Dr Ned Williams @nedcwilliams.bsky.social · 22/07/2026(p.s. I definitely use LinkedIn more than BlueSky nowadays, if anyone is keen to follow me there. I left Twitter before joining BlueSky and whilst I think that BlueSky is the best Twitter alternative, I'm not sure I actually need a Twitter alternative in my life) 030
Dr Ned Williams @nedcwilliams.bsky.social · 22/07/2026Pleased to say that I've published my research from my previous role at MPI: We used a large ensemble decadal prediction system and found evidence of atmospheric circulation skill relating to Atlantic Multidecadal Variability, although model deficiencies that limit skill persist:esd.copernicus.orgPredictability of European summer climate: the influence of competing mechanisms related to Atlantic Multidecadal VariabilityAbstract. Skilful predictions of European summer climate are increasingly relevant due to an increasing probability of temperature extremes, but prediction skill beyond the forced trend has so far pro... 1104
Dr Ned Williams @nedcwilliams.bsky.social · 09/04/2026In case you want the serious answer, a significant factor will be North Atlantic Ocean temperatures, which fluctuate on timescales of decades as well as warming due to climate change: climatedataguide.ucar.edu/climate-data...climatedataguide.ucar.eduAtlantic Multi-decadal Oscillation (AMO) and Atlantic Multidecadal Variability (AMV) | Climate Data GuideAtlantic Multi-decadal Oscillation (AMO) and Atlantic Multidecadal Variability (AMV) | Climate ... 130
Dr Ned Williams @nedcwilliams.bsky.social · 31/01/2026Obviously the lack of the major/minor system is a factor here, but another big one is the obsession with IoP accreditation, which essentially enforces a nationwide curriculum for most of a Physics degree. 110
Dr Ned Williams @nedcwilliams.bsky.social · 10/10/2025A bit of an odd snippet from this month's Weather magazine. The 'campaigners' did damage equipment designed to spare road users from hazards, but that was their intention all along. 000
Dr Ned Williams @nedcwilliams.bsky.social · 02/09/2025It doesn't help that most undergraduate physics courses in the UK treat classical physics as an aside. By my third year the entirety of mandatory lecture/exam modules were quantum/particle/cosmology focused and I first learnt fluid dynamics from an optional module in the maths department. 130
Reposted by Dr Ned WilliamsNature @nature.com · 26/08/2025Annual updates to ‘climate forcing’ data sets would allow simulations to keep pace as global warming accelerates. go.nature.com/45N9aXtgo.nature.comClimate models need more frequent releases of input data — here’s how to do itAnnual updates to ‘climate forcing’ data sets would allow simulations to keep pace as global warming accelerates. 16117
Dr Ned Williams @nedcwilliams.bsky.social · 07/08/2025Compared to the excess CO2 emitted by encouraging driving in urban areas by giving them right of way over pedestrians? Pretty much zero. 000
Dr Ned Williams @nedcwilliams.bsky.social · 02/07/2025It was great to give an overview of my research so far at the RMetS Early Career conference earlier today! And great to hear about the variety of other research from early career scientists in the field. 162
Dr Ned Williams @nedcwilliams.bsky.social · 06/06/2025Very pleased to have won the Malcolm Walker Award for New Environmental Researchers! It is an honour to stand in the company of previous winners and it was great to attend the awards ceremony on Wednesday alongside the winners of other RMetS awards. www.rmets.org/news/royal-m...rmets.orgThe Royal Meteorological Society Announces 2024 Award Winners in Landmark Anniversary YearThe Royal Meteorological Society (RMetS) is delighted to announce the winners of the RMetS 2024 Awards, following an exceptional range of nominations from across the international community of pioneer... 140
Dr Ned Williams @nedcwilliams.bsky.social · 31/05/2025I have good memories of cycling to here as a teen. It's a shame if future generations won't be able to do the same.theguardian.comAnger as Dorset estate withdraws public entry to ‘stunning’ local landmarkVisitors lament ‘tremendous shame’ as notice withdrawing public access appears after £30m sale of Bridehead Estate 030
Reposted by Dr Ned WilliamsDoug McNeall @dougmcneall.bsky.social · 25/04/2025THE RISE OF MACHINE LEARNING IN CLIMATE MODELLING Very pleased to report the first published output from the @metoffice.bsky.social new team Data Driven Climate Modelling team. A short commentary from my esteemed colleague George Jordan rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/...rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.comThe rise of machine learning in climate modellingClick on the article title to read more. 24115
Reposted by Dr Ned WilliamsUK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology (UKCEH) @ukceh.bsky.social · 15/04/2025💧Latest Hydrological Summary shows: -Below-average March rainfall in all areas of UK after dry winter -Many rivers in N & W have exceptionally low flows -Record low March groundwater levels in N Ireland, Scotland, Wales 🔎https://nrfa.ceh.ac.uk/sites/default/files/2025-04/HS_202503.pdf 12211
Reposted by Dr Ned WilliamsSimon Lee @simonleewx.com · 11/03/2025"Why are you so bent out of shape, polar vortex?" Beautiful view via earth.nullschool.net (using NOAA's free GFS model data) of the current stratospheric warming event – likely to be the final stratospheric warming (FSW) – featuring one of the largest stratospheric wave-1 disturbances on record. 59015
Dr Ned Williams @nedcwilliams.bsky.social · 26/02/2025Thanks! Essentially - although I'm getting the ferry from the Netherlands (near Rotterdam) to the UK (Essex)! The Eurostar essentially doesn't allow non-folded bikes, plus it's a 1.5 day trip and the overnight ferry with a cabin is more economic than a hotel somewhere :) 000
Dr Ned Williams @nedcwilliams.bsky.social · 26/02/2025Yesterday was my last day at MPI-M, this morning I left Hamburg. It has been a great experience to live and work abroad and there's a lot I'll miss, but I'm also looking forward to what's next! 1150
Reposted by Dr Ned WilliamsZack Labe @zacklabe.com · 14/02/2025I really cannot believe my childhood career dream might end like this. Feeling so small and lost. 1961380164
Dr Ned Williams @nedcwilliams.bsky.social · 14/02/2025Reposting this report, which has a message which I suspect holds true in many other countries. www.metoffice.gov.uk/about-us/new...metoffice.gov.ukMet Office delivers £56 billion of economic value to the UKA new independent economic study has concluded that the Met Office will deliver benefits worth £56 billion to the UK economy over the next ten years. 040
Dr Ned Williams @nedcwilliams.bsky.social · 05/02/2025A data availability statement I wrote yesterday is no longer valid... 121
Reposted by Dr Ned WilliamsSimon Lee @simonleewx.com · 31/01/2025What better way to spend three days in July than by coming to Manchester for this year's @rmets.org Annual Weather and Climate Conference? 😁 Please consider submitting an abstract – deadline 14 February. We look forward to seeing you there! More details: www.rmets.org/annualconfer... 1135
Dr Ned Williams @nedcwilliams.bsky.social · 03/02/2025Visited Sylt at the very northern end of Germany yesterday. Only accessible from mainland Germany by train, with lots of unique landscapes and nice to see the sea! 010
Dr Ned Williams @nedcwilliams.bsky.social · 20/01/2025Excited to say that I'll be starting a Scientist role in the Monthly-to-Decadal team at the Met Office in March! I will miss Hamburg and it's been a great experience to live and work in Germany, but I'm also looking forward to being back in Exeter/Devon. 0181
Dr Ned Williams @nedcwilliams.bsky.social · 15/01/2025I worry that the concept of geoengineering is increasingly going to enter public discussion, not through climate scientists who want to make the nuances and ethics clear, but through the large audience tech sector who want to be seen as having solutions. 153
Dr Ned Williams @nedcwilliams.bsky.social · 04/01/2025Built Hamburg's highest* snowman earlier. *in terms of altitude 020
Dr Ned Williams @nedcwilliams.bsky.social · 05/12/2024I think this issue is what leads to AI forecasts being billed as a replacement for NWP in some circles, as it's seen as something more advanced and sophisticated, whereas I think it's better seen as something that will supplement NWP for forecasting. 000
Dr Ned Williams @nedcwilliams.bsky.social · 05/12/2024At some point the NWP world has to address that 'we run a statistical model based on what happened in the past to estimate the future' became the futuristic tech-y solution instead of 'we use the world's most powerful computers to represent the earth based on physics and then run it forward in time' 110
Reposted by Dr Ned WilliamsGuy Shrubsole @guyshrubsole.bsky.social · 02/12/2024Dartmoor visitor centre to close as National Park Authority cannot afford to renew lease from Duchy National Parks are facing 12% budget cuts - not a great way for Labour to celebrate the 75th anniversary of their creation & why is Duchy charging at all? www.tavistock-today.co.uk/news/nationa...tavistock-today.co.ukPrincetown national park visitor centre to closeTHE POPULAR Dartmoor National Park visitor centre in Princetown is due to close after a funding injection ends in March causing concern the economy of the village will be affected. 25331134
Reposted by Dr Ned WilliamsASPECT project @aspect-project.bsky.social · 22/11/2024ASPECT project is now on Bluesky!! Join our network to keep in touch with the latest project news! @aspect-project.bsky.social 001
Reposted by Dr Ned WilliamsSimon Lee @simonleewx.com · 10/10/2024A little over a week to enter nominations for the 2024 Royal Meteorological Society Awards. A wide range of awards which recognise (among others) early-career scientists, educators, communicators and world-leading scientists in meteorology and climate science. www.rmets.org/nominations-...rmets.orgRoyal Meteorological SocietyThe Royal Meteorological Society is the Learned and Professional Society for weather and climate. Our mission is to promote the understanding and application of meteorology for the benefit of all. 011
Dr Ned Williams @nedcwilliams.bsky.social · 04/10/2024Pleased to have played a role in this work: the 1 year-lagged impact of ENSO in the extratropics far exceeds the expected effect due to ENSO autocorrelation, and we propose large-scale atmospheric angular momentum anomalies propagating polewards as a mechanism. www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...science.orgENSO affects the North Atlantic Oscillation 1 year laterWe demonstrate a 1-year lagged extratropical response to the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) in observational analyses and climate models. The response maps onto the Arctic Oscillation and is stro... 0163
Reposted by Dr Ned WilliamsProf Penny Endersby @pennyend.bsky.social · 02/10/2024Extraordinary rainfall distribution in UK in September. Bedfordshire and Oxfordshire saw their wettest month in our 188 year series. But only 25% wetter than average overall despite many areas having 3x average rainfall. More details in Met Office press release www.metoffice.gov.uk/about-us/new... 15218135
Dr Ned Williams @nedcwilliams.bsky.social · 26/09/2024New paper, led by Yingfei Fang during her visit to the University of Exeter: ENSO teleconnections to the South Pacific are underestimated in CMIP6 models, and are generally too far west although the position improves with increased ocean resolution. agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/...agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com 021
Dr Ned Williams @nedcwilliams.bsky.social · 23/09/2024Also had time to visit some Devon classics, including the coast path (Budleigh–Sidmouth, plugging a gap in my longest contiguous stretch), Dartmoor (for a wild camp) and Woodbury Common 020
Dr Ned Williams @nedcwilliams.bsky.social · 23/09/2024It was nice to be at the Met Office (and University of Exeter) last week, with lots of useful discussions on climate prediction research. Featuring some grey sky for bluesky, to prove once and for all that the Met Office aren't choosing their weather. 140
Reposted by Dr Ned WilliamsKevin Schwarzwald @kschwarzwald.bsky.social · 16/09/2024🚨 Here to share a new paper on the future of the #HornofAfrica March-May long rains and the "East African Paradox", which just dropped as Early Online Release in the Journal of Climate. t.co/TpIY616dqtt.cohttps://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/aop/JCLI-D-24-0225.1/JCLI-D-24-0225.1.xml 131
Dr Ned Williams @nedcwilliams.bsky.social · 07/09/2024Spotted in a hotel in Köln: a classic unit conversion error 030
Dr Ned Williams @nedcwilliams.bsky.social · 16/08/2024Now that Twitter is dead and done, I've been convinced that here might be the best alternative for science. 0151