Jeff Powell @powelljr.bsky.social · 16hSelf-fulfilling bank runs just aren’t really a thing - www.ft.com/content/80c7... via @FTft.comSelf-fulfilling bank runs just aren’t really a thingOr, at least, that’s what the data seems to suggest 000
Jeff Powell @powelljr.bsky.social · 17hHow to escape the low-pay, low-productivity jobs trap - www.ft.com/content/9ed3... via @FTft.comHow to escape the low-pay, low-productivity jobs trapInformal employment may absorb surplus labour in developing countries but it can also weaken skills and economic resilience 000
Reposted by Jeff PowellJo Michell @jomichell.bsky.social · 30/09/2026game over, lads www.nber.org/system/files... 3123
Jeff Powell @powelljr.bsky.social · 30/09/2026Revision of ONS figures on hours worked appears to have solved the UK 'productivity puzzle'. Overestimating hours worked means we underestimated productivity. mainlymacro.blogspot.com/2026/09/popu...mainlymacro.blogspot.comPopulist tendencies on the UK left, and the puzzle that never wasDon’t shoot the messager The Treasury Select Committee (TSC) has just published a report on the Office of Budget Responsibility, the ... 010
Jeff Powell @powelljr.bsky.social · 29/09/2026Good to have @swatidhingra.bsky.social pointing to need for supply-side resilience... but missed a trick not to highlight BoE and financial sector role in heightening those very risks, so-called 'double materiality' www.ft.com/content/4aa0...ft.comWithout a resilient economy, central banks have limited choicesResponding to geopolitical or climate-related supply shocks after the fact is never as effective as taking preventive action 000
Jeff Powell @powelljr.bsky.social · 29/09/2026www.ft.com/content/a060...ft.comBreaking a central banking tabooIt turns out that monetary policy affects supply as well as demand 001
Jeff Powell @powelljr.bsky.social · 29/09/2026www.ineteconomics.org/perspectives...ineteconomics.orgThe Impotence of Being Kevin WarshKevin Warsh’s call for fresh thinking at the Fed runs up against a deeper problem. The tools and concepts guiding monetary policy may no longer fit an economy reshaped by AI, shifting prices, and the ... 000
Jeff Powell @powelljr.bsky.social · 28/09/2026www.programmablemutter.com/p/the-acemog...programmablemutter.comThe Acemoglu Wars Are All About AIRegarding that Economist article ... 000
Jeff Powell @powelljr.bsky.social · 28/09/2026AI hyperscalers are transforming debt - www.ft.com/content/00f9... via @FTft.comAI hyperscalers are transforming debtThe sector’s huge capital needs are forcing companies and countries to rethink how they borrow money 100
Jeff Powell @powelljr.bsky.social · 28/09/2026The Bank of England’s balance sheet has already stopped shrinking - www.ft.com/content/1a44... via @FTft.comThe Bank of England’s balance sheet has already stopped shrinkingSo is it QE on the QT? 000
Jeff Powell @powelljr.bsky.social · 25/09/2026How can we tackle AI’s financial risks? - www.ft.com/content/065d... via @FTft.comHow can we tackle AI’s financial risks?Out of public sight, bureaucrats are trying to fight digital fire with fire 011
Jeff Powell @powelljr.bsky.social · 24/09/2026www.ft.com/content/6354...ft.comAre Big Tech bonds crowding out the US Treasury?Probably not 021
Reposted by Jeff PowellSimon Wren-Lewis @sjwrenlewis.bsky.social · 22/09/2026New post: How should the government meet its Golden Rule when debt interest increases? mainlymacro.blogspot.com/2026/09/how-... Why it makes more economic sense to raise taxes rather than cut spending in the first intance.mainlymacro.blogspot.comHow should the government meet its Golden Rule when debt interest increases?As you are almost certainly aware, the government is having to pay much more in interest on its debt than it used to do. Here is a chart b... 1135
Jeff Powell @powelljr.bsky.social · 24/09/2026Missed this. www.ft.com/content/9f57...ft.comDigital euro makes debut in wholesale financial marketsEuropean Central Bank hopes to launch a retail equivalent by 2029 010
Jeff Powell @powelljr.bsky.social · 23/09/2026Does financialization threaten productive development? By Castillo, Dymski, @anninak.bsky.social and Lancheros academic.oup.com/icc/article/...academic.oup.comDoes financialization threaten productive development?Abstract. This paper explores financializaton’s effects on productive development—proxied by the Economic Complexity Index (ECI)—in a panel of 78 countries 010
Jeff Powell @powelljr.bsky.social · 22/09/2026www.ineteconomics.org/research/res...ineteconomics.orgInflation Beyond Borders: A Research AgendaInflation is usually treated as a national problem, to be managed through domestic monetary and fiscal policy. But its striking synchronization across countries suggests another story, one where it is... 000
Jeff Powell @powelljr.bsky.social · 19/09/2026Bank of England follows FTAV advice - www.ft.com/content/46e2... via @FTft.comBank of England follows FTAV adviceAlthough maybe correlation ≠ causation 000
Jeff Powell @powelljr.bsky.social · 18/09/2026www.theguardian.com/inequality/2...theguardian.comGlobal leaders urged to join initiative to fight extreme inequalityMore than 1,500 academics and economists sign letter, calling growing gap between richest and poorest ‘a policy choice that can be reversed’ 000
Jeff Powell @powelljr.bsky.social · 17/09/2026giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/...giftarticle.ft.comNo country for independent central bankersA future of state-directed finance will force change on monetary policymakers 100
Jeff Powell @powelljr.bsky.social · 17/09/2026Seems an appropriate day to highlight the distributional impacts of monetary policy... my piece with Diane Elson in Feminist Economics available open access. Pls share with any individuals or groups that might be interested! www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....tandfonline.comEngendering Monetary PolicyInflation-targeting monetary policy based on the New Keynesian Economic framework has been an obstacle to fiscal stimulus, employment, and growth, reducing public investment in equality supporting ... 000
Jeff Powell @powelljr.bsky.social · 16/09/2026Slave-trade wealth was embedded in Britain’s financial system, research finds www.theguardian.com/uk-news/ng-i...theguardian.comSlave-trade wealth was embedded in Britain’s financial system, research findsDozens of Bank of England directors and founding subscribers invested in trafficking of enslaved Africans 010
Jeff Powell @powelljr.bsky.social · 15/09/2026📢Applications open for PhD scholarships in Economics of Social & Ecological Sustainability at University of Greenwich (part of Economics Pathway within UBEL Doctoral Training Partnership). nb. Pre-registration deadline of 30 Oct www.gre.ac.uk/articles/bus...gre.ac.ukUBEL Economics of Social and Ecological Sustainability | Articles | University of GreenwichA research pathway for those exploring the economics of social and ecological sustainability. 011
Reposted by Jeff PowellProf. Eliot Jacobson @climatecasino.net · 09/09/2026One more totally fucking nuts graph for today, care of a request by @leonsimons.com. Not only is the current standard deviation for the Nino 3.4 sea-surface temperature above 4SD over the 1982-2011 mean for the first time on record, but no previous year even reached 3SD. 21458219
Reposted by Jeff PowellSimon Wren-Lewis @sjwrenlewis.bsky.social · 09/09/2026'days post: Understanding long term interest rates movements over the austerity period and today mainlymacro.blogspot.com/2026/09/unde... We may end up judging the era of cheap borrowing after the GFC, rather than conditions today, as an historical oddity.mainlymacro.blogspot.comUnderstanding long term interest rates movements over the austerity period and todayThe first section explains some basic ideas, and those familiar with arbitrage and the natural real rate of interest can skip to the auste... 0126
Jeff Powell @powelljr.bsky.social · 09/09/2026The new fiscal threats to monetary policy - www.ft.com/content/dda7...ft.comThe new fiscal threats to monetary policyHigh public deficits and debt undermine central banks’ ability to control inflation 011
Reposted by Jeff PowellCléo Chassonnery-Zaïgouche @cleocz.bsky.social · 08/09/2026We are very happy to launch the *Cambridge Elements in History of Economics series* The 1st Element *The Mathematisation of Economics* by Marcel Boumans is freely available online until 18 September! www.cambridge.org/core/publica...cambridge.orgHistory of EconomicsWelcome to Cambridge Core 13520
Jeff Powell @powelljr.bsky.social · 08/09/2026Could the DMO take the BoE’s long gilts off their hands? - www.ft.com/content/b086... via @FTft.comCould the DMO take the BoE’s long gilts off their hands?And should they? 001
Reposted by Jeff PowellEconomicsInTen @economicsinten.bsky.social · 07/09/2026OUT NOW! Our brand new episode on the life and ideas of Henry George. The man who inspired a whole movement after his name & a famous board game. His book 'Progress and Poverty' was so big, only the Bible out-sold it in his time. Learn more here... #EconSky #EduSky podcasts.apple.com/gb/podcast/s...podcasts.apple.comSeason 9 - Episode 3 - Henry GeorgePodcast Episode · Economics In Ten · 7 September · 1hr 24min 294
Jeff Powell @powelljr.bsky.social · 04/09/2026The university degree is losing its lustre - www.ft.com/content/54cf... via @FTft.comThe university degree is losing its lustreTechnological and economic shifts are eroding the graduate premium 000
Jeff Powell @powelljr.bsky.social · 03/09/2026www.ft.com/content/96e8...ft.comHow AI forces us to rethink the economyIt’s not just about winners and losers, but how economies fundamentally function 000
Jeff Powell @powelljr.bsky.social · 03/09/2026What a century of data tells us about today’s corporate bond spreads - www.ft.com/content/0a50... via @FTft.comWhat a century of data tells us about today’s corporate bond spreadsLow spreads were normal. Are they so again? 000
Jeff Powell @powelljr.bsky.social · 02/09/2026www.ineteconomics.org/perspectives...ineteconomics.orgThe Macroeconomic Roots of the Collapse of the Political Center in the USThe collapse of America's political center isn't a mystery. What looks like a sudden political crisis is really the result of an economy that's been quietly abandoning ordinary workers for decades. 000
Jeff Powell @powelljr.bsky.social · 01/09/2026Will financial innovation dethrone the dollar? - www.ft.com/content/1481... via @FTft.comWill financial innovation dethrone the dollar?The evolution of a truly multi-polar currency market depends on governments’ willingness to embrace technology and fortify markets 000
Jeff Powell @powelljr.bsky.social · 31/08/2026Green Energy, AI and Planning jwmason.substack.com/p/green-ener...jwmason.substack.comGreen Energy, AI and Planningby Arjun Jayadev and J. 000
Jeff Powell @powelljr.bsky.social · 27/08/2026Chartbook 470 Treasury v. Fed 2026: Battle Royale or “Epic Fury” in the bond market? adamtooze.substack.com/p/chartbook-...adamtooze.substack.comChartbook 470 Treasury v. Fed 2026: Battle Royale or “Epic Fury” in the bond market?To have the two central agencies of government economic policy not engaged in a coherent division of labour, but pulling in opposite directions, points to a fundamental dissensus at the heart of gover... 021
Jeff Powell @powelljr.bsky.social · 21/08/2026Feminism didn’t kill the male breadwinner model, the economy did - www.ft.com/content/4b7b... via @FTft.comFeminism didn’t kill the male breadwinner model, the economy didYoung non-graduate men face unique setbacks 001
Jeff Powell @powelljr.bsky.social · 05/08/2026www.ft.com/content/4987...ft.comHow to end the cycle of mistrust between the Treasury and everybody elseThe lesson from Manchester is that it takes time for public investment policies to show up in GDP 010
Jeff Powell @powelljr.bsky.social · 05/08/2026www.ft.com/content/0d40...ft.comThe Bank of England gets with the programme on QTFour years on, Threadneedle Street finally agrees with the market 000
Jeff Powell @powelljr.bsky.social · 05/08/2026www.ft.com/content/86db...ft.comThe real message in the yen interventionThe dollar’s status as a reserve currency is not what it used to be 021
Jeff Powell @powelljr.bsky.social · 31/07/2026We’ve moved from income world to wealth world - www.ft.com/content/6a35... via @FTft.comWe’ve moved from income world to wealth worldPassive wealth gains increasingly matter more than earnings for one’s standing in society 000
Jeff Powell @powelljr.bsky.social · 17/07/2026We need humanities more than ever in the age of AI - www.ft.com/content/fbde... via @FTft.comWe need humanities more than ever in the age of AISubjects like literature, languages and history are vital to a thoughtful and prosperous society 000
Jeff Powell @powelljr.bsky.social · 15/07/2026Topsy turvy world where finance professionals are more progressive than most labour MPs... Britain does not need looser fiscal rules. It needs better ones - www.ft.com/content/03f0... via @FTft.comBritain does not need looser fiscal rules. It needs better onesThe budget framework needs to be fixed to reward stewardship rather than neglect 000
Jeff Powell @powelljr.bsky.social · 14/07/2026More on the expectations fairy... 'cuz workers set prices didn't ya know? www.ft.com/content/db0f...ft.comThe Federal Reserve and Bank of England have a trust deficitLoss of faith in central banks could be driving up long-run inflation expectations 000
Jeff Powell @powelljr.bsky.social · 12/07/2026Chart of the Week: UK inflation is not distributed equally - www.ft.com/content/8916... via @FTft.comChart of the Week: UK inflation is not distributed equallyThe poorest pay the most in an energy shock 000
Jeff Powell @powelljr.bsky.social · 10/07/2026Developing countries spend more repaying foreign debt than on education, UN reveals www.theguardian.com/global-devel...theguardian.comDeveloping countries spend more repaying foreign debt than on education, UN revealsUnesco report shows children lost out to servicing debt in 113 countries, with 18 spending five times more on loans 000
Jeff Powell @powelljr.bsky.social · 08/07/2026The great carbon capture con: behold the wasted billions Burnham could claw back | George Monbiot www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...theguardian.comThe great carbon capture con: behold the wasted billions Burnham could claw back | George MonbiotThere are far better ways to tackle climate breakdown, but successive governments have chosen to listen to the fossil fuel companies instead, says Guardian columnist George Monbiot 010
Reposted by Jeff PowellSimon Wren-Lewis @sjwrenlewis.bsky.social · 08/07/2026Y'days post: The UK’s falling debt to GDP fiscal rule is a rule to suppress public investment mainlymacro.blogspot.com/2026/07/the-... Using schemes like PFI to get around the constraint on public investment imposed by the falling debt to GDP rule is just absurd.mainlymacro.blogspot.comThe UK’s falling debt to GDP fiscal rule is a rule to suppress public investmentLet me start by apologising to any regular readers of this blog. None of the arguments in this post are particularly new. But with a new P... 31610
Jeff Powell @powelljr.bsky.social · 08/07/2026Inflation: If they don’t know, now you know? - www.ft.com/content/fa8b... via @FTft.comInflation: If they don’t know, now you know?What fence-sitters can, and can’t, tell us about price increases 000
Jeff Powell @powelljr.bsky.social · 06/07/2026Taking the measure of the UK as a financial service centre - www.ft.com/content/c056... via @FTft.comTaking the measure of the UK as a financial service centreTurning a data-fuelled quantitative international ranking project into a thing about London 000
Jeff Powell @powelljr.bsky.social · 06/07/2026How the Iran crisis undermines the Bank’s QT programme - www.ft.com/content/de19... via @FTft.comHow the Iran crisis undermines the Bank’s QT programmeUnlike the previous crises, this time the Bank carried on selling. It is time for a rethink. 010