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oakleif33.bsky.social

@oakleif33.bsky.social
251 followers 259 following 110 posts

Californian. Cat lover. Reader. Water geek.

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Steve Rattner @steverattner.bsky.social · 5h
Real wages are shrinking year-over-year for the sixth month in a row. The Iran War brought an end to three years of real wage growth.
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John Scalzi @scalzi.com · 6h
The acid test for me is a simple one: Has my professional and/or creative life benefited in any material way from "AI," and very specifically generative "AI"? No, it hasn't. Has it been negatively impacted by the same? Yup, in a whole bunch of ways. My professional life is worse now for it.
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Daniel Swain @weatherwest.bsky.social · 20h
In case you missed it live earlier, my "big October El Niño update" was recorded and is now available. This was a bit of a marathon session, but I covered a lot of ground and answered quite a few excellent viewer questions submitted via live chat! Check it out.
youtu.be
The big October El Niño update: Status check on El Niño, still expected to become historic,& impacts
The latest in a recurring series of live, virtual, & interactive #weather and #climate-focused "office hours" hosted by Dr. Daniel Swain. 10/13/2026 topics: This will be the long-promised "big October El Niño update." I'll offer a comprehensive overview of current conditions, forecasts, and observat
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jamelle @jamellebouie.net · 20h
that’s right
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PBS News @pbsnews.org · 22h
In Nevada, where 80% of the land is owned by the federal government, data centers have become a dominant issue in the battleground state's closely watched governor's race. to.pbs.org/4s54WW0
to.pbs.org
AI data centers are coming for federal land and roiling Nevada governor's race
The data center issue has dominated the competitive governor’s race in Nevada, where 80% of the land is owned by the federal government.
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California Geological Survey @cageosurvey.bsky.social · 22h
The World’s Largest Earthquake Drill will happen on October 15 at 10:15 am! More than 10.5 million Californian’s have already registered to participate and practice the recommended earthquake safety action – DROP, COVER, AND HOLD ON.
Graphic showing how to drop, cover, and hold in or lock, cover and hold on (for those that use a walker or wheelchair).
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Robert Reich @rbreich.bsky.social · 22h
It’s bad enough that Gavin Newsom opposes California’s Prop 40. But he also supports Prop 42, a billionaire-backed poison pill that would cancel out Prop 40 entirely and make it impossible to enact future wealth taxes. It’s clear whose side he’s on. Remember this in 2028.
commondreams.org
Newsom Endorses Ballot Measure That Would Cancel Out Billionaire Tax—and Ban Future Wealth Taxes | Common Dreams
"He’d rather millions of children and families lose their healthcare than ask a couple hundred billionaires to finally p
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Pew Research Center @pewresearch.org · 23h
Three-in-ten Americans now say they approve of Trump’s handling of his job as president, while 68% disapprove. Much of this decline is among Trump’s own 2024 voters: 67% of validated Trump 2024 voters approve of his job performance today, while 31% disapprove.
Chart showing Trump’s approval rating drops to 30% – on par with his rating prior to leaving office in January 2021.
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Steve Rattner @steverattner.bsky.social · 12/10/2026
The Iran War is costing Americans $2,000 per household according to analysis by Moody's Analytics and Brown University.
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Yale Climate Connections @climateconnections.bsky.social · 12/10/2026
A 5% increase in hurricane winds yields about a 50% increase in damage: Hurricane damage increases exponentially with an increase in wind speed. yaleclimateconnections.org/2026/10/how-...
yaleclimateconnections.org
How climate change worsened Hurricane Isaias » Yale Climate Connections
Climate Central says climate-warmed Gulf waters made Isaias’s winds 7 mph stronger than they otherwise would have been. This would result in over a doubling of the hurricane’s damages, because of the exponential rise in damage with winds.
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Don Moynihan @donmoyn.bsky.social · 12/10/2026
A big finding from public management research is that stability improves performance. *The IRS had 7 commissioners in 2025, but has not had a commissioner in 212 days. *Its lost 2500 IT staff. *Look at the scale of turnover in key leadership positions. donmoynihan.substack.com/p/things-rea...
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Don Moynihan @donmoyn.bsky.social · 12/10/2026
How to track the effects of Trump's mismanagement? Look at a) emergencies and b) big, public-facing agencies. New at Can We Still Govern? @vanessawilliamson.bsky.social & Ellis Chen break down the data of the mess at IRS. 🧵 donmoynihan.substack.com/p/things-rea...
donmoynihan.substack.com
Things Really Are Getting Worse at IRS
Data show damage to service quality and taxpayer privacy in a more politicized agency
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Cheryl in Nova Scotia 🇨🇦🍁🍁 @minibubbly.bsky.social · 11/10/2026
Maple, Canada’s only pygmy hippo calf, is now approximately 9 butter tarts long 🤭🍁 #Tidbit
Maple, Canada’s only pygmy hippo calf, is now approximately 9 butter tarts long 🤭🍁
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Josh Turek @joshturek4iowa.bsky.social · 11/10/2026
When you’re traveling across all 99 counties in Iowa, your wheels wear down fast. That’s why I swung by Ichi Bike shop in Des Moines to get a fresh set of tires so we can finish this race strong!
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The New York Times @nytimes.com · 11/10/2026
The Pentagon has again quietly raised the number of U.S. casualties during operations related to the Iran war. The military now is reporting that 21 U.S. service members have been killed, up from 18, and 865 have been wounded, up by 98 since August.
nyti.ms
Pentagon Again Increases Number of U.S. Casualties in Iran War
In an unannounced change, the Defense Department is now acknowledging troops who died or were wounded in support roles.
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ProPublica @propublica.org · 12/10/2026
As the Trump administration has relentlessly pursued immigrants, federal agents have run roughshod over the constitutional rights of U.S. citizens. We’re showing you every incident we’ve confirmed — along with the receipts: propub.li/3TBuddL
500+ U.S. citizens detained since the start of the second Trump administration. 100+ U.S. citizens held after agents questioned their citizenship. Nearly all of them were people of color. At least 70 American children and teens detained, some of whom were handcuffed. 36 U.S. citizens held for at least a day without being able to contact a lawyer or family.
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Climatologist49 @climatologist49.bsky.social · 11/10/2026
First 1/3 of October. Seems warm.
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Anthony Edwards @edwardsanthonyb.bsky.social · 11/10/2026
A possible explanation was the interval between waves. On Friday, waves in Long Beach were separated by 20+ seconds, but on Sunday that period had decreased to 15sec. According to @scrippsocean.bsky.social, “short-period wave components lose their energy more readily than long-period components.”
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Anthony Edwards @edwardsanthonyb.bsky.social · 11/10/2026
As of 11 a.m. Sunday, the SoCal coast appeared to avoid the major flooding that was feared. Water levels were about 5 inches below the potentially record-breaking high tides that were warned. Waves were getting larger in the late morning, but did not seem to be as dramatic as Friday’s swell.
sfchronicle.com
Rachel spares Southern California major flooding as tides fall short of forecast
Rainfall totals approached 5 inches in mountainous parts of San Diego County after Post-Tropical Storm Rachel made landfall in northern Mexico on Saturday night.
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Americans for Tax Fairness @4taxfairness.bsky.social · 11/10/2026
Know why Meta's research write-offs have skyrocketed? They're claiming their data centers as "experimentation." Total BS. Multi-billion-dollar corporations should pay their fair share to the country that makes them successful. Instead, they manipulate endless loopholes.
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Christina Toms @christinatoms.bsky.social · 11/10/2026
It’s frankly unlikely to exist on the same track by March.
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Anthony Edwards @edwardsanthonyb.bsky.social · 11/10/2026
Another day, another monthly tide record in San Francisco. Even more shocking, the highest tides of the month aren't predicted until Oct. 27 and 28, a half foot higher than today. November, December and January king tides will be in another league. More: www.sfchronicle.com/weather/arti...
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derek guy @dieworkwear.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
Trump's suit appears to be part of Jos. A. Bank's Traveler line. The suit is listed as having been made abroad using a wool-polyester-spandex blend. The company describes it as having the "ultimate stretch" and was designed to minimize body odor.
Trump wearing a blue suit on stage. He is flashing his jacket open, such that you can see the interior labels. One label says Jos. A. Bank. A product shot from Jos. A. Bank's website. This is from the Traveler line. It appears to match the label in Trump's suit. A photo from the product page touts that the suit is made from a new "fabric technology" that has "ultimate stretch performance" and "anti-microbial/ reduce moisture and odor" qualities. There is a photo of a man wearing the suit. From the product page: "Product Details & Care
Stay comfortable and confident with this Traveler® Collection suit separates jacket, powered by innovative 37.5 © technology. Designed to maintain your body's ideal microclimate, the fabric removes moisture at the vapor stage to keep you dry before sweat even forms. Plus, 37.5 helps absorb and trap odor molecules, keeping you fresh and ready for every occasion. Offering maximum mobility with built-in stretch, this jacket moves effortlessly with you throughout your day. As part of the suit separates collection, it allows you to customize your fit by selecting jacket, vest, and pant sizes individually, ensuring a tailored look that's perfect for you.
Traditional Fit
Two button
Natural stretch fabric
Water- and stain-resistant
Performance stretch lining
66% wool, 30% 37.5 polyester, 4% spandex
Dry clean only
Imported

Shipping and returns
Get free standard shipping on orders over $50, or enjoy it on every purchase, no minimum by joining our Bank Account Rewards® program—join for free and never pay for standard shipping again! See our Shipping Policy for more details.
Shop worry-free knowing returns are free on every purchase. Return within 90 days from original date of purchase at any Jos. A. Bank store or by mail at no cost. See our Return Policy for more details."
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Daniel Swain @weatherwest.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
Rapid response blog post on Tropical Storm Rachel and the growing potential for notable Southern California/SW US impacts. Will also be going live on YouTube at Noon Pacific Time (15 minutes!) to discus. #CAwx
weatherwest.com
Remarkable weather weekend ahead as Tropical Storm Rachel approaches San Diego and early-season trough ends record-breaking autumn heatwave - Weather West
October 9, 2026 - Daniel Swain - One of SoCal's worst late-season heatwaves on record finally breaking (after breaking records) I am writing this quick post rapidly from my hotel room, so it'll rely more heavily on embedded social media threads than usual. But I would be remiss if I didn't write something up regarding the remarkable weather weekend coming up in #
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CW3E Scripps @cw3escripps.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
Since yesterday morning, the forecast track for Tropical Storm Rachel has shifted slightly north and west, potentially bringing heavier rainfall and greater impacts to southern California. See our latest outlook for more information: cw3e.ucsd.edu/cw3e-precipi....
Left: National Hurricane Center graphic showing the location of Tropical Storm Rachel at 8 am Pacific Time Friday 9 October, as well as its forecast track and intensity classification over the next 5 days. Right: Weather Prediction Center graphic showing the Days 1-3 excessive rainfall outlook (i.e., risk of rainfall of flash flood guidance) over the southwestern US through 5 am Pacific Time Monday 12 October.
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Democracy Docket @democracydocket.com · 09/10/2026
‼️ Some of ICE’s election day plans are documented in a new Democracy Forward report, shared exclusively with Democracy Docket. DF says Americans are being left in the dark about what ICE plans to do as voters begin casting ballots. Here’s how they’re fighting back: demdock.com/4zhkjx0
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National Weather Service @nws.noaa.gov · 09/10/2026
There is another tropical system set to impact the West Coast. Tropical Storm #Rachel will be approaching southern California later this weekend. Tropical Storm Watches have been issued for southern California. Get the latest at hurricanes.gov and weather.gov.
Note: The cone contains the probable path of the storm center but does not show the size of the storm. Hazardous conditions can occur outside of the cone.   Details & Current Information:Storm: Tropical Storm Rachel   Date & Time: Friday October 09, 2026, 8 AM PDT Advisory 50   Issuer: NWS National Hurricane Center   Center Location: $22.8^\circ\text{N}, 124.6^\circ\text{W}$   Max Sustained Wind: 50 mph   Movement: NE at 5 mph   Forecast Positions:8 AM Fri: Tropical Storm ('S')   5 AM Sat / 5 PM Sat / 5 AM Sun / 5 PM Sun: Tropical Storm ('S')   Watches & Warnings:Tropical Storm Watch (Yellow): Baja California Peninsula coast and Southern California coastline   Map Description:
Forecast cone showing Tropical Storm Rachel moving northeast from the Eastern Pacific toward the northern Baja California Peninsula and Southern California/Nevada region.  Tropical Storm Watch vs. Tropical Storm Warning

   
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Tropical Storm Watch (Yellow):

   
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A Tropical Storm Watch is issued when tropical storm conditions are possible, typically within 48 hours.

   
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Prepare your home by securing loose items outside or moving them indoors. Have an emergency supply kit ready and charge your devices.   
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Tropical Storm Winds Possible.

   
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Tropical Storm Warning (Blue):

   
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A Tropical Storm Warning is issued when tropical storm conditions are expected, typically within 36 hours.

   
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Follow the advice of local officials and be ready to seek shelter in a sturdy structure.   
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Tropical Storm Winds Expected!
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Anthony Edwards @edwardsanthonyb.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
“Significant coastal flooding and erosion possible.” Most recent coastal flood warning in this part of Southern California was February 2014.
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ol-guillermo.bsky.social @ol-guillermo.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
Tide is even higher over the weekend than it was this morning...
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Peter Nguyen @dptbirder.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
Had a California equivalent to a “snow day” because of El Niño Balboa Boulevard was under water throughout most of the peninsula Long underwater Kelvin waves and the oncoming storm surge caused havoc and preventing me from getting to one of my clients homes today 🌊
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mtsw @mtsw.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
ya i mean i do genuinely think that one of hegseth's goals is to drive people appalled by barbarity out of the military, because the long term plan is to make the military shoot at us, and the same guys who object to this won't do that either.
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Robert Reich @rbreich.bsky.social · 08/10/2026
This was a choice. Remember this.
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oakleif33.bsky.social @oakleif33.bsky.social · 08/10/2026
This Californian paid $6.50 per gallon last night. I expect it to go over $7 by the end of the month.
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ebisback.bsky.social @ebisback.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
Pretty Awesome 👍
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Americans for Tax Fairness @4taxfairness.bsky.social · 08/10/2026
The people in charge handed the richest 1% a $1 TRILLION tax break last year. Now those same billionaires have spent $1.7 BILLION on the midterms. Which came first? The politicians currying favor by passing tax cuts? Or the billionaires bankrolling those who will favor them?
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Prisonculture @prisonculture.bsky.social · 08/10/2026
This by Courtney Maum is where I am too. I am grateful to her for the words...
For me, the subject of AI detection is an ouroboros. I’ll speak only for myself, here is my opinion. I didn’t ask for artificial intelligence. It’s not something I need, it is not something I desire. And yet, it barged its way into my life and stole all of my books. All of them. Stole them. Trained off of them. Did not compensate me for this theft. So now, AI can write a book like me, because it stole my own work and learned my breed of humor and satire. So if someone runs an AI text detector on my creative output, it will probably “test positive” why? Because AI is a contaminant that has embedded itself into my work by stealing it and using my own work to perpetuate itself. It will test for itself and find AI there because it AI is a virus that has contaminated the DNA of my current and future writing—a form of intellectual rape. A kind of colonization. A raging plague that some gatekeepers are opening the door for.

If you ask me what I’m currently working on, the answer is nothing book-length. I’m not going to publish a new book in this current landscape. That’s a stance of privilege, I recognize that. And I can’t hold this stance forever, I can hold it as long as I have savings from my last book.

This current literary climate isn’t acceptable. It is not acceptable to have a thing thrust upon us that takes absolutely everything, and then be forced to prove that we are not the thieves.
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Michael Wara @michaelwara.bsky.social · 08/10/2026
@sfchronicle.com is reading my feed! www.sfchronicle.com/weather/arti...
sfchronicle.com
S.F. Bay high tides will be at flood levels this weekend; El Niño-fueled wave of water may have reached city
El Niño-warmed seas are pushing tides unusually high in California, prompting the National Weather Service to issue a coastal flood advisory for San Francisco Bay and Monterey Bay.
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Allison Gill @muellershewrote.com · 08/10/2026
New Pew Research poll has Trump at an all-time low approval rating of 30%.
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Elizabeth Warren @warren.senate.gov · 08/10/2026
NEW: Reports reveal Trump is letting Big Tech write its own AI rules. OpenAI, Google, and Anthropic said the rules were too strict. Trump made them voluntary. Then Musk and Zuckerberg said they were too harsh. Trump cut the 90-day review to 30 days. I’m pushing for guardrails.
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Americans for Tax Fairness @4taxfairness.bsky.social · 08/10/2026
After DOUBLING its profit, Nvidia has announced the largest corporate stock buyback in history—$150 BILLION. We were told if we gave these giant corporations tax breaks, it would all trickle back down to us. Instead they're shoveling it straight to their wealthy shareholders.
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Zachary Pleat @zpleat.bsky.social · 08/10/2026
New from me: New York Fed research found that if not for Trump's tariffs, goods prices would have declined. Many news outlets haven't yet covered it. www.mediamatters.org/tariffs-trad... Fox continues to blame affordability problems on Democrats
mediamatters.org
New York Fed research found that if not for Trump's tariffs, goods prices would have declined. Many news outlets haven't yet covered it.
On October 6, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York published an article to its Liberty Street Economics blog that included a chart showing that President Donald Trump’s tariffs directly led to a highe...
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Robert Reich @rbreich.bsky.social · 08/10/2026
The 400 richest Americans are now worth a record $8 trillion. The entire bottom 50% of American households is worth just $4.27 trillion. Read that back. When 400 people control more wealth than half a country’s population, we have a very serious problem.
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ITEP @itep.org · 08/10/2026
The middle 20% of Americans will pay an average of about $1,700 more in 2026, while the poorest 20% will pay roughly $750 more. The richest 1%, meanwhile, will pay an average of about $12,560 less. itep.org/impact-of-tr...
itep.org
Impact of Key Trump Policies on Taxes and Costs: National and State Estimates
The major tax and economic policies of President Trump’s second term have increased taxes and household costs for most Americans except the richest 1%.
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ITEP @itep.org · 08/10/2026
NEW: Americans in nearly every income group are paying more under President Trump's second term in 2026. The overall impact of inflationary policies, OBBBA's top-heavy tax cuts, and expiring health care tax credits have left savings only for the wealthiest Americans.
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Alt National Park Service @altnps.bsky.social · 08/10/2026
The Pentagon says it plans to livestream an execution. Pete Hegseth said the public will be able to watch the firing-squad execution of Nidal Hasan, convicted of the 2009 Fort Hood mass shooting, scheduled for December 3. Turning a government execution into a livestream should alarm everyone.
apnews.com
Pentagon says the firing squad execution of Fort Hood shooter Nidal Malik Hasan will be livestreamed
The Pentagon says the firing squad execution of Fort Hood shooter Nidal Malik Hasan will be livestreamed after Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth said the execution would be “public.”
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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 08/10/2026
“This is what crowd out looks like.” - Jason Furman
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Aaron Reichlin-Melnick @reichlinmelnick.bsky.social · 08/10/2026
Just today: - The Trump admin announced the first public execution since 1936. - Trump tried to incite a race war against Somalis. - Trump said anyone using the phrase AI is "THE ENEMY" - The NYT reported on a potential ICE plan to deport migrants on military boats and ferries.
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CW3E Scripps @cw3escripps.bsky.social · 08/10/2026
Tropical Storm Rachel is forecast to turn northeastward and interact with a deepening shortwave trough over the US West Coast this weekend, setting the stage for a multi-day rainfall event over the southwestern US. For more info, see our latest precipitation outlook: cw3e.ucsd.edu/cw3e-ar-upda...
Left image shows The North American Ensemble Forecast System (NAEFS)  Integrated Vapor Transport percentile of climatology plot. Right image shows the Weather Prediction Center's 7-day total precipitation forecast valid 5 am Pacific Time on 15 October.
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Barbara Kaskosz @kaskosz.bsky.social · 08/10/2026
Tom Nichols talks about Kimberly Guilfoyle’s corruption scandal and Secretary Rubio’s evasive comments about it. @radiofreetom.bsky.social
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