.
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Ryan Dack @ryandack.bsky.social · 18/03/2026
Big day for people using gambling sites as sources of data to tell how a race is going
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Ryan Dack @ryandack.bsky.social · 16/03/2026
Another L for the "wisdom of crowds" crowd. Ignore this trash!
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Ryan Dack @ryandack.bsky.social · 04/03/2026
High-speed visual of gamblers being loudly wrong until they get punched in the face by reality. Stop using betting markets as reportable "data." It’s worthless.
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Ryan Dack @ryandack.bsky.social · 25/12/2025
Merry Christmas! 🎄 My present to all this year is access to high resolution versions of the maps I've posted in the last month. Enjoy! 🎁 drive.google.com/drive/folder...
drive.google.com
Prop 50 Maps - Google Drive
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Ryan Dack @ryandack.bsky.social · 24/12/2025
Finally, Prop 50 results by precinct in Orange County. The largest Yes margin came from the UCI student housing communities precinct (Camino del Sol) 96.5% of voters voted Yes on Prop 50 The largest No margin came from a gated community in Laguna Niguel along Morning Dove 84.6% voted No
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Ryan Dack @ryandack.bsky.social · 24/12/2025
Prop 50 results by Orange County Cities and CDPs
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Ryan Dack @ryandack.bsky.social · 24/12/2025
Prop 50 results by old Congressional District
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Ryan Dack @ryandack.bsky.social · 02/12/2025
Prop 50 by County Supervisor District I wonder if the Republicans on the BOS who drew this map realize they created a dummymander politicaldictionary.com/words/dummym...
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Ryan Dack @ryandack.bsky.social · 02/12/2025
Prop 50 results by State Senate District Steven Choi is really lucky.
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Ryan Dack @ryandack.bsky.social · 28/11/2025
Prop 50 results by Orange County Assembly District All results are from Orange County only (I'm sure AD 74 as a whole is actually quite a bit closer due to the San Diego portion not being represented here)
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Ryan Dack @ryandack.bsky.social · 24/11/2025
Prop 50 results by city in Orange County
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Ryan Dack @ryandack.bsky.social · 13/11/2025
Fashion Island, Newport Beach Prop 50 (2025) Yes: 256 (34.0%) No: 498 (66.0%) US President (2024) Harris: 380 (35.3%) Trump: 677 (63.0%) Despite a modest shift away from Trump in 2024, Fashion Island/Newport Center moved back towards the president only one year in.
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Ryan Dack @ryandack.bsky.social · 13/11/2025
Balboa Island, Newport Beach Prop 50 (2025) Yes: 404 (31.9%) No: 861 (68.1%) US President (2024) Harris: 585 (34.7%) Trump: 1,077 (63.8%) Median home price: $4.4 million Extremely wealthy communities continue to move towards Trump, in contrast to every other demographic group.
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Ryan Dack @ryandack.bsky.social · 11/11/2025
Los Rios Historic District, San Juan Capistrano Prop 50 (2025) Yes: 204 (75.6%) No: 66 (24.4%) US President (2024) Harris: 253 (62.2%) Trump: 150 (38.9%) This precinct shifted 23 pts to the right from 2020 to 2024 and has shift back (and then some) This is 90% Hispanic precinct in South OC
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Ryan Dack @ryandack.bsky.social · 11/11/2025
Little Saigon (Bolsa and Magnolia), Westminster Prop 50 (2025) Yes: 667 (55.0%) No: 547 (45.0%) US President (2024) Harris: 818 (42.8%) Trump: 1,063 (55.7%) This precinct had already shifted towards dems from 2020 -> 2024 (1.9 dem shift). This Vietnamese community is worth paying attention to.
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Ryan Dack @ryandack.bsky.social · 10/11/2025
Shady Canyon, Irvine Prop 50 (2025) Yes: 124 (34.9%) No: 231 (65.1%) US President (2024) Harris: 214 (36.1%) Trump: 355 (60.0%) The median home price in this neighborhood is about $9.1 million
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Ryan Dack @ryandack.bsky.social · 10/11/2025
Westminster, California Prop 50 (2025) Yes: 13,084 (52.8%) No: 11,703 (47.2%) US President (2024) Harris: 16,506 (44.3%) Trump: 19,850 (53.2%) Big Viet shift (if you can call it that) against Trump (-14.5 points)
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Ryan Dack @ryandack.bsky.social · 09/11/2025
Santa Ana, California Prop 50 (2025) Yes: 45,021 (75.6%) No: 14,545 (24.4%) US President (2024) Harris: 48,934 (60.4%) Trump: 29,688 (36.6%) Big shift with hispanics going on here
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Ryan Dack @ryandack.bsky.social · 09/11/2025
How did Orange County vote on Prop 50? Here's a breakdown by city. Unsurprisingly, South County is still conservative, but not as conservative as you might think! @vanceulrich.bsky.social
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Ryan Dack @ryandack.bsky.social · 28/05/2025
Standing before IVC’s 40th graduating class, I echoed words that have guided me for years, from my personal hero, Conan O’Brien: “If you work really hard, and you’re kind, amazing things will happen.” In a world that often feels uncertain, that truth still holds power. Congratulations Lasers!
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Ryan Dack @ryandack.bsky.social · 04/03/2025
@laureldavilacpa.bsky.social Thank you for your support!
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Ryan Dack @ryandack.bsky.social · 24/01/2025
When someone shows you who they are, believe them the first time.
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Laurel Davila @laureldavilacpa.bsky.social · 20/01/2025
For those of you who are registered Democrats in #Irvine #CostaMesa #Tustin #AD73 please vote for these super progressives for #ADEM. Registration ends on 1/31. I wish I could tell you how hard they have worked in our Democratic Party Club to keep our area blue! @demsofirvine.bsky.social
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Ryan Dack @ryandack.bsky.social · 18/12/2024
On Monday, I was sworn in to serve a full term on the South Orange County Community College District Board of Trustees. To my surprise and great honor, my fellow board members nominated and elected me to serve as Board Vice President.
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Ryan Dack @ryandack.bsky.social · 28/11/2024
Happy Thanksgiving!
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