iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Peter Licari @peterlicari.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

Wend out here today baiting the stats folks on LI (and I fell for it).

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Peter Licari @peterlicari.bsky.social · 29/09/2026

"Why do Millennials have such high cynicism and low trust?" May I submit as exhibit A:

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Peter Licari @peterlicari.bsky.social · 26/09/2026

Terrible. People should instead be stuffing json strings into cells as God intended.

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Peter Licari @peterlicari.bsky.social · 24/09/2026

*and it all cleaned up. Oof Probably shouldn't be doing any of this before my first cup of coffee.

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Peter Licari @peterlicari.bsky.social · 24/09/2026

Thanks for asking and trying to help! Forced R to take a nap in it all cleaned up, just thought it was too funny not to share. I was in a cloud folder; I suspect that's the source of the hiccup.

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Peter Licari @peterlicari.bsky.social · 24/09/2026

Interesting that it's going down for democrats as well! I'd expect that they'd be pushing hard about Trump given the (for-them) favorable electoral climate. Is there also a decline in the number of emails sent, or is the proportion mentioning Trump going down as well?

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Peter Licari @peterlicari.bsky.social · 23/09/2026

Ask and ye shall receive. Data will probably be OOF by next Friday.

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Peter Licari @peterlicari.bsky.social · 12/09/2026

Love how it's holding the cotton candy with the force or something

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Reposted by Peter Licari

The Great Pumpkin Papers 🎃🎃🎃 @professormusgrave.bsky.social · 08/09/2026

Had some fun trying to think about how to dramatize voters' choices in the 2024 election, so I pulled CES data and let you guess how respondents (validated voters) actually voted (or said they did) in 2024. profmusgrave.github.io/votergame2024/

profmusgrave.github.io

Who did I vote for?

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Peter Licari @peterlicari.bsky.social · 08/09/2026

I DEMAND MORE IDEOLOGICAL CONSISTENCY FROM THE AMERICAN VOTER, DAMN IT!

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Peter Licari @peterlicari.bsky.social · 08/09/2026

Who did I vote for? I earned 13,728 points over 20 voters on medium mode (avg 686). Model 739, base rate 719. profmusgrave.github.io/votergame2024/ @professormusgrave.bsky.social I got literally 6 "this surprised the model too" answers, this is unfair man 😭😭😭

profmusgrave.github.io

Who did I vote for?

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Peter Licari @peterlicari.bsky.social · 06/09/2026

Paging @dannagal.bsky.social for example 14 million of ideologically motivated (mis)interpretation of satire.

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Peter Licari @peterlicari.bsky.social · 06/09/2026

We live in the stupidest timeline.

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Peter Licari @peterlicari.bsky.social · 05/09/2026

FFS, that works but we can't have: x < y < z ?!

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Peter Licari @peterlicari.bsky.social · 04/09/2026

I will not be at APSA, but I'll still be dressing up badly while wearing a backpack purely for the love of the game.

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Reposted by Peter Licari

JLRay @jlray.bsky.social · 31/08/2026

Every time I post survey data on here many of the replies are something to the effect of "I can't imagine how anyone could support..." and folks I'm sorry, the guy's been winning elections for ten years, if you have absolutely zero idea how that's been happening, that isn't a brag

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Peter Licari @peterlicari.bsky.social · 28/08/2026

I initially thought that you'd be right with Taylor Swift, but it looks like it's been more popular for newborn girls post 1990 or so! It's probably "gender neutral" in terms of the names of US adults at this point, though---or at least more so.

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Peter Licari @peterlicari.bsky.social · 28/08/2026

Look, I don't control what things my brain wants to investigate: I'm just along for the ride. I was curious about how gender neutral names evolved to be "neutral" (here 45-55% male). So I plotted the histories of the top 20 gender neutral names from 2019-2023. #databs

A grid of 20 line graphs showing historical percentage trends of male births for the top gender-neutral US names (2019–2023), titled "Most gender neutral names of kids born between 2019 and 2023 in the US started as names for boys rather than girls."

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Peter Licari @peterlicari.bsky.social · 27/08/2026

God being on this side of thirty sucks sometimes; how is it possible to SLEEP wrong?!

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Peter Licari @peterlicari.bsky.social · 24/08/2026

Poppy seems to be fitting in quite well.

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Peter Licari @peterlicari.bsky.social · 23/08/2026

We have a new member of the family! Meet Poppy!

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Reposted by Peter Licari

Jon Green @jongreen.bsky.social · 17/08/2026

"Thank you for your understanding." No, no I do not understand. This was a shitty thing to do!

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Reposted by Peter Licari

Kevin Riggle @kevinr.free-dissociation.com · 14/08/2026

988 in the US or the Trevor Project at 1-866-488-7386

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Reposted by Peter Licari

Brendan Nyhan @brendannyhan.bsky.social · 20/07/2026

In a free country, failing to comply with law enforcement does not give the state license to murder you

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Reposted by Peter Licari

The Great Pumpkin Papers 🎃🎃🎃 @professormusgrave.bsky.social · 18/07/2026

Greek soldiers rampage out of large walled horse WHY IT MATTERS: the towers of Ilium have been toppled ZOOM IN: this is great news for MENELAUS, bad news for PRIAM SPLIT SCREEN: Cassandra vindicated but it’s Odysseus who gets the win

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Reposted by Peter Licari

Laura K. Nelson @lauraknelson.bsky.social · 17/07/2026

I'm once again begging everyone to update their priors. "ChatGPT is not a search engine." Yes, yes it is. It actively searches the web based on your prompt, and returns active links relevant to your search/prompt. It's a search engine. It is. (Obvs don't use it that way if that's not your thing)

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Peter Licari @peterlicari.bsky.social · 18/07/2026

(Joke aside, I am actually unreasonably excited. I want there to be more professional dialogue between social scientists in academia and those in the private sector. It may not be an article on anything I've done since I've graduated, but I'm glad to contribute to that dialogue in some small way.)

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Peter Licari @peterlicari.bsky.social · 18/07/2026

Me: "Sometimes, I miss being in academia." Monkey paw: *curls finger* My email: "We invite you to review..."

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Peter Licari @peterlicari.bsky.social · 12/07/2026

Daughter seeing me putting up paintings: "Can I help measure?" Me: "I'm already done measuring but you can help me with a bit of the math to make things balanced." Daughter: "Hm, no. I just want to measure, not do math." Ghost of Kolmogorov: "Good luck with that."

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Peter Licari @peterlicari.bsky.social · 11/07/2026

From my individual experience (take it as an n of 1): 1) Execs want us to produce more and/or faster but mgmnt understands limits. 2) We basically become hybrids of A&B and/or internal consultants for folks who try to use AI responsibly 3) Approval for tooling is slow, so we're basically in 2023

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Peter Licari @peterlicari.bsky.social · 07/07/2026

We've all heard of Wordle. But how about Poople? You get a start word and your goal is to try and make it, one letter at a time, to POOP. I was introduced by some friends. And in typical Peter fashion, I wondered if I could make a solver. www.peterlicari.com/posts/solvin...

peterlicari.com

Solving Poople Using Python – Peter Licari

A serious-ish post about solving a silly word game

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Peter Licari @peterlicari.bsky.social · 05/07/2026

God, partisanship is one helluva drug.

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Peter Licari @peterlicari.bsky.social · 28/06/2026

You've taken back your last Sunday

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Peter Licari @peterlicari.bsky.social · 21/06/2026

What I would give for enough room for 2 ovens, a big sink, and counter space/storage for all current and aspirational cooking equipment.

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Reposted by Peter Licari

Arrianna Marie Planey, PhD MA @arrianna-planey.bsky.social · 15/06/2026

Identification strategies based on spatially allocated resources / outcomes usually aren't actually isolating random or chance patterns. Very little is actually random when it comes to the spatial distribution of goods / services / people / outcomes.

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Peter Licari @peterlicari.bsky.social · 12/06/2026

Somehow still fails to kill kudzu.

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Peter Licari @peterlicari.bsky.social · 11/06/2026

Think of how many children we could have fed instead.

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Peter Licari @peterlicari.bsky.social · 11/06/2026

There's huge variety of voting procedures in the US, owing to the little-f federal approach to it. Some states allow mail-in ballots so long as they're postmarked by the correct date. States allow folks to "cure" contested mail ballots. Some require hand (re)counts if the margins are close enough.

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Peter Licari @peterlicari.bsky.social · 09/06/2026

Yes---because I don't think AT&T coverage causes lower birth rates per se. Counties with higher coverage in 2007 likely differ on important factors that are, themselves, closer to the root cause of the decline. The *association*, I suspect is real, but I'm betting it's spurious.

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Peter Licari @peterlicari.bsky.social · 08/06/2026

It makes some sense, but the number of dimensions has to be far, far larger than 2---evidence for which (to your first point) is slim (for 2) to none (for 2+). The existenc of horseshoe voters is, IMHO, much more easily explained by Converse. (Someone got the meme handy?)

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