A detailed daily look at some of the most interesting weather and climate prediction markets at ForecastEx and elsewhere.

Prediction markets genuinely improve forecasts, even in a highly scientific and mature field such as weather forecasting.

Interactive Brokers’ ForecastEx platform, which allows investors to buy ‘yes’ or ‘no’ contracts based on stated outcomes for specific indicators, is

Prediction markets can quantify sentiment on the possibility of a major ocean current collapsing due to climate change.

The range of plausible next-day temperature outcomes can translate into millions of dollars in differences in energy expenditure.

A guide for participants and observers of daily temperature forecast markets at ForecastEx.

Prediction markets can tell us whether pledges coming out of the climate negotiations are likely to make a substantive difference.

Distinguishing between science and political opinions masquerading as science

Exploring climate change’s impact on global agriculture and food security.

It’s the typical peak of the Atlantic Hurricane season, but the basin remains calm, and that’s tipping the prediction markets.

YouTube video by SRM360

The southern US, the Caribbean, and Bermuda are keeping their eyes on Hurricane Erin. As the E in Erin suggests, it is the 5th named storm of the Atlantic hurricane season and is the first hurricane.

A warming climate has made it more challenging to deal with wildfires by extending the number of days they can occur and leading to faster-growing larger fires that can have major impacts on air quali...

By Patrick T.

“Climate whiplash” appears to be a larger advance in climate science marketing than in climate science.

YouTube video by Patrick Brown

Contrary to being a liability for adapting to and eventually solving climate change, economic productivity undergirded by private property, markets, and prices - is our primary asset.

The Breakthrough Institute is an environmental research center based in Berkeley, California. Our research focuses on identifying and promoting technological solutions to environmental and human devel...