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Robb Smith

@robbsmithideas.bsky.social
119 followers 151 following 381 posts

Over 30 years working with nonprofits and unions; political consultant; voting rights lawyer; author of the Margin of Error blog, a newsletter for progressives on polling, campaigns, public participation, and election law: moeblog.substack.com

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Robb Smith @robbsmithideas.bsky.social · 4h
If there is not a woman on the Democratic ticket in 2028 I am not supporting it. Better yet, it should be two women. Every SCOTUS vacancy from here til eternity should be filled by a woman. Men have fucked everything up. We have no business running an apple cart, let alone a country.
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Robb Smith @robbsmithideas.bsky.social · 22h
This would be the only thing Schmitt ever did that makes sense.
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Robb Smith @robbsmithideas.bsky.social · 22h
Eric Schmitt is a dirtbag.
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Robb Smith @robbsmithideas.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
If you live in Missouri, call your Senator & raise hell abt today’s absolute waste of time and money. Sen Eric Schmitt incompetently & slanderously accused Jack Smith of perjury bc he was too stupid to understand the diff btw “Hawks” and “Hawkeyes.” If this were SNL it would be funny. But it’s not.
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Robb Smith @robbsmithideas.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
It's arriving a little late this year, but Republicans have discovered this election's migrant caravan on its way to the border. Just in time, because nothing else is working. It's a Festivus miracle!
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Robb Smith @robbsmithideas.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
We have another #MTSenate poll showing the Dem candidate as the spoiler in the race. Bodnar could win this race if @alanib.bsky.social would do the right thing and drop out and endorse him!
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Robb Smith @robbsmithideas.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
This is the kind of world we could live in. Vote accordingly!
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Robb Smith @robbsmithideas.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
Check your voter registration at IWillVote.com! We have been hearing about states (like Texas) taking voters off the rolls. Make sure you are registered before your state's deadline, and assume it's been changed to tomorrow. There is no reason to hesitate; your right to vote is on the line.
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Robb Smith @robbsmithideas.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
Is it just me or does it sound and feel like Trump is planning to burn everything down because he is not getting his way? He famously TACOs but I am really worried about what he is planning to do in Iran and perhaps Yemen.
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Robb Smith @robbsmithideas.bsky.social · 13/09/2026
Bankhead needs to withdraw immediately and endorse Bodnar. The latest poll is Alme (R) 38%, Bodnar (I) 30%, Bankhead (D) 16%. If those numbers were reversed, Democrats would be screaming at Bodnar to withdraw. montanafreepress.org/2026/09/11/a...
montanafreepress.org
Alme leads Bodnar in U.S. Senate race, Democrat and Libertarian lag behind
Alme leads all Senate candidates, but Bodnar is gaining traction with voters.
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Robb Smith @robbsmithideas.bsky.social · 10/09/2026
This might be another reason why former staffers are waiting to drop more dirt on this hump. Let Republicans fawn over him and then have to explain themselves next week. Exclusive: Fetterman to praise Trump in bombshell GOP convention video www.axios.com/2026/09/09/f...
axios.com
Exclusive: Fetterman to praise Trump in bombshell GOP convention video
His stunning turn is a dramatic escalation in the senator's growing estrangement from Democrats.
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Mark Hamill @markhamillofficial.bsky.social · 19/07/2026
Sending ICE Agents to intimidate voters at polling places, declaring martial law to try to delay or cancel the election, seizing ballots-As he gets more desperate, there's nothing he won't do to try to save his pathetic orange ass. ALL states should preemptively prepare to defend Democracy! 🇺🇸 ✊
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Robb Smith @robbsmithideas.bsky.social · 19/07/2026
I cannot wait to help Pennsylvanians get rid of this POS politicalwire.com/2026/07/19/f...
politicalwire.com
Fetterman Tells Bernie Sanders to Cut the Endorsements
"Sen. John Fetterman (D-PA) said Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) needs to take a break from endorsing candidates after he backed scandal-plagued Graham Platner (D) in Maine and is now supporting 'pro-Hamas...
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Aaron Rupar @atrupar.com · 14/07/2026
Ossoff: "We understand the president may be threatening to declare sitting senators illegitimate. If that's the course of action he pursues, he's calling GA voters illegitimate...he was humiliated as a committed lifelong racist that it was Black voters in Georgia who were instrumental in his defeat"
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Kat Abughazaleh @katmabu.bsky.social · 15/07/2026
no one wants to consider my insane pitch which is to eliminate timezones across the planet so we’re all on the exact same time and force everyone to change their conception of what a day is
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Robb Smith @robbsmithideas.bsky.social · 14/07/2026
I think Democrats are in much better shapen to take the Senate than most pundits and even Democrats think. open.substack.com/pub/moeblog/...
open.substack.com
Does Maine Matter?
July 14, 2026
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Mayor Zohran Kwame Mamdani @mayor.nyc.gov · 14/07/2026
This morning in Biddeford, Maine, a 26-year-old man said goodbye to his wife and daughter and left for work. Moments later he was dead, shot in the head by ICE agents, the second man ICE has killed in six days. ICE is killing our neighbors. ICE cannot be reformed. Abolish ICE.
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Jon Cooper @joncooper-us.bsky.social · 13/07/2026
🎯🎯
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Chris Geidner @chrisgeidner.bsky.social · 13/07/2026
BREAKING: Federal judge finds that Trump's IRS suit was improper because Trump controlled both sides of the litigation. Judge Kathleen Williams also sanctions Trump's lawyers, issues monetary sanctions, and harshly criticizes DOJ's "untenable" conduct. More to come at Law Dork: www.lawdork.com
The Parties used the existence of federal litigation as a means of conferring legitimacy upon a course of action that they were unwilling to subject to judicial review.
The context of the "settlement," the relationships of the people involved in negotiating and approving it, the ethical implications of their conduct, and the Parties' swift efforts to
dismiss this case after the Court raised fundamental jurisdictional questions all support this conclusion. Accordingly, the Court expressly finds that Plaintiffs acted in bad faith.
See Sofaly v. Portfolio Recovery Assocs., LLC, 155 F.4th 289, 295 (3d Cir. 2025) (monetary sanctions were proper under the court's inherent power where the lawyers acted in bad faith and committed fraud on the court by using "their clients to bring
contrived lawsuits"). That finding is enough to invoke the Court's inherent authority. See JTR Enter., LLC V. Columbian Emeralds, 697 F. App'x 976, 986 (11th Cir. 2017) ("The key to invoking a court's inherent power to sanction is a finding of bad faith.") (citation
omitted).
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Jon Cooper @joncooper-us.bsky.social · 04/07/2026
🇺🇸🇺🇸
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Robb Smith @robbsmithideas.bsky.social · 02/07/2026
Here's your holiday post! Weighing in on this week's favorite bullshit argument in the media. moeblog.substack.com/p/are-democr...
moeblog.substack.com
Are Democratic Socialists Democrats?
July 2, 2026
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Allison Gill @muellershewrote.com · 29/06/2026
I’m not going to hail Barrett and Roberts for allowing us to count our votes. It’s a huge win for democracy, but it shouldn’t have even been a question. That we were one vote away from disenfranchising votes is all the more reason to expand the court in 2029.
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Robb Smith @robbsmithideas.bsky.social · 29/06/2026
In a sea of dumb conspiracy theories, this is the dumbest. Trump was president in 2020. He lost that election broadly across the country. How did the Democrats steal it? Republicans running Georgia stole it for Biden? It's utter nonsense. And that's before you realize there is zero evidence.
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Robb Smith @robbsmithideas.bsky.social · 29/06/2026
Remember when GOPers would disingenuously complain that Dems took Black and brown voters for granted? Well, Carville is admitting they were right after all. He is all for Black and brown voters - as long as they do what he tells them to do. When they vote DSA, they are no longer in the party.
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Robb Smith @robbsmithideas.bsky.social · 29/06/2026
I am hearing that centrist Democrats are threatening a "counteroffensive" against "Mamdani socialists" soon. I suppose harshly-worded letters are only for fascists. It appears that the only way to get centrists to do anything is to defeat them at the ballot box from the left.
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Robb Smith @robbsmithideas.bsky.social · 27/06/2026
Jesus, Trump is dumb - and the people around him are cowards, or dumb as well. A US passport is for Americans, not visitors.
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Robb Smith @robbsmithideas.bsky.social · 26/06/2026
I'm attending Sunrise Movement's event, “Welcome to Sunrise Denver - what you can do to help Melat win!” - sign up now to join me! www.mobilize.us/mobilize/eve...
mobilize.us
Welcome to Sunrise Denver - what you can do to help Melat win! · Mobilize
Get to know Sunrise Denver and how you can plug in to send Melat Kiros to Congress, Julie Gonzales to US Senate, and David Seligman to be our Attorney General! Our plan to win: Elect Green New Deal C...
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andrear9md.bsky.social @andrear9md.bsky.social · 25/06/2026
Well yeah, if Watergate happened again it would have gone off without a hitch because no one would have known about it until a year later when Woodward and Bernstein's book came out.
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Kyle Griffin @kylegriffin1.bsky.social · 26/06/2026
BREAKING NYT: A New York City panel just voted to freeze rents for nearly one million rent-stabilized apartments — fulfilling one of Mayor Zohran Mamdani's key campaign promises and handing the mayor a major policy win six months into his tenure.
nytimes.com
Mamdani’s Rent Freeze Is Approved by New York City Board
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David Rothkopf @djrothkopf.bsky.social · 24/06/2026
The terror spreading across the country this a.m. because in some more progressive corners of the US progressives won elections is telling. The reason the reaction is so over-large is because progressives unlike centrists and the right, are the only group who pose a real threat to established power.
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Robb Smith @robbsmithideas.bsky.social · 24/06/2026
Leave it to the former chair of the DNC to rain on our parade last night. He doesn't want us to ruin their party. The problem is that the "us" is voters. It's time to shed the failed neoliberal project that has produced the myriad crises we deal with today. Democratic socialism is the way forward.
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Kat Abughazaleh @katmabu.bsky.social · 24/06/2026
I say this almost every day but The MOST democratic and Democratic thing any of us can do is hold our own “team” accountable. And when we don’t, we end up in administrations like this. I like my leaders to question authority and invite criticism. If you can’t, you should step down.
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Melissa Gira Grant @melissagiragrant.com · 24/06/2026
also not lost on me that as democratic socialists are winning some elections, a new red scare targeting anarchists, antifascists, and their allies is digging in hard, and today handed down 30, 50, and 100 year prison sentences to activists and organizers
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Robb Smith @robbsmithideas.bsky.social · 24/06/2026
Tonight’s strong statement from voters that centrists are in the way of progress & human rights should be a good sign for El-Sayed in MI. I bet pundits still won’t see it. They will talk about low turnout and NYC exceptionalism. Then they will tell you that no one could have seen this coming.
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Taniel @taniel.bsky.social · 24/06/2026
BIG RESULT: New York state Senator Jessica Ramos, who gave Andrew Cuomo a surprise endorsement near the end of the mayoral primary last year, has lost her seat. She is ousted in today's Dem primary by Jessica González-Rojas, an assemblymember endorsed by many left figures like AOC.
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G Elliott Morris @gelliottmorris.com · 24/06/2026
Generally speaking, polls have shown the Democratic Party's problem is not being seen as too woke, but weak and ineffective. Judging by tonight's primary results, Democratic Primary voters are intent on fixing this www.gelliottmorris.com/p/new-poll-d...
gelliottmorris.com
New poll: Democrats' real problem isn't being too liberal — it's being seen as too weak
Americans, including swing voters, see the Republican Party as 20 points more extreme than Democrats — and the Democrats as weak and ineffective. So why would the *Democrats* moderate?
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Greg Pak @gregpak.net · 24/06/2026
She won!!! Huge high five to everyone who turned out!!!
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Robb Smith @robbsmithideas.bsky.social · 24/06/2026
So far tonight it appears at least nine Democratic incumbents - both federal and state offices - lost their primaries to challengers from the left in New York and Maryland.
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Robb Smith @robbsmithideas.bsky.social · 24/06/2026
If any establisho Dem calls for one of the losers in today's primaries in NYC to run as an indy in November, I will do what I can to make sure you lose your next election. I bet there are a lot of others like me. You tried that with Cuomo & it was an epic failure. You won't win this time either.
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Robb Smith @robbsmithideas.bsky.social · 24/06/2026
This is shaping up for a very good night for Zohran Mamdani, democratic socialists, and the future.
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Robb Smith @robbsmithideas.bsky.social · 24/06/2026
AP has just called the 7th CD for Valdez! Another DSA victory!
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Robb Smith @robbsmithideas.bsky.social · 24/06/2026
It is five past closing time for the polls, and the AP has already called it for Brad Lander! Clare Valdez is far ahead with a third of the vote counted, and it is is neck and neck in the 13th (Darializa Avila Chevalier).
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Robb Smith @robbsmithideas.bsky.social · 02/06/2026
moeblog.substack.com/p/surprise-f...
moeblog.substack.com
Surprise Final Final Poll in California
June 2, 2026
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Robb Smith @robbsmithideas.bsky.social · 01/06/2026
There is a chance that Reps are shut out in Nov rather than Dems. But primary polling in a crowded top-two nonpartisan primary w/o an incumbent is about as tricky as it gets. However, it's really the only data we have available to make a strategic voting choice. moeblog.substack.com/p/final-poll...
moeblog.substack.com
Final Polling in the California Governor’s Primary
June 1, 2026
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Robb Smith @robbsmithideas.bsky.social · 01/06/2026
I will never support Jared Polis for any office in the future. Peters abused her position to try to fix an election. She is the poster child for election fraud and deserves the 9 yr sentence she got. www.nytimes.com/2026/05/31/u...
nytimes.com
Colorado Braces for Release of Tina Peters, Unrepentant Election Denier
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Robb Smith @robbsmithideas.bsky.social · 26/05/2026
No endorsement here. I am not even sure who I am going to vote for yet. And this is not about candidate quality or positions, but about making sure we are not stuck with a choice between two fascists come November. moeblog.substack.com/p/figuring-o...
moeblog.substack.com
Figuring Out Who to Vote for in the California Governor's Race
May 26, 2026
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Robb Smith @robbsmithideas.bsky.social · 26/05/2026
“All but three of the 6,069 refugees taken in by the United States since October are White South Africans.” Nothing says we have a white nationalist government like this stat does. www.telegraph.co.uk/us/news/2026...
telegraph.co.uk
You are seeing this page because our security systems have detected some unusual activity on this connection. To regain access to The Telegraph website please try the following:
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Robb Smith @robbsmithideas.bsky.social · 22/05/2026
Tulsi Gabbard is out. She should be, but then again so should the whole lot of them. However, it's quite interesting that the only ones getting forced out of this incompetent and corrupt government are women.
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Molly Jong-Fast @mollyjongfast.bsky.social · 20/05/2026
Very rich people getting booed during commencement speeches is my new favorite genre of entertainment.
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🎃 Killy Witches 👻 @tillybridges.bsky.social · 20/05/2026
this was HR 2616 which also bans books by or about trans and nonbinary people from schools START CALLING YOUR SENATORS NOW CIS FRIENDS TRANS KIDS NEED YOU
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