Reposted by Brenda MacIntyre, ᒪᐢᑭᑭᓂᑲᒧᐣ ᐃᐢᑫᐧᐤ 😷
Canadian COVID Forecast Sep 12 - Sep 25, 2026
CANADA
MODERATE [no change]
About 1 of every 158 people is infected.
Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada:
-Infections: 3.9 x higher
-Long COVID: 2.9 x higher
-Hospitalizations: 4.2 x higher
-Deaths: 3.9 x higher
![This image describes the Canadian COVID Forecast for the fourteen-day period between Sep 12 - Sep 25, 2026, which is produced by COVID-19 Resources Canada. Canada’s COVID Forecast outlook is MODERATE [no change] with a COVID INDEX SCORE of 4.0
About 1 of every 158 people is infected.
Estimated infections this week: 151,700-309,800
What these numbers mean: MODERATE 1-5, HIGH 5-10, VERY HIGH 10-15, SEVERE >15 COMPARED TO THE LOWEST POINT IN THE COVID PANDEMIC IN CANADA
How much higher are key indicators compared to the lowest point in the COVID pandemic in Canada?
Waste water, infections: MODERATE; 3.9X higher
Long COVID: MODERATE; 2.9X higher
Hospitalizations: MODERATE; 4.2X higher
Deaths: MODERATE; 3.9X higher
HOW TO HELP:
EVERYONE:
UPDATE vaccines every 6 months
WEAR N95-type masks
Who is HIGH RISK?
People 60 and older, babies < 1 year, pregnant
ALL AGES: immunocompromised OR medically at-risk OR no vaccine or infection in the last 6 months
Recommendations are based on the COVID-19 Risk Index from the Peterborough ON Public Health Unit
COVID-19 Resources Canada is a grassroots organization of volunteer scientists supporting Canadian COVID responses. Sources, data and methods for the COVID Index are available at www.Covid19Resources.ca](https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:qbuobwdie7rzq4fburk63aft/bafkreif7khgr3smag5s2uvat4as4724n2eh3wpvkxogot67wkz36maur7e)
![This image describes the Canadian COVID Forecast for the fourteen-day period between Jun 20 - Jul 3, 2026, which is produced by COVID-19 Resources Canada. Canada’s COVID Forecast outlook is MODERATE [decreasing] with a COVID INDEX SCORE of 2.9
About 1 of every 320 people is infected.
Estimated infections this week: 86,400-198,500
What these numbers mean: MODERATE 1-5, HIGH 5-10, VERY HIGH 10-15, SEVERE >15 COMPARED TO THE LOWEST POINT IN THE COVID PANDEMIC IN CANADA
How much higher are key indicators compared to the lowest point in the COVID pandemic in Canada?
Waste water, infections: MODERATE; 4.0X higher
Long COVID: MODERATE; 4.6X higher
Hospitalizations: MODERATE; 2.6X higher
Deaths: MODERATE; 2.0X higher
HOW TO HELP:
EVERYONE:
UPDATE vaccines every 6 months
WEAR N95-type mask
Who is HIGH RISK?
People 60 and older, babies < 1 year, pregnant
ALL AGES: immunocompromised OR medically at-risk OR no vaccine or infection in the last 6 months
Recommendations are based on the COVID-19 Risk Index from the Peterborough ON Public Health Unit
COVID-19 Resources Canada is a grassroots organization of volunteer scientists supporting Canadian COVID responses. Sources, data and methods for the COVID Index are available at www.Covid19Resources.ca](https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:qbuobwdie7rzq4fburk63aft/bafkreigmx7s7mqhelocsagkkataj6bou6blgopjdmyb6jqrxnoq6bfhiai)
![This image describes the Canadian COVID Forecast for the fourteen-day period between Mar 28 - Apr 10, 2026, which is produced by COVID-19 Resources Canada. Canada’s COVID Forecast outlook is HIGH [no change] with a COVID INDEX SCORE of 6.7
About 1 of every 84 people is infected.
Estimated infections this week: 413,100-577,100
What these numbers mean: MODERATE 1-5, HIGH 5-10, VERY HIGH 10-15, SEVERE >15 COMPARED TO THE LOWEST POINT IN THE COVID PANDEMIC IN CANADA
How much higher are key indicators compared to the lowest point in the COVID pandemic in Canada?
Waste water, infections: HIGH; 9.2X higher
Long COVID: HIGH; 6.6X higher
Hospitalizations: HIGH; 5.4X higher
Deaths: HIGH; 5.6X higher
HOW TO HELP:
EVERYONE:
UPDATE vaccines every 6 months
WEAR N95-type masks
Who is HIGH RISK?
People 60 and older, babies < 1 year, pregnant
ALL AGES: immunocompromised OR medically at-risk OR no vaccine or infection in the last 6 months
Recommendations are based on the COVID-19 Risk Index from the Peterborough ON Public Health Unit
COVID-19 Resources Canada is a grassroots organization of volunteer scientists supporting Canadian COVID responses. Sources, data and methods for the COVID Index are available at www.Covid19Resources.ca](https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:qbuobwdie7rzq4fburk63aft/bafkreibirhlvpezyh2refcjdnpzb25khgbzlpqqqvr75jo2fsnxqkhdlve)
