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Piero Stanig

@pstanig.bsky.social
947 followers 1.6K following 31 posts

Political scientist, Bocconi University. Voting, political economy, climate change, robots, AI, and more.

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Piero Stanig @pstanig.bsky.social · 10/03/2026
www.unibocconi.it/en/horizon-e... Come work with me! Bocconi is a potential host of the Marie Skłodowska-Curie Actions postdoctoral fellowships, and I am one of the available supervisors, considering projects about the political consequences of technological change. .
unibocconi.it
Horizon Europe - Marie Skłodowska-Curie Actions Postdoctoral Fellowships 2026 - Bocconi University
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Piero Stanig @pstanig.bsky.social · 21/10/2025
This new report of the UN Special Rapporteur on extreme poverty and human rights docs.un.org/en/A/80/138 cites my work on trade shocks and economic nationalism with Italo Colantone, but also a paper of mine on extreme weather events with @simonecremaschi.bsky.social.
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Piero Stanig @pstanig.bsky.social · 24/06/2025
wol.iza.org/opinions/rob... with @paoloagnolin.bsky.social, @massimo-anelli.bsky.social and Colantone
wol.iza.org
Robots, restructuring, and union retreat: How automation alters worker organization
Modern employment structures challenge traditional forms of worker organization, risking continued union decline despite ongoing interest in collective action
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Piero Stanig @pstanig.bsky.social · 11/06/2025
Finally typeset in @thejop.bsky.social, the paper with @simonecremaschi.bsky.social on the electoral impact of the Vaia storm in the Alps in northeastern Italy. Link to some free pdf views here www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/epdf/10....
journals.uchicago.edu
University of Chicago Press Journals: Cookie absent
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Piero Stanig @pstanig.bsky.social · 05/06/2025
bsky.app/profile/psta...
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Comparative Political Studies @cpsjournal.bsky.social · 04/06/2025
New article from our latest issue (Issue 8, 2025): "In Search of the Causes of the Globalization Backlash: Methodological Considerations on Post-treatment Bias" by Paolo Agnolin @paoloagnolin.bsky.social , Italo Colantone, and Piero Stanig @pstanig.bsky.social journals.sagepub.com/doi/abs/10.1...
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Thomas Kurer @thmskrr.bsky.social · 30/04/2025
🚨3-Year Postdoc Position in Zurich @ipz.bsky.social ❓Political implications of labor market transformation Plenty of flexibility, no teaching obligations, great research environment in an highly livable city. Deadline: May 18, 2025. tinyurl.com/postdoczurich #polisky #poliscijobs #psjminfo
tinyurl.com
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Piero Stanig @pstanig.bsky.social · 21/03/2025
best thing to do if you are so worried about trade deficits as they seem to be: restrict sales of a valuable export.
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Piero Stanig @pstanig.bsky.social · 10/03/2025
more than Nobels, what is interesting is that a lot of high-paying jobs in finance, insurance, etc. then go to allegedly underschooled westerners (and there is some -quietly expressed- discontent for this). Or the depts of physics or economics at NUS employing many (mostly?) western or PRC scholars
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Gerry Doyle @mgerrydoyle.bsky.social · 09/03/2025
every time I see someone praise the absurdly difficult and advanced math curriculum for kids in singapore I am reminded of this chart
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Piero Stanig @pstanig.bsky.social · 07/03/2025
good choice
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Jonathan Hopkin @jonathanhopkin.eurosky.social · 25/02/2025
I’m hearing a lot of people repeating the line that social democrats are not losing votes to the far right, so that invalidates the thesis that social democrats have lost touch with the working class and should address issues like migration. But this is missing the point
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Lisa Spantig @lisaspantig.com · 09/02/2024
Marie & Pinotti (2024): Very important paper, also in light of the policy debates in many countries: - Immigration does not increase crime rates. - Obtaining legal status decreases immigrants' involvement in criminal activities. www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=... #EconSky #PolSky #MigSky #noAfd
aeaweb.org
Immigration and Crime: An International Perspective
(Winter 2024) - The association between immigration and crime has long been a subject of debate, and only recently have we encountered systematic empirical evidence on this issue. Data shows that immigrants, often younger, male, and less educated compared to natives, are disproportionately represented among offenders in numerous host countries. However, existing research, inclusive of our analysis of new international data, consistently indicates that immigration does not significantly impact local crime rates in these countries. Furthermore, recent studies underscore that obtaining legal status diminishes immigrants' involvement in criminal activities. Finally, we discuss potential explanations for the apparent incongruity between immigrants' overrepresentation among offenders and the null effect of immigration on crime rates.
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Aina Gallego @ainagallego.bsky.social · 28/01/2025
📢 Our new paper in Political Analysis explains how to use LLMs like GPT-4o, Llama or Mistral to estimate the ideological and policy position of political texts. Our approach is fast, reliable, cost-effective and reproducible and works with texts written in different languages 1/7 cup.org/4axBEXo
cup.org
Positioning Political Texts with Large Language Models by Asking and Averaging | Political Analysis | Cambridge Core
Positioning Political Texts with Large Language Models by Asking and Averaging
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Piero Stanig @pstanig.bsky.social · 23/12/2024
This. Few things are more maddening than social scientists deliberately underestimating the agents they study. (Yeah they often make choices that might look silly prima facie; that we cannot understand them is an indictment of our discipline(s) more than anything else).
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Piero Stanig @pstanig.bsky.social · 19/12/2024
Me:
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Piero Stanig @pstanig.bsky.social · 19/12/2024
Ok so, paying attention to the technicalities, “the Federal President dismissed the cabinet following a negative vote in the legislature.”
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Piero Stanig @pstanig.bsky.social · 19/12/2024
Yeah I know the story, but what I am saying is that “government collapse” is not the same thing to American ears. I venture that it sounds more like “Staatszerstörung” to those unfamiliar with parliamentary systems. As Germans would say, a constellation of misunderstandings
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Piero Stanig @pstanig.bsky.social · 19/12/2024
bsky.app/profile/mass...
bsky.app
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Piero Stanig @pstanig.bsky.social · 19/12/2024
Or “the legislature dismissed the cabinet, leading to a new election”
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Piero Stanig @pstanig.bsky.social · 19/12/2024
Maybe it’s just me (ESL US trained political scientist) but the expression “the German government collapsed”, which I keep seeing, does not really convey the correct impression, esp to US audiences. “The cabinet was forced to resign following a vote in the legislature” does not sound that ominous
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Piero Stanig @pstanig.bsky.social · 05/12/2024
osf.io/preprints/os... assets-eu.researchsquare.com/files/rs-738...
osf.io
OSF
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Piero Stanig @pstanig.bsky.social · 05/12/2024
mostly voter reactions to direct exposure to extreme weather events.
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Simone Cremaschi @simonecremaschi.bsky.social · 29/11/2024
🚨 New paper 🚨 with @pstanig.bsky.social forthcoming at @thejop.bsky.social 🎉 about the political consequences of climate-related disasters 🌲💦⚠️ Pre-print 👉 osf.io/preprints/os... Summary 🧵👇
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Piero Stanig @pstanig.bsky.social · 25/11/2024
Just getting the group average would be informative though. Not an experimental q. Ask at the very end if you are concerned with contamination
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Piero Stanig @pstanig.bsky.social · 25/11/2024
Some curiosity about the study that a superficial read did not assuage: did they ask respondents which menu *they* would choose? Crucial info to assess whether stereotypes are on target
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Piero Stanig @pstanig.bsky.social · 13/11/2024
go.bsky.app/FCaUxbu
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Adam Przeworski @adamprz.bsky.social · 18/11/2024
Why democracy, backsliding, or autocracy? Unabashedly, I think this model has exceptionally rich results. The introductory overview is intended to be self-explanatory without delving into the math. See papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cf
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Catherine E. de Vries @catherinedevries.bsky.social · 23/11/2024
#Polisky folks: Bocconi University is looking for AP in Environmental Politics & Policy 🌏 Offer: Great group of political scientists working at awesome social science university in a fabulous city 🙌 🚨 Deadline: 30th of November Please share 🔁 Apply 🔗 & ℹ️ : jobmarket.unibocconi.eu?type=&dep=SPS
jobmarket.unibocconi.eu
Job Market - Bocconi University
Recruiting, Faculty, Post-doc Grant, Collaboration Contracts
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Piero Stanig @pstanig.bsky.social · 16/10/2024
New paper with Paolo Agnolin and Italo Colantone: in a way, I wish we didn’t have to write it --it's just another primer on post-treatment bias. But it’s a fun paper...We show how one can break some of Colantone and Stanig's earlier results (i.e., ours!) journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
journals.sagepub.com
Sage Journals: Discover world-class research
Subscription and open access journals from Sage, the world's leading independent academic publisher.
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Simone Cremaschi @simonecremaschi.bsky.social · 14/11/2024
🚨 Publication Alert 🚨 Our paper about public service deprivation and far right support with @paularettl.bsky.social @marcocappelluti.bsky.social @catherinedevries.bsky.social is forthcoming at @ajpseditor.bsky.social! 🎉 👉 Preprint: osf.io/preprints/os... #polisky
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Piero Stanig @pstanig.bsky.social · 13/11/2024
thx
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Piero Stanig @pstanig.bsky.social · 13/11/2024
i'd be happy to be added
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Piero Stanig @pstanig.bsky.social · 13/11/2024
go.bsky.app/FCaUxbu
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Piero Stanig @pstanig.bsky.social · 13/11/2024
I'd be happy to be added. Thx
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Piero Stanig @pstanig.bsky.social · 16/10/2024
Does mediation analysis help in this setting, you might ask? Maybe. But using principal stratification following Forastiere et al., we clarify what the ignorability assumptions for causal mediation imply: these are not just technical assumptions, they are loaded with substance.
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Piero Stanig @pstanig.bsky.social · 16/10/2024
We also argue --quite forcefully-- that simpler models (without bad controls) may offer more relevant policy insights than complex models that aim at testing many different stories at once, but can ultimately mislead on each one of them.
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Piero Stanig @pstanig.bsky.social · 16/10/2024
New paper with Paolo Agnolin and Italo Colantone: in a way, I wish we didn’t have to write it --it's just another primer on post-treatment bias. But it’s a fun paper...We show how one can break some of Colantone and Stanig's earlier results (i.e., ours!) journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
journals.sagepub.com
Sage Journals: Discover world-class research
Subscription and open access journals from Sage, the world's leading independent academic publisher.
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Piero Stanig @pstanig.bsky.social · 31/08/2024
On Sun, tinyurl.com/22g5ccwp What If You See It? Workers’ Perceptions of and Reactions to LLMs (with Anelli, Colantone, @ainagallego.bsky.social), the pre-analysis plan for a survey experiment (in US, DE, and IT) showing workers in cognitive occupations what GPT can do #APSA2024
tinyurl.com
What If You See It? Workers’ Perceptions of and Reactions to LLMs
As Large Language Models (LLMs) increasingly demonstrate their capability to perform diverse cognitive tasks, they have sparked both excitement and concern regarding their economic potential and the p...
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Piero Stanig @pstanig.bsky.social · 31/08/2024
On Sat, tinyurl.com/22mtgrnh Accountability, Identity Politics, and Democratic Decay: Evidence from Indonesia with Naila Shofia presenting results from a large survey experiment informing voters about the accountability view of democracy #APSA2024
tinyurl.com
Accountability, Identity Politics, and Democratic Decay: Evidence from Indonesia
Democracy is claimed to be in retreat in various parts of the world, and is often criticized for being unable to deliver good governance in the interest of the people. We study why democracy might mal...
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Piero Stanig @pstanig.bsky.social · 31/08/2024
I have three papers at #APSA2024 next week. On Thu, tinyurl.com/2y4y5koh Voting Behavior between Class, Geography, and Structural Economic Changes (with Italo Colantone) discussed by @ccavaille.bsky.social in a panel organized and chaired by David Rueda. 1/3
tinyurl.com
Voting Behavior between Class, Geography, and Structural Economic Changes
This chapter, part of our manuscript “Backlash and Realignment: Political Conflict in the XXI Century”, presents the main theoretical insights of our contribution. To introduce these theoretical insig...
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Kai Arzheimer @kai-arzheimer.com · 29/02/2024
This is funny, because it's true
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Piero Stanig @pstanig.bsky.social · 08/12/2023
This is what chatGPT thinks the paper would look like
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Piero Stanig @pstanig.bsky.social · 08/12/2023
De-Centering the Self as a Site of Resistance...Sounds legit. Gonna ask chatGPT to write the abstract
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