iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Robert Muggah @muggah.bsky.social · 04/06/2026

#ElNiño is an early warning signal for a world already under acute stress. It's a systemic shock that disrupts weather, food, health, infrastructure and power systems at once. As explained in @weforum.org this week, we know the pathways: inaction is indefensible. www.weforum.org/stories/2026...

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Robert Muggah @muggah.bsky.social · 26/05/2026

#Desmatamento e #violência são problemas paralelos que compartilham um endereço. Proteger florestas é estratégia de segurança. Com @estadaolink.bsky.social www.estadao.com.br/opiniao/espa...

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Robert Muggah @muggah.bsky.social · 18/04/2026

A guerra no #Irã tem um alto preço #ambiental, mas pode acelerar a transição para energias #renováveis e soluções positivas para a #natureza. Discutimos os custos e benefícios em um artigo com Johan Rockström, Carlos Nobre e Lourenço Bustani na #ilustrissima. www1.folha.uol.com.br/ilustrissima...

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Robert Muggah @muggah.bsky.social · 31/03/2026

The #Iran war is (re)teaching us geography. It’s a reminder that #chokepoints are maritime, subsea, mineral, digital and climatic. The corridor targeted today may be the supply chain failure or energy crisis felt on the other side of the world tomorrow. #WEF. www.weforum.org/stories/2026...

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Robert Muggah @muggah.bsky.social · 25/03/2026

O #Brasil é um dos países mais vulneráveis ao clima. Uma revisão sistemática de mais de 20 mil projeções climáticas brasileiras encontrou riscos severos em todos os seis biomas do país. @valoreconomico.bsky.social valor.globo.com/google/amp/o...

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Robert Muggah @muggah.bsky.social · 11/02/2026

#Climate & #nature loss aren’t just environmental issues — they’re defining #security risks of the 21st century. They fuel #food and #energy shocks, drive #migration, and intensify conflict over #water and #land. We’re still underpricing the danger. #Mongabay news.mongabay.com/2026/02/tipp...

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Robert Muggah @muggah.bsky.social · 04/01/2026

The US raid risks normalizing cross-border “law enforcement” grabs—setting a precedent Moscow and Beijing can copy. Russia could cite it for moves against Ukrainian leaders; China could frame ops against Taiwan as policing, not war. Spoke to @aljazeera.com www.instagram.com/reel/DTEVwjD...

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Robert Muggah @muggah.bsky.social · 21/10/2025

A #COP30 deve levar crimes ambientais ao centro, alinhar clima, justiça e segurança, e incluir métricas de Estado de Direito, transparência fundiária, anticorrupção e capacidade judicial nas #NDCs, nos planos de adaptação e nas revisões globais. #Exame #IgarapeInstitute exame.com/esg/o-crime-...

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Robert Muggah @muggah.bsky.social · 29/08/2025

At a time of #democratic rollback, look to countries like #Brazil for insight. Brazil’s defense of #democracy has evolved since Bolsonaro’s election in 2018. In 2019, the electoral court (#TSE) stood-up its first #disinformation program and a network of fact-checkers to debunk conspiracies. (1/6)

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Robert Muggah @muggah.bsky.social · 27/08/2025

The #US is also an outlier when it comes to #gun deaths. In 2024, 41,027 people died from gun-related injuries. Of these, 16,871 were gun-related homicides and 24,156 were suicides. Handguns are most commonly used: assault rifles turn up in around 4% of murders.

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Robert Muggah @muggah.bsky.social · 27/08/2025

The #US is an outlier when it comes to mass #shootings. Last year there were 503 incidents, including 30 mass murders. For example, Trump's first term (2017-2020) averaged 452 incidents per year with an average of 506 deaths and 1,865 injuries annually. (Gun Violence Archive)

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Robert Muggah @muggah.bsky.social · 27/08/2025

The incident in #Minneapolis is the 286th mass #shooting event of 2025. Since January at least 246 people were killed, 1,292 injured and 44 states impacted. Red states lead in both frequency and fatalities accounting for 55% of all mass shootings and 60% of deaths and injuries.

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Robert Muggah @muggah.bsky.social · 20/08/2025

#Ukraines hydrocarbons, critical minerals and rare earths could be worth trillions. The caveats? About half are in #Russian-occupied areas. Security guarantees are also essential. Spoke to @nytimes.com’s Dealbook about the opportunities and challenges today. www.nytimes.com/2025/08/20/b...

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Robert Muggah @muggah.bsky.social · 06/06/2025

TEDxAmazonia about to kick off in #Belem. Talks on the 1,000 year old “garden cities”, the future of indigenous and AI tech technologies, nature-based wildfire prevention, the future of the #AmazonBiome and so much more. All on livestream at wwwtedxamazonia.com #TEDxAmazonia

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Robert Muggah @muggah.bsky.social · 04/06/2025

Come join us at #TEDxAmazonia this year from 5-8 June in #Belem, Brazil. Over 30 speakers, close to 1,000 participants and livestream also available. tedxamazonia.com/en/

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Robert Muggah @muggah.bsky.social · 04/06/2025

Global #AI governance is fractured. The US, Europe, and China have raced ahead with regulatory frameworks, while much of the Global South remains stranded at the policy starting line. A new report from Igarapé Institute casts light on the growing asymmetry. igarape.org.br/en/global-fu...

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Robert Muggah @muggah.bsky.social · 15/05/2025

Illegal #logging, gold #mining, and #wildlife trafficking arn’t just environmental issues - they’re transnational #crimes. A global #UNTOC protocol could help close enforcement gaps. But fan governments turn momentum into meaningful action? @MongabayOrg news.mongabay.com/2025/05/the-...

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Robert Muggah @muggah.bsky.social · 09/05/2025

Move over Gulf of America. #Brazil just released the first ever officially sanctioned "Global South" map - a new Mapa Mundi. A reminder that "north-up" is just a convention and invitation to questions whose perspective(s) dominate our mental maps. #ibge

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Robert Muggah @muggah.bsky.social · 03/04/2025

While the U.S. announced tariffs on allies and foes including #Europe, #India, #Japan and #China, the world's most heavily sanctioned countries - #Russia, #Belarus, #Cuba and #NorthKorea - avoided being singled out for special punitive treatment.

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Robert Muggah @muggah.bsky.social · 13/03/2025

The world is undergoing massive and disruptive #geopolitical change. The central question at this year’s #globalbakuforum is whether a #multipolar “might is right” order is compatible with a #multilateral “rules based” order.

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Robert Muggah @muggah.bsky.social · 10/03/2025

Russian propagandists could literally not make this up.

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Robert Muggah @muggah.bsky.social · 04/03/2025

Welcome to Trump’s trade war against #Canada, #Mexico and #China.The S&P 500 erased all gains since the 2024 election: about $3.4 trillion in market value.

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Robert Muggah @muggah.bsky.social · 27/02/2025

#Canada’s election race has tightened according to new IPSOS poll. Appears to be linked to Trudeau’s decision to step down, rising interest in the Liberal leadership contest (and Carney’s entry to the race) and the “Trump effect”, among other things.

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Robert Muggah @muggah.bsky.social · 23/02/2025

#Germany shifts to the right. Early election results suggest that #CDU and #SPD have the numbers to form a coalition (without the #Greens), with Mertz as chancellor. Worst result for SPD since their founding in 19th century and record-breaking result for #AfD who come in second but will be excluded.

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Robert Muggah @muggah.bsky.social · 17/02/2025

#Ukraine has an estimated $26 trillion in hydrocarbon/minerals ($12 trillion of which are in #Russian-occupied areas). President #Trump wants $500 billion of them for backpay and future aid. #Zelenskyy said no for now, and that security guarantees are required first. www.youtube.com/watch?v=ig3C...

Robert Muggah speaking to BBC. Full video at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ig3Cjk9vyLM

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Robert Muggah @muggah.bsky.social · 15/02/2025

Modest hopes of possible #Ukraine-#Russia ceasefire tempered by #US stating clearly they’ll provide no resources, troops, or security guarantees. Many at #MSC2025 concerned that Trump adopted Putin’s talking points. #Zelenskyy urged Europe to stay unified and scale their armies to avoid being next.

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Robert Muggah @muggah.bsky.social · 15/02/2025

Geopolitical volatility and digitalization could give rise to a “golden age” of organized crime. @igarape_org, @UNODC and @GI_TOC brought together leaders of @INTERPOL_HQ, @Europol and foreign ministers at #MSC2025. US dismantling of anti-corruption measures raising concerns.

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Robert Muggah @muggah.bsky.social · 15/02/2025

According #NATO head Mark Rutte, $50 billion in weapons went to Ukraine in 2024 - 60% paid for by #EU countries. But Europe will need to pay more in 2025 as #US signals reduced support to Ukraine. Rutte says defense spending must rise “considerably more than 3%” of GDP. #MSC2025

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Robert Muggah @muggah.bsky.social · 06/02/2025

In 2022, I estimated that #Ukraine held $26 trillion in hydrocarbon and critical mineral reserves. In the same FP article I said $12 trillion was in #Russian-occupied areas. Graham and Trump recently cited these figures. We shed more light on what's at stake. #Horizons_CIRSD #SecDev t.co/68FsGaoXJw

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Robert Muggah @muggah.bsky.social · 15/01/2025

Armed #conflict is the top current short-term risk in 2025, the first time it reached top spot since I started advising the @wef. It’s followed by extreme weather events and misinformation. Latest article: www.weforum.org/stories/2025... Latest 2025 report: www.weforum.org/stories/2025...

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Robert Muggah @muggah.bsky.social · 29/12/2024

Russia has expanded its targeting campaign across #Europe. Multiple attacks against deep-sea cables, munitions factories, logistics facilities, and public utilities over the past year. Sabotage events also doubled in #Russia in 2024 compared to 2023. It’s looking less and less like a shadow war.

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Robert Muggah @muggah.bsky.social · 20/12/2024

The global order is changing in real time. The global security landscape is shifting fast. How will #Brazil and the rest of the Global South shift gears? Come to #Rio and join the Igarapé Institute as a Global Innovation Fellow in 2025! The application deadline is 19 February 2025. #BritishAcademy

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Robert Muggah @muggah.bsky.social · 05/12/2024

There are 2,682 #billionaires in 2024, up from 2,544 in 2023. Their worth is $14 trillion, up from $6 trillion in 2015. 835 billionaires in the US ($5.8 trillion), 427 in China ($1.4 trillion), 185 in India ($905 billion), 117 in Germany, 85 in Switzerland. And we wonder why the pitchforks are out?

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Robert Muggah @muggah.bsky.social · 03/12/2024

Parts of Sub-Saharan Africa, South and Southeast Asia and the Pacific, and Latin America and the Caribbean are especially exposed to the effects of climate shocks and stresses (floods, droughts, rising sea levels). Some examples from LAC in the #UNDP / #PNUD report. (2/3)

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Robert Muggah @muggah.bsky.social · 03/12/2024

As global #temperatures rise, thousands of #cities will experience rising heat stress. We expect millions of people to relocate. But where are these hot spots? I wrote a few studies with #UNDP to help think about at-risk locations. Some headlines below (1/3) www.undp.org/sites/g/file...

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Robert Muggah @muggah.bsky.social · 19/11/2024

Underwater cables cut on Sunday between #Lithuania and #Sweden, as well as between #Finland and #Germany. Russian sabotage suspected. Over 600 such cables globally, covering over 1.4 million km.

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Robert Muggah @muggah.bsky.social · 06/10/2024

Rio de Janeiro’s incumbent mayor, Eduardo Paes, looks set to win a first round victory in today’s municipal elections. The race is a far tighter in metropolitan São Paulo, where it’s a three horse race between far-left Boulos, right-wing incumbent Nunes, and the far-right influencer Marcal.

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Robert Muggah @muggah.bsky.social · 01/10/2024

#Cities everywhere are at risk of longer #heat waves, surging cooling demand, and extreme #rainfall in a 3C world. A new WRI study examined 996 cities (totalling about 2.1bn people). www.ft.com/content/7fc3...

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Robert Muggah @muggah.bsky.social · 22/09/2024

#AI could displace up to 800 million jobs in the next five years. And well over 50% of all jobs in the global south are at “high risk”. So what are we going to do about it? Joined @ruchowdh, @bosuntijani, @SadeABC at #digitalfutureforall. Thanks @ITU @UNDP @ASteiner @ITUSecGen

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Robert Muggah @muggah.bsky.social · 11/09/2024

Harris eviscerated Trump. It may give her a modest bump, rally the base and win a few undecided voters. Trump lost, but his base will rally and accuse ABC of bias. In the end, it’s still about a few thousand voters in 6 swing states. Maybe the most important thing that happened tonight was offstage.

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