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Natalie Millar @nataliemillar.bsky.social · 01/01/2026

👷‍♀️ Labor papers 3. Natalie Millar — "The Labor Market Returns to Customized Job Training" (Jonathan Roth discussing) @nataliemillar.bsky.social drive.google.com/file/d/18Rjx...

drive.google.com

JMP_Millar.pdf

Natalie Millar @nataliemillar.bsky.social · 01/01/2026

2. Derek Christopher presenting “Individual and Social Effects of Shelter for People Experiencing Homelessness: Evidence From Los Angeles County's Winter Shelters Program” (Noah Boden-Gologorsky discussing) www.derekachristopher.com

derekachristopher.com

Derek Christopher

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Natalie Millar @nataliemillar.bsky.social · 01/01/2026

🏠 Housing papers 1. Winnie van Dijk presenting “Reducing Default Eviction Judgements: An Information Experiment” (Vincent Reina discussing)

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Natalie Millar @nataliemillar.bsky.social · 01/01/2026

Planning your #ASSA schedule? Join us for “Collaborative State & Local Policy Research” organized by @vbolotnyy.bsky.social 📅 Mon, Jan 5th | 1–3pm (EST) 📍 Philadelphia Convention Center, Room 203-B Hope to see you there! #ASSA2026 www.aeaweb.org/conference/2...

aeaweb.org

American Economic Association

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Reposted by Natalie Millar

Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham @paulgp.com · 10/12/2025

Update on JOE postings -- things are worse: paulgp.com/2025/12/10/q...

paulgp.com

Economics Job Market Update: December 2025 - Still Very Bad

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Reposted by Natalie Millar

Joshua Goodman @joshua-goodman.com · 12/11/2025

Here's my thread of this year's new scholars in Economics of Education and Education Policy. These PhD students and postdocs are on the job market, so take a look (and spread the word to others who might benefit from exposure). And now onto the scholars... 👇

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Reposted by Natalie Millar

Natalie Millar @nataliemillar.bsky.social · 08/12/2025

My #EconJMP, “The Labor Market Returns to Customized Job Training”, examines how subsidized firm training that aligns skill supply with skill demand affects workers and whether subsidies generate benefits that justify public investment. Website: nataliemillar.net

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Natalie Millar @nataliemillar.bsky.social · 08/12/2025

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Natalie Millar @nataliemillar.bsky.social · 08/12/2025

In future work, I will extend this agenda by examining the impact of CJT on firm outcomes and the broader spillovers of CJT.

Natalie Millar @nataliemillar.bsky.social · 08/12/2025

Answer to RQ 3⃣: Benefits to the government through higher individual income tax revenues exceed training costs, yielding an infinitely high marginal value of public funds. This exceeds the MVPFs of other job training and adult-focused programs. See the figure below.

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Natalie Millar @nataliemillar.bsky.social · 08/12/2025

Answer to RQ 2⃣: I map program descriptions to O*NET detailed work activities using the NLP-based skill classification. I find that 87% of CJT training is transferable or partially transferable, and programs with high industry-specific scores increase earnings by 9% per quarter.

Natalie Millar @nataliemillar.bsky.social · 08/12/2025

Answer to RQ 1⃣: My estimates show that enrolling in a CJT program, typically lasting about four months, increases earnings by 3% per quarter for at least five years, comparable to the return from one additional year of work experience.

Natalie Millar @nataliemillar.bsky.social · 08/12/2025

Data: Answering this research question required partnership with state and regional officials to assemble a novel data set that links the Tennessee longitudinal labor, education, and public assistance data with individual CJT enrollment data.

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Natalie Millar @nataliemillar.bsky.social · 08/12/2025

Empirical Approach: 1⃣Compare workers within firms using variation in grant funding caps via DID 2⃣Compare workers across applying firms using variation in regional funding amount and timing via DID 3⃣Use firm-level grants as an instrument for individual treatment via DID-IV

Natalie Millar @nataliemillar.bsky.social · 08/12/2025

Contributions: 1⃣Estimate causal effects of CJT on worker earnings 2⃣Hand-collect and digitize CJT applications to open the black box of firm-designed training 3⃣Measure skill transferability with NLP 4⃣Estimate how skill transferability impacts the returns for workers and firms

Natalie Millar @nataliemillar.bsky.social · 08/12/2025

Research Questions: 1⃣What is the causal impact of enrolling in CJT on workers' earnings? 2⃣What skills are being taught, how transferable are these skills, and how do effects vary by transferability? 3⃣How do the benefits of CJT compare with costs to firms and the government?

Natalie Millar @nataliemillar.bsky.social · 08/12/2025

On the surface, much of CJT training appears partly, if not largely, firm-specific. This is theoretically puzzling, as Beckerian theory predicts that firms and workers should bear the cost of specific training.

Natalie Millar @nataliemillar.bsky.social · 08/12/2025

Customized Job Training (CJT) programs, used across most U.S. states, split costs between governments and firms and give employers full control over curriculum, participants, and delivery. For instance, an enrollee might learn robots or machine tools used only at one automaker.

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Natalie Millar @nataliemillar.bsky.social · 08/12/2025

Motivation: The U.S. spends $4.3B a year on job training, yet evidence finds limited impacts and weak alignment between skill supply and employer demand. Are training models that match skill supply and demand a more efficient use of public funds?

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Natalie Millar @nataliemillar.bsky.social · 08/12/2025

Hello! My name is Natalie. I am an applied microeconomist and a postdoctoral scholar at Stanford University and am on the 2025-2026 academic #econjobmarket studying how human capital policies and public subsidies impact the labor market outcomes of workers and firms. #EconSky

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Natalie Millar @nataliemillar.bsky.social · 18/08/2025

Grateful for the Tennessee Department of Labor and Workforce Development, @stanfordpress.bsky.social, @hooverinstitution.bsky.social for supporting this survey!

Natalie Millar @nataliemillar.bsky.social · 18/08/2025

🚀 Launch day! The Customized Job Training Employer Survey is officially live — 📩 Emails went out this morning to employers who received a training grant in TN.

Natalie Millar @nataliemillar.bsky.social · 20/04/2025

This is a great opportunity for junior education economists looking for work.

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Natalie Millar @nataliemillar.bsky.social · 20/04/2025

Thank you to the Labor and Accounting Group (LAG) for the opportunity to present our paper at Stanford GSB. It’s exciting to see cross-disciplinary research in labor economics and accounting spark fresh insights and ideas. #LaborEconomics #Accounting #academicsky #econsky #LAG #Stanford #StanfordGSB

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Natalie Millar @nataliemillar.bsky.social · 22/03/2025

Honored to present research on the labor market impacts of business incentives to Alabama's key leaders: Governor Ivey’s COS, Lt. Gov COS, Senate president pro tem, Sec of Commerce, Sec of Workforce, Deputy Commissioner of Revenue, and their teams. Grateful for Alabama's partnership!

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Reposted by Natalie Millar

Chris Bennett @chrisbennettedu.bsky.social · 08/03/2025

Heartbreaking to see announcements of major layoffs at most research organizations that have played a vital role in supporting federal statistics for education and developing high-quality evidence about what policies/practices actually work. Below are just a few examples from my LinkedIn feed.

Mathematica
65,991 followers
1d •
• • •
To our clients, partners, and peers:
We want to let you know that we are reducing our workforce to align with the needs of our clients and ensure the continued, exceptional support we've offered for decades to the public, private, and philanthropic sectors. The staff we are letting go are skilled, experienced, and passionate about their work. Any organization would be fortunate to have them. Please don't hesitate to reach out if we can be of assistance.

Dan Gaylin • 2nd
President and CEO, NORC
10h •
너
+ Follow
Like many of our peer organizations, this week NORC had to reduce our staff to ensure we are operating effectively and have the right mix of skills to align with client needs. The people departing NORC are highly talented and capable professionals, and they have made important contributions to our mission of delivering trustworthy and reliable data and analysis to inform society's most important decisions. They will be valuable employees and colleagues wherever their careers take them next.
To each of you who are leaving, and on behalf of everyone at NORC, I offer our deepest thanks and appreciation for your dedicated service and the lasting impact you've made on our organization.

marc
MDRC
15,135 followers
9h • 0
To our collaborators: Like many of our peer organizations, MDRC has had to reduce our staff in recent days, letting go of many talented and highly skilled professionals. Each of these colleagues would be an asset to another organization, and we encourage you to consider them for any career opportunities you may have.
MDRC remains committed to our mission of learning what works to improve policy, practice, and people's well-being.

// Westat
Westat
35,042 followers
22h •
In light of recent industry changes, Westat is making strategic reductions to our workforce to better align with our clients' needs. The talented professionals who are leaving Westat have made significant contributions to our mission and embody our values of uncompromising excellence, client commitment, and innovation. They are current and future leaders in their fields and will undoubtedly be an asset to any organization they join.
We remain committed to our mission to improve lives by delivering exceptional data-driven research and technical assistance, fostering insights and solutions to advance health, education, and social and economic opportunity.

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Natalie Millar @nataliemillar.bsky.social · 13/02/2025

Let’s spread some hope and love this time of year by sending free e-cards to children at St. Jude Children’s Hospital for Valentine’s Day! (It takes just a few seconds. The cards are pre-made.) 💌 www.stjude.org/get-involved...

stjude.org

Send a free Valentine's Day card to St. Jude kids

Choose a sweet e-card featuring layouts inspired by patient art, and then select a pre-written message, or create your own!