iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Reposted by Zeke Hernandez

Scott Lincicome @scottlincicome.bsky.social · 15/06/2026

New @nberpubs: "Before the Exodus? Young Scientists and the Future of US Science" www.nber.org/papers/w3533... "The fraction likely to stay in the United States fell by 21 percentage points" 😔

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Zeke Hernandez @profzeke.bsky.social · 28/05/2026

That’s wonderful and encouraging. It provides hope that things can get better than they are now. Thanks for your creativity and doggedness, Michael!

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Zeke Hernandez @profzeke.bsky.social · 23/05/2026

You’ve seen the news about the administration’s proposed change in green card processing. Lest you think this is just a meaningless rule change, here’s my experience:

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Zeke Hernandez @profzeke.bsky.social · 21/05/2026

This is a phenomenal piece showcasing the economic harm done by ICE, with poignant examples. I appreciated contributing a bit by sharing the results of my recent study. www.bloomberg.com/news/feature...

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Zeke Hernandez @profzeke.bsky.social · 21/05/2026

Thanks for the correction. Always looking to improve. And a good reminder to not post in a hurry.

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Zeke Hernandez @profzeke.bsky.social · 21/05/2026

Wow. So sorry you’re facing this situation.

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Zeke Hernandez @profzeke.bsky.social · 19/05/2026

Thank you for covering my research. But more important than who authored the study is the fact that real people, real businesses, and real communities are being harmed by the current approach to immigration enforcement.

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Zeke Hernandez @profzeke.bsky.social · 16/05/2026

There are legitimate debates about the role immigration enforcement should play. But decimating local economies is not it. Is this what we want to spend taxpayer dollars on? Speak up and share this widely. You and your elected representatives need to know the facts.

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Zeke Hernandez @profzeke.bsky.social · 16/05/2026

7️⃣ Shoppers don't just switch to online spending. All forms of commercial activity, physical and virtual, go down.

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Zeke Hernandez @profzeke.bsky.social · 16/05/2026

6️⃣ Independent businesses are hit twice as hard as national chains -- precisely the types of Main Street firms that have the hardest time recovering from economic shocks.

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Zeke Hernandez @profzeke.bsky.social · 16/05/2026

5️⃣ Workplaces are hit harder than retailers, which risks creating a downward spiral because people who don't work have less income to spend, which in turn hurts businesses even more, who in turn hire fewer people, and so forth.

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Zeke Hernandez @profzeke.bsky.social · 16/05/2026

4️⃣ The decline in foot traffic and spending hits virtually all sectors of local economies: from restaurants, gas stations, and hotels to construction sites and manufacturing plants.

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Zeke Hernandez @profzeke.bsky.social · 16/05/2026

3️⃣ The decline in business activity happens regardless of the demographic profile -- immigrant, Hispanic, or otherwise -- of the neighborhoods in which visitors live or in which businesses are located. The chilling effect is widespread.

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Zeke Hernandez @profzeke.bsky.social · 16/05/2026

2️⃣ This wasn't a temporary blip. The drop in foot traffice and spending did not dissipate as of February 2026. Once ICE targets a location, businesses in that place suffer permanently, congruent with the shift from one-off raids to ICE being a permanent presence in targeted areas.

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Zeke Hernandez @profzeke.bsky.social · 16/05/2026

1️⃣ 8.1 billion fewer visits to local businesses (workplaces and retailers) and up to $14 billion less in spending at retailers. That's 3% less in foot traffic and 7% less in spending compared to 2024 -- a serious negative shock.

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Zeke Hernandez @profzeke.bsky.social · 16/05/2026

Today I'm publicly releasing a paper that answers that question (download link in the comments) using data on 5.4 million local businesses across the US: papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.... During the first year of the current administration, ICE raids caused serious economic damage in seven ways:

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Zeke Hernandez @profzeke.bsky.social · 16/05/2026

*** NEW RESEARCH *** Images of ICE targeting US cities have been commonplace in since January 2025. What's the economic effect of this new immigration enforcement regime on businesses, both workplaces and retailers, in targeted areas? Thread... 🧵

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Reposted by Zeke Hernandez

Michael Clemens @mclem.org · 18/04/2026

The Migration & Organizations conference is a superb annual academic meeting that unites scholars of management, economics, and sociology studying the effects of international migration #EconConf #EconSky Hosted at @upenn.edu Wharton School of Business, May 26–27. Register here—>

impact.wharton.upenn.edu

2026 Migration and Organizations Conference

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Reposted by Zeke Hernandez

Michael Clemens @mclem.org · 11/04/2026

The US Administration has proposed a new rule that would bar almost all asylum-seekers from legally working, for at least a decade. My colleagues and I have written and submitted a detailed analysis of how this act will impact the United States economy. 🧵—>

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Reposted by Zeke Hernandez

Immigration Policy Lab @immigrationlab.bsky.social · 06/04/2026

Since #Claude now does 90% of your admin work, you have lots of free time to do the fun stuff in academia. 😉 Join us on Thursday (8:30am PT) for this super timely research from @profzeke.bsky.social on the impact of #ICE enforcement on American businesses.

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Zeke Hernandez @profzeke.bsky.social · 23/03/2026

Please sign up and spread the word! Register here: immigrationlab.org/science-of-i...

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Zeke Hernandez @profzeke.bsky.social · 24/02/2026

Ha! I’m sure they know already.

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Zeke Hernandez @profzeke.bsky.social · 24/02/2026

Bravo, Michael! Congratulations to JHU for getting one of the best.

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Zeke Hernandez @profzeke.bsky.social · 26/01/2026

Immigration scholars! Come to the 2026 Migration & Organizations Conference at Wharton on May 26-27. Send us your best work by February 13 or apply for the doctoral consortium by February 14 here: impact.wharton.upenn.edu/homepage/mig... Friends: Please spread the word!

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Zeke Hernandez @profzeke.bsky.social · 24/01/2026

I’ve seen the video recorded by the woman in the pink jacket. It made me cry. It was murder. Shame on ICE and anyone who tries to defend their actions in this incident.

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Reposted by Zeke Hernandez

David J. Bier @davidjbier.bsky.social · 24/01/2026

This is horrific. Absolutely no plausible justification. Straight up murder.

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Zeke Hernandez @profzeke.bsky.social · 20/01/2026

NYC friends: Stop by the Lincoln Center tonight at 7 pm for a conversation about the American dream! This is part of a series to commemorate the 250th anniversary of the United States. Timely and timeless!

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Zeke Hernandez @profzeke.bsky.social · 09/01/2026

ICE melts when exposed to evidence

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Reposted by Zeke Hernandez

Michael Clemens @mclem.org · 03/01/2026

The US Administration has been claiming that mass deportation has opened up jobs for US workers. But that’s an incompetent misreading of the data. @stanveuger.bsky.social of AEI explains their freshman mistake. www.washingtonpost.com/business/202...

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Reposted by Zeke Hernandez

Michael Clemens @mclem.org · 03/12/2025

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Reposted by Zeke Hernandez

Michael Clemens @mclem.org · 02/12/2025

There are 75,977 people born in Somalia who are now citizens of the United States, including those specific people. He is talking about US citizens. He is talking about *us*. The truth is that none of us are garbage, and the job of the US president is to represent all of us. We, the people.

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Reposted by Zeke Hernandez

Michael Clemens @mclem.org · 29/10/2025

International students *create* educational opportunities for US natives. Each additional Chinese master's student causes enrollment of 0.26–0.44 additional native students, by funding/expanding master's programs. New at @nber.org—> doi.org/10.3386/w34391 Ungated: www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/giykh...

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Zeke Hernandez @profzeke.bsky.social · 30/09/2025

My take on how the H-1B fee affects jobs and innovation: time.com/charter/7321.... Thanks to Charter and Time for the opportunity to weigh in.

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Zeke Hernandez @profzeke.bsky.social · 30/09/2025

And I’m honored to support such a sensible, no-brainer cause that’s only good for our country.

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Zeke Hernandez @profzeke.bsky.social · 29/09/2025

Glad to see the US Chamber of Commerce speak up on the $100,000 H-1B tax. I’ve been hoping the business community would speak up more forcefully on immigration issues. It’s a constituency that will be heard by the administration. This is a good start, but only a start.

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Reposted by Zeke Hernandez

Kim Novak - The Reading Rx @cfpharmd.bsky.social · 27/09/2025

The Truth About Immigration by Zeke Hernandez is essential reading for understanding the economics of immigration and the statistical truth. #Politics #Economics #NonFiction #Audiobooks #NetGalley #BookSky 💙📚 @profzeke.bsky.social @stmartinspress.bsky.social www.goodreads.com/review/show/...

Book cover of The Truth About Immigration by Zeke Hernandez. The top of a chain linked fence breaking off into birds against a blue sky.

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Zeke Hernandez @profzeke.bsky.social · 25/09/2025

The recent action by the administration to impose a massive, $100K per-head tax on skilled labor is a huge source of talent uncertainty. As this research shows, one thing you can expect is less investment by firms. This is bad for American workers, businesses, and economies.

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Zeke Hernandez @profzeke.bsky.social · 21/09/2025

If confirmed as true, this would be the height of hypocrisy. The man who so vehemently claims to be on the right side of the law would actually be a crook.

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Zeke Hernandez @profzeke.bsky.social · 17/09/2025

Really excited that the Immigration Policy Lab is doing this, and honored to be one of the presenters this season. We need all the evidence we can get our hands on when it comes to immigration, and this is a great way to disseminate it.

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