Sign in

Orlane Jadeau

@ojadeau.bsky.social
178 followers 1.2K following 0 posts

PhD candidate at uniNeuchatel: #migration, #bureaucratic discrimination, #welfare policies. Former #humanitarian #research at REACH Initiatives. View are my own.

PostsRepliesMedia
Reposted by Orlane Jadeau
Mathilde Larrère @mathildelarrere.bsky.social · 21/02/2025
regardez ce ciné tract des étudiants et étudiantes de Poitiers en grève et occupation, contre les désastreuses coupes dans l'enseignement supérieur et la recherche www.youtube.com/watch?v=ICWg...
youtube.com
Cinétract #002 : Mobilisons nous ! - Ciné Luttes Poitiers - 14/02/2025
YouTube video by Ciné Luttes
18239
Reposted by Orlane Jadeau
Maurits Meijers @mauritsmeijers.bsky.social · 07/02/2025
Parties often change their policy positions, but what do citizens actually think about party policy change? In our new EJPRjournal article, @rdassonneville.bsky.social and I study party policy change acceptance among citizens in 5 countries (🇩🇪🇳🇱🇵🇱🇪🇸🇬🇧) ejpr.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/... 1/n
ejpr.onlinelibrary.wiley.com
Who accepts party policy change? The individual‐level drivers of attitudes towards party repositioning
Experimental research has shown that political parties often, but not always, suffer reputational costs when they change their policy positions. Yet, it is not clear who accepts and who rejects party....
1308
Reposted by Orlane Jadeau
Andrew Heiss @andrew.heiss.phd · 30/12/2024
Writing a new paper + accompanying mini Quarto book with basic overview of conjoint experiments across polisci and marketing + #rstats code, and it's pretty neat so far—hopefully it'll be useful to the broader world!
Interdisciplinary guide to conjoint analysis

Introduction
1  Overview
Dealing with data
2  Process, clean, and reshape data
Estimands
3  Causal effects: marginal means (MMs) and average marginal component effects (AMCEs)
4  Preferences: Utilities, predictions, and simulations
Causal effects
5  MMs and AMCEs with OLS
6  MMs and AMCEs with frequentist multinomial regression
7  MMs and AMCEs with Bayesian multinomial logistic regression
Preferences
8  Utilities and predictions with frequentist multinomial regression
9  Utilities and predictions with Bayesian multinomial regression
3643
Reposted by Orlane Jadeau
West European Politics @wepsocial.bsky.social · 15/01/2025
Online first: "A class of their own: parliamentarians are less likely to be perceived as working class" by @danjdevine.bsky.social @turnbulldugarte.com & Matt Ryan doi.org/10.1080/0140... #polisky
Abstract of the article "A class of their own: parliamentarians are less likely to be perceived as working class" by Daniel Devine, Stuart J. Turnbull-Dugarte and Matt Ryan. Published online first in West European Politics.Figure 1, showing the marginal means of working-class classification.Figure 3, showing the marginal means of social class.Figure 4, showing the marginal means of working class for MP profiles only.
0125
Reposted by Orlane Jadeau
Vincent Arel-Bundock @vincentab.bsky.social · 01/02/2025
I just posted a new notebook: Causal Inference with the 𝚖𝚊𝚛𝚐𝚒𝚗𝚊𝚕𝚎𝚏𝚏𝚎𝚌𝚝𝚜 📦 for #Rstats. It introduces the idea of G-Computation and tries to demystify the differences between ATE, ATT, and ATU. This is a first draft and I would looove any feedback! marginaleffects.com/chapters/gco...
marginaleffects.com
8  Causal inference with G-computation – Model to Meaning
1725445
Reposted by Orlane Jadeau
Louis Witter @louiswitter.com · 03/01/2025
À Mayotte, le préfet vient de prendre un arrêté "restreignant la vente de tôles aux particuliers sur présentation d'un justificatif d'identité et d'un justificatif de domicile ". La classe, la grande grande classe. www.francetvinfo.fr/meteo/cyclon...
francetvinfo.fr
Bidonvilles à Mayotte : le préfet prend un arrêté pour restreindre la vente de tôles bac acier
Le Premier ministre avait promis de prendre des mesures pour empêcher la reconstruction des bidonvilles à Mayotte, après le passage du cyclone Chido.
44712509
Reposted by Orlane Jadeau
Claire Adida @claireadida.bsky.social · 18/12/2024
Empathic concern vs. Perspective-taking have opposite effects on affective polarization. @jepsjournal.bsky.social
cambridge.org
Empathic Concern and Perspective-Taking Have Opposite Effects on Affective Polarization | Journal of Experimental Political Science | Cambridge Core
Empathic Concern and Perspective-Taking Have Opposite Effects on Affective Polarization
183
Reposted by Orlane Jadeau
Nassira El Moaddem @nassiraelmoaddem.bsky.social · 16/12/2024
À #Mamoudzou, chef-lieu de Mayotte, le quartier informel de Kaweni, "rasé de la carte, pulvérisé" écrit Le Monde. "Le plus grand bidonville de France a disparu avec ses habitants". Sur 20 000 habitants estimés, seuls 5 000 ont rejoint les abris de la préfecture avant le cyclone
12178128
Reposted by Orlane Jadeau
Mathilde Larrère @mathildelarrere.bsky.social · 13/12/2024
Présentation aujourd’hui en séminaire de Catégoriser, lexique de la construction sociale des différences, sous la direction de Marlène Bouvet, Florent Chossière, Marine Duc et Estelle Fisson
25810
Reposted by Orlane Jadeau
John Holbein @johnholbein1.bsky.social · 09/12/2024
What happened to male soliders' performance when women were integrated into combat units in the U.S.? Nothing. But what happened to male soliders' *perception* of workplace quality when women were integrated into combat units? Men started *thinking* that workplace quality had declined.
23816
Reposted by Orlane Jadeau
American Political Science Review @apsrjournal.bsky.social · 04/12/2024
Just published on APSR First View: "The Free Movement of People and the Success of Far-Right Parties: Evidence from Switzerland’s Border Liberalization" by Ala Alrababah, Andreas Beerli, Dominik Hangartner, and Dalston Ward. www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
47834
Reposted by Orlane Jadeau
Mathilde Larrère @mathildelarrere.bsky.social · 29/11/2024
C'est absolument la catastrophe dans les universités je vous explique (rapidement) la loi de programmation budgétaire mise au vote la semaine prochaine prévoit un transfert de charges de l'Etat vers les universités
media.tenor.com
a close up of a red light that says alert
ALT: a close up of a red light that says alert
11603436
Reposted by Orlane Jadeau
Collectif Nos Services Publics @nosservicespublics.bsky.social · 11/04/2024
Aujourd’hui plus de 60% des enseignants à l’université sont des vacataires payé.es moins que le smic horaire quand on comptabilise les préparations et corrections. Thread ⬇️ @juliengossa.cpesr.fr @brigpourquoi.bsky.social @herpsonc.cpesr.fr
Infographie : baisse du budget de l'université 22%, 64% des enseignant.es à l'université sont des vacataires payé.es moins que le SMIC
11011
Reposted by Orlane Jadeau
Griffiths Computational Cognitive Science Lab @cocoscilab.bsky.social · 18/11/2024
(1/5) Very excited to announce the publication of Bayesian Models of Cognition: Reverse Engineering the Mind. More than a decade in the making, it's a big (600+ pages) beautiful book covering both the basics and recent work: mitpress.mit.edu/978026204941...
14521120
Reposted by Orlane Jadeau
Rahel Freiburghaus @rfrbrghs.bsky.social · 18/11/2024
To celebrate the publication of our HANDBOOK OF COMPARATIVE POLITICAL INSTITUTIONS and our awesome contributors, I’m kicking off a pre-holiday challenge: every day, I’ll share a short intro to one of its chapters. This is also an opportunity to connect with new colleagues, so please feel free to 📌!
912139
Reposted by Orlane Jadeau
Mathilde Saliou @mathildesaliou.com · 18/11/2024
Parcoursup et Mon master dans l’éducation, Foncier Innovant du côté de l’administration fiscale, algorithmes utilisés par la CAF pour détecter les indus… Next a discuté avec les créatrices de l'Observatoire des algorithmes publics : next.ink/158286/inter... #tech #ia
next.ink
[Interview] Efficacité, coût des algorithmes publics : les administrations manquent de transparence - Next
Avec l’Observatoire des algorithmes de services publics, des expertes du sujet cherchent à mieux comprendre comment l’administration s’empare de l’IA et à ouvrir le débat sur l’usage de ces technologi...
023
Reposted by Orlane Jadeau
Daniel Sharp @deeesharp.bsky.social · 12/11/2024
📌 academic.oup.com/ser/article-...
academic.oup.com
The paradox of inequality: income inequality and belief in meritocracy go hand in hand
Abstract. Inequality is on the rise: gains have been concentrated with a small elite, while most have seen their fortunes stagnate or fall. Despite what sc
111
Reposted by Orlane Jadeau
Daniel Sharp @deeesharp.bsky.social · 12/11/2024
Cool looking article www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
Migration communication campaigns: towards a research agenda and open database
Every year, government agencies, international organisations, and civil society associations produce public communications campaigns designed to inform, persuade, and motivate behaviour regarding n...
042
Reposted by Orlane Jadeau
Toni Rodon @tonirodon.bsky.social · 12/11/2024
When politicians' motivation is framed in line with feminine traits—as a public service rather than a struggle for power—women consider themselves just as capable as men of participating in politics link.springer.com/article/10.1...
link.springer.com
Closing the Gender Gap in Internal Political Efficacy? Gender Roles and the Masculine Ethos of Politics in Spain - Political Behavior
Given women’s gains in employment, education, and economic status, the persistent gender gap in internal political efficacy remains a puzzle for social scientists. We go beyond standard socioeconomic ...
062
Reposted by Orlane Jadeau
Aleksander Molak @handle.invalid · 12/11/2024
👇🏼
021
Reposted by Orlane Jadeau
Martin Wattenberg @wattenberg.bsky.social · 12/11/2024
Visualize infinite series! Here's a page I made a few years ago, letting you play with convergence and divergence. www.bewitched.com/demo/taylor/...
bewitched.com
Visual Taylor Series
Visualizations of Taylor Series, based on diagrams from Amie Wilkinson
45413
Reposted by Orlane Jadeau
JJ @jjodx.eurosky.social · 12/11/2024
A lot of overlap with the ten common statistical mistakes that we discussed here (less emphasis on clinical trials): elifesciences.org/articles/48175
elifesciences.org
Science Forum: Ten common statistical mistakes to watch out for when writing or reviewing a manuscript
What can authors and reviewers do to keep common statistical mistakes out of the literature?
22511
Reposted by Orlane Jadeau
Carl T. Bergstrom @carlbergstrom.com · 09/11/2024
Tonight's reading is from Jon Kleinberg and Manish Raghavan. Elegant mathematical modeling to look at what happens when two decision-makers use the same more accurate algorithm instead of different less-accurate ones. tl;dr — surprisingly, almost paradoxically, bad things.
pnas.org
Algorithmic monoculture and social welfare | PNAS
As algorithms are increasingly applied to screen applicants for high-stakes decisions in employment, lending, and other domains, concerns have been...
513945
Reposted by Orlane Jadeau
Andrew Heiss @andrew.heiss.phd · 31/10/2024
Another post from the blog archive: a guide to the differences between Bayesian posterior predictions, linear predictions, and the expectation of posterior predictions (epreds) with #rstats and Stan/{brms}. Includes neat downloadable cheatsheet PDFs! www.andrewheiss.com/blog/2022/09...
Annotated set of equations for a regular old Gaussian/normal Bayesian modelAnnotated set of equations for a binomial/logistic Bayesian modelSet of plots showing the densities and predicted values for the linear predictor, epred, and posterior prediction for a regular Gausssian modelSet of plots showing the densities and predicted values for the linear predictor, epred, and posterior prediction for a logistic regression model
28723
Reposted by Orlane Jadeau
Andrew Heiss @andrew.heiss.phd · 29/10/2024
With #rstats re-gathering I’m reposting some of my past blog posts, including my most popular one: "Marginalia" Have you wondered what marginal and conditional effects are? Have you been confused how "marginal" can mean both an integral *and* a slope? Read on for the magic of {marginaleffects}!
andrewheiss.com
Marginalia: A guide to figuring out what the heck marginal effects, marginal slopes, average marginal effects, marginal effects at the mean, and all these other marginal things are | Andrew Heiss
Define what marginal effects even are, and then explore the subtle differences between average marginal effects, marginal effects at the mean, and marginal effects at representative values with the ma...
517959