iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Rustie @rustie.bsky.social · 28/09/2026

If this Verian poll is accurate then the next RoyMo is gonna hit like crack. Greens on 20, Labour on 24.

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The Overhang @overhang-aonz.bsky.social · 28/09/2026

1News-Verian poll versus our benchmark (consensus average + Verian's house effect). Very good (or very rogue) poll for the Greens, good for ACT. Bad for National, others about par.

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Rustie @rustie.bsky.social · 27/09/2026

I'm not going to vote National but that student loan policy shows how unready Labour are for government. Completely unserious and not up to the task.

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The Overhang @overhang-aonz.bsky.social · 26/09/2026

Model vs poll: Hutt South - Victor Consulting poll. Pretty bad poll for both National and their #3. Incumbent 🔵Chris Bishop polling significantly worse (-13pp) than our estimate. 🔴Andersen a little worse (-4pp) with expectations, 🟢White doing better (+4pp).

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Rustie @rustie.bsky.social · 24/09/2026

Local government whenever someone tries amalgamating them:

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The Overhang @overhang-aonz.bsky.social · 23/09/2026

Largely the same analysis as last week, but a longer form write-up of the state of the polls at the start of the campaign proper is out now: theoverhangaonz.substack.com/p/september-...

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Rustie @rustie.bsky.social · 22/09/2026

I will be mildly annoyed if this leads to.an end to the TPU-Curia poll because the only other outfit that publishes that frequently is Roy Morgan.

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Rustie @rustie.bsky.social · 20/09/2026

Finally back to doing regular updates. A lot of you won't like it though.

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The Overhang @overhang-aonz.bsky.social · 15/09/2026

Model versus poll comparison, this time for Wellington Bays. Incumbent Julie Ann Genter polling 8pp worse than our estimate (41 vs 34). Labour challenger Craig Renney in line with expectations (34). National's Karunā Muthu 3pp up (14 vs 17).

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Rustie @rustie.bsky.social · 07/09/2026

A target so small voters can't even see it.

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Rustie @rustie.bsky.social · 06/09/2026

Proposal is good or whatever but they missed an opportunity with the spelling:

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Rustie @rustie.bsky.social · 12/08/2026

So like does he get a bead for every one he survives? Like those kids with cancer get for chemo rounds?

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Rustie @rustie.bsky.social · 12/08/2026

National's coup plotters.

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CEO Johnny Cans @oldmatecans.bsky.social · 12/08/2026

They've set up a lectern and microphone in the hope of luring a new Prime Minister into the drop-trap.

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Rustie @rustie.bsky.social · 12/08/2026

So the line from Labour should just be "Congratulations to _____ ________ on their election as Winston's deputy."

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Rustie @rustie.bsky.social · 11/08/2026

If he survives he's gotta put at least two, maybe three heads on pikes right? Pour (des)encourager les autres.

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The Overhang @overhang-aonz.bsky.social · 11/08/2026

Late delivery in your inboxes now. Read it this morning before it's irrelevant. Why is this happening and will it work? theoverhangaonz.substack.com/p/the-overha...

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The Overhang @overhang-aonz.bsky.social · 05/08/2026

As the article rightly points out, local polling (especially when party-affiliated) should be treated with skepticism. That said, it's useful for sense checking our electorate modelling. www.thepost.co.nz/nz-news/3610...

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Rustie @rustie.bsky.social · 23/07/2026

Shoutout Paul Henry for making Hipkins look like a prissy loser.

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Rustie @rustie.bsky.social · 17/07/2026

With the ferry names, Peters is operating on the assumption that everyone still has Woke 1.0 installed.

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Rustie @rustie.bsky.social · 17/07/2026

Captain Cook might have spent six months in a leaky boat, but thanks to the Interislander delays we'll be spending six years in a leaky boat (and lucky just to keep afloat).

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Rustie @rustie.bsky.social · 14/07/2026

Wellington treated the NZIFF ticket website like it's the Gävle Goat.

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Rustie @rustie.bsky.social · 14/07/2026

I remember someone (possibly Cameron Bagerie?) describing this governments unifying them as a series of grumbles muttered into pints at the 19th hole. Recent hiring decisions bearing this out.

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James W @jamesw228.bsky.social · 14/07/2026

Countdown to Labor announcing Mikey Havoc because Hipkins thinks he'll appeal to young people

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Rustie @rustie.bsky.social · 14/07/2026

Is it too late for someone to parachute Pam Corkery onto their list? If we're digging around in the ashtray for 1990s retreads can we at least pull out one of the funnier ones?

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Rustie @rustie.bsky.social · 14/07/2026

Labour's problem is that their leader is yesterday's man. Fortunately their opponent is an ever-growing katamari of yesteryear's men.

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Rustie @rustie.bsky.social · 12/07/2026

Other fun thing is that Graham debased himself completely for Trump, and yet Trump will still care more about Shinzo Abe dying.

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Rustie @rustie.bsky.social · 12/07/2026

Oh and Connor McGregor ate shit. What a weekend.

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Rustie @rustie.bsky.social · 12/07/2026

There are graves to piss on that haven't been dug yet.

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Rustie @rustie.bsky.social · 12/07/2026

The ultimate grudgematch: Nazi gold vs Nazi grandad.

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Rustie @rustie.bsky.social · 12/07/2026

Switzerland pulling up to the kickoff with IMF bailiffs in their front three and dragging Messi to the pawn shop.

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Rustie @rustie.bsky.social · 04/07/2026

BORN TO KEEP MESSI IS A FUCK 410,757,864,530 SAVED SHOTS

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Rustie @rustie.bsky.social · 16/06/2026

The critique of the fare cap costings vs the blank acceptance of the RONS policies brought to mind this quote:

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Rustie @rustie.bsky.social · 16/06/2026

Between things like InfraCom's National Infrastructure Plan, the Climate Commission's emissions and adaptation plans, ComCom's market studies, and MinReg's regulatory reviews we seem to have created an entire parallel public service whose job is to tell the main one what to do?

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Rustie @rustie.bsky.social · 12/06/2026

My prop Muslim My jersey bluish My climate wet Blues in upset

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Rustie @rustie.bsky.social · 12/06/2026

Mowing down Crusaders like they've got Saladin playing halfback.

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Rustie @rustie.bsky.social · 08/06/2026

Driving 2km/h over the speed limit on the expressway might be the most relatable thing a Green MP has ever done.

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Rustie @rustie.bsky.social · 04/06/2026

"BuT nO OnE wIlL rIdE iN wInTeR" Skill issue.

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Rustie @rustie.bsky.social · 03/06/2026

Toussaint L'Ouverture looking down and seeing Haiti demolish something called the All Whites and smiling.

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Dr Phoenix CS Andrews @thatdocphoenix.com · 01/06/2026

Welcome to Wrath Month. We have no rainbows and glitter and sideshows for your heterosexual children and drunk girlies in pink cowboy hats to enjoy. We just have the truth of the slide into fascism and who they came for first

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Rustie @rustie.bsky.social · 01/06/2026

"80% of analysis is data hygiene", i continue to insist as i slowly shrink and transform into a corncob.

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Rustie @rustie.bsky.social · 26/05/2026

Wellington century of humiliation:

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Rustie @rustie.bsky.social · 24/05/2026

My neighbor told me Winston Peters keeps eating his former Labour MPs. So I asked how many MPs he has and he said he just goes to the Koru Lounge and gets a new MP afterwards. So I said it sounds like he’s just feeding political hasbeens to Winston Peters and then his deputy started crying.

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CEO Johnny Cans @oldmatecans.bsky.social · 20/05/2026

Email 1 to Steve Abel. Green.

Good evening Steve,

I'm very pleased you're the first name on the list of 121 MPs that I'll be emailing this evening, because I know you're a good bloke and it's good to start with something positive.

Chloe's description of the NZF and Government bill as being voted for by cowards was a great start - as a member of the LGBTQI community with family and friends who are transgender - this bill is everything we've been fearing, but expecting to come down the line.

Winston's never had a plot that wasn't Winston, but his single-minded determination to attack trans rights - extending in horrific example to his ringleading the abuse aimed at Benjamin Doyle - makes him a clear and obvious threat to my friends and family.

I'd like to thank the Greens for staunchly supporting our community, and hope you can possible fire up even further about this - and really cut these anti-trans people down to size.

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Rustie @rustie.bsky.social · 21/05/2026

This gardener still generates their Lovecraftian AI horrors the old fashioned way.

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