Paulo L dos Santos @plbds.bsky.social · 18/09/2026Ponder the laundry list of civilisational failures needed to make this a headline in 2026 AD... 010
Paulo L dos Santos @plbds.bsky.social · 14/09/2026Just published a brief, popular entry sharing some thoughts on statistics, scientism, individualism, and economic analysis. A teaser of a few forthcoming formal pieces... Read it and other recent critical interventions just published by @hetecon.bsky.social #EconSky hetecon.net/2026/09/13/w...hetecon.netWe Need to Start Talking About Statistics: Social Scientism, Individualism, and Paradigmatic Economics and StatisticsPaulo dos Santos discusses how methodological individualism shapes orthodox economics and statistics, and argues for structural, relational and Bayesian approaches better suited to analysing comple… 021
Paulo L dos Santos @plbds.bsky.social · 04/09/2026"There exist numerous treatments of this topic, many of which are very good, and others continue to appear..." That's some passive-aggressive energy I need to channel more often... 000
Paulo L dos Santos @plbds.bsky.social · 04/09/2026de Finetti did a lot of low-key, devastating trolling 000
Paulo L dos Santos @plbds.bsky.social · 02/09/2026Point from my (Bayesian-inflected) Information Theory lecture yesterday: Heteroscedasticity is only a nuisance if you’ve assumed homoscedasticity. In all other cases, it’s informative. #InformationTheory #BadStats 010
Paulo L dos Santos @plbds.bsky.social · 14/08/2026It is remarkable how this hidden gem--in Foreign Policy, no less--has shaped neither the general understanding of the oil shocks of the 1970s nor how most English-speaking scholars think about the construction of the post-Bretton-Woods order. #EconSky Political Economy. 020
Paulo L dos Santos @plbds.bsky.social · 19/07/2026This is so bad I’m wishing Robbie Williams came back on… 000
Paulo L dos Santos @plbds.bsky.social · 11/06/2026If you're worried that Bayesian priors introduce arbitrary elements into statistical analysis, wait until you hear about the choice of null hypotheses, models, and the presumption of "iid" generative processes... 020
Paulo L dos Santos @plbds.bsky.social · 30/04/2026Behold the informed “uninformative” prior! Or is it the “uninformative” informed posterior? 000
Paulo L dos Santos @plbds.bsky.social · 24/04/2026Commodity-fetishist interpretations of Marx’s writings on money have left many either longing for a return to convertibility, or making facile arguments about inconvertibility being the main source of all monetary and financial instability over the last 50 years… 000
Paulo L dos Santos @plbds.bsky.social · 18/04/2026Turns out the cat was not the strangest of Schrödinger’s things 000
Paulo L dos Santos @plbds.bsky.social · 10/04/2026El problema fundamental es que el mundo esta lleno de Susanitas y Manolos que creen ser Mafaldas. 000
Paulo L dos Santos @plbds.bsky.social · 29/03/2026Anybody else out there in an editorial board for an Elsevier journal being asked to sign a contract with the company that stipulates a number of obligations and waivers of rights on the editors and obliges Elsevier to nothing? I'm really not inclined to sign. 010
Paulo L dos Santos @plbds.bsky.social · 25/03/2026For the kids in the back who may have had trouble with the first post.... 000
Paulo L dos Santos @plbds.bsky.social · 24/03/2026The most remarkable feature of economic reality is how neatly it configures itself as homogeneous linear effects of observables on mean outcomes, with all latent heterogeneity and interaction structures reducing themselves to sufficiently well-behaved error terms. 🙄 #EconSky 030
Paulo L dos Santos @plbds.bsky.social · 19/03/2026Marx failed to consider that a man’s deep sense of inadequacy can shape world events. 010
Paulo L dos Santos @plbds.bsky.social · 19/03/2026When I first saw this video years ago I thought it was a funny illustration of differences in culinary cultures. I saw it again earlier today and realised it is a hilarious illustration of fundamentally different ontological takes on the relationship between parts and wholes... #EconSky 030
Paulo L dos Santos @plbds.bsky.social · 18/03/2026CAPITAL GOODS ARE PRODUCTS OF LABOUR, DRAWING ON OUR PHYSICAL ENVIRONMENT! Thank you for coming to my TedTalk 010
Paulo L dos Santos @plbds.bsky.social · 18/03/2026People underestimate how the very title “Production of Commodities by Means of Commodities” is a comprehensive rejection of fundamental Walrasian takes on scarcity, “capital,” and factor incomes. Maybe a subtitle “bruh, capital goods are products of labour” would have helped. #EconSky 142
Paulo L dos Santos @plbds.bsky.social · 10/03/2026With everything else going on, I almost forgot to share the new, relaunched website for the Department of Economics at the NSSR. We are a small department committed to a pluralist, critical, and technically rigorous approach to economic analysis. #EconSky www.newschool.edu/nssr/economi... 040
Paulo L dos Santos @plbds.bsky.social · 09/03/2026Celebrate the 250 years since the publication of Adam Smith's "The Wealth of Nations" with his observation that profits are a deduction from the product of labour, grounded on the fact that workers do not have direct access to the materials of their work. #EconSky 020
Reposted by Paulo L dos SantosGabriel Zaffari @gabzaffari.bsky.social · 06/03/2026No fim das contas, a crise ecológica meio que comprova: estamos num jogo zero; existe um fundo de baixa entropia e a competição é quem consegue usar até a coisa ficar ruim 121
Paulo L dos Santos @plbds.bsky.social · 02/03/2026The Reuters-Ipsos poll showing only one quarter of US respondents supporting attacks on Iran was carried out BEFORE the Trump administration announced the first deaths of US troops. aje.news/ydm2xfaje.newsPoll suggests only a quarter of Americans support attacks on IranUS lawmakers heap pressure on Trump following the first US soldier deaths after Khamenei's killing. 010
Paulo L dos Santos @plbds.bsky.social · 27/02/2026Pretty sure it was not by multiplying the number of highly paid administrators, pilling on real-estate investments, burning money on coaches, or adopting the worst aspects of contemporary corporate management… giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/...giftarticle.ft.comHow China’s universities joined the global eliteInvestment by Beijing has transformed the country’s institutions despite lingering questions about research quality and intellectual freedom 010
Paulo L dos Santos @plbds.bsky.social · 24/02/2026The AI boom appears to be part dotcom bubble, part Theranos hype, and part WorldCom accounting. What could possibly go wrong?? ! #EconSky giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/...giftarticle.ft.comMoody’s alert cites gap in data centre accounting for Big Tech companiesAccounting limitations mean tens of billions in liabilities may be concealed for leasing costs 244
Paulo L dos Santos @plbds.bsky.social · 15/02/2026A nearly perfect day at an upstate second-hand bookstore… #Statistics #MildOCD 020
Paulo L dos Santos @plbds.bsky.social · 11/02/2026Conflate money value added per hour with labour productivity, include sectors whose “value added” involves what is better understood as transfers, and teach it for long enough to make it all seem normal, and you get this kind of assessment…#EconSky 020
Paulo L dos Santos @plbds.bsky.social · 08/02/2026The closing phrase about a 5yo citizen is so disturbing and telling. We’re well and truly in an environment where the words spoken by regime supporters don’t have to make logical sense. They just need to invoke the desired sense of “us versus them” to be effective. 000
Reposted by Paulo L dos SantosMarisa Kabas @marisakabas.bsky.social · 08/02/2026A desperate plea sent to me by a Minneapolis resident who's been on the front lines since the beginning of the ICE occupation: 150148328316
Reposted by Paulo L dos SantosMatt Negrin still host of Hardball on MSNBC @mattnegrin.bsky.social · 08/02/2026The media moved on when trump said he had a new tone because as the constitution states the president is the editor in chief of all news outlets 222856817
Reposted by Paulo L dos SantosSteven Pressman @stevenpressman.bsky.social · 07/02/2026@publicseminar.bsky.social @elizabethcooper.bsky.social @plbds.bsky.social @avgevork.bsky.social My latest @washspectator.bsky.social piece-- on Trump's tariff/trade policy. Enjoy! washingtonspectator.org/tariff-man-t...washingtonspectator.orgTariff Man Tumbles, Fumbles and Bumbles on Trade | Washington SpectatorWhen it comes to economics, we know two things about Donald Trump. He is obsessed with the US trade deficit. And he thinks tariffs, or import taxes, will solve the trade deficit problem. 032
Reposted by Paulo L dos SantosMatt Steinglass @mattsteinglass.bsky.social · 28/01/2026Jew in Amsterdam here. Please use Anne Frank as a comparison point to explain how state persecution of scapegoats impacts children, that is the point of her example, thanks 9385132217
Reposted by Paulo L dos SantosThe BMJ @bmj.com · 27/01/2026ICE agents are using an app developed by Palantir that draws on the health records of millions of Americans to find and detain illegal immigrants www.bmj.com/content/392/... 75347
Paulo L dos Santos @plbds.bsky.social · 26/01/2026People need to listen closely and take stock of what is being said here. This federal official is commanding 22,000 heavily armed men across the country. 010
Paulo L dos Santos @plbds.bsky.social · 26/01/2026A car crash is a tragedy, Mr. President. Brownshirts terrorizing immigrants, citizens of certain ethnicities, and now openly executing people in broad daylight is rising fascism. You used to defend this kind of prevarication on electoral grounds. What’s the excuse now? 000
Reposted by Paulo L dos SantosBrian Tyler Cohen @briantylercohen.bsky.social · 26/01/2026Target in Minneapolis has pulled Hispanic employees off of pick-up order duty after ICE arrested two US citizen Hispanic employees while on the job. “I’m literally a U.S. citizen!” one shouted as they escorted him into a van. 675103843710
Reposted by Paulo L dos SantosPrem Thakker ツ @premthakker.bsky.social · 25/01/2026An insane, perfect encapsulation of it all: The same day Trump’s agents kill a Veterans Affairs ICU nurse in broad daylight, the CEOs of Apple and Amazon join Trump to watch a private screening of a film about his wife directed by an alleged sexual abuser who was seen shirtless in the Epstein Files 26362612275
Paulo L dos Santos @plbds.bsky.social · 25/01/2026This was between the first and second shot, of a total of ten fired. 030
Reposted by Paulo L dos Santosdell cameron @dell.bsky.social · 24/01/2026the nyt style section vs. der spiegel 4143391196
Reposted by Paulo L dos SantosCJ Fogler @cjzero.bsky.social · 24/01/2026The whole interview is worth it 6055952006
Reposted by Paulo L dos SantosAaron Rupar @atrupar.com · 24/01/2026Minneapolis protester as he's being brutalized by feds: "You're gonna have to kill me! You're gonna have to kill me! I've done nothing wrong! My name is Matthew James! I'm a US citizen! You're gonna kill me! Is that what you want?" (You can hear his wife screaming) 17403079214342
Paulo L dos Santos @plbds.bsky.social · 20/01/2026A candid moment by Carney on the fiction of the US-led "rules-based order," the calculations behind its historical acceptance, & their breakdown under the Trump administration. You cannot accept economic integration "when integration becomes the source of your subordination." 060
Reposted by Paulo L dos SantosThe Associated Press @apnews.com · 20/01/2026Federal immigration agents forced open a door and detained a U.S. citizen in his Minnesota home at gunpoint without a warrant, then led him out onto the streets in his underwear in subfreezing conditions, according to his family and videos reviewed by The Associated Press.bit.lyUS citizen says ICE removed him from his Minnesota home in his underwear after warrantless searchFederal immigration agents have detained a U.S. citizen in Minnesota at gunpoint without a warrant. That's according to ChongLy “Scott” Thao, who says agents forced open his door, entered with guns drawn and led him outside in his underwear in freezing conditions. 31261633223
Paulo L dos Santos @plbds.bsky.social · 20/01/2026In other news, Pope seen in local woods giving communion to defecating bear. www.wsj.com/economy/trad...wsj.comAmericans Are the Ones Paying for Tariffs, Study FindsNew research contradicts President Trump’s claim that foreigners are footing the bill. 010
Reposted by Paulo L dos SantosEric Umansky @ericumansky.bsky.social · 18/01/2026The Trump admin is moving to quickly deport two men who witnessed, they say, ICE guards choke a fellow detainee to death. The admin moved to deport men right after they spoke the Washington Post. This is the death that the medical examiner has already ruled likely homicide. wapo.st/4qR1T1Uwapo.stDHS seeking to deport two men who said fellow ICE detainee was killedThe two men’s eyewitness accounts of the Jan. 3 death of Geraldo Lunas Campos at a Texas detention camp differ from the Department of Homeland Security’s account of the incident. 5638502104
Paulo L dos Santos @plbds.bsky.social · 15/01/2026Samir Amin, more than half a century ago… #EconSky #PolEcon 040
Reposted by Paulo L dos SantosJacob T. Levy @jacobtlevy.bsky.social · 15/01/2026Cripes a’mighty people, Steven Miller is not staging a militarized ethnic cleansing and sending the border cops to murder people in the street to distract from the Epstein files. He’s doing it because he and Trump (and Vance and Homan and Noem etc) really really want to. 181102942310